Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, January 27, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	7	Nuggets	66%	124	121	114.2	106	101.0
	21	Bulls	34%	117	129	120.6	107	112.5

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+14

-14

106

CHI

+15

-17

105

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.14 57.1%

CHI

1.23 61.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

7 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 28	40.2	18	45%	6	6	2	2	2	2	2	4	1-1	100%	7-15	47%	1-5	20%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 30	39.7	33	83%	12	14	1	1	4	1	2	10	2-2	100%	14-17	82%	1-4	25%
Russell Westbrook #4 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 36	34.7	14	64%	3	5	1	0	2	2	2	1	2-2	100%	6-9	67%	0-1	0%
Christian Braun #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	32.8	28	82%	5	4	2	1	2	2	1	4	4-4	100%	9-11	82%	2-4	50%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 27	31.8	18	56%	7	0	1	0	2	2	2	5	2-2	100%	5-7	71%	2-8	25%

Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	23.7	4	33%	5	3	3	1	2	0	1	4	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	22.0	6	33%	2	4	2	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-2	0%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	15.1	0	0%	2	0	1	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dario Šarić #9 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
PJ Hall #13 · C · 6'8" 245 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery Rehabilitation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	57%	42	36	13	5	14	11	12	30	11-11	100%	46-73	63%	6-27	22%

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7 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 28	40.2	18	45%	6	6	2	2	2	2	2	4	1-1	100%	7-15	47%	1-5	20%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 30	39.7	33	83%	12	14	1	1	4	1	2	10	2-2	100%	14-17	82%	1-4	25%
Russell Westbrook #4 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 36	34.7	14	64%	3	5	1	0	2	2	2	1	2-2	100%	6-9	67%	0-1	0%
Christian Braun #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	32.8	28	82%	5	4	2	1	2	2	1	4	4-4	100%	9-11	82%	2-4	50%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 27	31.8	18	56%	7	0	1	0	2	2	2	5	2-2	100%	5-7	71%	2-8	25%

Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	23.7	4	33%	5	3	3	1	2	0	1	4	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	22.0	6	33%	2	4	2	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-2	0%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	15.1	0	0%	2	0	1	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dario Šarić #9 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
PJ Hall #13 · C · 6'8" 245 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery Rehabilitation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	57%	42	36	13	5	14	11	12	30	11-11	100%	46-73	63%	6-27	22%

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21 Chicago Bulls

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Zach LaVine #8 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 30	34.8	21	70%	3	6	2	0	4	2	0	3	4-4	100%	1-3	33%	5-10	50%
Ayo Dosunmu #11 · PF · 6'4" 201 · 25	34.4	17	61%	2	2	2	1	2	1	2	0	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	4-7	57%
Nikola Vučević #9 · C · 6'9" 265 · 34	34.4	20	43%	10	6	1	0	4	1	4	6	0-0	-	7-14	50%	2-9	22%
Josh Giddey #3 · PG · 6'7" 214 · 22	26.7	12	75%	4	10	3	1	4	1	2	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-4	50%
Lonzo Ball #2 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	24.8	18	82%	4	0	1	1	0	1	0	4	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	4-7	57%

Patrick Williams #44 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 23	28.4	11	46%	8	3	1	0	0	0	3	5	0-0	-	4-7	57%	1-5	20%
Matas Buzelis #14 · SF · 6'8" 196 · 20	19.9	9	90%	4	2	0	0	1	1	0	4	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-1	100%
Jalen Smith #7 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 25	13.6	5	42%	7	1	0	2	1	2	1	6	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Dalen Terry #25 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 23	13.1	13	108%	4	2	1	0	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	3-4	75%
Julian Phillips #15 · SF · 6'6" 201 · 21	5.7	3	150%	0	2	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Talen Horton-Tucker #22 · SG · 6'4" 235 · 24	4.3	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jevon Carter #5 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chris Duarte #27 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
E.J. Liddell #32 · PF · 6'6" 240 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Emanuel Miller #20 · NA · 6'5" 215 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Adama Sanogo #21 · C · 6'9" 245 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Coby White #0 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Bone Bruise
Torrey Craig #13 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	129	61%	47	35	11	5	17	14	13	34	7-8	88%	25-45	56%	24-53	45%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	CHI
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	CHI

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.14 57.1%

CHI

1.23 61.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

73%

CHI

50%

Midrange

DEN

38%

CHI

62%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

9.0

22%

33%

CHI

36.0

45%

68%

Free Throws

DEN

100%

CHI

88%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	33	83%	16.5 / 20
C. Braun	28	82%	14.0 / 17
J. Murray	18	45%	9.0 / 20
M. Porter	18	56%	9.0 / 16
R. Westbrook	14	64%	7.0 / 11
A. Gordon	6	33%	3.0 / 9
P. Watson	4	33%	2.0 / 6
J. Strawther	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Bulls

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
Z. LaVine	21	70%	10.5 / 15
N. Vučević	20	43%	10.0 / 23
L. Ball	18	82%	9.0 / 11
A. Dosunmu	17	61%	8.5 / 14
D. Terry	13	108%	6.5 / 6
J. Giddey	12	75%	6.0 / 8
P. Williams	11	46%	5.5 / 12
M. Buzelis	9	90%	4.5 / 5
J. Smith	5	42%	2.5 / 6
J. Phillips	3	150%	1.5 / 1
T. Horton-Tucker	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	4 118.9 20 113.2	DEN 114.2 CHI 120.6 +6.4
Pace	8 100.6 2 103.7	DEN 101.0 CHI 112.5 +11.5
Avg. Poss. Time	22 14.2 29 13.3	DEN 14.3 CHI 12.8 −1.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	2 57.3% 13 55.3%	DEN 55.0% CHI 62.2% +7.2%
TO %	15 13.3% 17 13.4%	DEN 12.5% −1.8% CHI 14.3%
ORB %	7 26.7% 28 22.3%	DEN 26.1% CHI 30.2% +4.1%
FTrt	5 25.9 29 21.4	DEN 11.0 +2.8 CHI 8.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	4 68.3% 7 67.2%	DEN 69.2% CHI 71.4% +2.2%
STL %	19 7.9% 29 7.2%	DEN 12.3% +2.0% CHI 10.3%
BLK %	21 9.0% 26 8.5%	DEN 11.1% +4.3% CHI 6.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	2 58.8% 13 57.0%	DEN 57.1% CHI 61.4% +4.3%
Rim FG%	7 66.2% 24 61.6%	DEN 73.1% +23.1% CHI 50.0%
Mid FG%	8 45.5% 3 46.2%	DEN 38.1% CHI 61.9% +23.8%
3P %	5 37.6% 13 36.7%	DEN 22.2% CHI 45.3% +23.1%
FT %	23 77.0% 3 80.9%	DEN 100.0% +12.5% CHI 87.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	1 38.3% 11 33.2%	DEN 52.0% +27.5% CHI 24.5%
Mid Att. %	13 26.1% 2 21.1%	DEN 21.0% −0.4% CHI 21.4%
3P Att. %	30 35.6% 4 45.7%	DEN 27.0% CHI 54.1% +27.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Game Totals	DEN	CHI
Possessions	106	107
Possession Minutes	25.2	22.8
Points	121	129
Rebounds	42	47
Assists	36	35
Steals	13	11
Blocks	5	5
Turnovers (Team)	14 (1)	17 (0)
Fouls	11	14
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (2)	13 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (4)	34 (0)
Field Goals	52-100	49-98
At-the-Rim FG	38-52	12-24
Midrange FG	8-21	13-21
2-Point FG	46-73	25-45
3-Point FG	6-27	24-53
Free Throws	11-11	7-8
Fast Break Pts	30	15
2nd Chance Pts	14	17
Points in Paint	84	38
Pts off Turnovers	22	17
Bench Points	10	41
Biggest Lead	12	12

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg