Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, February 7, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	22	Bucks	47%	114	110	107.8	102	100.7
	20	Hawks	53%	115	115	112.7	102	104.6

Scoring Opportunities

MIL

+10

-10

102

ATL

+11

-11

102

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL

1.08 53.9%

ATL

1.13 56.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

22 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	37.6	26	62%	15	6	1	1	2	2	1	14	2-2	100%	6-12	50%	4-8	50%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 35	34.9	23	55%	9	10	0	0	3	1	3	6	5-5	100%	3-6	50%	4-13	31%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 37	34.5	16	53%	2	2	1	2	2	3	0	2	1-1	100%	6-10	60%	1-5	20%
Taurean Prince #12 · SF · 6'6" 218 · 31	30.8	9	64%	1	1	0	0	0	4	0	1	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-4	25%
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 23	15.8	0	0%	4	2	0	0	0	0	2	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%

Gary Trent Jr. #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 26	28.9	19	79%	0	4	3	0	1	4	0	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	5-8	63%
Kyle Kuzma #18 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 30	23.9	12	43%	7	1	0	0	2	1	0	7	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	3-8	38%
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 25	20.8	2	20%	1	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Ryan Rollins #13 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 23	12.7	3	38%	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-1	100%
Tyler Smith #21 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chris Livingston #7 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Stanley Umude #17 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jericho Sims #00 · C · 6'10" 250 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Tightness
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Liam Robbins #15 · C · 7'0" 250 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Strain
Kevin Porter Jr. #3 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 25	Inactive - Trade Pending
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	54%	43	28	5	3	10	17	7	36	9-10	90%	22-46	48%	19-50	38%

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22 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	37.6	26	62%	15	6	1	1	2	2	1	14	2-2	100%	6-12	50%	4-8	50%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 35	34.9	23	55%	9	10	0	0	3	1	3	6	5-5	100%	3-6	50%	4-13	31%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 37	34.5	16	53%	2	2	1	2	2	3	0	2	1-1	100%	6-10	60%	1-5	20%
Taurean Prince #12 · SF · 6'6" 218 · 31	30.8	9	64%	1	1	0	0	0	4	0	1	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-4	25%
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 23	15.8	0	0%	4	2	0	0	0	0	2	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%

Gary Trent Jr. #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 26	28.9	19	79%	0	4	3	0	1	4	0	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	5-8	63%
Kyle Kuzma #18 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 30	23.9	12	43%	7	1	0	0	2	1	0	7	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	3-8	38%
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 25	20.8	2	20%	1	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Ryan Rollins #13 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 23	12.7	3	38%	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-1	100%
Tyler Smith #21 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chris Livingston #7 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Stanley Umude #17 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jericho Sims #00 · C · 6'10" 250 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Tightness
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Liam Robbins #15 · C · 7'0" 250 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Strain
Kevin Porter Jr. #3 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 25	Inactive - Trade Pending
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	54%	43	28	5	3	10	17	7	36	9-10	90%	22-46	48%	19-50	38%

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20 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SG · 6'7" 199 · 22	38.2	15	50%	6	10	1	0	2	1	0	6	4-7	57%	4-10	40%	1-2	50%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 26	34.9	24	50%	3	7	2	0	2	1	0	3	4-5	80%	7-14	50%	2-8	25%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 24	27.9	14	54%	12	2	0	0	2	2	6	6	2-2	100%	6-11	55%	0-1	0%
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 20	20.5	13	65%	3	0	0	0	1	3	1	2	0-0	-	5-6	83%	1-4	25%
Dominick Barlow #0 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 22	20.2	7	88%	4	0	0	1	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-2	50%

Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 25	31.0	11	69%	10	3	0	0	1	1	1	9	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	3-6	50%
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 22	22.9	15	63%	12	0	2	4	0	1	2	10	2-2	100%	5-6	83%	1-5	20%
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 32	20.1	11	69%	1	4	1	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	3-4	75%
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	18.5	3	38%	1	3	0	1	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Garrison Mathews #24 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 28	5.8	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Johnson #1 · SF · 6'8" 219 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Surgery
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Surgery
Caris LeVert #3 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 30	Inactive - Trade Pending
Georges Niang #20 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 32	Inactive - Trade Pending
Terance Mann #14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 28	Inactive - Trade Pending
Bones Hyland #99 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 24	Inactive - Trade Pending
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 31	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	56%	52	29	6	6	11	14	11	41	12-18	67%	32-56	57%	13-36	36%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	ATL
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	ATL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL

1.08 53.9%

ATL

1.13 56.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIL

65%

ATL

63%

Midrange

MIL

35%

ATL

44%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIL

28.5

38%

57%

ATL

19.5

36%

54%

Free Throws

MIL

90%

ATL

67%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Portis	26	62%	13.0 / 21
D. Lillard	23	55%	11.5 / 21
G. Trent	19	79%	9.5 / 12
B. Lopez	16	53%	8.0 / 15
K. Kuzma	12	43%	6.0 / 14
T. Prince	9	64%	4.5 / 7
R. Rollins	3	38%	1.5 / 4
A. Green	2	20%	1.0 / 5
A. Jackson	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Young	24	50%	12.0 / 24
D. Daniels	15	50%	7.5 / 15
M. Gueye	15	63%	7.5 / 12
O. Okongwu	14	54%	7.0 / 13
Z. Risacher	13	65%	6.5 / 10
V. Krejčí	11	69%	5.5 / 8
L. Nance	11	69%	5.5 / 8
D. Barlow	7	88%	3.5 / 4
K. Wallace	3	38%	1.5 / 4
G. Mathews	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	10 115.2 17 113.7	MIL 107.8 ATL 112.7 +4.9
Pace	14 99.9 3 103.4	MIL 100.7 ATL 104.6 +3.9
Avg. Poss. Time	14 14.6 30 13.3	MIL 14.3 ATL 13.8 −0.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	3 56.8% 17 54.6%	MIL 52.6% ATL 56.0% +3.4%
TO %	7 12.7% 23 14.1%	MIL 9.1% −0.8% ATL 9.9%
ORB %	30 19.3% 10 26.3%	MIL 14.6% ATL 23.4% +8.8%
FTrt	3 26.8 8 25.2	MIL 10.4 ATL 19.6 +9.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	23 60.7% 5 68.3%	MIL 68.3% +3.9% ATL 64.4%
STL %	27 7.3% 4 9.4%	MIL 4.9% ATL 5.9% +1.0%
BLK %	20 9.1% 11 9.7%	MIL 5.4% ATL 13.0% +7.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	3 58.6% 17 56.5%	MIL 53.9% ATL 56.4% +2.5%
Rim FG%	5 66.9% 20 62.9%	MIL 65.0% +2.5% ATL 62.5%
Mid FG%	13 44.1% 11 44.5%	MIL 34.6% ATL 43.8% +9.2%
3P %	1 38.7% 18 35.8%	MIL 38.0% +1.9% ATL 36.1%
FT %	28 75.0% 18 77.5%	MIL 90.0% +23.3% ATL 66.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	24 30.0% 6 34.1%	MIL 20.8% ATL 43.5% +22.6%
Mid Att. %	21 27.5% 10 24.8%	MIL 27.1% ATL 17.4% −9.7%
3P Att. %	15 42.4% 19 41.0%	MIL 52.1% +13.0% ATL 39.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIL	ATL
Possessions	102	102
Possession Minutes	24.3	23.4
Points	110	115
Rebounds	43	52
Assists	28	29
Steals	5	6
Blocks	3	6
Turnovers (Team)	10 (0)	11 (0)
Fouls	17	14
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (3)	11 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (3)	41 (4)
Field Goals	41-96	45-92
At-the-Rim FG	13-20	25-40
Midrange FG	9-26	7-16
2-Point FG	22-46	32-56
3-Point FG	19-50	13-36
Free Throws	9-10	12-18
Fast Break Pts	9	15
2nd Chance Pts	13	13
Points in Paint	38	60
Pts off Turnovers	16	11
Bench Points	36	42
Biggest Lead	21	12

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg