Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, February 7, 2025
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Spurs | ||||
26 | Hornets |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Cavaliers | ||||
30 | Wizards |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Bucks | ||||
21 | Hawks |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Heat | ||||
29 | Nets |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | 76ers | ||||
22 | Pistons |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Raptors | ||||
1 | Thunder |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Jazz | ||||
16 | Suns |
Thursday, February 6, 2025
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Mavericks | ||||
2 | Celtics |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Rockets | ||||
11 | Timberwolves |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Magic | ||||
8 | Nuggets |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Warriors | ||||
17 | Lakers |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Kings | ||||
28 | Trail Blazers |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Pacers | ||||
9 | Clippers |
Wednesday, February 5, 2025
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Bucks | ||||
26 | Hornets |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Cavaliers | ||||
22 | Pistons |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Spurs | ||||
21 | Hawks |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Wizards | ||||
29 | Nets |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Heat | ||||
19 | 76ers |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Grizzlies | ||||
23 | Raptors |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Bulls | ||||
9 | Timberwolves |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Suns | ||||
1 | Thunder |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Warriors | ||||
27 | Jazz |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Pelicans | ||||
7 | Nuggets |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Magic | ||||
11 | Kings |
Tuesday, February 4, 2025
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Celtics | ||||
4 | Cavaliers |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Rockets | ||||
29 | Nets |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Mavericks | ||||
19 | 76ers |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Knicks | ||||
23 | Raptors |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Heat | ||||
24 | Bulls |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Lakers | ||||
9 | Clippers |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Pacers | ||||
28 | Trail Blazers |
Monday, February 3, 2025
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Wizards | ||||
25 | Hornets |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Hawks | ||||
21 | Pistons |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Rockets | ||||
8 | Knicks |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Spurs | ||||
3 | Grizzlies |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Kings | ||||
10 | Timberwolves |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Bucks | ||||
1 | Thunder |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Pelicans | ||||
7 | Nuggets |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Pacers | ||||
27 | Jazz |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Magic | ||||
14 | Warriors |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Suns | ||||
28 | Trail Blazers |
Sunday, February 2, 2025
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Bulls | ||||
19 | Pistons |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Mavericks | ||||
3 | Cavaliers |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Clippers | ||||
23 | Raptors |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Celtics | ||||
21 | 76ers |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Grizzlies | ||||
13 | Bucks |
Saturday, February 1, 2025
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Hawks | ||||
12 | Pacers |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Magic | ||||
27 | Jazz |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Nuggets | ||||
25 | Hornets |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Nets | ||||
5 | Rockets |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Wizards | ||||
9 | Timberwolves |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Kings | ||||
1 | Thunder |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Lakers | ||||
6 | Knicks |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Heat | ||||
18 | Spurs |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Suns | ||||
28 | Trail Blazers |
Friday, January 31, 2025
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Clippers | ||||
26 | Hornets |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Mavericks | ||||
20 | Pistons |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Nuggets | ||||
21 | 76ers |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Bulls | ||||
23 | Raptors |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Celtics | ||||
25 | Pelicans |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Bucks | ||||
18 | Spurs |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Suns | ||||
15 | Warriors |
Thursday, January 30, 2025
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Lakers | ||||
30 | Wizards |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Hawks | ||||
3 | Cavaliers |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Rockets | ||||
4 | Grizzlies |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Timberwolves | ||||
27 | Jazz |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Magic | ||||
28 | Trail Blazers |
Wednesday, January 29, 2025
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Nets | ||||
23 | Hornets |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Pistons | ||||
11 | Pacers |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Raptors | ||||
30 | Wizards |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Bulls | ||||
2 | Celtics |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Cavaliers | ||||
20 | Heat |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Nuggets | ||||
6 | Knicks |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Kings | ||||
24 | 76ers |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Mavericks | ||||
26 | Pelicans |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Clippers | ||||
18 | Spurs |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Timberwolves | ||||
15 | Suns |
Tuesday, January 28, 2025
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Rockets | ||||
21 | Hawks |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Lakers | ||||
26 | 76ers |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Jazz | ||||
14 | Warriors |
Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Bucks | ||||
28 | Trail Blazers |
Monday, January 27, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Pistons | 26% | 110 | 91 | |
3 | Cavaliers | 74% | 119 | 110 |
Updated: Jan 27, 2025 11:47 PM
game detailSunday, January 26, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Thunder | 83% | 118 | 118 | |
28 | Trail Blazers | 17% | 104 | 108 |
Updated: Jan 26, 2025 10:42 PM
game detailSaturday, January 25, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Pacers | 51% | 116 | 136 | |
16 | Spurs | 49% | 115 | 98 |
Updated: Jan 25, 2025 04:42 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Nuggets | 48% | 113 | 104 | |
9 | Timberwolves | 52% | 114 | 133 |
Updated: Jan 25, 2025 07:42 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Celtics | 64% | 116 | 122 | |
17 | Mavericks | 36% | 111 | 107 |
Updated: Jan 25, 2025 10:12 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Pelicans | 43% | 112 | 92 | |
25 | Hornets | 57% | 115 | 123 |
Updated: Jan 25, 2025 11:42 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Pistons | 46% | 104 | 113 | |
19 | Magic | 54% | 105 | 121 |
Updated: Jan 25, 2025 11:42 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Raptors | 39% | 115 | 117 | |
18 | Hawks | 61% | 119 | 94 |
Updated: Jan 26, 2025 12:12 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Rockets | 45% | 112 | 135 | |
4 | Cavaliers | 55% | 114 | 131 |
Updated: Jan 26, 2025 12:12 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Jazz | 22% | 115 | 103 | |
3 | Grizzlies | 78% | 126 | 125 |
Updated: Jan 26, 2025 12:52 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Lakers | 43% | 110 | 118 | |
12 | Warriors | 57% | 113 | 108 |
Updated: Jan 26, 2025 01:12 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Wizards | 21% | 110 | 109 | |
15 | Suns | 79% | 122 | 119 |
Updated: Jan 26, 2025 01:42 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Bucks | 42% | 109 | 117 | |
10 | Clippers | 58% | 112 | 127 |
Updated: Jan 26, 2025 03:12 AM
game detail