Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, February 4, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	20	Lakers	35%	106	122	127.1	96	98.0
	9	Clippers	65%	112	97	101.0	96	94.1

Scoring Opportunities

LAL

+12

-14

LAC

+14

-9

101

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAL

1.30 64.9%

LAC

0.96 48.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

20 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Rui Hachimura #28 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 27	33.9	20	67%	6	2	0	0	0	3	2	4	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	4-8	50%
LeBron James #23 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 40	31.0	26	72%	8	9	3	0	3	4	0	8	8-11	73%	6-9	67%	2-4	50%
Austin Reaves #15 · PG · 6'5" 197 · 27	29.8	20	71%	6	9	0	1	3	0	2	4	3-3	100%	4-6	67%	3-7	43%
Dorian Finney-Smith #17 · SG · 6'7" 220 · 32	24.0	7	50%	4	2	0	0	1	3	0	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Jaxson Hayes #11 · C · 7'0" 220 · 25	23.8	6	50%	6	4	1	2	1	2	2	4	0-1	0%	3-6	50%	0-0	-

Gabe Vincent #7 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 29	22.0	12	60%	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	4-8	50%
Dalton Knecht #4 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 24	20.8	14	78%	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	0-0	-	4-5	80%	2-4	50%
Shake Milton #20 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 28	19.9	4	67%	2	3	0	0	4	2	1	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Jarred Vanderbilt #2 · PF · 6'8" 214 · 26	18.1	6	75%	6	0	1	0	0	0	1	5	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Bronny James #9 · SG · 6'2" 210 · 20	6.0	3	75%	0	1	1	0	1	1	0	0	0-2	0%	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Armel Traore #94 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 22	5.4	2	100%	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Trey Jemison III #55 · C · 6'10" 270 · 25	5.2	2	50%	4	0	1	0	0	0	1	3	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Markieff Morris #88 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Christian Koloko #10 · C · 6'11" 225 · 25	INACTIVE
Christian Wood #35 · PF · 6'9" 214 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery Recovery
Luka Dončić #77 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Maxi Kleber #14 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Fracture
Cam Reddish #5 · SF · 6'8" 208 · 25	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	65%	50	33	7	3	14	15	10	40	14-23	61%	27-44	61%	18-37	49%

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20 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Rui Hachimura #28 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 27	33.9	20	67%	6	2	0	0	0	3	2	4	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	4-8	50%
LeBron James #23 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 40	31.0	26	72%	8	9	3	0	3	4	0	8	8-11	73%	6-9	67%	2-4	50%
Austin Reaves #15 · PG · 6'5" 197 · 27	29.8	20	71%	6	9	0	1	3	0	2	4	3-3	100%	4-6	67%	3-7	43%
Dorian Finney-Smith #17 · SG · 6'7" 220 · 32	24.0	7	50%	4	2	0	0	1	3	0	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Jaxson Hayes #11 · C · 7'0" 220 · 25	23.8	6	50%	6	4	1	2	1	2	2	4	0-1	0%	3-6	50%	0-0	-

Gabe Vincent #7 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 29	22.0	12	60%	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	4-8	50%
Dalton Knecht #4 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 24	20.8	14	78%	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	0-0	-	4-5	80%	2-4	50%
Shake Milton #20 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 28	19.9	4	67%	2	3	0	0	4	2	1	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Jarred Vanderbilt #2 · PF · 6'8" 214 · 26	18.1	6	75%	6	0	1	0	0	0	1	5	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Bronny James #9 · SG · 6'2" 210 · 20	6.0	3	75%	0	1	1	0	1	1	0	0	0-2	0%	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Armel Traore #94 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 22	5.4	2	100%	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Trey Jemison III #55 · C · 6'10" 270 · 25	5.2	2	50%	4	0	1	0	0	0	1	3	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Markieff Morris #88 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Christian Koloko #10 · C · 6'11" 225 · 25	INACTIVE
Christian Wood #35 · PF · 6'9" 214 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery Recovery
Luka Dončić #77 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Maxi Kleber #14 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Fracture
Cam Reddish #5 · SF · 6'8" 208 · 25	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	65%	50	33	7	3	14	15	10	40	14-23	61%	27-44	61%	18-37	49%

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9 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Norman Powell #24 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 32	30.6	20	59%	2	3	0	1	1	0	0	2	3-4	75%	4-7	57%	3-8	38%
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 35	29.8	7	27%	3	9	2	0	1	3	1	2	3-3	100%	2-7	29%	0-5	0%
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 28	27.9	8	44%	10	3	1	0	2	3	4	6	4-4	100%	2-7	29%	0-0	-
Kawhi Leonard #2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 34	22.4	11	46%	6	2	0	3	1	0	0	6	2-2	100%	3-9	33%	1-2	50%
Derrick Jones Jr. #55 · PF · 6'6" 210 · 28	22.4	17	77%	2	2	0	0	0	2	1	1	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	3-7	43%

Amir Coffey #7 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 28	21.0	8	67%	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Kris Dunn #8 · PG · 6'3" 205 · 31	18.1	2	20%	5	4	3	0	0	4	2	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-4	0%
Nicolas Batum #33 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 36	14.6	3	38%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Kevin Porter Jr. #77 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 25	12.9	7	50%	3	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-2	50%
Terance Mann #14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 28	12.4	0	0%	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Drew Eubanks #15 · C · 6'10" 245 · 28	7.0	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Patty Mills #88 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 36	7.0	0	0%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Kobe Brown #21 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 25	7.0	0	0%	1	2	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Bones Hyland #5 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 24	7.0	12	100%	0	0	1	0	1	3	0	0	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	2-3	67%
Kai Jones #23 · C · 6'11" 221 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trentyn Flowers #9 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jordan Miller #11 · SF · 6'5" 194 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Cam Christie #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	48%	36	30	9	5	9	17	10	26	17-19	89%	22-48	46%	12-41	29%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	LAL	LAC
Clock	Team	Event	LAL	LAC

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

LAL

1.30 64.9%

LAC

0.96 48.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

LAL

73%

LAC

58%

Midrange

LAL

44%

LAC

33%

3PT | Effective 3PT

LAL

27.0

49%

73%

LAC

18.0

29%

44%

Free Throws

LAL

61%

LAC

89%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. James	26	72%	13.0 / 18
R. Hachimura	20	67%	10.0 / 15
A. Reaves	20	71%	10.0 / 14
D. Knecht	14	78%	7.0 / 9
G. Vincent	12	60%	6.0 / 10
D. Finney-Smith	7	50%	3.5 / 7
J. Hayes	6	50%	3.0 / 6
J. Vanderbilt	6	75%	3.0 / 4
S. Milton	4	67%	2.0 / 3
B. James	3	75%	1.5 / 2
A. Traore	2	100%	1.0 / 1
T. Jemison	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Clippers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Powell	20	59%	10.0 / 17
D. Jones	17	77%	8.5 / 11
B. Hyland	12	100%	6.0 / 6
K. Leonard	11	46%	5.5 / 12
I. Zubac	8	44%	4.0 / 9
A. Coffey	8	67%	4.0 / 6
J. Harden	7	27%	3.5 / 13
K. Porter	7	50%	3.5 / 7
N. Batum	3	38%	1.5 / 4
K. Dunn	2	20%	1.0 / 5
D. Eubanks	2	100%	1.0 / 1
T. Mann	0	-	0.0 / 4
P. Mills	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	11 114.9 15 114.3	LAL 127.1 +26.0 LAC 101.0
Pace	20 98.4 24 98.1	LAL 98.0 +3.8 LAC 94.1
Avg. Poss. Time	7 15.0 5 15.1	LAL 14.7 −0.6 LAC 15.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	8 55.7% 11 55.4%	LAL 66.7% +21.8% LAC 44.9%
TO %	14 13.3% 22 14.0%	LAL 14.1% LAC 9.3% −4.8%
ORB %	24 23.3% 19 24.4%	LAL 27.8% +7.8% LAC 20.0%
FTrt	1 27.1 9 25.1	LAL 28.4 +7.1 LAC 21.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	14 63.5% 24 60.5%	LAL 73.3% LAC 88.2% +14.9%
STL %	21 7.8% 2 9.5%	LAL 7.3% LAC 9.4% +2.1%
BLK %	24 8.7% 16 9.3%	LAL 6.3% LAC 11.4% +5.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	8 57.6% 9 57.5%	LAL 64.9% +16.9% LAC 48.0%
Rim FG%	1 68.0% 13 64.2%	LAL 73.1% +14.8% LAC 58.3%
Mid FG%	18 42.1% 10 45.3%	LAL 44.4% +11.1% LAC 33.3%
3P %	14 36.6% 7 37.3%	LAL 48.6% +19.3% LAC 29.3%
FT %	13 78.5% 7 79.7%	LAL 60.9% LAC 89.5% +28.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	18 31.4% 14 31.6%	LAL 32.1% +5.1% LAC 27.0%
Mid Att. %	12 26.1% 28 29.7%	LAL 22.2% −4.7% LAC 27.0%
3P Att. %	13 42.5% 25 38.7%	LAL 45.7% LAC 46.1% +0.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	LAL	LAC
Possessions	96	96
Possession Minutes	23.5	24.5
Points	122	97
Rebounds	50	36
Assists	33	30
Steals	7	9
Blocks	3	5
Turnovers (Team)	14 (1)	9 (1)
Fouls	15	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (2)	10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	40 (1)	26 (3)
Field Goals	45-81	34-89
At-the-Rim FG	19-26	14-24
Midrange FG	8-18	8-24
2-Point FG	27-44	22-48
3-Point FG	18-37	12-41
Free Throws	14-23	17-19
Fast Break Pts	16	13
2nd Chance Pts	12	13
Points in Paint	50	40
Pts off Turnovers	14	19
Bench Points	43	34
Biggest Lead	31	1

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg