Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Warriors44%110112
16Lakers56%112120
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Buddy Hield
G · 6'4" 214 · 31.1
35.1
24.0
15
56%
5
5
0
1
0
2
2
3
1-1
100%
1-4
2-3
25%
51%
4-9
44%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 34.9
32.9
25.1
12
76%
5
4
2
1
1
0
0
5
0-2
0%
3-5
2-3
60%
54%
2-2
100%
Quinten Post
C · 7'0" 238 · 24.9
11.3
20.4
6
60%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
55%
2-5
40%
Brandin Podziemski
G · 6'5" 205 · 21.9
34.5
29.1
8
32%
8
7
0
1
0
1
2
6
2-6
33%
3-7
2-5
43%
51%
0-3
0%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 36.9
37.1
31.3
37
50%
7
4
1
1
1
4
2
5
5-5
100%
7-15
4-7
47%
53%
6-20
30%
Moses Moody
G · 6'5" 211 · 22.7
32.3
23.3
14
60%
5
2
1
1
0
3
2
3
4-4
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
56%
2-6
33%
Pat Spencer
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.6
16.8
7.5
13
69%
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
6-8
1-2
75%
48%
0-1
0%
Jackson Rowe
F · 6'7" 210 · 28.1
15.5
13.2
0
0%
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-4
0%
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.0
11.9
21.1
4
67%
3
2
0
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
58%
0-0
-
Gary Payton II
G · 6'3" 190 · 32.2
8.1
14.5
3
34%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
1-1
2-3
100%
65%
0-3
0%
Trayce Jackson-Davis
F · 6'9" 245 · 25.0
4.7
5.2
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
62%
0-0
-
Lindy Waters III
F · 6'6" 215 · 27.5
Jonathan Kuminga
F · 6'7" 225 · 22.3
Gui Santos
F · 6'6" 185 · 22.6
Andrew Wiggins
F · 6'8" 202 · 30.0
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 31.4
Dennis Schröder
G · 6'1" 172 · 31.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rui Hachimura
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.0
38.7
30.5
11
51%
4
3
0
1
0
0
0
4
2-4
50%
3-4
3-6
75%
57%
1-5
20%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 40.1
38.0
31.0
42
71%
17
8
1
1
1
3
1
16
8-10
80%
8-16
7-12
50%
59%
6-9
67%
Jaxson Hayes
C · 6'11" 220 · 24.7
25.0
21.5
11
71%
3
2
1
1
1
0
1
2
3-4
75%
4-6
3-4
67%
68%
0-0
-
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 31.8
33.5
23.8
7
58%
1
3
2
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
57%
1-4
25%
Austin Reaves
G · 6'5" 197 · 26.7
35.5
30.1
23
48%
3
4
3
1
1
4
1
2
15-16
94%
4-8
4-6
50%
59%
0-9
0%
Gabe Vincent
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.6
29.6
21.9
15
94%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
5-8
63%
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 25.8
20.7
15.9
5
87%
14
3
1
1
1
2
4
10
1-2
50%
2-2
2-3
100%
59%
0-0
-
Shake Milton
G · 6'6" 207 · 28.4
15.2
14.3
2
33%
3
2
1
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
51%
0-0
-
Christian Koloko
C · 7'1" 230 · 24.6
3.8
5.2
4
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
57%
0-0
-
Bronny James
G · 6'2" 210 · 20.3
6.0
0
1-1
48%
Trey Jemison III
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.2
5.9
0
1-1
56%
Armel Traoré
F · 6'8" 215 · 22.0
3.9
0
0-1
54%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 35.4
2.1
0
0-0
48%
Cam Reddish
F-G · 6'8" 208 · 25.4
Luka Dončić
G · 6'6" 218 · 25.9
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'11" 220 · 33.0
Christian Wood
F · 6'9" 214 · 29.4
Dalton Knecht
F · 6'6" 215 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.