Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, February 6, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	14	Magic	33%	108	90	91.8	98	91.3
	5	Nuggets	67%	114	112	113.1	99	106.8

Scoring Opportunities

ORL

+14

-13

DEN

+16

-18

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL

0.91 45.5%

DEN

1.15 57.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

14 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 22	29.7	18	50%	8	4	1	3	1	3	0	8	5-8	63%	5-11	45%	1-3	33%
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 23	29.5	14	39%	4	4	2	1	1	2	2	2	2-2	100%	6-14	43%	0-3	0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 32	26.6	7	50%	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	3	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 25	21.8	5	31%	2	3	1	0	3	3	1	1	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	0-2	0%
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 26	17.3	4	100%	3	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-

Anthony Black #0 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 21	26.3	8	57%	1	4	2	0	3	1	1	0	4-5	80%	2-3	67%	0-3	0%
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 26	26.1	19	86%	4	0	1	0	2	3	3	1	4-5	80%	6-6	100%	1-3	33%
Tristan da Silva #23 · SF · 6'8" 217 · 24	18.1	7	50%	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Jett Howard #13 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 21	14.2	3	38%	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 27	11.8	0	0%	4	0	0	2	0	0	0	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Trevelin Queen #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 28	11.3	4	22%	5	2	2	0	1	1	3	2	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-4	0%
Caleb Houstan #2 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 22	7.5	1	25%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Cory Joseph #10 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mac McClung #8 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Suggs #4 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Quad; Contusion
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Injury Maintenance
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left ACL; Torn
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	90	46%	40	21	10	8	13	15	13	27	23-30	77%	26-53	49%	5-31	16%

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14 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 22	29.7	18	50%	8	4	1	3	1	3	0	8	5-8	63%	5-11	45%	1-3	33%
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 23	29.5	14	39%	4	4	2	1	1	2	2	2	2-2	100%	6-14	43%	0-3	0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 32	26.6	7	50%	4	3	1	0	0	1	1	3	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 25	21.8	5	31%	2	3	1	0	3	3	1	1	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	0-2	0%
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 26	17.3	4	100%	3	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-

Anthony Black #0 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 21	26.3	8	57%	1	4	2	0	3	1	1	0	4-5	80%	2-3	67%	0-3	0%
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 26	26.1	19	86%	4	0	1	0	2	3	3	1	4-5	80%	6-6	100%	1-3	33%
Tristan da Silva #23 · SF · 6'8" 217 · 24	18.1	7	50%	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Jett Howard #13 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 21	14.2	3	38%	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 27	11.8	0	0%	4	0	0	2	0	0	0	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Trevelin Queen #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 28	11.3	4	22%	5	2	2	0	1	1	3	2	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-4	0%
Caleb Houstan #2 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 22	7.5	1	25%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Cory Joseph #10 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mac McClung #8 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Suggs #4 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Quad; Contusion
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Injury Maintenance
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left ACL; Torn
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	90	46%	40	21	10	8	13	15	13	27	23-30	77%	26-53	49%	5-31	16%

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5 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 24	36.1	16	67%	8	4	3	0	1	4	1	7	0-1	0%	8-12	67%	0-0	-
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 30	31.1	28	74%	10	12	2	0	3	2	0	10	4-6	67%	9-12	75%	2-4	50%
Julian Strawther #3 · PG · 6'6" 205 · 23	31.1	2	13%	3	3	1	0	2	4	1	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-4	0%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 27	30.3	30	83%	7	1	0	1	3	1	2	5	3-5	60%	6-8	75%	5-8	63%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	22.6	11	61%	3	7	0	1	1	2	1	2	4-7	57%	2-4	50%	1-2	50%

Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 25	31.1	5	42%	3	5	0	1	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24	20.6	3	21%	6	0	1	1	1	2	2	4	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-4	25%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 37	12.1	8	100%	7	1	0	0	3	1	3	4	0-0	-	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	10.6	7	70%	2	0	0	0	3	1	0	2	1-2	50%	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 22	4.8	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
PJ Hall #13 · C · 6'8" 245 · 23	4.8	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	4.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Dario Šarić #9 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Inflammation
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Russell Westbrook #4 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery Rehabilitation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	58%	52	33	7	4	18	22	12	40	12-21	57%	32-53	60%	12-30	40%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL

0.91 45.5%

DEN

1.15 57.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ORL

71%

DEN

74%

Midrange

ORL

34%

DEN

37%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ORL

7.5

16%

24%

DEN

18.0

40%

60%

Free Throws

ORL

77%

DEN

57%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
W. Carter	19	86%	9.5 / 11
P. Banchero	18	50%	9.0 / 18
F. Wagner	14	39%	7.0 / 18
A. Black	8	57%	4.0 / 7
K. Caldwell-Pope	7	50%	3.5 / 7
T. da Silva	7	50%	3.5 / 7
C. Anthony	5	31%	2.5 / 8
G. Bitadze	4	100%	2.0 / 2
T. Queen	4	22%	2.0 / 9
J. Howard	3	38%	1.5 / 4
C. Houstan	1	25%	0.5 / 2
J. Isaac	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Porter	30	83%	15.0 / 18
N. Jokić	28	74%	14.0 / 19
C. Braun	16	67%	8.0 / 12
A. Gordon	11	61%	5.5 / 9
D. Jordan	8	100%	4.0 / 4
H. Tyson	7	70%	3.5 / 5
J. Pickett	5	42%	2.5 / 6
Z. Nnaji	3	21%	1.5 / 7
J. Strawther	2	13%	1.0 / 8
T. Alexander	2	100%	1.0 / 1
P. Hall	0	-	0.0 / 2
S. Jones	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	27 109.1 4 118.9	ORL 91.8 DEN 113.1 +21.3
Pace	30 96.4 8 100.6	ORL 91.3 DEN 106.8 +15.5
Avg. Poss. Time	1 15.5 22 14.2	ORL 15.8 DEN 13.5 −2.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	29 51.0% 2 57.3%	ORL 39.9% DEN 60.2% +20.3%
TO %	18 13.5% 15 13.3%	ORL 12.6% −5.2% DEN 17.8%
ORB %	17 25.3% 7 26.7%	ORL 24.5% DEN 30.8% +6.3%
FTrt	2 26.9 5 25.9	ORL 35.7 +10.4 DEN 25.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	25 60.3% 4 68.3%	ORL 67.7% DEN 75.0% +7.3%
STL %	6 9.2% 19 7.9%	ORL 10.2% +3.1% DEN 7.1%
BLK %	1 11.9% 21 9.0%	ORL 15.1% +7.6% DEN 7.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	28 53.3% 2 58.8%	ORL 45.5% DEN 57.7% +12.2%
Rim FG%	19 63.6% 7 66.2%	ORL 71.4% DEN 73.5% +2.1%
Mid FG%	22 41.4% 8 45.5%	ORL 34.4% DEN 36.8% +2.4%
3P %	30 31.8% 5 37.6%	ORL 16.1% DEN 40.0% +23.9%
FT %	19 77.5% 23 77.0%	ORL 76.7% +19.6% DEN 57.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	15 31.5% 1 38.3%	ORL 25.0% DEN 41.0% +16.0%
Mid Att. %	19 27.4% 13 26.1%	ORL 38.1% DEN 22.9% −15.2%
3P Att. %	18 41.1% 30 35.6%	ORL 36.9% +0.8% DEN 36.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.65 and 2.65.

Game Totals	ORL	DEN
Possessions	98	99
Possession Minutes	25.8	22.2
Points	90	112
Rebounds	40	52
Assists	21	33
Steals	10	7
Blocks	8	4
Turnovers (Team)	13 (1)	18 (2)
Fouls	15	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (1)	12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (2)	40 (2)
Field Goals	31-84	44-83
At-the-Rim FG	15-21	25-34
Midrange FG	11-32	7-19
2-Point FG	26-53	32-53
3-Point FG	5-31	12-30
Free Throws	23-30	12-21
Fast Break Pts	12	24
2nd Chance Pts	7	14
Points in Paint	40	60
Pts off Turnovers	13	12
Bench Points	42	25
Biggest Lead	6	33

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg