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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 4, 2025
8:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Heat54%116124
24Bulls46%114133
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.2
20.8
21.8
5
64%
2
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
57%
1-3
33%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 27.6
35.4
35.3
23
60%
8
4
0
1
0
3
2
6
2-5
40%
9-13
7-12
69%
55%
1-4
25%
Kel'el Ware
C · 7'0" 230 · 20.8
30.7
30.7
17
71%
12
1
1
1
0
0
4
8
0-0
-
7-10
4-7
70%
59%
1-2
50%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 30.8
11.0
28.8
8
80%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
58%
2-4
50%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 25.0
36.4
34.5
23
58%
8
9
0
1
0
6
0
8
10-11
91%
2-4
4-8
50%
52%
3-11
27%
Nikola Jović
F · 6'10" 205 · 21.7
35.9
27.3
20
92%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
55%
5-7
71%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 30.9
29.4
29.0
5
21%
2
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-6
3-6
17%
51%
1-6
17%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
G · 6'7" 225 · 24.0
22.3
18.3
14
66%
4
5
0
1
1
1
2
2
6-6
100%
4-8
2-4
50%
55%
0-0
-
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 33.5
18.3
3.9
9
56%
4
2
2
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
42%
3-7
43%
Pelle Larsson
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.9
6.8
0
0-1
54%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 36.4
2.4
0
0-0
49%
Keshad Johnson
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.6
1.4
0
0-0
52%
Josh Christopher
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.2
1.1
0
0-0
53%
Dru Smith
G · 6'3" 203 · 27.1
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 31.4
Isaiah Stevens
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.3
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 35.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ayo Dosunmu
G · 6'5" 200 · 25.1
28.8
30.8
21
85%
2
9
1
1
1
1
0
2
3-3
100%
6-9
3-5
67%
58%
2-2
100%
Josh Giddey
G · 6'8" 205 · 22.3
29.8
30.9
24
68%
5
7
1
1
0
2
1
4
6-8
75%
6-9
3-6
67%
54%
2-5
40%
Nikola Vučević
C · 7'0" 260 · 34.3
33.3
31.5
12
43%
10
2
1
1
0
1
3
7
0-2
0%
3-8
5-9
38%
56%
2-5
40%
Coby White
G · 6'5" 191 · 25.0
31.7
30.4
22
62%
3
7
0
1
0
2
0
3
4-4
100%
3-9
3-6
33%
52%
4-7
57%
Lonzo Ball
G · 6'6" 190 · 27.3
28.8
25.0
5
28%
5
2
1
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
1-7
14%
Matas Buzelis
F · 6'10" 209 · 20.3
31.0
22.1
24
120%
3
0
0
0
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
6-6
2-4
100%
51%
4-4
100%
Patrick Williams
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.4
30.9
24.3
10
56%
7
4
0
1
0
1
2
5
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
50%
2-5
40%
Jalen Smith
F-C · 6'10" 215 · 24.9
14.7
17.0
8
67%
8
4
0
0
0
0
0
8
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
63%
2-4
50%
Julian Phillips
F · 6'8" 198 · 21.3
5.5
7.1
5
108%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3-3
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
56%
0-0
-
Jevon Carter
G · 6'2" 196 · 29.4
5.5
6.6
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
46%
0-2
0%
Emanuel Miller
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.6
3.1
0
0-1
51%
E.J. Liddell
F · 6'6" 240 · 24.1
2.1
0
0-0
54%
Dalen Terry
F · 6'7" 195 · 22.6
Adama Sanogo
F · 6'9" 245 · 23.0
Tre Jones
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.1
Talen Horton-Tucker
G · 6'4" 235 · 24.2
Kevin Huerter
G · 6'7" 194 · 26.4
Zach Collins
C-F · 7'0" 230 · 27.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.