Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, February 5, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	24	Pelicans	21%	114	119	113.3	105	103.2
	3	Nuggets	79%	126	144	139.8	103	104.9

Scoring Opportunities

NOP

+13

-11

107

DEN

+14

-7

110

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOP

1.11 55.6%

DEN

1.31 65.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

24 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trey Murphy III #25 · SG · 6'8" 206 · 25	32.5	25	69%	5	9	0	1	2	3	1	4	5-5	100%	7-12	58%	2-4	50%
Yves Missi #21 · C · 6'11" 235 · 21	32.4	12	75%	6	2	0	0	1	3	3	3	0-0	-	6-8	75%	0-0	-
Karlo Matković #17 · SF · 6'10" 231 · 24	29.6	10	83%	9	1	1	2	1	3	2	7	3-3	100%	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 33	27.6	19	59%	1	3	1	0	3	0	1	0	4-4	100%	3-8	38%	3-6	50%
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 25	26.8	28	61%	6	4	2	0	3	0	2	4	6-9	67%	11-19	58%	0-0	-

Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 23	24.8	15	47%	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	3	3-3	100%	3-9	33%	2-6	33%
Javonte Green #4 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 32	17.6	3	50%	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 26	17.2	2	17%	2	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-4	0%
Antonio Reeves #12 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	14.9	3	50%	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #50 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 24	13.9	2	25%	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Keion Brooks Jr. #0 · NA · 6'7" 210 · 24
Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 27	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Non-COVID; Illness
Brandon Boston #11 · SG · 6'6" 188 · 23	INACTIVE
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Rupture
Herbert Jones #2 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Strain
Brandon Ingram #14 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	56%	38	26	5	3	11	10	10	28	23-26	88%	33-64	52%	10-29	34%

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24 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trey Murphy III #25 · SG · 6'8" 206 · 25	32.5	25	69%	5	9	0	1	2	3	1	4	5-5	100%	7-12	58%	2-4	50%
Yves Missi #21 · C · 6'11" 235 · 21	32.4	12	75%	6	2	0	0	1	3	3	3	0-0	-	6-8	75%	0-0	-
Karlo Matković #17 · SF · 6'10" 231 · 24	29.6	10	83%	9	1	1	2	1	3	2	7	3-3	100%	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 33	27.6	19	59%	1	3	1	0	3	0	1	0	4-4	100%	3-8	38%	3-6	50%
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 25	26.8	28	61%	6	4	2	0	3	0	2	4	6-9	67%	11-19	58%	0-0	-

Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 23	24.8	15	47%	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	3	3-3	100%	3-9	33%	2-6	33%
Javonte Green #4 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 32	17.6	3	50%	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 26	17.2	2	17%	2	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-4	0%
Antonio Reeves #12 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	14.9	3	50%	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl #50 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 24	13.9	2	25%	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Keion Brooks Jr. #0 · NA · 6'7" 210 · 24
Jose Alvarado #15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 27	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Non-COVID; Illness
Brandon Boston #11 · SG · 6'6" 188 · 23	INACTIVE
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Rupture
Herbert Jones #2 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Strain
Brandon Ingram #14 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	56%	38	26	5	3	11	10	10	28	23-26	88%	33-64	52%	10-29	34%

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3 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 27	36.7	39	81%	12	4	3	0	3	1	6	6	2-2	100%	11-14	79%	5-9	56%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 30	35.7	38	66%	8	10	1	1	1	3	2	6	3-3	100%	10-15	67%	5-13	38%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 28	35.7	10	71%	2	6	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	5-5	100%	0-2	0%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	30.7	7	35%	4	12	1	1	0	2	1	3	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	1-4	25%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 24	29.0	23	77%	9	3	3	1	1	3	2	7	6-6	100%	7-9	78%	1-3	33%

Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	24.0	10	50%	2	1	0	0	1	4	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-6	33%
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 25	12.3	4	67%	2	2	1	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 37	10.2	2	100%	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	10.1	4	67%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1-2	50%	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24	9.3	4	67%	5	0	0	1	0	4	2	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 22	2.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
PJ Hall #13 · C · 6'8" 245 · 23	2.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	2.1	3	75%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Dario Šarić #9 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery Rehabilitation
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
Russell Westbrook #4 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	144	66%	51	40	9	4	7	21	13	38	14-15	93%	41-57	72%	16-43	37%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	NOP	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	NOP	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOP

1.11 55.6%

DEN

1.31 65.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

NOP

85%

DEN

89%

Midrange

NOP

43%

DEN

55%

3PT | Effective 3PT

NOP

15.0

34%

52%

DEN

24.0

37%

56%

Free Throws

NOP

88%

DEN

93%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pelicans

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
Z. Williamson	28	61%	14.0 / 23
T. Murphy	25	69%	12.5 / 18
C. McCollum	19	59%	9.5 / 16
J. Hawkins	15	47%	7.5 / 16
Y. Missi	12	75%	6.0 / 8
K. Matković	10	83%	5.0 / 6
J. Green	3	50%	1.5 / 3
A. Reeves	3	50%	1.5 / 3
J. Cain	2	17%	1.0 / 6
J. Robinson-Earl	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Porter	39	81%	19.5 / 24
N. Jokić	38	66%	19.0 / 29
C. Braun	23	77%	11.5 / 15
J. Murray	10	71%	5.0 / 7
J. Strawther	10	50%	5.0 / 10
A. Gordon	7	35%	3.5 / 10
J. Pickett	4	67%	2.0 / 3
H. Tyson	4	67%	2.0 / 3
Z. Nnaji	4	67%	2.0 / 3
S. Jones	3	75%	1.5 / 2
D. Jordan	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	25 109.6 4 118.9	NOP 113.3 DEN 139.8 +26.5
Pace	15 99.8 8 100.6	NOP 103.2 DEN 104.9 +1.7
Avg. Poss. Time	17 14.4 22 14.2	NOP 14.0 DEN 13.7 −0.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	26 51.9% 2 57.3%	NOP 51.6% DEN 65.0% +13.4%
TO %	20 13.9% 15 13.3%	NOP 9.5% DEN 7.8% −1.7%
ORB %	9 26.3% 7 26.7%	NOP 20.8% DEN 31.7% +10.9%
FTrt	15 24.4 5 25.9	NOP 28.0 +13.0 DEN 15.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	13 63.6% 4 68.3%	NOP 60.5% DEN 70.2% +9.7%
STL %	8 8.5% 19 7.9%	NOP 4.8% DEN 8.7% +3.9%
BLK %	7 10.4% 21 9.0%	NOP 5.3% DEN 6.3% +1.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	26 53.8% 2 58.8%	NOP 55.6% DEN 65.5% +9.9%
Rim FG%	26 61.0% 7 66.2%	NOP 84.6% DEN 89.3% +4.7%
Mid FG%	23 40.7% 8 45.5%	NOP 43.1% DEN 55.2% +12.1%
3P %	24 34.7% 5 37.6%	NOP 34.5% DEN 37.2% +2.7%
FT %	27 75.4% 23 77.0%	NOP 88.5% DEN 93.3% +4.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	9 33.6% 1 38.3%	NOP 14.0% DEN 28.0% +14.0%
Mid Att. %	22 27.9% 13 26.1%	NOP 54.8% DEN 29.0% −25.8%
3P Att. %	26 38.6% 30 35.6%	NOP 31.2% DEN 43.0% +11.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Game Totals	NOP	DEN
Possessions	105	103
Possession Minutes	24.4	23.6
Points	119	144
Rebounds	38	51
Assists	26	40
Steals	5	9
Blocks	3	4
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	7 (2)
Fouls	10	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (3)	13 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (1)	38 (1)
Field Goals	43-93	57-100
At-the-Rim FG	11-13	25-28
Midrange FG	22-51	16-29
2-Point FG	33-64	41-57
3-Point FG	10-29	16-43
Free Throws	23-26	14-15
Fast Break Pts	18	37
2nd Chance Pts	19	21
Points in Paint	58	74
Pts off Turnovers	18	19
Bench Points	25	27
Biggest Lead	4	27

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg