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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 5, 2025
7:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Heat44%109108
1776ers56%112101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.2
20.7
21.2
3
30%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
56%
1-3
33%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 27.6
33.5
34.9
18
53%
13
4
0
1
0
7
8
5
1-2
50%
7-13
6-11
54%
55%
1-3
33%
Kel'el Ware
C · 7'0" 230 · 20.8
18.8
30.0
0
0%
13
1
0
1
0
2
1
12
0-0
-
0-3
4-7
0%
59%
0-0
-
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 30.8
20.2
20.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
58%
0-3
0%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 25.0
36.4
35.1
30
69%
7
7
2
1
0
7
1
6
3-4
75%
6-9
4-8
67%
52%
5-11
45%
Nikola Jović
F · 6'10" 205 · 21.7
36.6
31.3
23
103%
5
7
0
1
1
3
0
5
4-5
80%
5-5
2-4
100%
54%
3-4
75%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 30.9
27.4
28.6
20
56%
5
2
0
1
0
0
2
3
1-2
50%
5-10
3-6
50%
50%
3-7
43%
Pelle Larsson
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.0
21.7
4.2
5
87%
2
1
1
0
2
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
54%
1-1
100%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
G · 6'7" 225 · 24.0
17.6
20.5
9
49%
6
2
0
1
1
1
1
5
5-5
100%
2-5
3-5
40%
54%
0-2
0%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 36.4
7.0
2.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 33.5
12.0
0
1-1
42%
Keshad Johnson
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.6
1.4
0
0-0
52%
Josh Christopher
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.2
1.1
0
0-0
53%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 31.4
Isaiah Stevens
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.3
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 35.4
Dru Smith
G · 6'3" 203 · 27.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Justin Edwards
F · 6'8" 203 · 21.1
24.0
34.2
8
45%
4
3
0
1
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
57%
1-4
25%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 34.8
32.4
22.0
9
41%
1
2
3
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-5
3-6
0%
51%
3-6
50%
Guerschon Yabusele
F · 6'8" 260 · 29.1
30.5
32.3
9
51%
9
2
2
1
1
2
2
7
2-2
100%
2-6
4-6
33%
61%
1-2
50%
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 29.2
40.3
38.6
15
42%
11
0
2
1
1
0
3
8
2-4
50%
5-11
5-10
45%
54%
1-5
20%
Tyrese Maxey
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.3
38.2
38.3
31
51%
3
5
4
1
0
1
0
3
6-6
100%
8-17
7-12
47%
53%
3-11
27%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 36.1
26.4
12.4
5
28%
3
5
1
0
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
52%
1-5
20%
Adem Bona
F · 6'10" 235 · 21.9
17.5
11.5
11
81%
5
0
1
0
0
0
3
2
3-4
75%
4-5
1-2
80%
59%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 38.9
13.8
11.1
3
26%
2
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
0-1
50%
51%
0-3
0%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 34.8
12.2
14.0
10
125%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
47%
2-2
100%
Ricky Council IV
G · 6'6" 207 · 23.5
4.8
22.6
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-5
-
53%
0-2
0%
Pete Nance
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.0
Joel Embiid
C · 7'0" 250 · 30.9
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 31.5
Jared McCain
G · 6'3" 195 · 21.0
Jeff Dowtin Jr.
G · 6'3" 177 · 27.7
KJ Martin
F · 6'6" 215 · 24.1
Quentin Grimes
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.