Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, February 5, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	4	Grizzlies	77%	120	138	140.8	98	97.0
	27	Raptors	23%	110	107	108.1	99	100.0

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+26

-16

108

TOR

+20

-9

110

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.28 63.9%

TOR

0.97 48.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

4 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 25	28.1	32	80%	5	4	0	1	1	1	3	2	8-9	89%	6-11	55%	4-5	80%
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 25	25.5	26	76%	5	4	2	0	5	4	0	5	5-6	83%	6-7	86%	3-7	43%
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 23	24.7	13	108%	15	2	0	2	1	3	6	9	3-4	75%	5-5	100%	0-0	-
Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 29	22.5	5	36%	4	3	0	0	1	0	1	3	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-5	20%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 21	21.4	7	58%	4	1	1	0	1	2	0	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-4	25%

GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 20	20.5	17	85%	6	1	0	0	2	1	5	1	6-7	86%	4-5	80%	1-3	33%
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 28	19.2	13	81%	5	0	1	1	0	2	2	3	3-4	75%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 24	18.1	6	38%	4	2	1	0	0	1	2	2	1-3	33%	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 31
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 24	13.5	12	100%	5	0	0	0	4	3	1	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	4-5	80%
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 24
Jake LaRavia #3 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 23	4.5	0	0%	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0-2	0%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 29	3.7	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Yuki Kawamura #17 · PG · 5'7" 159 · 24	3.7	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 27	3.7	3	75%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Zyon Pullin #2 · SG · 6'4" 206 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; Surgery Recovery
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	138	64%	61	22	7	5	16	19	24	37	28-38	74%	31-51	61%	16-38	42%

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4 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 25	28.1	32	80%	5	4	0	1	1	1	3	2	8-9	89%	6-11	55%	4-5	80%
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 25	25.5	26	76%	5	4	2	0	5	4	0	5	5-6	83%	6-7	86%	3-7	43%
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 23	24.7	13	108%	15	2	0	2	1	3	6	9	3-4	75%	5-5	100%	0-0	-
Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 29	22.5	5	36%	4	3	0	0	1	0	1	3	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-5	20%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 21	21.4	7	58%	4	1	1	0	1	2	0	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-4	25%

GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 20	20.5	17	85%	6	1	0	0	2	1	5	1	6-7	86%	4-5	80%	1-3	33%
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 28	19.2	13	81%	5	0	1	1	0	2	2	3	3-4	75%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 24	18.1	6	38%	4	2	1	0	0	1	2	2	1-3	33%	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 31
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 24	13.5	12	100%	5	0	0	0	4	3	1	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	4-5	80%
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 24
Jake LaRavia #3 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 23	4.5	0	0%	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0-2	0%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 29	3.7	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Yuki Kawamura #17 · PG · 5'7" 159 · 24	3.7	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 27	3.7	3	75%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Zyon Pullin #2 · SG · 6'4" 206 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; Surgery Recovery
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	138	64%	61	22	7	5	16	19	24	37	28-38	74%	31-51	61%	16-38	42%

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27 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Scottie Barnes #4 · PF · 6'8" 237 · 24	31.9	11	29%	2	9	2	3	1	2	0	2	3-3	100%	4-11	36%	0-7	0%
Gradey Dick #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 21	31.7	13	36%	7	0	1	0	3	4	3	4	2-2	100%	4-10	40%	1-7	14%
Jamal Shead #23 · PG · 6'1" 200 · 23	30.5	14	64%	0	4	1	0	2	2	0	0	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	2-5	40%
Ja'Kobe Walter #14 · SF · 6'4" 180 · 20	28.2	14	58%	3	3	2	0	1	4	1	2	3-3	100%	4-7	57%	1-4	25%
Kelly Olynyk #41 · C · 7'0" 240 · 34	24.8	9	38%	7	2	1	0	0	5	3	4	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	1-5	20%

Ochai Agbaji #30 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 25	21.9	14	100%	3	2	2	0	0	1	2	1	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	3-4	75%
Jonathan Mogbo #2 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	18.6	10	63%	6	2	0	0	0	3	3	3	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-3	67%
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 28	18.1	8	40%	3	1	1	0	0	1	1	2	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	0-3	0%
Davion Mitchell #45 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 26	17.5	10	100%	1	5	1	0	2	3	0	1	1-1	100%	3-3	100%	1-2	50%
Jamison Battle #77 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 24	14.1	3	75%	2	0	0	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Orlando Robinson #21 · C · 6'10" 235 · 25	2.8	1	50%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Chris Boucher #25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Garrett Temple #17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 39	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ulrich Chomche #22 · PF · 6'11" 235 · 19	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
A.J. Lawson #0 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Strain - Injury Management
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Pointer
RJ Barrett #9 · SG · 6'6" 214 · 25	Inactive – Concussion Protocol
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	49%	34	28	11	3	9	29	14	20	17-19	89%	27-56	48%	12-42	29%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	TOR
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	TOR

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.28 63.9%

TOR

0.97 48.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

79%

TOR

71%

Midrange

MEM

44%

TOR

31%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

24.0

42%

63%

TOR

18.0

29%

43%

Free Throws

MEM

74%

TOR

89%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Jackson	32	80%	16.0 / 20
J. Morant	26	76%	13.0 / 17
G. Jackson	17	85%	8.5 / 10
Z. Edey	13	108%	6.5 / 6
B. Clarke	13	81%	6.5 / 8
S. Pippen	12	100%	6.0 / 6
J. Wells	7	58%	3.5 / 6
S. Aldama	6	38%	3.0 / 8
L. Kennard	5	36%	2.5 / 7
V. Williams	4	40%	2.0 / 5
J. Huff	3	75%	1.5 / 2
M. Smart	0	-	0.0 / 6
J. LaRavia	0	-	0.0 / 2
Y. Kawamura	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Shead	14	64%	7.0 / 11
J. Walter	14	58%	7.0 / 12
O. Agbaji	14	100%	7.0 / 7
G. Dick	13	36%	6.5 / 18
S. Barnes	11	29%	5.5 / 19
J. Mogbo	10	63%	5.0 / 8
D. Mitchell	10	100%	5.0 / 5
K. Olynyk	9	38%	4.5 / 12
B. Brown	8	40%	4.0 / 10
J. Battle	3	75%	1.5 / 2
O. Robinson	1	50%	0.5 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	6 117.2 26 109.5	MEM 140.8 +32.7 TOR 108.1
Pace	1 103.7 9 100.6	MEM 97.0 TOR 100.0 +3.0
Avg. Poss. Time	28 13.4 27 13.8	MEM 14.8 TOR 14.4 −0.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	12 55.4% 24 52.2%	MEM 61.8% +15.9% TOR 45.9%
TO %	25 14.4% 26 14.5%	MEM 14.5% TOR 8.6% −5.9%
ORB %	3 28.7% 4 27.3%	MEM 54.5% +27.0% TOR 27.5%
FTrt	10 24.9 25 23.2	MEM 42.7 +23.3 TOR 19.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	15 63.5% 2 68.5%	MEM 46.8% TOR 71.8% +25.0%
STL %	7 8.5% 18 8.0%	MEM 7.1% TOR 11.1% +4.0%
BLK %	3 10.8% 27 8.4%	MEM 8.9% +3.0% TOR 5.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.1 and 2.1.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	10 57.4% 25 53.8%	MEM 63.9% +15.3% TOR 48.6%
Rim FG%	11 65.3% 28 60.2%	MEM 79.2% +8.4% TOR 70.8%
Mid FG%	9 45.4% 21 41.5%	MEM 44.4% +13.1% TOR 31.3%
3P %	12 36.7% 23 34.8%	MEM 42.1% +13.5% TOR 28.6%
FT %	12 78.6% 29 74.8%	MEM 73.7% TOR 89.5% +15.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	22 30.5% 3 36.2%	MEM 27.0% +2.5% TOR 24.5%
Mid Att. %	26 29.0% 17 26.5%	MEM 30.3% −2.3% TOR 32.7%
3P Att. %	20 40.6% 29 37.3%	MEM 42.7% TOR 42.9% +0.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MEM	TOR
Possessions	98	99
Possession Minutes	24.2	23.8
Points	138	107
Rebounds	61	34
Assists	22	28
Steals	7	11
Blocks	5	3
Turnovers (Team)	16 (2)	9 (1)
Fouls	19	29
Off. Rebounds (Team)	24 (2)	14 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	37 (3)	20 (1)
Field Goals	47-89	39-98
At-the-Rim FG	19-24	17-24
Midrange FG	12-27	10-32
2-Point FG	31-51	27-56
3-Point FG	16-38	12-42
Free Throws	28-38	17-19
Fast Break Pts	14	13
2nd Chance Pts	26	17
Points in Paint	60	46
Pts off Turnovers	9	15
Bench Points	55	46
Biggest Lead	31	10

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg