Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, February 7, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	26	Raptors	10%	103	109	114.7	95	96.4
	1	Thunder	90%	122	121	123.5	98	96.6

Scoring Opportunities

TOR

+17

-12

100

OKC

+13

-12

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR

1.09 54.5%

OKC

1.22 61.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

26 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Scottie Barnes #4 · PF · 6'8" 237 · 24	34.4	21	50%	5	4	3	4	5	1	2	3	1-2	50%	4-14	29%	4-6	67%
Ochai Agbaji #30 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25	29.8	8	33%	8	1	2	0	0	1	2	6	3-4	75%	1-3	33%	1-7	14%
Jonathan Mogbo #2 · C · 6'9" 225 · 23	27.9	10	63%	4	3	2	0	0	4	0	4	0-0	-	2-6	33%	2-2	100%
Gradey Dick #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 21	27.8	17	71%	7	1	0	1	1	2	3	4	5-6	83%	3-6	50%	2-3	67%
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 26	27.5	6	50%	4	10	0	0	5	3	2	2	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-3	33%

Ja'Kobe Walter #14 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 20	22.5	12	67%	2	1	1	1	1	2	1	1	0-1	0%	3-4	75%	2-5	40%
Jamal Shead #23 · PG · 6'1" 200 · 23	22.5	7	32%	3	6	0	0	0	5	0	3	0-2	0%	2-7	29%	1-3	33%
Orlando Robinson #21 · C · 6'10" 235 · 25	17.3	6	43%	5	4	0	0	0	1	3	2	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Chris Boucher #25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 32	15.3	11	61%	2	0	0	0	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-7	43%
Jamison Battle #77 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 24	14.9	11	110%	2	1	1	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-4	75%
Garrett Temple #17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 39	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Pointer
Ulrich Chomche #22 · PF · 6'11" 235 · 19	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
A.J. Lawson #0 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Brandon Ingram #3 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
P.J. Tucker #17 · SF · 6'6" 245 · 40	Inactive - Not With Team
RJ Barrett #9 · SG · 6'6" 214 · 25	Inactive – Concussion Protocol
James Wiseman #13 · C · 6'11" 240 · 24	INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	55%	42	31	9	6	12	24	14	28	12-19	63%	20-50	40%	19-41	46%

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26 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Scottie Barnes #4 · PF · 6'8" 237 · 24	34.4	21	50%	5	4	3	4	5	1	2	3	1-2	50%	4-14	29%	4-6	67%
Ochai Agbaji #30 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25	29.8	8	33%	8	1	2	0	0	1	2	6	3-4	75%	1-3	33%	1-7	14%
Jonathan Mogbo #2 · C · 6'9" 225 · 23	27.9	10	63%	4	3	2	0	0	4	0	4	0-0	-	2-6	33%	2-2	100%
Gradey Dick #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 21	27.8	17	71%	7	1	0	1	1	2	3	4	5-6	83%	3-6	50%	2-3	67%
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 26	27.5	6	50%	4	10	0	0	5	3	2	2	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-3	33%

Ja'Kobe Walter #14 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 20	22.5	12	67%	2	1	1	1	1	2	1	1	0-1	0%	3-4	75%	2-5	40%
Jamal Shead #23 · PG · 6'1" 200 · 23	22.5	7	32%	3	6	0	0	0	5	0	3	0-2	0%	2-7	29%	1-3	33%
Orlando Robinson #21 · C · 6'10" 235 · 25	17.3	6	43%	5	4	0	0	0	1	3	2	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Chris Boucher #25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 32	15.3	11	61%	2	0	0	0	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-7	43%
Jamison Battle #77 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 24	14.9	11	110%	2	1	1	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-4	75%
Garrett Temple #17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 39	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Pointer
Ulrich Chomche #22 · PF · 6'11" 235 · 19	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
A.J. Lawson #0 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Brandon Ingram #3 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
P.J. Tucker #17 · SF · 6'6" 245 · 40	Inactive - Not With Team
RJ Barrett #9 · SG · 6'6" 214 · 25	Inactive – Concussion Protocol
James Wiseman #13 · C · 6'11" 240 · 24	INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	55%	42	31	9	6	12	24	14	28	12-19	63%	20-50	40%	19-41	46%

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1 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 26	33.2	18	56%	3	2	1	1	0	0	1	2	3-3	100%	6-9	67%	1-5	20%
Jalen Williams #8 · SF · 6'5" 211 · 24	33.2	27	61%	5	4	0	0	3	1	1	4	8-10	80%	8-16	50%	1-3	33%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 27	29.1	25	78%	4	6	1	0	2	1	1	3	14-14	100%	4-6	67%	1-6	17%
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 27	26.0	12	75%	6	2	2	0	1	2	1	5	0-2	0%	6-7	86%	0-0	-
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 23	22.0	4	40%	5	1	2	4	1	3	0	5	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%

Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 26	25.2	16	114%	2	1	0	0	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	4-5	80%
Alex Caruso #9 · PG · 6'5" 186 · 31	20.3	12	86%	6	4	3	1	0	2	1	5	0-0	-	3-3	100%	2-4	50%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	17.4	4	40%	6	3	0	1	2	2	2	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-3	0%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 30	16.7	0	0%	3	2	0	0	1	0	2	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-3	0%
Dillon Jones #3 · SF · 6'5" 235 · 23	9.0	1	17%	2	1	1	0	0	1	0	2	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Alex Ducas #88 · SG · 6'7" 220 · 24	4.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Adam Flagler #14 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 25	1.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Branden Carlson #15 · C · 7'0" 220 · 26	1.8	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Luguentz Dort #5 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Spasms
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Sprain
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Strain
Ousmane Dieng #13 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Soleus; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	61%	44	26	10	7	12	14	11	33	26-31	84%	34-53	64%	9-31	29%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	OKC
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	OKC

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

TOR

1.09 54.5%

OKC

1.22 61.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

TOR

40%

OKC

69%

Midrange

TOR

40%

OKC

56%

3PT | Effective 3PT

TOR

28.5

46%

70%

OKC

13.5

29%

44%

Free Throws

TOR

63%

OKC

84%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Barnes	21	50%	10.5 / 21
G. Dick	17	71%	8.5 / 12
J. Walter	12	67%	6.0 / 9
C. Boucher	11	61%	5.5 / 9
J. Battle	11	110%	5.5 / 5
J. Mogbo	10	63%	5.0 / 8
O. Agbaji	8	33%	4.0 / 12
J. Shead	7	32%	3.5 / 11
I. Quickley	6	50%	3.0 / 6
O. Robinson	6	43%	3.0 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Williams	27	61%	13.5 / 22
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	25	78%	12.5 / 16
A. Wiggins	18	56%	9.0 / 16
I. Joe	16	114%	8.0 / 7
I. Hartenstein	12	75%	6.0 / 8
A. Caruso	12	86%	6.0 / 7
C. Holmgren	4	40%	2.0 / 5
J. Williams	4	40%	2.0 / 5
B. Carlson	2	100%	1.0 / 1
D. Jones	1	17%	0.5 / 3
K. Williams	0	-	0.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	26 109.5 3 119.2	TOR 114.7 OKC 123.5 +8.7
Pace	9 100.6 5 100.9	TOR 96.4 OKC 96.6 +0.3
Avg. Poss. Time	27 13.8 25 13.9	TOR 14.9 OKC 14.9 −0.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	24 52.2% 7 56.0%	TOR 53.3% OKC 56.5% +3.2%
TO %	26 14.5% 1 10.9%	TOR 10.8% −0.1% OKC 10.9%
ORB %	4 27.3% 21 24.2%	TOR 29.8% +1.6% OKC 28.2%
FTrt	25 23.2 28 22.0	TOR 20.9 OKC 36.9 +16.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 68.5% 26 60.2%	TOR 79.5% +19.0% OKC 60.5%
STL %	18 8.0% 1 10.2%	TOR 9.5% OKC 10.2% +0.7%
BLK %	27 8.4% 2 11.9%	TOR 11.3% OKC 14.0% +2.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.52 and 2.52.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	25 53.8% 4 57.9%	TOR 54.5% OKC 61.1% +6.6%
Rim FG%	28 60.2% 10 65.7%	TOR 40.0% OKC 68.6% +28.6%
Mid FG%	21 41.5% 7 45.7%	TOR 40.0% OKC 55.6% +15.6%
3P %	23 34.8% 6 37.4%	TOR 46.3% +17.3% OKC 29.0%
FT %	29 74.8% 1 81.9%	TOR 63.2% OKC 83.9% +20.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	3 36.2% 26 29.5%	TOR 33.0% OKC 41.7% +8.7%
Mid Att. %	17 26.5% 25 28.6%	TOR 22.0% OKC 21.4% −0.5%
3P Att. %	29 37.3% 16 41.9%	TOR 45.1% +8.2% OKC 36.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	TOR	OKC
Possessions	95	98
Possession Minutes	23.7	24.3
Points	109	121
Rebounds	42	44
Assists	31	26
Steals	9	10
Blocks	6	7
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	12 (0)
Fouls	24	14
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (3)	11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (3)	33 (5)
Field Goals	39-91	43-84
At-the-Rim FG	12-30	24-35
Midrange FG	8-20	10-18
2-Point FG	20-50	34-53
3-Point FG	19-41	9-31
Free Throws	12-19	26-31
Fast Break Pts	8	15
2nd Chance Pts	14	21
Points in Paint	34	60
Pts off Turnovers	7	14
Bench Points	47	35
Biggest Lead	3	22

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg