Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Spurs35%114109
4Grizzlies65%120128
Updated: Feb 4, 2025 12:47 AM
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephon Castle
G · 6'6" 215 · 20.3
28.1
26.8
21
57%
6
5
1
1
0
5
1
5
1-3
33%
7-12
4-8
58%
49%
2-5
40%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 32.7
27.0
26.2
4
67%
5
0
0
0
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
2-2
2-5
100%
54%
0-1
0%
Victor Wembanyama
F-C · 7'4" 210 · 21.1
31.1
31.2
27
58%
10
5
2
1
2
4
2
8
5-7
71%
8-14
5-10
57%
56%
2-6
33%
Devin Vassell
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 24.4
33.8
31.2
11
37%
3
3
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
4-9
4-8
44%
52%
1-6
17%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 39.7
28.5
27.5
3
38%
4
8
2
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
52%
1-3
33%
Keldon Johnson
F · 6'6" 211 · 25.3
24.1
24.0
7
36%
2
3
0
1
0
1
2
0
4-4
100%
0-3
4-7
0%
53%
1-5
20%
Jeremy Sochan
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.7
21.4
21.0
14
78%
8
3
1
1
0
3
3
5
0-0
-
4-7
3-5
57%
52%
2-2
100%
Julian Champagnie
F · 6'7" 217 · 23.6
20.0
16.6
5
42%
5
0
1
0
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
54%
1-5
20%
Charles Bassey
C-F · 6'10" 230 · 24.3
6.7
13.0
4
52%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
60%
0-0
-
Blake Wesley
G · 6'5" 185 · 21.9
5.9
2.5
4
106%
0
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
0-0
100%
49%
0-0
-
Sandro Mamukelashvili
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 25.7
3.8
7.2
9
116%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
1-1
100%
58%
2-2
100%
Harrison Ingram
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.2
3.8
4.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-1
0%
David Duke Jr.
G · 6'4" 204 · 25.3
3.8
3.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Malaki Branham
F · 6'5" 180 · 21.7
2.0
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Riley Minix
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.4
Jordan McLaughlin
G · 6'1" 185 · 28.8
0.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
0-0
0-0
De'Aaron Fox
G · 6'3" 175 · 27.1
0.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
0-0
0-0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jaylen Wells
F · 6'8" 205 · 21.4
21.9
27.9
2
33%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
55%
0-2
0%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F · 6'11" 242 · 25.4
30.9
31.6
31
62%
6
3
1
1
3
2
1
5
8-9
89%
7-12
7-12
58%
55%
3-9
33%
Zach Edey
C · 7'4" 305 · 22.7
25.2
18.6
16
62%
14
1
3
0
1
1
5
9
2-2
100%
7-11
3-5
64%
62%
0-1
0%
Luke Kennard
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.6
21.9
27.4
2
17%
1
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
50%
0-3
0%
Ja Morant
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.5
29.1
27.8
25
65%
3
11
3
1
0
4
1
2
3-3
100%
5-12
5-10
42%
53%
4-6
67%
GG Jackson
F · 6'9" 210 · 20.1
28.3
15.5
27
66%
4
1
3
0
0
4
0
4
1-1
100%
7-11
2-3
64%
52%
4-9
44%
Jake LaRavia
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.3
24.1
13.4
6
61%
7
3
4
1
0
0
3
4
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
1-2
50%
Scotty Pippen Jr.
G · 6'3" 170 · 24.2
21.9
19.1
11
59%
1
5
2
1
1
1
0
1
3-3
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
54%
0-2
0%
Santi Aldama
F-C · 6'11" 215 · 24.1
21.2
24.2
6
50%
6
1
0
1
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
0-4
3-6
0%
58%
2-2
100%
John Konchar
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.9
11.9
5.5
2
100%
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
57%
0-0
-
Yuki Kawamura
G · 5'8" 159 · 23.8
2.0
1.6
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
53%
0-0
-
Zyon Pullin
G · 6'4" 206 · 23.9
0.8
2.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Jay Huff
F · 7'1" 240 · 27.4
0.8
2.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
69%
0-0
-
Vince Williams Jr.
G · 6'6" 205 · 24.4
Desmond Bane
G · 6'6" 215 · 26.6
Cam Spencer
G · 6'4" 205 · 24.8
Brandon Clarke
F · 6'8" 207 · 28.4
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 30.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.