Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, February 2, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	6	Grizzlies	52%	119	132	128.2	103	106.4
	10	Bucks	48%	118	119	116.7	102	98.8

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+28

-11

120

MIL

+12

-13

101

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.10 55.0%

MIL

1.18 58.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

6 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 25	33.2	37	60%	5	2	0	1	4	4	0	5	6-10	60%	5-13	38%	7-13	54%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 21	30.9	6	50%	2	4	1	0	0	1	2	0	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-3	0%
Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 29	29.6	8	50%	3	8	1	0	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-5	20%	2-3	67%
Desmond Bane #22 · PG · 6'6" 215 · 27	28.5	22	69%	9	3	0	0	1	2	4	5	3-3	100%	8-12	67%	1-3	33%
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 23	18.6	14	70%	11	3	0	1	1	0	6	5	2-2	100%	6-9	67%	0-1	0%

Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 24	25.7	23	64%	8	3	1	1	0	0	3	5	2-2	100%	6-8	75%	3-9	33%
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 24	23.0	9	45%	5	10	4	1	1	2	0	5	1-5	20%	4-6	67%	0-2	0%
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 28	18.9	6	43%	4	1	0	0	1	4	2	2	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-0	-
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 20	17.1	5	36%	8	2	0	1	0	1	2	6	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-5	20%
Jake LaRavia #3 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 23	14.6	2	33%	6	1	2	0	2	1	2	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Zyon Pullin #2 · SG · 6'4" 206 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Yuki Kawamura #17 · PG · 5'7" 159 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; Surgery Recovery
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Soreness
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Index Finger; Partial Extensor Hood Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	132	55%	61	37	9	5	11	15	22	39	14-22	64%	38-68	56%	14-39	36%

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6 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 25	33.2	37	60%	5	2	0	1	4	4	0	5	6-10	60%	5-13	38%	7-13	54%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 21	30.9	6	50%	2	4	1	0	0	1	2	0	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-3	0%
Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 29	29.6	8	50%	3	8	1	0	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-5	20%	2-3	67%
Desmond Bane #22 · PG · 6'6" 215 · 27	28.5	22	69%	9	3	0	0	1	2	4	5	3-3	100%	8-12	67%	1-3	33%
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 23	18.6	14	70%	11	3	0	1	1	0	6	5	2-2	100%	6-9	67%	0-1	0%

Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 24	25.7	23	64%	8	3	1	1	0	0	3	5	2-2	100%	6-8	75%	3-9	33%
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 24	23.0	9	45%	5	10	4	1	1	2	0	5	1-5	20%	4-6	67%	0-2	0%
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 28	18.9	6	43%	4	1	0	0	1	4	2	2	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-0	-
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 20	17.1	5	36%	8	2	0	1	0	1	2	6	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-5	20%
Jake LaRavia #3 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 23	14.6	2	33%	6	1	2	0	2	1	2	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Zyon Pullin #2 · SG · 6'4" 206 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Yuki Kawamura #17 · PG · 5'7" 159 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; Surgery Recovery
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Soreness
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Index Finger; Partial Extensor Hood Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	132	55%	61	37	9	5	11	15	22	39	14-22	64%	38-68	56%	14-39	36%

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10 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 35	37.2	15	42%	3	9	0	0	3	2	0	3	5-6	83%	2-7	29%	2-8	25%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 30	37.2	30	63%	11	7	2	1	4	3	4	7	0-6	0%	12-18	67%	2-3	67%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 37	31.8	15	50%	2	2	1	2	1	5	1	1	0-0	-	3-8	38%	3-7	43%
Taurean Prince #12 · SF · 6'6" 218 · 31	30.6	13	72%	7	5	1	0	1	2	1	6	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	3-7	43%
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 23	14.1	5	63%	4	1	0	0	1	3	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%

AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 25	28.1	14	88%	3	1	2	0	0	2	1	2	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	3-6	50%
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 33	26.1	20	91%	2	4	1	1	3	3	0	2	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	4-5	80%
Gary Trent Jr. #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 26	16.2	0	0%	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
Ryan Rollins #13 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 23	10.8	4	33%	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	1-3	33%
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 32	8.0	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
MarJon Beauchamp #3 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chris Livingston #7 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
AJ Johnson #77 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Delon Wright #55 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tyler Smith #21 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Stanley Umude #17 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Liam Robbins #15 · C · 7'0" 250 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	59%	36	32	7	5	13	21	8	28	11-19	58%	24-46	52%	20-45	44%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	MIL
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	MIL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.10 55.0%

MIL

1.18 58.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

58%

MIL

71%

Midrange

MEM

53%

MIL

36%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

21.0

36%

54%

MIL

30.0

44%

67%

Free Throws

MEM

64%

MIL

58%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Jackson	37	60%	18.5 / 31
S. Aldama	23	64%	11.5 / 18
D. Bane	22	69%	11.0 / 16
Z. Edey	14	70%	7.0 / 10
S. Pippen	9	45%	4.5 / 10
L. Kennard	8	50%	4.0 / 8
J. Wells	6	50%	3.0 / 6
B. Clarke	6	43%	3.0 / 7
G. Jackson	5	36%	2.5 / 7
J. LaRavia	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo	30	63%	15.0 / 24
K. Middleton	20	91%	10.0 / 11
D. Lillard	15	42%	7.5 / 18
B. Lopez	15	50%	7.5 / 15
A. Green	14	88%	7.0 / 8
T. Prince	13	72%	6.5 / 9
A. Jackson	5	63%	2.5 / 4
R. Rollins	4	33%	2.0 / 6
P. Connaughton	3	150%	1.5 / 1
G. Trent	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	6 117.2 10 115.2	MEM 128.2 +11.5 MIL 116.7
Pace	1 103.7 14 99.9	MEM 106.4 +7.5 MIL 98.8
Avg. Poss. Time	28 13.4 14 14.6	MEM 13.5 −1.0 MIL 14.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	12 55.4% 3 56.8%	MEM 55.1% MIL 59.3% +4.2%
TO %	25 14.4% 7 12.7%	MEM 9.3% −2.3% MIL 11.6%
ORB %	3 28.7% 30 19.3%	MEM 44.0% +27.0% MIL 17.0%
FTrt	10 24.9 3 26.8	MEM 20.6 MIL 20.9 +0.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	15 63.5% 23 60.7%	MEM 71.2% MIL 72.7% +1.5%
STL %	7 8.5% 27 7.3%	MEM 8.7% +1.8% MIL 6.9%
BLK %	3 10.8% 20 9.1%	MEM 10.9% +3.5% MIL 7.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	10 57.4% 3 58.6%	MEM 55.0% MIL 58.9% +3.9%
Rim FG%	11 65.3% 5 66.9%	MEM 58.3% MIL 71.4% +13.1%
Mid FG%	9 45.4% 13 44.1%	MEM 53.1% +17.1% MIL 36.0%
3P %	12 36.7% 1 38.7%	MEM 35.9% MIL 44.4% +8.5%
FT %	12 78.6% 28 75.0%	MEM 63.6% +5.7% MIL 57.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	22 30.5% 24 30.0%	MEM 33.6% +10.6% MIL 23.1%
Mid Att. %	26 29.0% 21 27.5%	MEM 29.9% MIL 27.5% −2.4%
3P Att. %	20 40.6% 15 42.4%	MEM 36.4% MIL 49.5% +13.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MEM	MIL
Possessions	103	102
Possession Minutes	23.2	24.8
Points	132	119
Rebounds	61	36
Assists	37	32
Steals	9	7
Blocks	5	5
Turnovers (Team)	11 (1)	13 (0)
Fouls	15	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	22 (6)	8 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	39 (0)	28 (2)
Field Goals	52-107	44-91
At-the-Rim FG	21-36	15-21
Midrange FG	17-32	9-25
2-Point FG	38-68	24-46
3-Point FG	14-39	20-45
Free Throws	14-22	11-19
Fast Break Pts	14	8
2nd Chance Pts	22	20
Points in Paint	66	36
Pts off Turnovers	18	15
Bench Points	45	41
Biggest Lead	13	10

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg