Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, February 3, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	30	Wizards	34%	108	124	120.4	103	97.9
	27	Hornets	66%	114	114	112.9	101	106.6

Scoring Opportunities

WAS

+19

-10

112

CHA

+12

-10

103

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.11 55.4%

CHA

1.10 54.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

30 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SG · 6'7" 195 · 21	37.3	26	68%	5	3	2	0	0	2	0	5	4-5	80%	5-8	63%	4-8	50%
Jordan Poole #13 · PG · 6'4" 194 · 26	31.6	6	27%	3	6	1	2	3	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-3	0%	2-8	25%
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 30	30.6	22	50%	4	2	1	0	2	1	1	3	3-3	100%	5-8	63%	3-13	23%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	28.7	14	47%	17	4	0	0	1	4	8	9	2-3	67%	6-13	46%	0-1	0%
Kyshawn George #18 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	18.2	6	75%	4	1	0	1	0	4	2	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%

Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 26	28.6	25	89%	4	4	1	0	2	4	2	2	2-2	100%	4-4	100%	5-9	56%
Malcolm Brogdon #15 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 32	21.6	16	62%	4	7	0	0	2	1	1	3	8-10	80%	4-7	57%	0-2	0%
Richaun Holmes #22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 31	18.7	0	0%	10	1	0	0	0	3	3	7	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 24	12.5	5	83%	2	0	1	2	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Bub Carrington #8 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 20	12.3	4	33%	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-3	0%
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #7 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jared Butler #4 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Alex Sarr #20 · PF · 7'0" 205 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Saddiq Bey #14 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; ACL surgery
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	55%	54	29	6	5	10	21	18	36	19-23	83%	27-48	56%	17-51	33%

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30 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SG · 6'7" 195 · 21	37.3	26	68%	5	3	2	0	0	2	0	5	4-5	80%	5-8	63%	4-8	50%
Jordan Poole #13 · PG · 6'4" 194 · 26	31.6	6	27%	3	6	1	2	3	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-3	0%	2-8	25%
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 30	30.6	22	50%	4	2	1	0	2	1	1	3	3-3	100%	5-8	63%	3-13	23%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	28.7	14	47%	17	4	0	0	1	4	8	9	2-3	67%	6-13	46%	0-1	0%
Kyshawn George #18 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	18.2	6	75%	4	1	0	1	0	4	2	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%

Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 26	28.6	25	89%	4	4	1	0	2	4	2	2	2-2	100%	4-4	100%	5-9	56%
Malcolm Brogdon #15 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 32	21.6	16	62%	4	7	0	0	2	1	1	3	8-10	80%	4-7	57%	0-2	0%
Richaun Holmes #22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 31	18.7	0	0%	10	1	0	0	0	3	3	7	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 24	12.5	5	83%	2	0	1	2	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Bub Carrington #8 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 20	12.3	4	33%	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-3	0%
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #7 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jared Butler #4 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Alex Sarr #20 · PF · 7'0" 205 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Saddiq Bey #14 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; ACL surgery
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	55%	54	29	6	5	10	21	18	36	19-23	83%	27-48	56%	17-51	33%

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27 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nick Smith Jr. #8 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 21	38.9	24	71%	4	2	1	0	2	4	1	3	2-2	100%	5-9	56%	4-7	57%
Josh Green #10 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 24	36.9	11	69%	3	1	2	0	1	3	0	3	2-3	67%	3-4	75%	1-3	33%
Miles Bridges #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 27	36.7	24	52%	10	10	0	0	2	0	3	7	4-4	100%	7-14	50%	2-7	29%
Mark Williams #5 · C · 7'1" 240 · 23	32.1	23	72%	14	2	1	1	0	2	2	12	9-10	90%	7-12	58%	0-0	-
Vasilije Micić #22 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 31	28.5	13	43%	3	5	0	0	0	1	0	3	2-2	100%	1-10	10%	3-4	75%

KJ Simpson #25 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 22	24.2	9	41%	4	1	0	0	1	3	1	3	3-3	100%	3-6	50%	0-4	0%
Moussa Diabaté #14 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 23	16.4	5	63%	7	1	0	0	1	1	2	5	3-4	75%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
DaQuan Jeffries #3 · SG · 6'5" 222 · 27	11.9	2	25%	1	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Seth Curry #30 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 34	9.0	0	0%	0	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Isaiah Wong #21 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 24	5.5	3	75%	0	1	0	0	2	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Taj Gibson #67 · PF · 6'9" 232 · 40	DNP – Coach's Decision
Grant Williams #2 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Acl; Repair
Cody Martin #11 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/A; Sports Hernia
Brandon Miller #24 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Ligament Repair
Josh Okogie #12 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Disc; Irritation
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Tidjane Salaün #31 · PF · 6'10" 207 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	55%	46	26	4	1	10	17	9	37	25-28	89%	28-60	47%	11-29	38%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	CHA
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	CHA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.11 55.4%

CHA

1.10 54.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

79%

CHA

68%

Midrange

WAS

25%

CHA

28%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

25.5

33%

50%

CHA

16.5

38%

57%

Free Throws

WAS

83%

CHA

89%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Coulibaly	26	68%	13.0 / 19
C. Kispert	25	89%	12.5 / 14
K. Kuzma	22	50%	11.0 / 22
M. Brogdon	16	62%	8.0 / 13
J. Valančiūnas	14	47%	7.0 / 15
J. Poole	6	27%	3.0 / 11
K. George	6	75%	3.0 / 4
J. Champagnie	5	83%	2.5 / 3
B. Carrington	4	33%	2.0 / 6
R. Holmes	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Hornets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Smith	24	71%	12.0 / 17
M. Bridges	24	52%	12.0 / 23
M. Williams	23	72%	11.5 / 16
V. Micić	13	43%	6.5 / 15
J. Green	11	69%	5.5 / 8
K. Simpson	9	41%	4.5 / 11
M. Diabaté	5	63%	2.5 / 4
I. Wong	3	75%	1.5 / 2
D. Jeffries	2	25%	1.0 / 4
S. Curry	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	30 105.8 29 106.7	WAS 120.4 +7.5 CHA 112.9
Pace	4 101.8 23 98.2	WAS 97.9 CHA 106.6 +8.7
Avg. Poss. Time	23 14.0 8 14.9	WAS 14.7 CHA 13.5 −1.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	28 51.2% 30 50.3%	WAS 53.0% +3.0% CHA 50.0%
TO %	27 14.6% 28 15.1%	WAS 9.2% −0.6% CHA 9.8%
ORB %	25 22.7% 8 26.5%	WAS 32.7% +12.7% CHA 20.0%
FTrt	26 22.9 27 22.2	WAS 23.2 CHA 31.5 +8.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	12 63.7% 16 63.5%	WAS 65.9% CHA 66.7% +0.8%
STL %	25 7.4% 24 7.5%	WAS 5.8% +1.8% CHA 4.0%
BLK %	12 9.6% 18 9.2%	WAS 8.3% +6.2% CHA 2.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	29 53.2% 30 52.5%	WAS 55.4% +0.6% CHA 54.8%
Rim FG%	17 63.7% 30 59.7%	WAS 78.6% +10.7% CHA 67.9%
Mid FG%	30 38.0% 29 38.5%	WAS 25.0% CHA 28.1% +3.1%
3P %	29 33.5% 28 33.9%	WAS 33.3% CHA 37.9% +4.6%
FT %	16 77.8% 14 78.3%	WAS 82.6% CHA 89.3% +6.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	21 30.5% 19 30.7%	WAS 28.3% CHA 31.5% +3.2%
Mid Att. %	11 25.9% 16 26.3%	WAS 20.2% −15.8% CHA 36.0%
3P Att. %	10 43.6% 11 43.0%	WAS 51.5% +18.9% CHA 32.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	WAS	CHA
Possessions	103	101
Possession Minutes	25.3	22.7
Points	124	114
Rebounds	54	46
Assists	29	26
Steals	6	4
Blocks	5	1
Turnovers (Team)	10 (1)	10 (1)
Fouls	21	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	18 (1)	9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (2)	37 (3)
Field Goals	44-99	39-89
At-the-Rim FG	22-28	19-28
Midrange FG	5-20	9-32
2-Point FG	27-48	28-60
3-Point FG	17-51	11-29
Free Throws	19-23	25-28
Fast Break Pts	28	13
2nd Chance Pts	18	14
Points in Paint	52	54
Pts off Turnovers	17	14
Bench Points	50	19
Biggest Lead	26	5

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg