for complete access.
All Games Monday, February 10, 2025
FinalWin Prob.pScore
2
Celtics
75%113
103
20
Heat
25%103
85
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo BOS
112.09290.0
MIA logo MIA
92.49294.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.103
100%
85
0%
Q4 - 0:14.7CelticsCeltics turnover (shot clock violation)103
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:39.3HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point running pullup jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)103
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:43.4HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound103
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:46.0CelticsBaylor Scheierman misses three point jump shot103
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:05HeatPelle Larsson makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)103
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:16CelticsNeemias Queta turnover (offensive foul)103
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 1:16CelticsNeemias Queta offensive foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)103
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 1:30CelticsBaylor Scheierman defensive rebound103
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 1:34HeatKel'el Ware misses three point jump shot103
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 1:43CelticsNeemias Queta makes two point floating jump shot (Payton Pritchard assists)103
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 2:00HeatAndrew Wiggins makes two point driving floating jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)101
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 2:21CelticsNeemias Queta makes two point cutting dunk (Baylor Scheierman assists)101
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 2:39CelticsPayton Pritchard defensive rebound99
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 2:42HeatKel'el Ware misses three point jump shot99
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 3:00CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving floating jump shot99
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 3:17CelticsPayton Pritchard defensive rebound97
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 3:21HeatAndrew Wiggins misses three point stepback jump shot97
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 3:30HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound97
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 3:34CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point jump shot97
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 3:41HeatTerry Rozier personal foul (Kristaps Porzingis draws the foul)97
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 4:04HeatKel'el Ware makes two point tip layup97
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 4:04HeatKel'el Ware offensive rebound97
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 4:05HeatTerry Rozier misses two point driving layup97
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 4:13HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound97
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 4:16CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point stepback jump shot97
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 4:37HeatTerry Rozier makes two point driving finger roll layup97
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 4:46HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound97
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 4:48CelticsAl Horford misses two point driving hook shot97
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 5:04CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound97
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 5:05HeatKel'el Ware misses two point turnaround bank hook shot97
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 5:16HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound97
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 5:20CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot97
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 5:39CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound97
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 5:40HeatKristaps Porzingis blocks Pelle Larsson's two point driving layup97
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 5:56CelticsAl Horford makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)97
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 6:18HeatNikola Jovic makes two point driving floating jump shot94
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 6:44CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes two point cutting dunk (Derrick White assists)94
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 7:12HeatKel'el Ware makes two point layup92
99.8%
71
0.2%
Q4 - 7:34CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot92
99.8%
69
0.2%
Q4 - 7:50CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound90
99.8%
69
0.2%
Q4 - 7:51HeatKristaps Porzingis blocks Kel'el Ware's two point alley-oop dunk90
99.8%
69
0.2%
Q4 - 8:05HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound90
99.7%
69
0.3%
Q4 - 8:09CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot90
99.7%
69
0.3%
Q4 - 8:24CelticsPayton Pritchard defensive rebound90
99.7%
69
0.3%
Q4 - 8:26HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot90
99.7%
69
0.3%
Q4 - 8:35HeatNikola Jovic offensive rebound90
99.7%
69
0.3%
Q4 - 8:37HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot90
99.7%
69
0.3%
Q4 - 8:47HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound90
99.7%
69
0.3%
Q4 - 8:50CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot90
99.7%
69
0.3%
Q4 - 9:04CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound90
99.7%
69
0.3%
Q4 - 9:07HeatTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot90
99.6%
69
0.4%
Q4 - 9:10HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound90
99.6%
69
0.4%
Q4 - 9:14HeatPelle Larsson misses three point pullup jump shot90
99.6%
69
0.4%
Q4 - 9:27HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound90
99.6%
69
0.4%
Q4 - 9:31CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point stepback jump shot90
99.6%
69
0.4%
Q4 - 9:38CelticsLuke Kornet offensive rebound90
99.7%
69
0.3%
Q4 - 9:40CelticsDerrick White misses two point pullup jump shot90
99.6%
69
0.4%
Q4 - 10:01HeatNikola Jovic makes two point driving hook shot (Duncan Robinson assists)90
99.5%
69
0.5%
Q4 - 10:20CelticsAl Horford makes two point layup (Luke Kornet assists)90
99.6%
67
0.4%
Q4 - 10:38HeatTerry Rozier makes two point driving finger roll layup (Bam Adebayo assists)88
99.5%
67
0.5%
Q4 - 10:43HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound88
99.6%
65
0.4%
Q4 - 10:46CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point fadeaway jump shot88
99.7%
65
0.3%
Q4 - 11:02CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound88
99.6%
65
0.4%
Q4 - 11:04HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot88
99.6%
65
0.4%
Q4 - 11:15HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound88
99.5%
65
0.5%
Q4 - 11:20CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot88
99.6%
65
0.4%
Q4 - 11:30CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound88
99.6%
65
0.4%
Q4 - 11:33HeatPelle Larsson misses three point pullup jump shot88
99.6%
65
0.4%
Q4 - 11:39HeatPelle Larsson defensive rebound88
99.5%
65
0.5%
Q4 - 11:41CelticsLuke Kornet misses two point hook shot88
99.6%
65
0.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.88
99.6%
65
0.4%
Q3 - 0:00.8CelticsDerrick White makes three point fadeaway jump shot88
99.4%
65
0.6%
Q3 - 0:20.2CelticsPayton Pritchard defensive rebound85
99.2%
65
0.8%
Q3 - 0:24.8HeatBam Adebayo misses two point cutting dunk85
99.1%
65
0.9%
Q3 - 0:30.9CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 185
99.0%
65
1.0%
Q3 - 0:30.9HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)84
99.0%
65
1.0%
Q3 - 0:50.9HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 282
98.5%
65
1.5%
Q3 - 0:50.9HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 282
98.6%
64
1.4%
Q3 - 0:50.9CelticsSam Hauser personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)82
98.6%
63
1.4%
Q3 - 1:00CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving reverse layup (Payton Pritchard assists)82
98.8%
63
1.2%
Q3 - 1:10HeatPelle Larsson personal foul (Luke Kornet draws the foul)80
98.3%
63
1.7%
Q3 - 1:28CelticsBaylor Scheierman defensive rebound80
98.3%
63
1.7%
Q3 - 1:31HeatPelle Larsson misses two point driving layup80
98.2%
63
1.8%
Q3 - 1:38HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound80
97.9%
63
2.1%
Q3 - 1:42CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point pullup jump shot80
98.0%
63
2.0%
Q3 - 1:56HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 280
98.3%
63
1.7%
Q3 - 1:56HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 280
98.3%
62
1.7%
Q3 - 1:56CelticsJayson Tatum shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)80
98.4%
61
1.6%
Q3 - 1:56HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound80
98.6%
61
1.4%
Q3 - 1:57HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot80
98.7%
61
1.3%
Q3 - 2:10CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving layup80
98.3%
61
1.7%
Q3 - 2:26HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)78
98.0%
61
2.0%
Q3 - 2:41CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving finger roll layup78
98.3%
59
1.7%
Q3 - 2:49CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound76
98.0%
59
2.0%
Q3 - 2:52HeatTerry Rozier misses two point stepback jump shot76
97.9%
59
2.1%
Q3 - 3:00HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound76
97.6%
59
2.4%
Q3 - 3:02CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point stepback jump shot76
97.5%
59
2.5%
Q3 - 3:17HeatAlec Burks makes two point driving finger roll layup76
97.8%
59
2.2%
Q3 - 3:35CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)76
98.1%
57
1.9%
Q3 - 4:02HeatTerry Rozier makes three point jump shot (Andrew Wiggins assists)73
97.2%
57
2.8%
Q3 - 4:22CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point stepback jump shot73
97.9%
54
2.1%
Q3 - 4:33CelticsKristaps Porzingis defensive rebound70
97.2%
54
2.8%
Q3 - 4:34HeatTerry Rozier misses two point driving layup70
97.0%
54
3.0%
Q3 - 4:38HeatAndrew Wiggins offensive rebound70
96.7%
54
3.3%
Q3 - 4:42HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot70
97.0%
54
3.0%
Q3 - 4:49HeatAlec Burks defensive rebound70
96.7%
54
3.3%
Q3 - 4:51CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point jump shot70
96.8%
54
3.2%
Q3 - 5:09CelticsLuke Kornet defensive rebound70
96.9%
54
3.1%
Q3 - 5:13HeatAndrew Wiggins misses three point jump shot70
96.8%
54
3.2%
Q3 - 5:25CelticsSam Hauser personal foul (Andrew Wiggins draws the foul)70
96.4%
54
3.6%
Q3 - 5:44CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point stepback jump shot70
96.4%
54
3.6%
Q3 - 5:54CelticsKristaps Porzingis defensive rebound68
95.9%
54
4.1%
Q3 - 5:56HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot68
95.7%
54
4.3%
Q3 - 6:09CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point pullup jump shot68
94.9%
54
5.1%
Q3 - 6:18CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound65
93.4%
54
6.6%
Q3 - 6:21HeatDavion Mitchell misses three point jump shot65
93.1%
54
6.9%
Q3 - 6:36CelticsAl Horford makes three point jump shot (Sam Hauser assists)65
92.3%
54
7.7%
Q3 - 6:53HeatAlec Burks makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)62
90.1%
54
9.9%
Q3 - 7:01HeatAlec Burks defensive rebound62
91.9%
51
8.1%
Q3 - 7:04CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot62
92.3%
51
7.7%
Q3 - 7:21CelticsKristaps Porzingis defensive rebound62
93.0%
51
7.0%
Q3 - 7:25HeatDavion Mitchell misses two point driving finger roll layup62
92.7%
51
7.3%
Q3 - 7:31HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound62
91.9%
51
8.1%
Q3 - 7:35CelticsKristaps Porzingis misses three point jump shot62
92.3%
51
7.7%
Q3 - 7:52HeatKel'el Ware makes two point alley-oop dunk (Andrew Wiggins assists)62
93.1%
51
6.9%
Q3 - 8:04CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point running jump shot (Derrick White assists)62
93.6%
49
6.4%
Q3 - 8:08CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound59
92.0%
49
8.0%
Q3 - 8:11HeatAndrew Wiggins misses three point jump shot59
91.6%
49
8.4%
Q3 - 8:26CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes two point alley-oop layup (Derrick White assists)59
90.7%
49
9.3%
Q3 - 8:37CelticsKristaps Porzingis defensive rebound57
89.7%
49
10.3%
Q3 - 8:38HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving floating jump shot57
89.2%
49
10.8%
Q3 - 8:50CelticsAl Horford makes three point jump shot (Kristaps Porzingis assists)57
88.0%
49
12.0%
Q3 - 9:14HeatAlec Burks makes three point jump shot (Kel'el Ware assists)54
85.3%
49
14.7%
Q3 - 9:26HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound54
88.0%
46
12.0%
Q3 - 9:29CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point stepback jump shot54
88.5%
46
11.5%
Q3 - 9:43HeatDavion Mitchell personal foul (Kristaps Porzingis draws the foul)54
89.7%
46
10.3%
Q3 - 9:54CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound54
89.7%
46
10.3%
Q3 - 9:56HeatDavion Mitchell misses three point pullup jump shot54
89.2%
46
10.8%
Q3 - 10:09HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound54
87.8%
46
12.2%
Q3 - 10:14CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot54
88.4%
46
11.6%
Q3 - 10:25CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound54
89.5%
46
10.5%
Q3 - 10:26HeatKel'el Ware misses three point jump shot54
89.0%
46
11.0%
Q3 - 10:42CelticsAl Horford makes two point driving floating jump shot (Sam Hauser assists)54
87.9%
46
12.1%
Q3 - 11:04HeatAndrew Wiggins makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)52
86.6%
46
13.4%
Q3 - 11:24CelticsCeltics turnover (5-second violation)52
89.2%
43
10.8%
Q3 - 11:24HeatAndrew Wiggins personal foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)52
90.5%
43
9.5%
Q3 - 11:37CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound52
90.5%
43
9.5%
Q3 - 11:39HeatKel'el Ware misses two point floating jump shot52
90.1%
43
9.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.52
89.2%
43
10.8%
Q2 - 0:01.2HeatBam Adebayo makes three point fadeaway bank jump shot52
90.5%
43
9.5%
Q2 - 0:06.2HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound52
92.5%
40
7.5%
Q2 - 0:09.1CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving finger roll layup52
92.7%
40
7.3%
Q2 - 0:29.4HeatDavion Mitchell makes two point running finger roll layup (Andrew Wiggins assists)52
93.3%
40
6.7%
Q2 - 0:31.4HeatAndrew Wiggins defensive rebound52
94.0%
38
6.0%
Q2 - 0:36.2CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point stepback jump shot52
94.2%
38
5.8%
Q2 - 0:49.4HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 252
94.7%
38
5.3%
Q2 - 0:49.4HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 252
94.8%
37
5.2%
Q2 - 0:49.4CelticsKristaps Porzingis shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)52
94.9%
36
5.1%
Q2 - 0:50.9HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound52
95.3%
36
4.7%
Q2 - 0:54.5HeatKyle Anderson misses three point jump shot52
95.6%
36
4.4%
Q2 - 1:18CelticsAl Horford makes three point jump shot (Derrick White assists)52
95.2%
36
4.8%
Q2 - 1:28CelticsPayton Pritchard defensive rebound49
94.0%
36
6.0%
Q2 - 1:31HeatAndrew Wiggins misses three point jump shot49
93.8%
36
6.2%
Q2 - 1:53CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving finger roll layup49
93.3%
36
6.7%
Q2 - 2:05CelticsPayton Pritchard defensive rebound47
92.3%
36
7.7%
Q2 - 2:06HeatAl Horford blocks Bam Adebayo's two point pullup jump shot47
92.0%
36
8.0%
Q2 - 2:25CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving reverse layup (Payton Pritchard assists)47
91.3%
36
8.7%
Q2 - 2:30HeatDavion Mitchell personal foul (Payton Pritchard draws the foul)45
90.4%
36
9.6%
Q2 - 2:43HeatAlec Burks makes two point putback layup45
90.4%
36
9.6%
Q2 - 2:43HeatAlec Burks offensive rebound45
91.3%
34
8.7%
Q2 - 2:44HeatAlec Burks misses three point jump shot45
92.0%
34
8.0%
Q2 - 2:49HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound45
91.3%
34
8.7%
Q2 - 2:53HeatDavion Mitchell misses three point jump shot45
92.0%
34
8.0%
Q2 - 3:08CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point stepback jump shot45
91.0%
34
9.0%
Q2 - 3:25HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 242
89.3%
34
10.7%
Q2 - 3:25HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 242
89.5%
33
10.5%
Q2 - 3:25CelticsLuke Kornet shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)42
89.7%
32
10.3%
Q2 - 3:40CelticsLuke Kornet turnover (offensive foul)42
90.1%
32
9.9%
Q2 - 3:40CelticsLuke Kornet offensive foul (Davion Mitchell draws the foul)42
91.3%
32
8.7%
Q2 - 3:44CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound42
91.3%
32
8.7%
Q2 - 3:46HeatKyle Anderson misses two point pullup jump shot42
90.9%
32
9.1%
Q2 - 4:00HeatDavion Mitchell defensive rebound42
90.1%
32
9.9%
Q2 - 4:05CelticsDerrick White misses three point pullup bank jump shot42
90.4%
32
9.6%
Q2 - 4:24CelticsPayton Pritchard defensive rebound42
91.1%
32
8.9%
Q2 - 4:27HeatAndrew Wiggins misses three point jump shot42
90.8%
32
9.2%
Q2 - 4:32HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound42
90.1%
32
9.9%
Q2 - 4:36CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point pullup jump shot42
90.4%
32
9.6%
Q2 - 4:45CelticsSam Hauser defensive rebound42
91.1%
32
8.9%
Q2 - 4:48HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot42
90.8%
32
9.2%
Q2 - 5:03HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound42
90.2%
32
9.8%
Q2 - 5:06CelticsSam Hauser misses three point jump shot42
90.5%
32
9.5%
Q2 - 5:21CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound42
91.3%
32
8.7%
Q2 - 5:25HeatAlec Burks misses three point jump shot42
91.0%
32
9.0%
Q2 - 5:31CelticsLuke Kornet turnover (lost ball) (Andrew Wiggins steals)42
90.2%
32
9.8%
Q2 - 5:43CelticsPayton Pritchard defensive rebound42
91.3%
32
8.7%
Q2 - 5:46HeatDavion Mitchell misses three point jump shot42
90.9%
32
9.1%
Q2 - 6:09CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Payton Pritchard assists)42
90.1%
32
9.9%
Q2 - 6:23HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Andrew Wiggins assists)39
88.3%
32
11.7%
Q2 - 6:41CelticsSam Hauser makes three point running jump shot (Payton Pritchard assists)39
90.1%
29
9.9%
Q2 - 6:45HeatAndrew Wiggins turnover (bad pass) (Payton Pritchard steals)36
88.4%
29
11.6%
Q2 - 7:02CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes two point cutting dunk (Payton Pritchard assists)36
86.9%
29
13.1%
Q2 - 7:12CelticsKristaps Porzingis defensive rebound34
85.8%
29
14.2%
Q2 - 7:14HeatKel'el Ware misses two point driving layup34
85.4%
29
14.6%
Q2 - 7:21HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound34
84.4%
29
15.6%
Q2 - 7:25CelticsKristaps Porzingis misses three point jump shot34
84.8%
29
15.2%
Q2 - 7:31CelticsSam Hauser defensive rebound34
85.8%
29
14.2%
Q2 - 7:34HeatAndrew Wiggins misses three point pullup jump shot34
85.4%
29
14.6%
Q2 - 7:42HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound34
84.4%
29
15.6%
Q2 - 7:47CelticsSam Hauser misses three point running pullup jump shot34
84.8%
29
15.2%
Q2 - 7:50CelticsSam Hauser defensive rebound34
85.8%
29
14.2%
Q2 - 7:53HeatTerry Rozier misses three point stepback jump shot34
85.4%
29
14.6%
Q2 - 8:06CelticsSam Hauser makes three point jump shot (Derrick White assists)34
84.3%
29
15.7%
Q2 - 8:14HeatTerry Rozier makes two point running finger roll layup31
81.6%
29
18.4%
Q2 - 8:18CelticsDerrick White turnover (bad pass) (Terry Rozier steals)31
82.9%
27
17.1%
Q2 - 8:35HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)31
84.5%
27
15.5%
Q2 - 8:48CelticsDerrick White makes regular free throw 1 of 131
86.8%
24
13.2%
Q2 - 8:48HeatKel'el Ware shooting foul (Derrick White draws the foul)30
86.6%
24
13.4%
Q2 - 8:51CelticsNeemias Queta defensive rebound28
84.5%
24
15.5%
Q2 - 8:53HeatAndrew Wiggins misses two point turnaround hook shot28
84.0%
24
16.0%
Q2 - 9:10CelticsSam Hauser makes three point jump shot (Payton Pritchard assists)28
82.6%
24
17.4%
Q2 - 9:18CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound25
79.7%
24
20.3%
Q2 - 9:20HeatKyle Anderson misses two point driving floating jump shot25
79.2%
24
20.8%
Q2 - 9:21HeatKyle Anderson offensive rebound25
77.9%
24
22.1%
Q2 - 9:25HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot25
79.2%
24
20.8%
Q2 - 9:47CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes two point driving floating jump shot (Payton Pritchard assists)25
78.0%
24
22.0%
Q2 - 10:02CelticsPayton Pritchard defensive rebound23
76.7%
24
23.3%
Q2 - 10:05HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot23
76.1%
24
23.9%
Q2 - 10:27CelticsDerrick White turnover (out of bounds bad pass)23
74.8%
24
25.2%
Q2 - 10:35CelticsKristaps Porzingis defensive rebound23
76.7%
24
23.3%
Q2 - 10:37HeatTerry Rozier misses three point stepback jump shot23
76.1%
24
23.9%
Q2 - 10:52CelticsSam Hauser makes three point running jump shot (Kristaps Porzingis assists)23
74.7%
24
25.3%
Q2 - 10:58HeatAndrew Wiggins turnover (lost ball) (Payton Pritchard steals)20
71.0%
24
29.0%
Q2 - 11:06CelticsDerrick White makes regular free throw 2 of 220
69.4%
24
30.6%
Q2 - 11:06CelticsDerrick White makes regular free throw 1 of 219
69.2%
24
30.8%
Q2 - 11:06HeatNikola Jovic shooting foul (Derrick White draws the foul)18
68.9%
24
31.1%
Q2 - 11:16CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound18
67.5%
24
32.5%
Q2 - 11:18HeatTerry Rozier misses two point running finger roll layup18
66.8%
24
33.2%
Q2 - 11:23HeatAndrew Wiggins defensive rebound18
65.3%
24
34.7%
Q2 - 11:27CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot18
65.9%
24
34.1%
Q2 - 11:37CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound18
67.5%
24
32.5%
Q2 - 11:39HeatKyle Anderson misses two point jump shot18
66.8%
24
33.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.18
65.2%
24
34.8%
Q1 - 0:00.1CelticsCeltics offensive rebound18
67.8%
24
32.2%
Q1 - 0:00.6CelticsLuke Kornet misses three point pullup jump shot18
66.4%
24
33.6%
Q1 - 0:02.0HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (lost ball) (Luke Kornet steals)18
67.8%
24
32.2%
Q1 - 0:11.0CelticsPayton Pritchard makes two point running finger roll layup18
65.7%
24
34.3%
Q1 - 0:14.2HeatNikola Jovic turnover (bad pass) (Luke Kornet steals)16
63.6%
24
36.4%
Q1 - 0:30.1HeatKyle Anderson defensive rebound16
61.4%
24
38.6%
Q1 - 0:33.7CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point jump shot16
62.1%
24
37.9%
Q1 - 0:47.2CelticsBaylor Scheierman defensive rebound16
63.6%
24
36.4%
Q1 - 0:49.4HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot16
62.9%
24
37.1%
Q1 - 1:15CelticsPayton Pritchard makes three point jump shot (Luke Kornet assists)16
62.1%
24
37.9%
Q1 - 1:33CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound13
57.6%
24
42.4%
Q1 - 1:35HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot13
56.9%
24
43.1%
Q1 - 1:48HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound13
55.4%
24
44.6%
Q1 - 1:50CelticsBaylor Scheierman misses three point running jump shot13
56.0%
24
44.0%
Q1 - 1:55CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound13
57.6%
24
42.4%
Q1 - 1:56HeatJayson Tatum blocks Bam Adebayo's two point putback dunk13
56.9%
24
43.1%
Q1 - 1:57HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound13
55.4%
24
44.6%
Q1 - 1:58HeatAl Horford blocks Terry Rozier's two point running layup13
56.9%
24
43.1%
Q1 - 2:01HeatKyle Anderson defensive rebound13
56.4%
24
43.6%
Q1 - 2:06CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot13
57.2%
24
42.8%
Q1 - 2:17CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound13
58.9%
24
41.1%
Q1 - 2:19HeatKyle Anderson misses two point driving hook shot13
58.1%
24
41.9%
Q1 - 2:37CelticsPayton Pritchard personal foul (Davion Mitchell draws the foul)13
56.4%
24
43.6%
Q1 - 2:42HeatDavion Mitchell defensive rebound13
56.3%
24
43.7%
Q1 - 2:46CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point stepback jump shot13
57.1%
24
42.9%
Q1 - 3:14HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving floating jump shot (Kel'el Ware assists)13
58.9%
24
41.1%
Q1 - 3:30CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes two point fadeaway bank jump shot13
60.6%
22
39.4%
Q1 - 3:53HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)11
59.0%
22
41.0%
Q1 - 4:07HeatAlec Burks defensive rebound11
63.2%
20
36.8%
Q1 - 4:10CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point stepback jump shot11
63.8%
20
36.2%
Q1 - 4:26HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving floating jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)11
65.3%
20
34.7%
Q1 - 4:30HeatDavion Mitchell defensive rebound11
66.7%
18
33.3%
Q1 - 4:34CelticsKristaps Porzingis misses two point turnaround jump shot11
67.3%
18
32.7%
Q1 - 4:49CelticsKristaps Porzingis defensive rebound11
68.7%
18
31.3%
Q1 - 4:52HeatNikola Jovic misses three point running jump shot11
68.1%
18
31.9%
Q1 - 4:57HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound11
66.8%
18
33.2%
Q1 - 5:00CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point stepback jump shot11
67.4%
18
32.6%
Q1 - 5:07CelticsPayton Pritchard defensive rebound11
69.6%
18
30.4%
Q1 - 5:11HeatDavion Mitchell misses two point pullup jump shot11
69.1%
18
30.9%
Q1 - 5:19CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 211
67.9%
18
32.1%
Q1 - 5:19CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 210
67.7%
18
32.3%
Q1 - 5:19HeatKel'el Ware shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)9
67.4%
18
32.6%
Q1 - 5:31HeatAlec Burks makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)9
66.6%
18
33.4%
Q1 - 5:42CelticsLuke Kornet personal foul (Kel'el Ware draws the foul)9
69.5%
15
30.5%
Q1 - 5:54CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes two point turnaround hook shot9
69.6%
15
30.4%
Q1 - 6:11HeatKel'el Ware makes two point tip dunk7
68.9%
15
31.1%
Q1 - 6:11HeatKel'el Ware offensive rebound7
70.3%
13
29.7%
Q1 - 6:12HeatAndrew Wiggins misses two point driving floating jump shot7
71.3%
13
28.7%
Q1 - 6:26HeatHeat defensive rebound7
70.3%
13
29.7%
Q1 - 6:27CelticsKristaps Porzingis misses three point jump shot7
70.8%
13
29.2%
Q1 - 6:37CelticsLuke Kornet defensive rebound7
71.8%
13
28.2%
Q1 - 6:40HeatKel'el Ware misses three point running jump shot7
71.4%
13
28.6%
Q1 - 6:45HeatAlec Burks defensive rebound7
70.4%
13
29.6%
Q1 - 6:46CelticsAndrew Wiggins blocks Jayson Tatum's two point driving dunk7
70.8%
13
29.2%
Q1 - 7:03HeatBam Adebayo makes two point tip layup7
72.5%
13
27.5%
Q1 - 7:03HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound7
73.5%
11
26.5%
Q1 - 7:04HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving floating jump shot7
74.5%
11
25.5%
Q1 - 7:09HeatAndrew Wiggins defensive rebound7
73.5%
11
26.5%
Q1 - 7:11CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point pullup jump shot7
73.9%
11
26.1%
Q1 - 7:28HeatAndrew Wiggins makes three point running jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)7
74.9%
11
25.1%
Q1 - 7:32HeatAlec Burks defensive rebound7
76.9%
8
23.1%
Q1 - 7:35CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot7
77.2%
8
22.8%
Q1 - 7:41CelticsCeltics offensive rebound7
78.0%
8
22.0%
Q1 - 7:41CelticsKel'el Ware blocks Kristaps Porzingis's two point cutting layup7
77.2%
8
22.8%
Q1 - 7:58CelticsKristaps Porzingis defensive rebound7
77.9%
8
22.1%
Q1 - 8:00HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot7
77.6%
8
22.4%
Q1 - 8:16CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes two point pullup bank jump shot (Derrick White assists)7
77.1%
8
22.9%
Q1 - 8:34CelticsKristaps Porzingis defensive rebound5
76.3%
8
23.7%
Q1 - 8:38HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot5
75.9%
8
24.1%
Q1 - 8:57HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound5
75.2%
8
24.8%
Q1 - 8:59CelticsSam Hauser misses three point pullup jump shot5
75.5%
8
24.5%
Q1 - 9:13HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 25
76.2%
8
23.8%
Q1 - 9:13HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 25
76.4%
7
23.6%
Q1 - 9:13CelticsKristaps Porzingis shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)5
75.8%
7
24.2%
Q1 - 9:32HeatAndrew Wiggins defensive rebound5
76.1%
7
23.9%
Q1 - 9:35CelticsKristaps Porzingis misses three point running jump shot5
76.3%
7
23.7%
Q1 - 9:43CelticsSam Hauser defensive rebound5
76.8%
7
23.2%
Q1 - 9:44HeatAndrew Wiggins misses two point pullup jump shot5
76.6%
7
23.4%
Q1 - 10:04CelticsSam Hauser makes three point jump shot (Derrick White assists)5
76.0%
7
24.0%
Q1 - 10:06CelticsCeltics offensive rebound2
75.0%
7
25.0%
Q1 - 10:06CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot2
74.4%
7
25.6%
Q1 - 10:09CelticsAl Horford offensive rebound2
75.0%
7
25.0%
Q1 - 10:11CelticsKristaps Porzingis misses three point jump shot2
74.5%
7
25.5%
Q1 - 10:15CelticsDerrick White offensive rebound2
75.0%
7
25.0%
Q1 - 10:19CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot2
74.5%
7
25.5%
Q1 - 10:34HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)2
75.0%
7
25.0%
Q1 - 10:44CelticsKristaps Porzingis turnover (offensive goaltending)2
75.4%
5
24.6%
Q1 - 10:59HeatDavion Mitchell makes two point driving floating jump shot (Andrew Wiggins assists)2
75.8%
5
24.2%
Q1 - 11:16CelticsDerrick White makes regular free throw 2 of 22
76.0%
3
24.0%
Q1 - 11:16CelticsDerrick White makes regular free throw 1 of 21
76.0%
3
24.0%
Q1 - 11:16HeatDavion Mitchell shooting foul (Derrick White draws the foul)0
76.0%
3
24.0%
Q1 - 11:29HeatAndrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 3 of 30
75.7%
3
24.3%
Q1 - 11:29HeatAndrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 30
75.7%
2
24.3%
Q1 - 11:29HeatAndrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 30
75.8%
1
24.2%
Q1 - 11:29CelticsDerrick White shooting foul (Andrew Wiggins draws the foul)0
75.8%
0
24.2%
Q1 - 11:42HeatAlec Burks defensive rebound0
75.7%
0
24.3%
Q1 - 11:44CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point pullup jump shot0
75.7%
0
24.3%
Q1 - 12:00Kristaps Porzingis vs. Kel'el Ware (Derrick White gains possession)0
75.3%
0
24.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.12 56.0%
MIA
0.85 42.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
14
18
78%
MIA
14
30
47%
Midrange
BOS
8
14
57%
MIA
6
17
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
17
25.5
53
32%
48%
MIA
11
16.5
45
24%
37%
Free Throws
BOS
8
8
100%
MIA
12
13
92%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Tatum3361%16.5 / 27
K. Porziņģis1757%8.5 / 15
A. Horford1673%8.0 / 11
S. Hauser1594%7.5 / 8
D. White1354%6.5 / 12
P. Pritchard528%2.5 / 9
N. Queta4100%2.0 / 2
L. Kornet0-0.0 / 2
B. Scheierman0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo2250%11.0 / 22
A. Burks1393%6.5 / 7
A. Wiggins1142%5.5 / 13
N. Jović1045%5.0 / 11
T. Rozier938%4.5 / 12
K. Ware833%4.0 / 12
D. Robinson583%2.5 / 3
D. Mitchell425%2.0 / 8
P. Larsson330%1.5 / 5
K. Anderson0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
86
+6
-6
92
MIA
88
+12
-4
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.12 56.0%
MIA
0.85 42.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
119.5
112.4
BOS 112.0
MIA 92.4 +19.6
Pace
96.6
97.2
BOS 90.0
MIA 94.1 +4.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
14.9
BOS 16.0
MIA 15.3 +0.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
56.1%
54.4%
BOS 55.9% +16.2%
MIA 39.7%
TO %
11.7%
12.8%
BOS 8.3%
MIA 3.9% +4.4%
ORB %
25.6%
22.3%
BOS 7.1%
MIA 19.7% +12.6%
FTrt
21.2
23.2
BOS 9.4
MIA 14.1 +4.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.8%
65.3%
BOS 61.5%
MIA 67.7% +6.2%
STL %
7.4%
8.3%
BOS 4.3% +2.1%
MIA 2.2%
BLK %
10.5%
7.6%
BOS 10.6% +4.3%
MIA 6.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.02 and 2.02.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.8%
56.0%
BOS 56.0% +13.5%
MIA 42.5%
Rim FG%
67.3%
62.5%
BOS 77.8% +31.1%
MIA 46.7%
Mid FG%
43.9%
44.4%
BOS 57.1% +21.8%
MIA 35.3%
3P %
36.8%
36.7%
BOS 32.1% +7.7%
MIA 24.4%
FT %
79.9%
79.1%
BOS 100.0% +7.7%
MIA 92.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
26.2%
29.6%
BOS 21.2%
MIA 32.6% +11.4%
Mid Att. %
20.2%
27.5%
BOS 16.5% +2.0%
MIA 18.5%
3P Att. %
53.6%
42.9%
BOS 62.4% +13.4%
MIA 48.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.17 and 3.17.
Game TotalsBOSMIA
Possessions9292
Possession Minutes24.523.5
Points10385
Rebounds5251
Assists2421
Steals42
Blocks52
Turnovers (Team)6 (2)4 (0)
Fouls1110
Off. Rebounds (Team)3 (3)12 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)49 (0)39 (1)
Field Goals39-8531-92
At-the-Rim FG14-1814-30
Midrange FG8-146-17
2-Point FG22-3220-47
3-Point FG17-5311-45
Free Throws8-812-13
Fast Break Pts1414
2nd Chance Pts312
Points in Paint4034
Pts off Turnovers812
Bench Points927
Biggest Lead2411

BOXSCORE

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2 Boston Celtics
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Derrick White
#9 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 31
37.8
13
54%
4
7
0
0
2
1
1
3
5-5
100%
1-2
50%
2-8
25%
Jayson Tatum
#0 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 27
37.7
33
61%
8
2
0
1
0
1
0
8
3-3
100%
9-14
64%
4-12
33%
Al Horford
#42 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 39
33.4
16
73%
10
0
0
2
0
0
1
9
0-0
-
2-3
67%
4-8
50%
Kristaps Porziņģis
#8 · C · 7'2" 240 · 30
32.4
17
57%
9
2
0
2
1
2
0
9
0-0
-
7-9
78%
1-6
17%
Sam Hauser
#30 · SG · 6'7" 217 · 27
24.1
15
94%
4
2
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
-
5-8
63%
Payton Pritchard
#11 · SG · 6'1" 195 · 27
36.4
5
28%
10
8
2
0
0
1
0
10
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-8
13%
Luke Kornet
#40 · C · 7'1" 250 · 30
21.9
0
0%
3
2
2
0
2
3
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
Baylor Scheierman
#55 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24
10.2
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
Neemias Queta
#88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 26
6.1
4
100%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
Jordan Walsh
#27 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 21
DNP – Coach's Decision
Xavier Tillman
#26 · PF · 6'7" 245 · 26
DNP – Coach's Decision
Jaylen Brown
#7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 28
DND - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; Swelling
Jrue Holiday
#4 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 35
DND - Injury/Illness | Right Shoulder; Impingement
JD Davison
#20 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 22
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Drew Peterson
#13 · PF · 6'9" 205 · 25
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Anton Watson
#28 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 24
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Torrey Craig
#12 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 34
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Ankle; Return to Competition Reconditioning
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
56%
52
24
4
5
6
11
3
49
8-8
100%
22-32
69%
17-53
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.