Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Monday, February 10, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Timberwolves | 33% | 109 | 107 | |
3 | Cavaliers | 67% | 116 | 128 |
Updated: Feb 10, 2025 11:47 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Hawks | 41% | 106 | 112 | |
17 | Magic | 59% | 110 | 106 |
Updated: Feb 10, 2025 11:47 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Spurs | 76% | 121 | 131 | |
30 | Wizards | 24% | 111 | 121 |
Updated: Feb 10, 2025 11:47 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Warriors | 64% | 117 | 125 | |
21 | Bucks | 36% | 112 | 111 |
Updated: Feb 11, 2025 12:42 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Pelicans | 9% | 101 | 101 | |
1 | Thunder | 91% | 121 | 137 |
Updated: Feb 11, 2025 12:42 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Kings | 43% | 114 | 129 | |
14 | Mavericks | 57% | 117 | 128 |
Updated: Feb 11, 2025 01:12 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Trail Blazers | 31% | 113 | 117 | |
9 | Nuggets | 69% | 121 | 146 |
Updated: Feb 11, 2025 01:42 AM
game detailSunday, February 9, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Hornets | 32% | 104 | 102 | |
19 | Pistons | 68% | 111 | 112 |
Updated: Feb 9, 2025 05:42 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Raptors | 31% | 108 | 87 | |
10 | Rockets | 69% | 115 | 94 |
Updated: Feb 9, 2025 06:42 PM
game detailSaturday, February 8, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Rockets | 47% | 110 | 105 | |
10 | Mavericks | 53% | 111 | 116 |
Updated: Feb 8, 2025 07:42 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Pacers | 53% | 112 | 117 | |
18 | Lakers | 47% | 111 | 124 |
Updated: Feb 8, 2025 08:42 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Hawks | 62% | 120 | 125 | |
29 | Wizards | 38% | 116 | 111 |
Updated: Feb 8, 2025 11:42 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Warriors | 67% | 121 | 132 | |
27 | Bulls | 33% | 115 | 111 |
Updated: Feb 9, 2025 12:42 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Thunder | 52% | 117 | 125 | |
4 | Grizzlies | 48% | 116 | 112 |
Updated: Feb 9, 2025 12:42 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Trail Blazers | 38% | 104 | 98 | |
15 | Timberwolves | 62% | 109 | 114 |
Updated: Feb 9, 2025 12:42 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Celtics | 58% | 117 | 131 | |
6 | Knicks | 42% | 115 | 104 |
Updated: Feb 9, 2025 01:27 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Pelicans | 28% | 112 | 118 | |
13 | Kings | 72% | 121 | 123 |
Updated: Feb 9, 2025 02:42 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Jazz | 12% | 103 | 110 | |
5 | Clippers | 88% | 121 | 130 |
Updated: Feb 9, 2025 03:12 AM
game detailFriday, February 7, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Spurs | 66% | 115 | 116 | |
28 | Hornets | 34% | 109 | 117 |
Updated: Feb 7, 2025 11:52 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Cavaliers | 89% | 127 | 134 | |
30 | Wizards | 11% | 109 | 124 |
Updated: Feb 7, 2025 11:52 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | 76ers | 57% | 111 | 112 | |
21 | Pistons | 43% | 108 | 125 |
Updated: Feb 8, 2025 12:12 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Raptors | 10% | 103 | 109 | |
1 | Thunder | 90% | 122 | 121 |
Updated: Feb 8, 2025 12:42 AM
game detailThursday, February 6, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Mavericks | 20% | 108 | 127 | |
2 | Celtics | 80% | 121 | 120 |
Updated: Feb 7, 2025 12:12 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Rockets | 49% | 106 | 114 | |
8 | Timberwolves | 51% | 107 | 127 |
Updated: Feb 7, 2025 12:42 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Warriors | 44% | 110 | 112 | |
16 | Lakers | 56% | 112 | 120 |
Updated: Feb 7, 2025 02:42 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Kings | 53% | 115 | 102 | |
23 | Trail Blazers | 47% | 114 | 108 |
Updated: Feb 7, 2025 02:42 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Pacers | 41% | 111 | 119 | |
7 | Clippers | 59% | 114 | 112 |
Updated: Feb 7, 2025 03:12 AM
game detailWednesday, February 5, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Bucks | 68% | 114 | 112 | |
28 | Hornets | 32% | 107 | 102 |
Updated: Feb 5, 2025 11:52 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Cavaliers | 54% | 114 | 118 | |
18 | Pistons | 46% | 113 | 115 |
Updated: Feb 5, 2025 11:52 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Wizards | 35% | 107 | 119 | |
25 | Nets | 65% | 113 | 102 |
Updated: Feb 6, 2025 12:17 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Grizzlies | 77% | 120 | 138 | |
27 | Raptors | 23% | 110 | 107 |
Updated: Feb 6, 2025 12:17 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Bulls | 22% | 108 | 108 | |
8 | Timberwolves | 78% | 120 | 127 |
Updated: Feb 6, 2025 12:42 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Warriors | 73% | 118 | 128 | |
29 | Jazz | 27% | 110 | 131 |
Updated: Feb 6, 2025 01:42 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Pelicans | 21% | 114 | 119 | |
3 | Nuggets | 79% | 126 | 144 |
Updated: Feb 6, 2025 01:42 AM
game detailTuesday, February 4, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Celtics | 55% | 116 | 112 | |
5 | Cavaliers | 45% | 115 | 105 |
Updated: Feb 5, 2025 12:12 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Mavericks | 44% | 111 | 116 | |
14 | 76ers | 56% | 114 | 118 |
Updated: Feb 4, 2025 11:42 PM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Knicks | 63% | 117 | 121 | |
25 | Raptors | 37% | 112 | 115 |
Updated: Feb 5, 2025 12:12 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Lakers | 35% | 106 | 122 | |
9 | Clippers | 65% | 112 | 97 |
Updated: Feb 5, 2025 02:42 AM
game detailFinal | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Pacers | 60% | 117 | 89 | |
23 | Trail Blazers | 40% | 114 | 112 |
Updated: Feb 5, 2025 02:42 AM
game detailMonday, February 3, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Wizards | 34% | 108 | 124 | |
27 | Hornets | 66% | 114 | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Hawks | 45% | 113 | 132 | |
17 | Pistons | 55% | 114 | 130 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Rockets | 38% | 110 | 118 | |
6 | Knicks | 62% | 115 | 124 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Spurs | 35% | 114 | 109 | |
4 | Grizzlies | 65% | 120 | 128 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Kings | 44% | 110 | 116 | |
7 | Timberwolves | 56% | 112 | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Bucks | 10% | 101 | 96 | |
2 | Thunder | 90% | 119 | 125 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Pelicans | 22% | 116 | 113 | |
3 | Nuggets | 78% | 127 | 125 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Pacers | 63% | 122 | 112 | |
23 | Jazz | 37% | 118 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Magic | 42% | 105 | 99 | |
12 | Warriors | 58% | 108 | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Suns | 59% | 117 | 119 | |
25 | Trail Blazers | 41% | 113 | 121 |
Sunday, February 2, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Bulls | 37% | 112 | 119 | |
16 | Pistons | 63% | 117 | 127 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Mavericks | 22% | 108 | 101 | |
4 | Cavaliers | 78% | 119 | 144 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Clippers | 64% | 114 | 108 | |
20 | Raptors | 36% | 109 | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Celtics | 75% | 117 | 118 | |
23 | 76ers | 25% | 107 | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Grizzlies | 52% | 119 | 132 | |
10 | Bucks | 48% | 118 | 119 |
Saturday, February 1, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Hawks | 34% | 115 | 127 | |
10 | Pacers | 66% | 121 | 132 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Magic | 59% | 113 | 99 | |
24 | Jazz | 41% | 109 | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Nuggets | 79% | 122 | 107 | |
29 | Hornets | 21% | 110 | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Nets | 20% | 99 | 110 | |
7 | Rockets | 80% | 112 | 98 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Wizards | 19% | 102 | 105 | |
14 | Timberwolves | 81% | 115 | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Kings | 28% | 109 | 110 | |
1 | Thunder | 72% | 118 | 144 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Lakers | 25% | 108 | 128 | |
5 | Knicks | 75% | 118 | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Heat | 54% | 112 | 105 | |
19 | Spurs | 46% | 111 | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Suns | 57% | 116 | 108 | |
27 | Trail Blazers | 43% | 114 | 127 |
Friday, January 31, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Clippers | 80% | 113 | 112 | |
29 | Hornets | 20% | 101 | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Mavericks | 53% | 113 | 102 | |
18 | Pistons | 47% | 112 | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Nuggets | 67% | 119 | 137 | |
23 | 76ers | 33% | 112 | 134 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Bulls | 40% | 115 | 122 | |
20 | Raptors | 60% | 118 | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Celtics | 76% | 120 | 118 | |
24 | Pelicans | 24% | 110 | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Bucks | 53% | 114 | 118 | |
16 | Spurs | 47% | 113 | 144 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Suns | 45% | 114 | 130 | |
13 | Warriors | 55% | 116 | 105 |
Thursday, January 30, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Lakers | 73% | 118 | 134 | |
30 | Wizards | 27% | 109 | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Hawks | 28% | 113 | 115 | |
6 | Cavaliers | 72% | 122 | 137 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Rockets | 47% | 113 | 119 | |
8 | Grizzlies | 53% | 114 | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Timberwolves | 62% | 114 | 138 | |
25 | Jazz | 38% | 110 | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Magic | 62% | 109 | 90 | |
27 | Trail Blazers | 38% | 105 | 119 |
Wednesday, January 29, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Nets | 47% | 104 | 104 | |
28 | Hornets | 53% | 105 | 83 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Pistons | 37% | 112 | 119 | |
12 | Pacers | 63% | 117 | 133 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Raptors | 69% | 118 | 106 | |
30 | Wizards | 31% | 110 | 82 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Bulls | 17% | 110 | 100 | |
2 | Celtics | 83% | 124 | 122 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Cavaliers | 61% | 114 | 126 | |
18 | Heat | 39% | 110 | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Nuggets | 45% | 118 | 112 | |
4 | Knicks | 55% | 120 | 122 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Kings | 69% | 117 | 104 | |
24 | 76ers | 31% | 110 | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Mavericks | 57% | 116 | 137 | |
20 | Pelicans | 43% | 113 | 136 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Clippers | 56% | 112 | 128 | |
16 | Spurs | 44% | 110 | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Timberwolves | 55% | 113 | 121 | |
13 | Suns | 45% | 111 | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Thunder | 74% | 115 | 109 | |
17 | Warriors | 26% | 105 | 116 |
Tuesday, January 28, 2025
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Rockets | 68% | 117 | 100 | |
22 | Hawks | 32% | 111 | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Lakers | 55% | 112 | 104 | |
24 | 76ers | 45% | 110 | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Jazz | 23% | 107 | 103 | |
19 | Warriors | 77% | 118 | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Bucks | 61% | 115 | 112 | |
26 | Trail Blazers | 39% | 111 | 125 |