Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Monday, February 10, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Timberwolves | 33% | 109 | 107 |
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Updated: Feb 10, 2025 11:47 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 17 | Magic | 59% | 110 | 106 |
Updated: Feb 10, 2025 11:47 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Updated: Feb 10, 2025 11:47 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 21 | Bucks | 36% | 112 | 111 |
Updated: Feb 11, 2025 12:42 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Pelicans | 9% | 101 | 101 |
 | 1 | Thunder | 91% | 121 | 137 |
Updated: Feb 11, 2025 12:42 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 14 | Mavericks | 57% | 117 | 128 |
Updated: Feb 11, 2025 01:12 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Updated: Feb 11, 2025 01:42 AM
game detailSunday, February 9, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Hornets | 32% | 104 | 102 |
 | 19 | Pistons | 68% | 111 | 112 |
Updated: Feb 9, 2025 05:42 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Raptors | 31% | 108 | 87 |
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Updated: Feb 9, 2025 06:42 PM
game detailSaturday, February 8, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Rockets | 47% | 110 | 105 |
| 10 | Mavericks | 53% | 111 | 116 |
Updated: Feb 8, 2025 07:42 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 18 | Lakers | 47% | 111 | 124 |
Updated: Feb 8, 2025 08:42 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hawks | 62% | 120 | 125 |
| 29 | Wizards | 38% | 116 | 111 |
Updated: Feb 8, 2025 11:42 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Warriors | 67% | 121 | 132 |
 | 27 | Bulls | 33% | 115 | 111 |
Updated: Feb 9, 2025 12:42 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 52% | 117 | 125 |
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Updated: Feb 9, 2025 12:42 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Trail Blazers | 38% | 104 | 98 |
| 15 | Timberwolves | 62% | 109 | 114 |
Updated: Feb 9, 2025 12:42 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2 | Celtics | 58% | 117 | 131 |
 | 6 | Knicks | 42% | 115 | 104 |
Updated: Feb 9, 2025 01:27 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pelicans | 28% | 112 | 118 |
| 13 | Kings | 72% | 121 | 123 |
Updated: Feb 9, 2025 02:42 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Updated: Feb 9, 2025 03:12 AM
game detailFriday, February 7, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Spurs | 66% | 115 | 116 |
| 28 | Hornets | 34% | 109 | 117 |
Updated: Feb 7, 2025 11:52 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | 89% | 127 | 134 |
| 30 | Wizards | 11% | 109 | 124 |
Updated: Feb 7, 2025 11:52 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 21 | Pistons | 43% | 108 | 125 |
Updated: Feb 8, 2025 12:12 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Raptors | 10% | 103 | 109 |
| 1 | Thunder | 90% | 122 | 121 |
Updated: Feb 8, 2025 12:42 AM
game detailThursday, February 6, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Mavericks | 20% | 108 | 127 |
| 2 | Celtics | 80% | 121 | 120 |
Updated: Feb 7, 2025 12:12 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Rockets | 49% | 106 | 114 |
| 8 | Timberwolves | 51% | 107 | 127 |
Updated: Feb 7, 2025 12:42 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Warriors | 44% | 110 | 112 |
| 16 | Lakers | 56% | 112 | 120 |
Updated: Feb 7, 2025 02:42 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Kings | 53% | 115 | 102 |
| 23 | Trail Blazers | 47% | 114 | 108 |
Updated: Feb 7, 2025 02:42 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pacers | 41% | 111 | 119 |
| 7 | Clippers | 59% | 114 | 112 |
Updated: Feb 7, 2025 03:12 AM
game detailWednesday, February 5, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bucks | 68% | 114 | 112 |
| 28 | Hornets | 32% | 107 | 102 |
Updated: Feb 5, 2025 11:52 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Cavaliers | 54% | 114 | 118 |
| 18 | Pistons | 46% | 113 | 115 |
Updated: Feb 5, 2025 11:52 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 35% | 107 | 119 |
 | 25 | Nets | 65% | 113 | 102 |
Updated: Feb 6, 2025 12:17 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Grizzlies | 77% | 120 | 138 |
| 27 | Raptors | 23% | 110 | 107 |
Updated: Feb 6, 2025 12:17 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bulls | 22% | 108 | 108 |
| 8 | Timberwolves | 78% | 120 | 127 |
Updated: Feb 6, 2025 12:42 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Warriors | 73% | 118 | 128 |
| 29 | Jazz | 27% | 110 | 131 |
Updated: Feb 6, 2025 01:42 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pelicans | 21% | 114 | 119 |
| 3 | Nuggets | 79% | 126 | 144 |
Updated: Feb 6, 2025 01:42 AM
game detailTuesday, February 4, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 55% | 116 | 112 |
| 5 | Cavaliers | 45% | 115 | 105 |
Updated: Feb 5, 2025 12:12 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Mavericks | 44% | 111 | 116 |
| 14 | 76ers | 56% | 114 | 118 |
Updated: Feb 4, 2025 11:42 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Knicks | 63% | 117 | 121 |
| 25 | Raptors | 37% | 112 | 115 |
Updated: Feb 5, 2025 12:12 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Lakers | 35% | 106 | 122 |
| 9 | Clippers | 65% | 112 | 97 |
Updated: Feb 5, 2025 02:42 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pacers | 60% | 117 | 89 |
| 23 | Trail Blazers | 40% | 114 | 112 |
Updated: Feb 5, 2025 02:42 AM
game detailMonday, February 3, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 34% | 108 | 124 |
| 27 | Hornets | 66% | 114 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hawks | 45% | 113 | 132 |
| 17 | Pistons | 55% | 114 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Rockets | 38% | 110 | 118 |
| 6 | Knicks | 62% | 115 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Spurs | 35% | 114 | 109 |
| 4 | Grizzlies | 65% | 120 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Kings | 44% | 110 | 116 |
| 7 | Timberwolves | 56% | 112 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bucks | 10% | 101 | 96 |
| 2 | Thunder | 90% | 119 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pelicans | 22% | 116 | 113 |
| 3 | Nuggets | 78% | 127 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pacers | 63% | 122 | 112 |
| 23 | Jazz | 37% | 118 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Magic | 42% | 105 | 99 |
| 12 | Warriors | 58% | 108 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 25 | Trail Blazers | 41% | 113 | 121 |
Sunday, February 2, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 37% | 112 | 119 |
| 16 | Pistons | 63% | 117 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Mavericks | 22% | 108 | 101 |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 78% | 119 | 144 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Clippers | 64% | 114 | 108 |
| 20 | Raptors | 36% | 109 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 75% | 117 | 118 |
| 23 | 76ers | 25% | 107 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Grizzlies | 52% | 119 | 132 |
| 10 | Bucks | 48% | 118 | 119 |
Saturday, February 1, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hawks | 34% | 115 | 127 |
| 10 | Pacers | 66% | 121 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Magic | 59% | 113 | 99 |
| 24 | Jazz | 41% | 109 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nuggets | 79% | 122 | 107 |
| 29 | Hornets | 21% | 110 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | 20% | 99 | 110 |
| 7 | Rockets | 80% | 112 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 19% | 102 | 105 |
| 14 | Timberwolves | 81% | 115 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Kings | 28% | 109 | 110 |
| 1 | Thunder | 72% | 118 | 144 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Lakers | 25% | 108 | 128 |
| 5 | Knicks | 75% | 118 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Heat | 54% | 112 | 105 |
| 19 | Spurs | 46% | 111 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Suns | 57% | 116 | 108 |
| 27 | Trail Blazers | 43% | 114 | 127 |
Friday, January 31, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Clippers | 80% | 113 | 112 |
| 29 | Hornets | 20% | 101 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Mavericks | 53% | 113 | 102 |
| 18 | Pistons | 47% | 112 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 67% | 119 | 137 |
| 23 | 76ers | 33% | 112 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 40% | 115 | 122 |
| 20 | Raptors | 60% | 118 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 76% | 120 | 118 |
| 24 | Pelicans | 24% | 110 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Bucks | 53% | 114 | 118 |
| 16 | Spurs | 47% | 113 | 144 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Suns | 45% | 114 | 130 |
| 13 | Warriors | 55% | 116 | 105 |
Thursday, January 30, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Lakers | 73% | 118 | 134 |
| 30 | Wizards | 27% | 109 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hawks | 28% | 113 | 115 |
| 6 | Cavaliers | 72% | 122 | 137 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Rockets | 47% | 113 | 119 |
| 8 | Grizzlies | 53% | 114 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Timberwolves | 62% | 114 | 138 |
| 25 | Jazz | 38% | 110 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Magic | 62% | 109 | 90 |
| 27 | Trail Blazers | 38% | 105 | 119 |
Wednesday, January 29, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 47% | 104 | 104 |
| 28 | Hornets | 53% | 105 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pistons | 37% | 112 | 119 |
| 12 | Pacers | 63% | 117 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Raptors | 69% | 118 | 106 |
| 30 | Wizards | 31% | 110 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bulls | 17% | 110 | 100 |
| 2 | Celtics | 83% | 124 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cavaliers | 61% | 114 | 126 |
| 18 | Heat | 39% | 110 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nuggets | 45% | 118 | 112 |
| 4 | Knicks | 55% | 120 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Kings | 69% | 117 | 104 |
| 24 | 76ers | 31% | 110 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Mavericks | 57% | 116 | 137 |
| 20 | Pelicans | 43% | 113 | 136 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Clippers | 56% | 112 | 128 |
| 16 | Spurs | 44% | 110 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Timberwolves | 55% | 113 | 121 |
| 13 | Suns | 45% | 111 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 74% | 115 | 109 |
| 17 | Warriors | 26% | 105 | 116 |
Tuesday, January 28, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | 68% | 117 | 100 |
| 22 | Hawks | 32% | 111 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Lakers | 55% | 112 | 104 |
| 24 | 76ers | 45% | 110 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Jazz | 23% | 107 | 103 |
| 19 | Warriors | 77% | 118 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bucks | 61% | 115 | 112 |
| 26 | Trail Blazers | 39% | 111 | 125 |