Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Sunday, February 9, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Hornets | 32% | 104 | 102 |
 | 19 | Pistons | 68% | 111 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Raptors | 31% | 108 | 87 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 21 | Bucks | 47% | 111 | 135 |
Saturday, February 8, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Rockets | 47% | 110 | 105 |
 | 10 | Mavericks | 53% | 111 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 18 | Lakers | 47% | 111 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 16 | Magic | 53% | 107 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 27 | Bulls | 33% | 115 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Thunder | 52% | 117 | 125 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 15 | Timberwolves | 62% | 109 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2 | Celtics | 58% | 117 | 131 |
 | 6 | Knicks | 42% | 115 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Pelicans | 28% | 112 | 118 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Friday, February 7, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Spurs | 66% | 115 | 116 |
| 28 | Hornets | 34% | 109 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 30 | Wizards | 11% | 109 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bucks | 47% | 114 | 110 |
| 20 | Hawks | 53% | 115 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Heat | 62% | 109 | 86 |
 | 29 | Nets | 38% | 104 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 76ers | 57% | 111 | 112 |
| 21 | Pistons | 43% | 108 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Raptors | 10% | 103 | 109 |
| 1 | Thunder | 90% | 122 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Jazz | 38% | 114 | 127 |
| 19 | Suns | 62% | 118 | 135 |
Thursday, February 6, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Mavericks | 20% | 108 | 127 |
| 2 | Celtics | 80% | 121 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Rockets | 49% | 106 | 114 |
| 8 | Timberwolves | 51% | 107 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Magic | 33% | 108 | 90 |
| 5 | Nuggets | 67% | 114 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Warriors | 44% | 110 | 112 |
| 16 | Lakers | 56% | 112 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Kings | 53% | 115 | 102 |
| 23 | Blazers | 47% | 114 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pacers | 41% | 111 | 119 |
| 7 | Clippers | 59% | 114 | 112 |
Wednesday, February 5, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bucks | 68% | 114 | 112 |
| 28 | Hornets | 32% | 107 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Cavaliers | 54% | 114 | 118 |
| 18 | Pistons | 46% | 113 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Spurs | 55% | 117 | 126 |
| 22 | Hawks | 45% | 115 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 35% | 107 | 119 |
| 25 | Nets | 65% | 113 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Heat | 44% | 109 | 108 |
| 17 | 76ers | 56% | 112 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Grizzlies | 77% | 120 | 138 |
| 27 | Raptors | 23% | 110 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bulls | 22% | 108 | 108 |
| 8 | Timberwolves | 78% | 120 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Warriors | 73% | 118 | 128 |
| 29 | Jazz | 27% | 110 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pelicans | 21% | 114 | 119 |
| 3 | Nuggets | 79% | 126 | 144 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Suns | 25% | 108 | 109 |
| 2 | Thunder | 75% | 118 | 140 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Magic | 38% | 106 | 130 |
| 10 | Kings | 62% | 111 | 111 |
Tuesday, February 4, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Mavericks | 44% | 111 | 116 |
| 14 | 76ers | 56% | 114 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 55% | 116 | 112 |
| 5 | Cavaliers | 45% | 115 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Rockets | 67% | 109 | 97 |
| 27 | Nets | 33% | 103 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Knicks | 63% | 117 | 121 |
| 25 | Raptors | 37% | 112 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Heat | 54% | 116 | 124 |
| 24 | Bulls | 46% | 114 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Lakers | 35% | 106 | 122 |
| 9 | Clippers | 65% | 112 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pacers | 60% | 117 | 89 |
| 23 | Blazers | 40% | 114 | 112 |
Monday, February 3, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 34% | 108 | 124 |
| 27 | Hornets | 66% | 114 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hawks | 45% | 113 | 132 |
| 17 | Pistons | 55% | 114 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Rockets | 38% | 110 | 118 |
| 5 | Knicks | 62% | 115 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Spurs | 35% | 114 | 109 |
| 4 | Grizzlies | 65% | 120 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Kings | 44% | 110 | 116 |
| 7 | Timberwolves | 56% | 112 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bucks | 10% | 101 | 96 |
| 2 | Thunder | 90% | 119 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pelicans | 22% | 116 | 113 |
| 3 | Nuggets | 78% | 127 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pacers | 63% | 122 | 112 |
| 23 | Jazz | 37% | 118 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Magic | 42% | 105 | 99 |
| 12 | Warriors | 58% | 108 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Suns | 59% | 117 | 119 |
| 25 | Blazers | 41% | 113 | 121 |
Sunday, February 2, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 37% | 112 | 119 |
| 16 | Pistons | 63% | 117 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Mavericks | 22% | 108 | 101 |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 78% | 119 | 144 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Clippers | 64% | 114 | 108 |
| 20 | Raptors | 36% | 109 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 75% | 117 | 118 |
| 23 | 76ers | 25% | 107 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Grizzlies | 52% | 119 | 132 |
| 10 | Bucks | 48% | 118 | 119 |
Saturday, February 1, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hawks | 34% | 115 | 127 |
| 10 | Pacers | 66% | 121 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Magic | 59% | 113 | 99 |
| 24 | Jazz | 41% | 109 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nuggets | 79% | 122 | 107 |
| 29 | Hornets | 21% | 110 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | 20% | 99 | 110 |
| 7 | Rockets | 80% | 112 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 19% | 102 | 105 |
| 14 | Timberwolves | 81% | 115 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Kings | 28% | 109 | 110 |
| 1 | Thunder | 72% | 118 | 144 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Lakers | 25% | 108 | 128 |
| 5 | Knicks | 75% | 118 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Heat | 54% | 112 | 105 |
| 19 | Spurs | 46% | 111 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Suns | 57% | 116 | 108 |
| 27 | Blazers | 43% | 114 | 127 |
Friday, January 31, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Clippers | 80% | 113 | 112 |
| 29 | Hornets | 20% | 101 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Mavericks | 53% | 113 | 102 |
| 18 | Pistons | 47% | 112 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 67% | 119 | 137 |
| 23 | 76ers | 33% | 112 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 40% | 115 | 122 |
| 20 | Raptors | 60% | 118 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 76% | 120 | 118 |
| 24 | Pelicans | 24% | 110 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Bucks | 53% | 114 | 118 |
| 16 | Spurs | 47% | 113 | 144 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Suns | 45% | 114 | 130 |
| 13 | Warriors | 55% | 116 | 105 |
Thursday, January 30, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Lakers | 73% | 118 | 134 |
| 30 | Wizards | 27% | 109 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hawks | 28% | 113 | 115 |
| 6 | Cavaliers | 72% | 122 | 137 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Timberwolves | 62% | 114 | 138 |
| 25 | Jazz | 38% | 110 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Rockets | 47% | 113 | 119 |
| 8 | Grizzlies | 53% | 114 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Magic | 62% | 109 | 90 |
| 27 | Blazers | 38% | 105 | 119 |
Wednesday, January 29, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 47% | 104 | 104 |
| 28 | Hornets | 53% | 105 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pistons | 37% | 112 | 119 |
| 12 | Pacers | 63% | 117 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Raptors | 69% | 118 | 106 |
| 30 | Wizards | 31% | 110 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bulls | 17% | 110 | 100 |
| 2 | Celtics | 83% | 124 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cavaliers | 61% | 114 | 126 |
| 18 | Heat | 39% | 110 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nuggets | 45% | 118 | 112 |
| 4 | Knicks | 55% | 120 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Kings | 69% | 117 | 104 |
| 24 | 76ers | 31% | 110 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Mavericks | 57% | 116 | 137 |
| 20 | Pelicans | 43% | 113 | 136 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Clippers | 56% | 112 | 128 |
| 16 | Spurs | 44% | 110 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Timberwolves | 55% | 113 | 121 |
| 13 | Suns | 45% | 111 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 74% | 115 | 109 |
| 17 | Warriors | 26% | 105 | 116 |
Tuesday, January 28, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | 68% | 117 | 100 |
| 22 | Hawks | 32% | 111 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Lakers | 55% | 112 | 104 |
| 24 | 76ers | 45% | 110 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Jazz | 23% | 107 | 103 |
| 19 | Warriors | 77% | 118 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bucks | 61% | 115 | 112 |
| 26 | Blazers | 39% | 111 | 125 |
Monday, January 27, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Lakers | 59% | 112 | 112 |
| 22 | Hornets | 41% | 109 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pistons | 26% | 110 | 91 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 74% | 119 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 41% | 109 | 114 |
| 2 | Celtics | 59% | 112 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Kings | 77% | 117 | 110 |
| 29 | Nets | 23% | 106 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Magic | 49% | 105 | 119 |
| 18 | Heat | 51% | 106 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Grizzlies | 48% | 119 | 106 |
| 6 | Knicks | 52% | 120 | 143 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pelicans | 46% | 113 | 104 |
| 24 | Raptors | 54% | 115 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 66% | 124 | 121 |
| 21 | Bulls | 34% | 117 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hawks | 28% | 107 | 92 |
| 9 | Timberwolves | 72% | 116 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 18% | 108 | 108 |
| 14 | Mavericks | 82% | 122 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bucks | 66% | 119 | 125 |
| 27 | Jazz | 34% | 113 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Clippers | 53% | 115 | 109 |
| 15 | Suns | 47% | 114 | 111 |