Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Sunday, February 9, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Hornets | |||
 | 27 | Pistons | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Raptors | |||
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 14 | Bucks | |||
Saturday, February 8, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Rockets | |||
 | 3 | Mavericks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 18 | Lakers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 4 | Magic | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 26 | Bulls | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2 | Thunder | |||
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 12 | Timberwolves | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Celtics | |||
 | 7 | Knicks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Pelicans | |||
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
%20--%3e%3csvg%20version='1.1'%20id='Layer_1'%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20xmlns:xlink='http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink'%20x='0px'%20y='0px'%20viewBox='0%200%20400%20400'%20style='enable-background:new%200%200%20400%20400;'%20xml:space='preserve'%3e%3cpath%20d='M376,81.4L341.7,155H204.3L161,247.8h-38.8c0.3-4.6,1.2-9.3,2.7-13.8c3.7-11.2,10.7-20.4,19.5-27c2.3,2.6,4.4,5.5,6.3,8.5%20c0.3,0.5,0.9,0.4,1.1,0c0,0,0,0,0,0l62.6-134.2H376z'/%3e%3cpath%20d='M57.8,276.6c-3.9,7.8-9.5,14.5-16.3,19.6c-5.7-6.6-10.2-14.3-13.1-23.1c-2-5.9-3.1-11.8-3.4-17.7h38.6%20C63.1,262.7,61.2,269.9,57.8,276.6'/%3e%3cpath%20d='M89.1,255.4v64.2c-15.8-0.9-30.7-7.3-42.3-17.9c7.4-5.7,13.4-13.1,17.8-21.7c3.9-7.8,6.1-16.1,6.6-24.6H89.1z'/%3e%3cpath%20d='M60.9,234c1.5,4.5,2.4,9.2,2.7,13.8H25c0.8-15.1,6.7-29.4,16.5-40.7C50.2,213.7,57.1,222.9,60.9,234'/%3e%3cpath%20d='M89.1,183.7v64.2H71.2c-0.3-5.4-1.4-10.9-3.1-16.2c-4.1-12.4-11.7-22.6-21.3-30c6.9-6.4,15.2-11.4,24.7-14.6%20C77.3,185.1,83.2,184,89.1,183.7'/%3e%3cpath%20d='M114.6,247.8H96.7v-64.2c15.8,0.9,30.8,7.2,42.4,17.9c-9.9,7.6-17.3,18-21.4,30.1C115.9,237,114.9,242.4,114.6,247.8'/%3e%3cpath%20d='M139.1,301.8c-6.9,6.3-15.2,11.3-24.6,14.5c-5.9,2-11.9,3.1-17.8,3.4v-64.2h17.8c0.5,8.5,2.7,16.8,6.6,24.6%20C125.5,288.7,131.6,296.1,139.1,301.8'/%3e%3cpath%20d='M161,255.4c-0.8,15.1-6.7,29.5-16.6,40.9c-6.9-5.1-12.5-11.8-16.4-19.7c-3.4-6.7-5.3-13.9-5.8-21.2H161z'/%3e%3c/svg%3e) | 29 | Jazz | |||
%20--%3e%3csvg%20version='1.1'%20id='Layer_1'%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20xmlns:xlink='http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink'%20x='0px'%20y='0px'%20viewBox='0%200%20400%20400'%20style='enable-background:new%200%200%20400%20400;'%20xml:space='preserve'%3e%3cstyle%20type='text/css'%3e%20.st0{fill:%23FFFFFF;}%20.st1{fill:%23C8102E;}%20.st2{fill:%231D428A;}%20%3c/style%3e%3cg%20id='Layer_2_1_'%3e%3cpath%20class='st0'%20d='M42.4,200.4c0-86.9,70.4-157.3,157.3-157.3S357,113.5,357,200.4s-70.4,157.3-157.3,157.3%20S42.4,287.3,42.4,200.4'/%3e%3cpath%20d='M199.8,56.1c-79.6,0-144.3,64.7-144.3,144.3s64.7,144.3,144.3,144.3S344.1,280,344.1,200.4%20C344.1,120.9,279.3,56.1,199.8,56.1%20M304.1,120.3c16.5,21.4,25.9,47,27.2,73.9h-54.4C278.2,167.2,287.6,141.7,304.1,120.3%20M95.5,120.3c16.5,21.4,25.9,47,27.3,73.9H68.2C69.6,167.1,78.9,141.7,95.5,120.3%20M95.5,280.6c-16.5-21.4-25.9-47-27.2-73.9h54.4%20C121.4,233.7,112,259.2,95.5,280.6%20M206.1,332v-37.7h-12.7V332c-34.3-1.6-66-16.3-89.6-41.4c19.3-24.1,30.1-53,31.4-83.7v-12.7%20c-1.3-30.7-12.2-59.6-31.4-83.7c23.6-25.1,55.3-39.8,89.6-41.4v37.4h12.7V68.9c34.3,1.6,66,16.3,89.6,41.4%20c-19.3,24.1-30.1,53-31.4,83.7v12.7c1.3,30.7,12.2,59.6,31.4,83.7C272.1,315.6,240.3,330.3,206.1,332%20M304.1,280.6%20c-16.5-21.4-25.9-47-27.3-73.9h54.4C329.9,233.7,320.6,259.2,304.1,280.6'/%3e%3cpolygon%20class='st1'%20points='167.6,140%20167.6,260.4%20232,260.4%20232,243.9%20184.8,243.9%20184.8,140%20'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st2'%20d='M253.8,180.3v-49.6c0-7.5-3-10.5-10.3-10.5h-87.6c-7.2,0-10.2,3.1-10.2,10.5v139.4c0,7.5,3,10.5,10.2,10.5%20h87.6c7.3,0,10.3-3.1,10.3-10.5v-49.7h-17.4v44.9H163V135.5h73.5v44.8L253.8,180.3L253.8,180.3z'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M232,239.2V140h-41.9l-0.4,99.2h16.7l0.3-30.9h8.5l-0.1,30.9H232z%20M215.1,191.7h-8.4v-35.2h8.4V191.7z'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e) | 8 | Clippers | |||
Friday, February 7, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Spurs | |||
| 25 | Hornets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
%20--%3e%3csvg%20version='1.1'%20id='Layer_1'%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20xmlns:xlink='http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink'%20x='0px'%20y='0px'%20viewBox='0%200%20400%20400'%20style='enable-background:new%200%200%20400%20400;'%20xml:space='preserve'%3e%3cstyle%20type='text/css'%3e%20.st0{fill:%23BC945C;}%20.st1{fill:%23860038;}%20%3c/style%3e%3cg%3e%3cpath%20class='st0'%20d='M356.2,121.3V98.4l-5.6-5.7c-72-68.5-226.2,21.4-278.6,64.8l-25.9,40.1l32.2-8c-49.4,62-31.8,102.7-29.7,106.9%20c5.2,14.6,17.1,26.3,36.3,34c14.6,5.8,31.2,6.6,45.4,5.9c61.4-2.9,134-41.2,180.9-81.9l1.1-0.9l9.3-47.1l-18.2,10.1%20c-63.3,27.8-114.2,43.2-114.2,43.2c-33.3,10.4-48.6,12.1-59.5,9.5l-1.3-0.4c-3-1.2-3.5-3.9-3.5-4.6c-0.5-20.8,35.4-65.6,53.4-85%20c16.8-18.1,43.3-37.9,65.7-47.3c15-6.3,24.7-8.8,29.2-8.4c-1.2,3.9-3.3,8.7-6.2,14.5c0,0-24,47.3-25,49.2L356.2,121.3z'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M213.9,118c-20.6,10.9-44.3,32.8-51.7,40.7C101.8,223,59.5,309,191.7,267.8c0,0,51.4-15.6,115.2-43.6%20C126.3,376.8-44.2,313,123.6,152.5c-15.3,3.5-30.7,6.8-45.8,11c53.7-44.5,201.1-127.4,266.9-64.8l-70.3,43.1%20C304.6,82.7,250.2,96.6,213.9,118'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e) | 4 | Cavaliers | |||
| 30 | Wizards | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bucks | |||
| 21 | Hawks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Heat | |||
 | 23 | Nets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 76ers | |||
| 27 | Pistons | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Raptors | |||
| 2 | Thunder | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Jazz | |||
| 13 | Suns | |||
Thursday, February 6, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | |||
| 1 | Celtics | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | |||
| 12 | Timberwolves | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Magic | |||
| 11 | Nuggets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Warriors | |||
| 19 | Lakers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Kings | |||
| 28 | Trail Blazers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pacers | |||
| 9 | Clippers | |||
Wednesday, February 5, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bucks | |||
| 25 | Hornets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | |||
| 26 | Pistons | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Spurs | |||
| 21 | Hawks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | |||
| 24 | Nets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Heat | |||
| 16 | 76ers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Grizzlies | |||
| 23 | Raptors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | |||
| 11 | Timberwolves | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Suns | |||
| 2 | Thunder | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Warriors | |||
| 29 | Jazz | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pelicans | |||
| 12 | Nuggets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Magic | |||
| 15 | Kings | |||
Tuesday, February 4, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | |||
| 4 | Cavaliers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | |||
| 24 | Nets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | |||
| 16 | 76ers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Knicks | |||
| 23 | Raptors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Heat | |||
| 26 | Bulls | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Lakers | |||
| 9 | Clippers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pacers | |||
| 28 | Trail Blazers | |||
Monday, February 3, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | |||
| 25 | Hornets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hawks | |||
| 27 | Pistons | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | |||
| 7 | Knicks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Spurs | |||
| 10 | Grizzlies | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Kings | |||
| 12 | Timberwolves | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bucks | |||
| 2 | Thunder | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pelicans | |||
| 11 | Nuggets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pacers | |||
| 29 | Jazz | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Magic | |||
| 5 | Warriors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Suns | |||
| 28 | Trail Blazers | |||
Sunday, February 2, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bulls | |||
| 27 | Pistons | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | |||
| 4 | Cavaliers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Clippers | |||
| 23 | Raptors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | |||
| 16 | 76ers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Grizzlies | |||
| 14 | Bucks | |||
Saturday, February 1, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hawks | |||
| 19 | Pacers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Magic | |||
| 29 | Jazz | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | |||
| 24 | Hornets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Nets | |||
| 8 | Rockets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | |||
| 11 | Timberwolves | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Kings | |||
| 2 | Thunder | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Lakers | |||
| 7 | Knicks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Heat | |||
| 18 | Spurs | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Suns | |||
| 28 | Trail Blazers | |||
Friday, January 31, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Clippers | |||
| 26 | Hornets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | |||
| 27 | Pistons | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nuggets | |||
| 16 | 76ers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bulls | |||
| 23 | Raptors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | |||
| 22 | Pelicans | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bucks | |||
| 18 | Spurs | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Suns | |||
| 4 | Warriors | |||
Thursday, January 30, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Lakers | |||
| 30 | Wizards | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hawks | |||
| 4 | Cavaliers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | |||
| 10 | Grizzlies | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Timberwolves | |||
| 29 | Jazz | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Magic | |||
| 28 | Trail Blazers | |||
Wednesday, January 29, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Nets | |||
| 25 | Hornets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pistons | |||
| 20 | Pacers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Raptors | |||
| 30 | Wizards | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | |||
| 1 | Celtics | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | |||
| 17 | Heat | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nuggets | |||
| 7 | Knicks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Kings | |||
| 16 | 76ers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | |||
| 22 | Pelicans | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Clippers | |||
| 18 | Spurs | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Timberwolves | |||
| 13 | Suns | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | |||
| 6 | Warriors | |||
Tuesday, January 28, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Lakers | |||
| 15 | 76ers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Jazz | |||
| 4 | Warriors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bucks | |||
| 28 | Trail Blazers | |||
Monday, January 27, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Lakers | |||
| 25 | Hornets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pistons | |||
| 5 | Cavaliers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | |||
| 1 | Celtics | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Kings | |||
| 24 | Nets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Magic | |||
| 17 | Heat | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Grizzlies | |||
| 7 | Knicks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pelicans | |||
| 23 | Raptors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | |||
| 26 | Bulls | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hawks | |||
| 12 | Timberwolves | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | |||
| 3 | Mavericks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bucks | |||
| 29 | Jazz | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Clippers | |||
| 14 | Suns | |||