Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, February 10, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	23	Blazers	31%	113	117	114.7	102	100.2
	9	Nuggets	69%	121	146	146.0	100	101.8

Scoring Opportunities

POR

+15

-16

101

DEN

-8

100

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.16 57.9%

DEN

1.45 72.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

23 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Deni Avdija #8 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 24	33.7	16	57%	6	8	1	0	2	4	2	4	4-6	67%	3-8	38%	2-4	50%
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 26	32.4	17	61%	0	4	0	0	3	2	0	0	4-4	100%	2-6	33%	3-7	43%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 25	30.9	6	43%	6	2	2	1	3	3	2	4	0-0	-	0-3	0%	2-4	50%
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 21	24.9	6	60%	2	3	0	0	1	1	0	2	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	1-4	25%
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 27	18.6	10	56%	0	0	0	1	2	4	0	0	0-0	-	5-9	56%	0-0	-

Dalano Banton #5 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 25	28.0	22	55%	1	6	0	1	2	0	1	0	7-9	78%	3-9	33%	3-7	43%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 21	21.1	21	105%	7	0	0	1	1	4	2	5	4-4	100%	7-7	100%	1-1	100%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 22	20.4	11	50%	3	1	1	0	1	1	2	1	0-0	-	4-5	80%	1-6	17%
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 23	15.0	5	50%	5	1	0	0	0	1	0	5	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Rayan Rupert #21 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 21	10.8	0	0%	3	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 29	4.2	3	75%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 31	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 24	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Quad; Contusion
Sidy Cissoko #25 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Justin Minaya #10 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	58%	33	25	4	4	16	20	10	23	22-26	85%	25-51	49%	15-37	41%

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23 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Deni Avdija #8 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 24	33.7	16	57%	6	8	1	0	2	4	2	4	4-6	67%	3-8	38%	2-4	50%
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 26	32.4	17	61%	0	4	0	0	3	2	0	0	4-4	100%	2-6	33%	3-7	43%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 25	30.9	6	43%	6	2	2	1	3	3	2	4	0-0	-	0-3	0%	2-4	50%
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 21	24.9	6	60%	2	3	0	0	1	1	0	2	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	1-4	25%
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 27	18.6	10	56%	0	0	0	1	2	4	0	0	0-0	-	5-9	56%	0-0	-

Dalano Banton #5 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 25	28.0	22	55%	1	6	0	1	2	0	1	0	7-9	78%	3-9	33%	3-7	43%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 21	21.1	21	105%	7	0	0	1	1	4	2	5	4-4	100%	7-7	100%	1-1	100%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 22	20.4	11	50%	3	1	1	0	1	1	2	1	0-0	-	4-5	80%	1-6	17%
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 23	15.0	5	50%	5	1	0	0	0	1	0	5	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Rayan Rupert #21 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 21	10.8	0	0%	3	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 29	4.2	3	75%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 31	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 24	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Quad; Contusion
Sidy Cissoko #25 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Justin Minaya #10 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	58%	33	25	4	4	16	20	10	23	22-26	85%	25-51	49%	15-37	41%

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9 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Christian Braun #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	37.5	26	87%	6	2	0	1	1	2	1	5	2-2	100%	12-14	86%	0-0	-
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	34.7	18	64%	4	3	1	0	0	4	0	4	0-0	-	6-8	75%	2-6	33%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 30	30.8	40	80%	7	8	3	1	5	2	1	6	8-8	100%	13-15	87%	2-7	29%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 28	28.9	17	85%	2	8	2	0	1	4	0	2	2-3	67%	6-8	75%	1-2	50%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	24.5	9	75%	2	7	1	0	0	1	1	1	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	1-1	100%

Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 25	29.3	14	70%	3	9	2	0	0	0	0	3	1-1	100%	5-6	83%	1-4	25%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24	18.9	11	92%	5	3	1	0	0	3	1	4	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	1-1	100%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 37	13.1	5	83%	2	2	1	0	0	2	0	2	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	9.9	0	0%	3	1	0	0	1	2	2	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 22	4.2	4	50%	4	0	0	0	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
PJ Hall #13 · C · 6'8" 245 · 23	4.2	2	100%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	4.2	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Dario Šarić #9 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Russell Westbrook #4 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery Rehabilitation
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Tightness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	146	72%	38	44	12	2	8	23	6	32	18-20	90%	52-66	79%	8-25	32%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	POR	DEN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.16 57.9%

DEN

1.45 72.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

60%

DEN

80%

Midrange

POR

25%

DEN

76%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

22.5

41%

61%

DEN

12.0

32%

48%

Free Throws

POR

85%

DEN

90%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Banton	22	55%	11.0 / 20
D. Clingan	21	105%	10.5 / 10
A. Simons	17	61%	8.5 / 14
D. Avdija	16	57%	8.0 / 14
S. Sharpe	11	50%	5.5 / 11
D. Ayton	10	56%	5.0 / 9
T. Camara	6	43%	3.0 / 7
S. Henderson	6	60%	3.0 / 5
J. Walker	5	50%	2.5 / 5
D. Reath	3	75%	1.5 / 2
R. Rupert	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	40	80%	20.0 / 25
C. Braun	26	87%	13.0 / 15
J. Strawther	18	64%	9.0 / 14
J. Murray	17	85%	8.5 / 10
J. Pickett	14	70%	7.0 / 10
Z. Nnaji	11	92%	5.5 / 6
A. Gordon	9	75%	4.5 / 6
D. Jordan	5	83%	2.5 / 3
T. Alexander	4	50%	2.0 / 4
P. Hall	2	100%	1.0 / 1
H. Tyson	0	-	0.0 / 3
S. Jones	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	23 110.9 4 118.9	POR 114.7 DEN 146.0 +31.3
Pace	16 99.5 8 100.6	POR 100.2 DEN 101.8 +1.6
Avg. Poss. Time	19 14.3 22 14.2	POR 14.4 DEN 14.1 −0.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	25 52.1% 2 57.3%	POR 54.0% DEN 70.3% +16.3%
TO %	29 15.1% 15 13.3%	POR 13.9% DEN 9.1% −4.8%
ORB %	2 29.2% 7 26.7%	POR 23.8% +3.1% DEN 20.7%
FTrt	13 24.6 5 25.9	POR 29.5 +7.5 DEN 22.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	28 58.7% 4 68.3%	POR 62.5% DEN 73.3% +10.8%
STL %	13 8.2% 19 7.9%	POR 3.9% DEN 12.0% +8.1%
BLK %	9 10.0% 21 9.0%	POR 6.1% +2.2% DEN 3.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	23 54.1% 2 58.8%	POR 57.9% DEN 72.3% +14.4%
Rim FG%	27 60.7% 7 66.2%	POR 60.0% DEN 80.0% +20.0%
Mid FG%	28 39.1% 8 45.5%	POR 25.0% DEN 76.2% +51.2%
3P %	26 34.2% 5 37.6%	POR 40.5% +8.5% DEN 32.0%
FT %	26 76.2% 23 77.0%	POR 84.6% DEN 90.0% +5.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	2 36.6% 1 38.3%	POR 39.8% DEN 49.5% +9.7%
Mid Att. %	3 21.6% 13 26.1%	POR 18.2% −4.9% DEN 23.1%
3P Att. %	17 41.8% 30 35.6%	POR 42.0% +14.6% DEN 27.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Game Totals	POR	DEN
Possessions	102	100
Possession Minutes	24.4	23.6
Points	117	146
Rebounds	33	38
Assists	25	44
Steals	4	12
Blocks	4	2
Turnovers (Team)	16 (0)	8 (2)
Fouls	20	23
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (5)	6 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	23 (1)	32 (4)
Field Goals	40-88	60-91
At-the-Rim FG	21-35	36-45
Midrange FG	4-16	16-21
2-Point FG	25-51	52-66
3-Point FG	15-37	8-25
Free Throws	22-26	18-20
Fast Break Pts	12	29
2nd Chance Pts	12	16
Points in Paint	46	88
Pts off Turnovers	7	28
Bench Points	62	36
Biggest Lead	2	32

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg