Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, February 10, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	16	Kings	43%	114	129	117.3	110	103.2
	14	Mavericks	57%	117	128	115.3	111	97.1

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

+17

-20

107

DAL

100

-11

109

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.21 60.3%

DAL

1.17 58.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

16 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Malik Monk #0 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 27	42.8	17	45%	3	8	0	1	4	3	2	1	3-4	75%	7-13	54%	0-4	0%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 29	41.8	16	67%	15	8	0	0	3	3	3	12	2-5	40%	7-10	70%	0-0	-
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 36	38.6	42	84%	7	3	0	0	1	2	0	7	8-8	100%	11-16	69%	4-6	67%
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 30	38.4	17	47%	4	4	1	0	5	4	0	4	0-0	-	7-12	58%	1-6	17%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 24	29.9	11	50%	5	3	2	1	0	2	1	4	0-0	-	4-7	57%	1-4	25%

Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 25	32.4	8	80%	6	1	0	1	2	1	1	5	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-4	50%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	17.6	13	65%	8	0	0	0	4	6	6	2	1-2	50%	6-9	67%	0-0	-
Jake LaRavia #33 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 23	13.3	2	100%	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 29	10.1	3	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Isaac Jones #3 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mason Jones #15 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jae Crowder #99 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Daishen Nix #18 · PG · 6'3" 226 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Isaiah Crawford #24 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	129	60%	50	28	3	3	20	22	13	37	14-19	74%	44-70	63%	9-26	35%

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16 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Malik Monk #0 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 27	42.8	17	45%	3	8	0	1	4	3	2	1	3-4	75%	7-13	54%	0-4	0%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 29	41.8	16	67%	15	8	0	0	3	3	3	12	2-5	40%	7-10	70%	0-0	-
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 36	38.6	42	84%	7	3	0	0	1	2	0	7	8-8	100%	11-16	69%	4-6	67%
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 30	38.4	17	47%	4	4	1	0	5	4	0	4	0-0	-	7-12	58%	1-6	17%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 24	29.9	11	50%	5	3	2	1	0	2	1	4	0-0	-	4-7	57%	1-4	25%

Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 25	32.4	8	80%	6	1	0	1	2	1	1	5	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-4	50%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	17.6	13	65%	8	0	0	0	4	6	6	2	1-2	50%	6-9	67%	0-0	-
Jake LaRavia #33 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 23	13.3	2	100%	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 29	10.1	3	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Isaac Jones #3 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mason Jones #15 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jae Crowder #99 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Daishen Nix #18 · PG · 6'3" 226 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Isaiah Crawford #24 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	129	60%	50	28	3	3	20	22	13	37	14-19	74%	44-70	63%	9-26	35%

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14 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyrie Irving #11 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 33	43.8	30	54%	9	7	3	0	1	3	2	7	6-7	86%	9-18	50%	2-7	29%
Klay Thompson #31 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 35	26.5	19	63%	2	1	0	1	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	5-10	50%
Kessler Edwards #20 · PF · 6'8" 203 · 25	25.6	6	60%	1	1	2	2	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Danté Exum #0 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 30	18.5	5	36%	2	6	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-4	0%	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 26	10.2	4	100%	3	2	0	0	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-

Max Christie #00 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 22	34.7	15	68%	4	3	2	1	2	1	0	4	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	3-7	43%
Spencer Dinwiddie #26 · PG · 6'5" 215 · 32	34.3	20	63%	2	5	2	0	3	4	0	2	1-3	33%	5-10	50%	3-6	50%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #8 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 23	34.0	16	73%	4	1	1	0	0	0	2	2	4-4	100%	6-8	75%	0-2	0%
Naji Marshall #13 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 27	27.1	9	75%	6	5	1	0	1	4	0	6	2-4	50%	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Jaden Hardy #1 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 23	9.1	4	67%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Kylor Kelley #50 · C · 7'0" 215 · 27	1.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Brandon Williams #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Stress Fracture
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Strain
Anthony Davis #3 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Strain
P.J. Washington #25 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	128	59%	33	31	11	4	11	19	5	28	15-24	63%	34-58	59%	15-37	41%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	DAL
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	DAL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.21 60.3%

DAL

1.17 58.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

73%

DAL

71%

Midrange

SAC

48%

DAL

44%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

13.5

35%

52%

DAL

22.5

41%

61%

Free Throws

SAC

74%

DAL

63%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan	42	84%	21.0 / 25
M. Monk	17	45%	8.5 / 19
Z. LaVine	17	47%	8.5 / 18
D. Sabonis	16	67%	8.0 / 12
J. Valančiūnas	13	65%	6.5 / 10
K. Murray	11	50%	5.5 / 11
K. Ellis	8	80%	4.0 / 5
T. Lyles	3	50%	1.5 / 3
J. LaRavia	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Irving	30	54%	15.0 / 28
S. Dinwiddie	20	63%	10.0 / 16
K. Thompson	19	63%	9.5 / 15
O. Prosper	16	73%	8.0 / 11
M. Christie	15	68%	7.5 / 11
N. Marshall	9	75%	4.5 / 6
K. Edwards	6	60%	3.0 / 5
D. Exum	5	36%	2.5 / 7
D. Gafford	4	100%	2.0 / 2
J. Hardy	4	67%	2.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	7 115.9 18 113.6	SAC 117.3 +2.0 DAL 115.3
Pace	19 98.9 11 100.3	SAC 103.2 +6.1 DAL 97.1
Avg. Poss. Time	15 14.4 16 14.4	SAC 14.0 −0.9 DAL 14.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	15 54.8% 14 54.9%	SAC 59.9% +0.4% DAL 59.5%
TO %	6 12.6% 12 13.2%	SAC 16.8% DAL 11.0% −5.8%
ORB %	16 25.4% 23 23.4%	SAC 31.7% +19.8% DAL 11.9%
FTrt	21 23.5 4 26.3	SAC 19.8 DAL 25.3 +5.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	22 61.5% 27 60.1%	SAC 52.8% DAL 63.3% +10.5%
STL %	23 7.6% 22 7.7%	SAC 2.7% DAL 9.9% +7.2%
BLK %	23 8.8% 10 9.7%	SAC 5.2% DAL 5.7% +0.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	15 56.8% 14 56.9%	SAC 60.3% +1.6% DAL 58.7%
Rim FG%	2 67.6% 8 66.0%	SAC 73.2% +2.2% DAL 71.0%
Mid FG%	4 46.0% 15 43.7%	SAC 48.3% +3.9% DAL 44.4%
3P %	19 35.7% 15 36.4%	SAC 34.6% DAL 40.5% +5.9%
FT %	4 80.6% 24 77.0%	SAC 73.7% +11.2% DAL 62.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	28 26.8% 16 31.4%	SAC 42.7% +10.1% DAL 32.6%
Mid Att. %	29 34.1% 27 29.6%	SAC 30.2% DAL 28.4% −1.8%
3P Att. %	23 39.1% 24 38.9%	SAC 27.1% DAL 38.9% +11.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.29 and 2.29.

Game Totals	SAC	DAL
Possessions	110	111
Possession Minutes	25.6	27.4
Points	129	128
Rebounds	50	33
Assists	28	31
Steals	3	11
Blocks	3	4
Turnovers (Team)	20 (1)	11 (2)
Fouls	22	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (4)	5 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	37 (4)	28 (1)
Field Goals	53-96	49-95
At-the-Rim FG	30-41	22-31
Midrange FG	14-29	12-27
2-Point FG	44-70	34-58
3-Point FG	9-26	15-37
Free Throws	14-19	15-24
Fast Break Pts	17	24
2nd Chance Pts	18	5
Points in Paint	74	66
Pts off Turnovers	15	36
Bench Points	26	64
Biggest Lead	9	12

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg