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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 10, 2025
8:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Kings43%114129
14Mavericks57%117128
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 35.5
38.6
32.2
42
82%
7
3
0
1
0
1
0
7
8-8
100%
11-16
6-11
69%
51%
4-6
67%
Keegan Murray
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.5
29.9
33.1
11
50%
5
3
2
1
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
4-7
3-5
57%
56%
1-4
25%
Domantas Sabonis
C-F · 6'10" 252 · 28.8
41.8
31.9
16
66%
15
8
0
1
0
3
3
12
2-5
40%
7-10
6-9
70%
61%
0-0
-
Zach LaVine
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.9
38.4
33.6
17
47%
4
4
1
1
0
5
0
4
0-0
-
7-12
5-9
58%
52%
1-6
17%
Malik Monk
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.0
42.8
32.1
17
45%
3
8
0
1
1
4
2
1
3-4
75%
7-13
5-9
54%
54%
0-4
0%
Keon Ellis
G · 6'6" 175 · 25.1
32.4
27.2
8
80%
6
1
0
2
1
2
1
5
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
58%
2-4
50%
Jonas Valančiūnas
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.8
17.6
17.3
13
66%
8
0
0
0
0
4
6
2
1-2
50%
6-9
4-6
67%
56%
0-0
-
Jake LaRavia
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.3
13.3
12.0
2
100%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 29.3
10.1
13.7
3
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
56%
1-2
50%
Isaac Jones
F · 6'9" 245 · 24.6
8.0
0
1-2
56%
Mason Jones
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.6
3.0
0
0-1
51%
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 33.1
2.7
0
0-0
53%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 34.6
2.5
0
0-0
52%
Daishen Nix
G · 6'3" 226 · 23.0
1.1
0
0-0
42%
Devin Carter
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.9
Isaiah Crawford
F · 6'6" 220 · 23.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 35.0
26.5
23.5
19
63%
2
1
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
51%
5-10
50%
Kessler Edwards
F · 6'7" 203 · 24.5
25.6
10.1
6
60%
1
1
2
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-1
75%
51%
0-1
0%
Daniel Gafford
F-C · 6'11" 238 · 26.4
10.2
26.9
4
100%
3
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
6-8
100%
70%
0-0
-
Danté Exum
G · 6'6" 190 · 29.6
18.5
19.0
5
37%
2
6
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-4
0%
1-3
2-3
33%
52%
1-2
50%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 32.9
43.8
38.0
30
53%
9
7
3
1
0
1
2
7
6-7
86%
9-18
6-12
50%
55%
2-7
29%
Max Christie
G · 6'6" 190 · 22.0
34.7
30.0
15
69%
4
3
2
1
1
2
0
4
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
52%
3-7
43%
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 31.8
34.2
24.7
20
58%
2
5
2
1
0
3
0
2
1-3
33%
5-10
2-4
50%
50%
3-6
50%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.6
34.0
9.5
16
68%
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
2
4-4
100%
6-8
1-2
75%
53%
0-2
0%
Naji Marshall
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.0
27.1
24.5
9
78%
6
5
1
1
0
1
0
6
2-4
50%
2-3
3-6
67%
56%
1-1
100%
Jaden Hardy
G · 6'4" 198 · 22.6
9.1
6.3
4
67%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
49%
0-1
0%
Kylor Kelley
C · 7'0" 215 · 27.5
1.3
5.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
58%
0-0
-
Brandon Williams
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.2
4.5
0
1-1
49%
Dereck Lively II
C · 7'1" 230 · 21.0
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 33.6
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 31.9
Caleb Martin
F · 6'7" 205 · 29.4
P.J. Washington
F · 6'7" 236 · 26.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.