Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	6	Warriors	64%	117	125	120.2	104	102.4
	21	Bucks	36%	112	111	105.7	105	106.7

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 37	34.0	38	70%	6	4	0	0	2	0	0	6	8-9	89%	6-8	75%	6-16	38%
Moses Moody #4 · SF · 6'5" 211 · 23	33.0	13	59%	3	1	3	1	1	2	0	3	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	1-5	20%
Draymond Green #23 · C · 6'6" 230 · 35	32.2	6	33%	3	5	5	1	1	5	1	2	2-4	50%	2-4	50%	0-3	0%
Jimmy Butler III #10 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 35	31.4	20	53%	9	6	4	0	1	4	6	3	12-15	80%	4-10	40%	0-2	0%
Buddy Hield #7 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 32	30.2	16	53%	7	1	2	0	3	4	1	6	0-0	-	5-7	71%	2-8	25%

Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 22	32.1	9	38%	9	3	2	0	0	0	2	7	2-4	50%	2-5	40%	1-5	20%
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 25	15.1	13	108%	4	1	0	0	0	1	2	2	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	3-4	75%
Kevon Looney #5 · PF · 6'9" 222 · 29	12.2	4	33%	5	2	0	0	1	3	3	2	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Gary Payton II #0 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 32	9.9	4	100%	0	3	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 23	6.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jackson Rowe #44 · PF · 6'6" 210 · 28	1.2	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 29	1.2	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 25	1.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jonathan Kuminga #00 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	56%	48	27	16	2	9	23	15	33	30-38	79%	28-48	58%	13-45	29%

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6 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 37	34.0	38	70%	6	4	0	0	2	0	0	6	8-9	89%	6-8	75%	6-16	38%
Moses Moody #4 · SF · 6'5" 211 · 23	33.0	13	59%	3	1	3	1	1	2	0	3	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	1-5	20%
Draymond Green #23 · C · 6'6" 230 · 35	32.2	6	33%	3	5	5	1	1	5	1	2	2-4	50%	2-4	50%	0-3	0%
Jimmy Butler III #10 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 35	31.4	20	53%	9	6	4	0	1	4	6	3	12-15	80%	4-10	40%	0-2	0%
Buddy Hield #7 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 32	30.2	16	53%	7	1	2	0	3	4	1	6	0-0	-	5-7	71%	2-8	25%

Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 22	32.1	9	38%	9	3	2	0	0	0	2	7	2-4	50%	2-5	40%	1-5	20%
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 25	15.1	13	108%	4	1	0	0	0	1	2	2	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	3-4	75%
Kevon Looney #5 · PF · 6'9" 222 · 29	12.2	4	33%	5	2	0	0	1	3	3	2	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Gary Payton II #0 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 32	9.9	4	100%	0	3	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 23	6.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jackson Rowe #44 · PF · 6'6" 210 · 28	1.2	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 29	1.2	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 25	1.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jonathan Kuminga #00 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	56%	48	27	16	2	9	23	15	33	30-38	79%	28-48	58%	13-45	29%

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21 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 35	38.9	38	76%	5	7	1	0	10	2	0	5	11-13	85%	9-11	82%	3-9	33%
Kyle Kuzma #18 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 30	33.7	21	70%	6	0	0	0	2	3	2	4	9-13	69%	6-8	75%	0-1	0%
Taurean Prince #12 · SF · 6'6" 218 · 31	32.4	19	95%	8	2	0	0	1	2	0	8	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	5-7	71%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 37	24.9	6	60%	4	3	0	3	2	3	1	3	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 23	13.2	4	40%	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%

Gary Trent Jr. #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 26	28.5	7	44%	2	1	0	1	1	3	0	2	0-2	0%	2-2	100%	1-5	20%
Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	26.4	7	29%	7	1	1	0	1	6	1	6	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	0-4	0%
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 25	21.8	5	31%	2	0	0	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-4	25%
Kevin Porter Jr. #3 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 25	10.2	2	100%	1	2	1	0	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Ryan Rollins #13 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 23	6.6	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 32	3.5	0	0%	0	1	1	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Chris Livingston #7 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tyler Smith #21 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jericho Sims #00 · C · 6'10" 250 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Stanley Umude #17 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 26	INACTIVE
Liam Robbins #15 · C · 7'0" 250 · 26	INACTIVE
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	59%	37	18	5	4	20	25	5	32	25-34	74%	28-43	65%	10-33	30%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	MIL
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	MIL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.13 56.3%

MIL

1.18 59.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

GSW

22

33

67%

MIL

15

20

75%

Midrange

GSW

6

15

40%

MIL

13

23

57%

3PT | Effective 3PT

GSW

13

19.5

45

29%

43%

MIL

10

15.0

33

30%

45%

Free Throws

GSW

30

38

79%

MIL

25

34

74%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Curry	38	70%	19.0 / 27
J. Butler	20	53%	10.0 / 19
B. Hield	16	53%	8.0 / 15
M. Moody	13	59%	6.5 / 11
Q. Post	13	108%	6.5 / 6
B. Podziemski	9	38%	4.5 / 12
D. Green	6	33%	3.0 / 9
K. Looney	4	33%	2.0 / 6
G. Payton	4	100%	2.0 / 2
J. Rowe	2	50%	1.0 / 2
G. Santos	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Lillard	38	76%	19.0 / 25
K. Kuzma	21	70%	10.5 / 15
T. Prince	19	95%	9.5 / 10
G. Trent	7	44%	3.5 / 8
B. Portis	7	29%	3.5 / 12
B. Lopez	6	60%	3.0 / 5
A. Green	5	31%	2.5 / 8
A. Jackson	4	40%	2.0 / 5
K. Porter	2	100%	1.0 / 1
R. Rollins	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	16 114.2 10 115.2	GSW 120.2 +14.5 MIL 105.7
Pace	17 99.4 14 99.9	GSW 102.4 MIL 106.7 +4.3
Avg. Poss. Time	18 14.3 14 14.6	GSW 14.1 MIL 13.5 −0.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	20 53.6% 3 56.8%	GSW 51.1% MIL 56.6% +5.5%
TO %	13 13.2% 7 12.7%	GSW 7.6% −10.4% MIL 18.0%
ORB %	5 27.3% 30 19.3%	GSW 31.9% +18.7% MIL 13.2%
FTrt	14 24.4 3 26.8	GSW 40.9 MIL 44.7 +3.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 71.4% 23 60.7%	GSW 65.9% +18.5% MIL 47.4%
STL %	3 9.4% 27 7.3%	GSW 15.4% +10.6% MIL 4.8%
BLK %	13 9.5% 20 9.1%	GSW 4.7% MIL 8.3% +3.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	21 55.3% 3 58.6%	GSW 56.3% MIL 59.0% +2.7%
Rim FG%	21 62.7% 5 66.9%	GSW 66.7% MIL 75.0% +8.3%
Mid FG%	25 39.9% 13 44.1%	GSW 40.0% MIL 56.5% +16.5%
3P %	16 36.4% 1 38.7%	GSW 28.9% MIL 30.3% +1.4%
FT %	25 76.3% 28 75.0%	GSW 78.9% +5.4% MIL 73.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	23 30.1% 24 30.0%	GSW 35.5% +9.2% MIL 26.3%
Mid Att. %	7 23.1% 21 27.5%	GSW 16.1% −14.1% MIL 30.3%
3P Att. %	2 46.9% 15 42.4%	GSW 48.4% +5.0% MIL 43.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	GSW	MIL
Possessions	104	105
Possession Minutes	24.4	23.6
Points	125	111
Rebounds	48	37
Assists	27	18
Steals	16	5
Blocks	2	4
Turnovers (Team)	9 (0)	20 (0)
Fouls	23	25
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (1)	5 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (1)	32 (5)
Field Goals	41-93	38-76
At-the-Rim FG	22-33	15-20
Midrange FG	6-15	13-23
2-Point FG	28-48	28-43
3-Point FG	13-45	10-33
Free Throws	30-38	25-34
Fast Break Pts	15	10
2nd Chance Pts	11	7
Points in Paint	50	40
Pts off Turnovers	31	2
Bench Points	32	23
Biggest Lead	19	5

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg