for complete access.
All Games Sunday, March 23, 2025
FinalWin Prob.pScore
25
Hornets
36%106
105
17
Heat
64%111
122
ORTG#PossPace
CHA logo CHA
109.49697.8
MIA logo MIA
128.49593.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHAMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.105
0%
122
100%
Q4 - 0:19.3HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)105
0%
122
100%
Q4 - 0:43.8HornetsKJ Simpson turnover (lost ball) (Davion Mitchell steals)105
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.4HeatDavion Mitchell makes two point driving layup105
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 1:08HornetsNick Smith Jr. makes three point jump shot (Miles Bridges assists)105
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 1:15HeatBam Adebayo makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)102
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 1:36HornetsMiles Bridges makes two point driving layup102
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 1:53HeatAndrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 3 of 3100
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 1:53HeatAndrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 3100
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 1:53HeatAndrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 3100
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:53HornetsTidjane Salaun shooting foul (Andrew Wiggins draws the foul)100
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 2:10HornetsNick Smith Jr. makes three point pullup jump shot100
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 2:16HornetsTidjane Salaun defensive rebound97
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 2:18HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot97
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 2:35HornetsMiles Bridges makes two point tip layup97
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 2:35HornetsMiles Bridges offensive rebound95
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 2:39HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point stepback jump shot95
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 2:43HornetsTidjane Salaun offensive rebound95
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 2:47HornetsMiles Bridges misses three point jump shot95
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 3:10HeatAndrew Wiggins makes two point stepback jump shot95
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 3:27HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound95
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 3:30HornetsMiles Bridges misses three point jump shot95
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 3:39HeatAndrew Wiggins personal foul (LaMelo Ball draws the foul)95
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q4 - 3:47HeatAndrew Wiggins makes two point driving floating jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)95
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q4 - 3:57HornetsTidjane Salaun turnover (lost ball) (Andrew Wiggins steals)95
0.3%
110
99.7%
Q4 - 4:15HornetsMiles Bridges defensive rebound95
0.4%
110
99.6%
Q4 - 4:20HeatDavion Mitchell misses three point jump shot95
0.4%
110
99.6%
Q4 - 4:41HornetsLaMelo Ball makes regular free throw 1 of 195
0.3%
110
99.7%
Q4 - 4:41HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (LaMelo Ball draws the foul)94
0.3%
110
99.7%
Q4 - 4:49HeatDavion Mitchell makes two point running layup92
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 4:52HornetsMiles Bridges turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)92
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 5:09HeatDavion Mitchell turnover (out of bounds bad pass)92
0.5%
108
99.5%
Q4 - 5:17HornetsMiles Bridges makes two point alley-oop dunk (LaMelo Ball assists)92
0.4%
108
99.6%
Q4 - 5:28HeatAndrew Wiggins makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)90
0.3%
108
99.7%
Q4 - 5:33HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound90
0.5%
105
99.5%
Q4 - 5:38HornetsHaywood Highsmith blocks LaMelo Ball's two point driving floating jump shot90
0.6%
105
99.4%
Q4 - 5:51HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot90
0.7%
105
99.3%
Q4 - 6:04HornetsDaQuan Jeffries personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)90
1.5%
103
98.5%
Q4 - 6:17HornetsMiles Bridges makes regular free throw 1 of 190
1.5%
103
98.5%
Q4 - 6:17HeatDavion Mitchell shooting foul (Miles Bridges draws the foul)89
1.4%
103
98.6%
Q4 - 6:22HornetsMiles Bridges defensive rebound87
0.9%
103
99.1%
Q4 - 6:25HeatAlec Burks misses three point stepback jump shot87
0.8%
103
99.2%
Q4 - 6:48HornetsMark Williams makes two point turnaround hook shot (LaMelo Ball assists)87
0.6%
103
99.4%
Q4 - 7:04HeatAndrew Wiggins turnover (out of bounds bad pass)85
0.8%
103
99.2%
Q4 - 7:24HornetsNick Smith Jr. makes two point driving floating jump shot85
0.5%
103
99.5%
Q4 - 7:32HornetsDaQuan Jeffries defensive rebound83
0.4%
103
99.6%
Q4 - 7:34HeatAlec Burks misses three point jump shot83
0.4%
103
99.6%
Q4 - 7:47HornetsMoussa Diabate makes two point cutting layup (Miles Bridges assists)83
0.3%
103
99.7%
Q4 - 8:02HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 281
0.4%
103
99.6%
Q4 - 8:02HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 281
0.4%
102
99.6%
Q4 - 8:02HornetsKJ Simpson shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)81
0.4%
101
99.6%
Q4 - 8:18HornetsMiles Bridges makes two point putback layup81
0.4%
101
99.6%
Q4 - 8:18HornetsMiles Bridges offensive rebound79
0.4%
101
99.6%
Q4 - 8:19HornetsMiles Bridges misses two point tip layup79
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 8:19HornetsMiles Bridges offensive rebound79
0.4%
101
99.6%
Q4 - 8:20HornetsNick Smith Jr. misses two point driving floating jump shot79
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 8:35HornetsMiles Bridges defensive rebound79
0.4%
101
99.6%
Q4 - 8:38HeatAlec Burks misses three point pullup jump shot79
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 8:57HornetsMoussa Diabate makes two point driving layup (Nick Smith Jr. assists)79
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 9:02HeatAlec Burks turnover (bad pass) (Nick Smith Jr. steals)77
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 9:03HornetsNick Smith Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Tyler Herro steals)77
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 9:06HornetsMoussa Diabate offensive rebound77
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 9:07HornetsDaQuan Jeffries misses two point driving layup77
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 9:23HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 277
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 9:23HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 277
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 9:23HornetsDaQuan Jeffries shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)77
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 9:26HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound77
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 9:30HornetsMiles Bridges misses two point jump shot77
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 9:39HornetsHornets offensive rebound77
0.5%
99
99.5%
Q4 - 9:39HornetsNick Smith Jr. misses two point driving floating jump shot77
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 9:43HornetsNick Smith Jr. defensive rebound77
0.5%
99
99.5%
Q4 - 9:47HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot77
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 10:13HornetsMoussa Diabate makes two point cutting layup (KJ Simpson assists)77
0.5%
99
99.5%
Q4 - 10:17HornetsMoussa Diabate defensive rebound75
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 10:21HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point driving layup75
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 10:30HeatDavion Mitchell defensive rebound75
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 10:34HornetsMiles Bridges misses two point driving layup75
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 10:49HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds lost ball)75
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 11:06HornetsMiles Bridges turnover (out of bounds lost ball)75
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 11:29HeatAlec Burks makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)75
0.5%
99
99.5%
Q4 - 11:35HeatDavion Mitchell defensive rebound75
0.8%
96
99.2%
Q4 - 11:39HornetsKJ Simpson misses three point running jump shot75
0.8%
96
99.2%
Q4 - 11:45HeatDavion Mitchell turnover (bad pass) (Moussa Diabate steals)75
0.9%
96
99.1%
Q4 - 11:54HornetsKJ Simpson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)75
0.8%
96
99.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.75
0.9%
96
99.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0HornetsMiles Bridges offensive rebound75
1.2%
96
98.8%
Q3 - 0:02.0HornetsSeth Curry misses two point driving floating jump shot75
1.0%
96
99.0%
Q3 - 0:15.0HeatAlec Burks makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)75
1.2%
96
98.8%
Q3 - 0:36.0HeatHeat defensive rebound75
1.7%
93
98.3%
Q3 - 0:38.8HornetsMiles Bridges misses three point pullup jump shot75
1.8%
93
98.2%
Q3 - 0:58.0HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot75
2.0%
93
98.0%
Q3 - 1:15HornetsTidjane Salaun makes two point driving layup (Miles Bridges assists)75
2.9%
91
97.1%
Q3 - 1:30HornetsTidjane Salaun defensive rebound73
2.4%
91
97.6%
Q3 - 1:33HeatKel'el Ware misses three point jump shot73
2.3%
91
97.7%
Q3 - 1:47HornetsSeth Curry makes two point driving reverse layup73
2.0%
91
98.0%
Q3 - 1:52HornetsKJ Simpson offensive rebound71
1.7%
91
98.3%
Q3 - 1:56HornetsKel'el Ware blocks Jusuf Nurkic's two point driving reverse layup71
1.5%
91
98.5%
Q3 - 2:09HeatKel'el Ware makes two point pullup jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)71
2.0%
91
98.0%
Q3 - 2:22HornetsJusuf Nurkic makes regular free throw 2 of 271
2.4%
89
97.6%
Q3 - 2:22HornetsJusuf Nurkic misses regular free throw 1 of 270
2.3%
89
97.7%
Q3 - 2:22HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Jusuf Nurkic draws the foul)70
2.5%
89
97.5%
Q3 - 2:34HeatDavion Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 270
2.4%
89
97.6%
Q3 - 2:34HeatDavion Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 270
2.5%
88
97.5%
Q3 - 2:34HornetsTidjane Salaun shooting foul (Davion Mitchell draws the foul)70
2.6%
87
97.4%
Q3 - 2:37HornetsLaMelo Ball turnover (lost ball) (Davion Mitchell steals)70
2.8%
87
97.2%
Q3 - 2:43HornetsJusuf Nurkic defensive rebound70
3.3%
87
96.7%
Q3 - 2:46HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot70
3.2%
87
96.8%
Q3 - 2:53HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound70
2.8%
87
97.2%
Q3 - 2:56HornetsJusuf Nurkic misses two point driving layup70
2.9%
87
97.1%
Q3 - 3:05HornetsTidjane Salaun defensive rebound70
3.8%
87
96.2%
Q3 - 3:07HeatAndrew Wiggins misses two point driving layup70
3.5%
87
96.5%
Q3 - 3:21HornetsLaMelo Ball makes two point driving floating jump shot70
3.1%
87
96.9%
Q3 - 3:30HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot68
2.7%
87
97.3%
Q3 - 3:46HornetsJusuf Nurkic makes two point driving hook shot68
3.1%
85
96.9%
Q3 - 4:03HeatAndrew Wiggins makes two point stepback jump shot (Kel'el Ware assists)66
3.0%
85
97.0%
Q3 - 4:11HornetsJusuf Nurkic personal foul (Kel'el Ware draws the foul)66
3.5%
83
96.5%
Q3 - 4:24HornetsSeth Curry makes three point jump shot (Nick Smith Jr. assists)66
3.5%
83
96.5%
Q3 - 4:34HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Loose ball) (Nick Smith Jr. draws the foul)63
2.6%
83
97.4%
Q3 - 4:34HornetsHornets offensive rebound63
2.6%
83
97.4%
Q3 - 4:35HornetsNick Smith Jr. misses three point jump shot63
2.3%
83
97.7%
Q3 - 4:42HeatDavion Mitchell personal foul (Jusuf Nurkic draws the foul)63
2.6%
83
97.4%
Q3 - 4:55HeatAndrew Wiggins makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)63
2.6%
83
97.4%
Q3 - 5:03HeatDavion Mitchell defensive rebound63
3.8%
80
96.2%
Q3 - 5:03HornetsJusuf Nurkic misses two point driving bank hook shot63
4.0%
80
96.0%
Q3 - 5:05HornetsJusuf Nurkic offensive rebound63
4.5%
80
95.5%
Q3 - 5:10HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point stepback jump shot63
4.0%
80
96.0%
Q3 - 5:25HeatKel'el Ware makes two point cutting layup (Andrew Wiggins assists)63
4.5%
80
95.5%
Q3 - 5:47HornetsLaMelo Ball turnover (out of bounds bad pass)63
5.1%
78
94.9%
Q3 - 5:48HeatAndrew Wiggins personal foul (LaMelo Ball draws the foul)63
6.0%
78
94.0%
Q3 - 5:48HornetsLaMelo Ball offensive rebound63
6.0%
78
94.0%
Q3 - 5:48HornetsHaywood Highsmith blocks LaMelo Ball's two point driving layup63
5.3%
78
94.7%
Q3 - 6:03HeatAndrew Wiggins makes three point stepback jump shot (Kel'el Ware assists)63
6.4%
78
93.6%
Q3 - 6:18HornetsMark Williams turnover (out of bounds bad pass)63
8.3%
75
91.7%
Q3 - 6:40HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot63
9.6%
75
90.4%
Q3 - 6:59HornetsMark Williams makes two point tip layup63
10.8%
73
89.2%
Q3 - 6:59HornetsMark Williams offensive rebound61
9.6%
73
90.4%
Q3 - 7:00HornetsLaMelo Ball misses two point driving floating jump shot61
8.6%
73
91.4%
Q3 - 7:16HeatAndrew Wiggins makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)61
10.2%
73
89.8%
Q3 - 7:26HornetsMark Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 261
12.9%
70
87.1%
Q3 - 7:26HornetsMark Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 260
12.6%
70
87.4%
Q3 - 7:26HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Mark Williams draws the foul)59
12.2%
70
87.8%
Q3 - 7:39HeatKel'el Ware makes two point tip dunk59
11.6%
70
88.4%
Q3 - 7:39HeatKel'el Ware offensive rebound59
12.9%
68
87.1%
Q3 - 7:40HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot59
14.2%
68
85.8%
Q3 - 7:53HornetsMiles Bridges makes two point cutting layup (LaMelo Ball assists)59
12.9%
68
87.1%
Q3 - 8:03HeatKel'el Ware makes two point driving floating jump shot (Andrew Wiggins assists)57
11.9%
68
88.1%
Q3 - 8:15HornetsMiles Bridges makes two point driving finger roll layup57
13.0%
66
87.0%
Q3 - 8:37HeatAndrew Wiggins makes two point stepback jump shot55
11.9%
66
88.1%
Q3 - 8:58HornetsDaQuan Jeffries makes three point jump shot (LaMelo Ball assists)55
13.1%
64
86.9%
Q3 - 9:04HeatTyler Herro makes two point running dunk52
10.9%
64
89.1%
Q3 - 9:07HornetsLaMelo Ball turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)52
11.9%
62
88.1%
Q3 - 9:27HeatAndrew Wiggins makes two point stepback jump shot52
13.7%
62
86.3%
Q3 - 9:35HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound52
15.0%
60
85.0%
Q3 - 9:39HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point running pullup jump shot52
15.7%
60
84.3%
Q3 - 9:42HornetsMiles Bridges defensive rebound52
17.2%
60
82.8%
Q3 - 9:45HeatKel'el Ware misses three point jump shot52
16.5%
60
83.5%
Q3 - 10:04HornetsLaMelo Ball makes three point jump shot (Miles Bridges assists)52
15.4%
60
84.6%
Q3 - 10:06HornetsMiles Bridges offensive rebound49
12.6%
60
87.4%
Q3 - 10:09HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point jump shot49
11.4%
60
88.6%
Q3 - 10:20HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 149
12.6%
60
87.4%
Q3 - 10:20HornetsNick Smith Jr. shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)49
12.8%
59
87.2%
Q3 - 10:35HornetsNick Smith Jr. makes two point driving floating jump shot (Mark Williams assists)49
15.4%
57
84.6%
Q3 - 10:52HornetsDaQuan Jeffries defensive rebound47
14.1%
57
85.9%
Q3 - 10:52HeatTyler Herro misses two point floating jump shot47
13.5%
57
86.5%
Q3 - 10:54HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound47
12.3%
57
87.7%
Q3 - 10:57HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating bank jump shot47
13.5%
57
86.5%
Q3 - 11:09HornetsNick Smith Jr. personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)47
12.6%
57
87.4%
Q3 - 11:17HeatHeat defensive rebound47
12.5%
57
87.5%
Q3 - 11:17HornetsLaMelo Ball misses two point driving layup47
13.0%
57
87.0%
Q3 - 11:37HornetsMiles Bridges defensive rebound47
14.2%
57
85.8%
Q3 - 11:38HeatMark Williams blocks Bam Adebayo's two point putback layup47
13.7%
57
86.3%
Q3 - 11:40HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound47
12.5%
57
87.5%
Q3 - 11:42HeatBam Adebayo misses two point cutting layup47
13.7%
57
86.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.47
12.5%
57
87.5%
Q2 - 0:00.6HornetsHornets offensive rebound47
14.3%
57
85.7%
Q2 - 0:00.6HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point jump shot47
13.3%
57
86.7%
Q2 - 0:01.7HornetsLaMelo Ball defensive rebound47
14.3%
57
85.7%
Q2 - 0:02.6HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot47
13.9%
57
86.1%
Q2 - 0:14.7HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound47
12.9%
57
87.1%
Q2 - 0:15.8HornetsAndrew Wiggins blocks Tidjane Salaun's three point jump shot47
13.3%
57
86.7%
Q2 - 0:37.7HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot47
14.3%
57
85.7%
Q2 - 0:42.4HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound47
15.9%
55
84.1%
Q2 - 0:45.1HornetsSeth Curry misses two point stepback jump shot47
16.4%
55
83.6%
Q2 - 1:07HornetsJusuf Nurkic defensive rebound47
17.9%
55
82.1%
Q2 - 1:09HeatAndrew Wiggins misses regular free throw 2 of 247
17.7%
55
82.3%
Q2 - 1:09HeatAndrew Wiggins misses regular free throw 1 of 247
16.6%
55
83.4%
Q2 - 1:09HornetsLaMelo Ball personal foul (Andrew Wiggins draws the foul)47
15.4%
55
84.6%
Q2 - 1:14HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound47
16.3%
55
83.7%
Q2 - 1:18HornetsNick Smith Jr. misses two point floating jump shot47
16.8%
55
83.2%
Q2 - 1:37HeatAndrew Wiggins makes two point driving layup (Haywood Highsmith assists)47
17.9%
55
82.1%
Q2 - 1:53HornetsJusuf Nurkic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)47
19.9%
53
80.1%
Q2 - 2:09HeatAndrew Wiggins makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)47
22.2%
53
77.8%
Q2 - 2:25HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound47
26.1%
50
73.9%
Q2 - 2:27HornetsLaMelo Ball misses two point stepback jump shot47
26.9%
50
73.1%
Q2 - 2:35HeatKel'el Ware personal foul (Loose ball) (Mark Williams draws the foul)47
28.8%
50
71.2%
Q2 - 2:35HornetsHornets offensive rebound47
28.8%
50
71.2%
Q2 - 2:36HornetsMiles Bridges misses three point pullup jump shot47
26.9%
50
73.1%
Q2 - 2:54HeatKel'el Ware makes two point alley-oop dunk (Andrew Wiggins assists)47
28.8%
50
71.2%
Q2 - 3:07HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound47
30.7%
48
69.3%
Q2 - 3:11HornetsNick Smith Jr. misses three point running jump shot47
31.7%
48
68.3%
Q2 - 3:16HornetsMark Williams defensive rebound47
33.8%
48
66.2%
Q2 - 3:20HeatTyler Herro misses three point running jump shot47
32.9%
48
67.1%
Q2 - 3:25HornetsMiles Bridges turnover (lost ball) (Andrew Wiggins steals)47
30.7%
48
69.3%
Q2 - 3:48HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot47
33.8%
48
66.2%
Q2 - 3:52HornetsKJ Simpson turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)47
35.7%
46
64.3%
Q2 - 4:16HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot (Andrew Wiggins assists)47
38.5%
46
61.5%
Q2 - 4:20HeatAndrew Wiggins defensive rebound47
40.8%
44
59.2%
Q2 - 4:22HornetsMark Williams misses two point cutting layup47
41.7%
44
58.3%
Q2 - 4:41HeatAndrew Wiggins makes two point turnaround hook shot47
43.9%
44
56.1%
Q2 - 5:00HornetsMark Williams makes two point dunk (LaMelo Ball assists)47
46.2%
42
53.8%
Q2 - 5:08HornetsNick Smith Jr. defensive rebound45
43.5%
42
56.5%
Q2 - 5:10HeatHaywood Highsmith misses regular free throw 2 of 245
43.0%
42
57.0%
Q2 - 5:10HeatHaywood Highsmith makes regular free throw 1 of 245
41.5%
42
58.5%
Q2 - 5:10HornetsLaMelo Ball shooting foul (Haywood Highsmith draws the foul)45
42.4%
41
57.6%
Q2 - 5:20HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound45
42.8%
41
57.2%
Q2 - 5:23HornetsKJ Simpson misses two point driving floating jump shot45
43.9%
41
56.1%
Q2 - 5:45HeatAndrew Wiggins makes two point running layup (Davion Mitchell assists)45
46.2%
41
53.8%
Q2 - 5:48HornetsMiles Bridges turnover (lost ball) (Haywood Highsmith steals)45
48.2%
39
51.8%
Q2 - 5:54HornetsMark Williams defensive rebound45
51.6%
39
48.4%
Q2 - 5:56HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point tip layup45
50.5%
39
49.5%
Q2 - 5:56HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound45
48.2%
39
51.8%
Q2 - 5:58HeatKel'el Ware misses two point driving floating jump shot45
50.5%
39
49.5%
Q2 - 6:08HornetsHornets turnover (shot clock violation)45
47.7%
39
52.3%
Q2 - 6:09HornetsHornets offensive rebound45
50.9%
39
49.1%
Q2 - 6:10HornetsMiles Bridges misses three point stepback jump shot45
48.7%
39
51.3%
Q2 - 6:32HeatDavion Mitchell makes two point running finger roll layup45
50.9%
39
49.1%
Q2 - 6:35HeatAndrew Wiggins defensive rebound45
53.0%
37
47.0%
Q2 - 6:40HornetsNick Smith Jr. misses three point jump shot45
54.0%
37
46.0%
Q2 - 7:05HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Haywood Highsmith assists)45
55.3%
37
44.7%
Q2 - 7:15HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound45
57.6%
35
42.4%
Q2 - 7:19HornetsDaQuan Jeffries misses two point running layup45
58.4%
35
41.6%
Q2 - 7:23HornetsMark Williams defensive rebound45
60.3%
35
39.7%
Q2 - 7:27HeatMark Williams blocks Duncan Robinson's two point driving floating jump shot45
59.5%
35
40.5%
Q2 - 7:35HornetsMiles Bridges makes regular free throw 2 of 245
57.6%
35
42.4%
Q2 - 7:35HornetsMiles Bridges makes regular free throw 1 of 244
57.3%
35
42.7%
Q2 - 7:35HeatDavion Mitchell shooting foul (Miles Bridges draws the foul)43
56.8%
35
43.2%
Q2 - 7:47HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 243
55.3%
35
44.7%
Q2 - 7:47HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 243
55.8%
34
44.2%
Q2 - 7:47HornetsMark Williams shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)43
56.4%
33
43.6%
Q2 - 8:00HornetsKJ Simpson makes regular free throw 2 of 243
57.6%
33
42.4%
Q2 - 8:00HornetsKJ Simpson makes regular free throw 1 of 242
57.3%
33
42.7%
Q2 - 8:00HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (KJ Simpson draws the foul)41
56.8%
33
43.2%
Q2 - 8:19HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point tip layup41
54.9%
33
45.1%
Q2 - 8:19HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound41
57.0%
31
43.0%
Q2 - 8:21HeatAndrew Wiggins misses two point driving layup41
59.0%
31
41.0%
Q2 - 8:32HeatAndrew Wiggins defensive rebound41
57.0%
31
43.0%
Q2 - 8:35HornetsMiles Bridges misses two point driving floating jump shot41
57.9%
31
42.1%
Q2 - 8:51HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)41
59.8%
31
40.2%
Q2 - 9:06HornetsMark Williams personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)41
61.6%
29
38.4%
Q2 - 9:06HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound41
61.6%
29
38.4%
Q2 - 9:08HeatAndrew Wiggins misses three point jump shot41
63.2%
29
36.8%
Q2 - 9:21HornetsLaMelo Ball makes two point driving layup (Jusuf Nurkic assists)41
61.6%
29
38.4%
Q2 - 9:25HeatHaywood Highsmith turnover (inbound)39
59.3%
29
40.7%
Q2 - 9:28HornetsSeth Curry makes three point pullup jump shot (LaMelo Ball assists)39
56.8%
29
43.2%
Q2 - 9:50HeatDavion Mitchell makes two point driving floating jump shot36
51.9%
29
48.1%
Q2 - 10:04HornetsLaMelo Ball makes two point driving floating jump shot36
53.8%
27
46.2%
Q2 - 10:17HeatHaywood Highsmith makes regular free throw 2 of 234
51.6%
27
48.4%
Q2 - 10:17HeatHaywood Highsmith makes regular free throw 1 of 234
52.2%
26
47.8%
Q2 - 10:17HornetsSeth Curry shooting foul (Haywood Highsmith draws the foul)34
53.0%
25
47.0%
Q2 - 10:34HornetsTidjane Salaun makes two point cutting dunk (LaMelo Ball assists)34
53.9%
25
46.1%
Q2 - 10:45HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)32
51.6%
25
48.4%
Q2 - 10:53HornetsLaMelo Ball makes regular free throw 3 of 332
56.3%
22
43.7%
Q2 - 10:53HornetsLaMelo Ball makes regular free throw 2 of 331
56.0%
22
44.0%
Q2 - 10:53HornetsLaMelo Ball makes regular free throw 1 of 330
55.6%
22
44.4%
Q2 - 10:53HeatDavion Mitchell shooting foul (LaMelo Ball draws the foul)29
55.3%
22
44.7%
Q2 - 11:06HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (lost ball) (LaMelo Ball steals)29
50.7%
22
49.3%
Q2 - 11:21HornetsLaMelo Ball makes three point jump shot (Jusuf Nurkic assists)29
48.2%
22
51.8%
Q2 - 11:27HornetsHornets offensive rebound26
43.7%
22
56.3%
Q2 - 11:28HornetsJusuf Nurkic misses two point turnaround hook shot26
41.9%
22
58.1%
Q2 - 11:48HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)26
43.7%
22
56.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.26
45.9%
20
54.1%
Q1 - 0:00.5HeatHeat offensive rebound26
45.2%
20
54.8%
Q1 - 0:00.5HeatBam Adebayo misses three point floating jump shot26
46.9%
20
53.1%
Q1 - 0:04.2HornetsLaMelo Ball turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)26
45.2%
20
54.8%
Q1 - 0:07.3HeatDavion Mitchell makes two point driving layup26
47.6%
20
52.4%
Q1 - 0:30.4HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound26
49.9%
18
50.1%
Q1 - 0:30.4HornetsKJ Simpson misses two point driving floating jump shot26
50.7%
18
49.3%
Q1 - 0:33.2HornetsKJ Simpson defensive rebound26
52.3%
18
47.7%
Q1 - 0:38.8HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot26
51.6%
18
48.4%
Q1 - 0:45.7HornetsLaMelo Ball turnover (out of bounds lost ball)26
49.9%
18
50.1%
Q1 - 1:05HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Loose ball) (Jusuf Nurkic draws the foul)26
51.9%
18
48.1%
Q1 - 1:05HornetsHornets offensive rebound26
51.9%
18
48.1%
Q1 - 1:07HornetsKJ Simpson misses three point jump shot26
50.3%
18
49.7%
Q1 - 1:16HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (bad pass) (LaMelo Ball steals)26
51.9%
18
48.1%
Q1 - 1:21HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound26
49.7%
18
50.3%
Q1 - 1:26HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point stepback jump shot26
50.4%
18
49.6%
Q1 - 1:38HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)26
51.9%
18
48.1%
Q1 - 2:05HornetsSeth Curry makes two point pullup jump shot (KJ Simpson assists)26
48.7%
18
51.3%
Q1 - 2:27HornetsTidjane Salaun defensive rebound24
46.9%
18
53.1%
Q1 - 2:30HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot24
46.2%
18
53.8%
Q1 - 2:39HornetsJusuf Nurkic turnover (offensive foul)24
44.4%
18
55.6%
Q1 - 2:39HornetsJusuf Nurkic offensive foul (Davion Mitchell draws the foul)24
47.0%
18
53.0%
Q1 - 2:54HeatAndrew Wiggins makes two point pullup jump shot (Kel'el Ware assists)24
47.0%
18
53.0%
Q1 - 3:10HornetsJusuf Nurkic makes two point floating jump shot (LaMelo Ball assists)24
48.4%
16
51.6%
Q1 - 3:23HeatKel'el Ware makes two point alley-oop dunk (Davion Mitchell assists)22
46.7%
16
53.3%
Q1 - 3:35HornetsTidjane Salaun makes three point jump shot (LaMelo Ball assists)22
48.4%
14
51.6%
Q1 - 3:54HeatTyler Herro makes three point stepback jump shot (Andrew Wiggins assists)19
44.5%
14
55.5%
Q1 - 4:18HornetsNick Smith Jr. makes three point pullup jump shot19
46.5%
11
53.5%
Q1 - 4:31HornetsNick Smith Jr. defensive rebound16
43.0%
11
57.0%
Q1 - 4:36HeatAndrew Wiggins misses three point jump shot16
42.3%
11
57.7%
Q1 - 4:48HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound16
40.7%
11
59.3%
Q1 - 4:48HornetsMiles Bridges misses three point jump shot16
41.4%
11
58.6%
Q1 - 4:56HornetsKJ Simpson defensive rebound16
42.9%
11
57.1%
Q1 - 5:00HeatDavion Mitchell misses three point jump shot16
42.2%
11
57.8%
Q1 - 5:22HornetsNick Smith Jr. makes three point pullup jump shot16
40.2%
11
59.8%
Q1 - 5:40HeatAndrew Wiggins turnover (out of bounds bad pass)13
37.0%
11
63.0%
Q1 - 6:06HornetsMark Williams makes two point running dunk (Tidjane Salaun assists)13
35.0%
11
65.0%
Q1 - 6:11HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Tidjane Salaun steals)11
33.6%
11
66.4%
Q1 - 6:12HeatHeat offensive rebound11
32.1%
11
67.9%
Q1 - 6:12HeatMark Williams blocks Andrew Wiggins's two point driving floating jump shot11
33.2%
11
66.8%
Q1 - 6:35HornetsMark Williams makes two point driving reverse layup (LaMelo Ball assists)11
32.2%
11
67.8%
Q1 - 6:50HornetsMark Williams defensive rebound9
30.9%
11
69.1%
Q1 - 6:53HeatKel'el Ware misses three point jump shot9
30.5%
11
69.5%
Q1 - 7:18HornetsNick Smith Jr. makes three point jump shot (LaMelo Ball assists)9
29.7%
11
70.3%
Q1 - 7:33HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Kel'el Ware assists)6
27.6%
11
72.4%
Q1 - 7:44HornetsNick Smith Jr. turnover (out of bounds bad pass)6
28.8%
9
71.2%
Q1 - 7:57HornetsDaQuan Jeffries defensive rebound6
30.2%
9
69.8%
Q1 - 7:58HeatBam Adebayo misses two point tip dunk6
29.8%
9
70.2%
Q1 - 7:58HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound6
28.9%
9
71.1%
Q1 - 8:01HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point running layup6
29.9%
9
70.1%
Q1 - 8:04HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound6
29.1%
9
70.9%
Q1 - 8:08HornetsDaQuan Jeffries misses two point driving dunk6
29.5%
9
70.5%
Q1 - 8:22HeatAndrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 26
30.6%
9
69.4%
Q1 - 8:22HeatAndrew Wiggins misses regular free throw 1 of 26
30.8%
8
69.2%
Q1 - 8:22HornetsLaMelo Ball shooting foul (Andrew Wiggins draws the foul)6
30.0%
8
70.0%
Q1 - 8:36HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound6
30.5%
8
69.5%
Q1 - 8:36HornetsMiles Bridges misses three point pullup jump shot6
30.9%
8
69.1%
Q1 - 8:37HornetsMiles Bridges offensive rebound6
31.8%
8
68.2%
Q1 - 8:39HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point stepback jump shot6
30.9%
8
69.1%
Q1 - 9:03HeatAndrew Wiggins makes two point driving floating jump shot6
32.0%
8
68.0%
Q1 - 9:23HornetsDaQuan Jeffries makes two point driving floating jump shot6
33.1%
6
66.9%
Q1 - 9:25HornetsLaMelo Ball defensive rebound4
32.3%
6
67.7%
Q1 - 9:28HeatDaQuan Jeffries blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving floating jump shot4
32.0%
6
68.0%
Q1 - 9:33HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound4
31.5%
6
68.5%
Q1 - 9:38HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point jump shot4
31.8%
6
68.2%
Q1 - 9:56HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot (Kel'el Ware assists)4
32.7%
6
67.3%
Q1 - 10:19HornetsMark Williams makes two point running dunk (Nick Smith Jr. assists)4
34.2%
3
65.8%
Q1 - 10:22HornetsMiles Bridges defensive rebound2
33.7%
3
66.3%
Q1 - 10:25HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point driving layup2
33.6%
3
66.4%
Q1 - 10:35HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound2
33.3%
3
66.7%
Q1 - 10:39HornetsNick Smith Jr. misses three point pullup jump shot2
33.6%
3
66.4%
Q1 - 10:43HornetsMiles Bridges defensive rebound2
34.1%
3
65.9%
Q1 - 10:47HeatBam Adebayo misses three point stepback jump shot2
33.9%
3
66.1%
Q1 - 11:03HornetsMark Williams turnover (out of bounds bad pass)2
33.9%
3
66.1%
Q1 - 11:14HeatAndrew Wiggins makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)2
34.5%
3
65.5%
Q1 - 11:36HornetsDaQuan Jeffries makes two point driving floating bank jump shot2
35.3%
0
64.7%
Q1 - 12:00Mark Williams vs. Kel'el Ware (LaMelo Ball gains possession)0
35.5%
0
64.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.09 54.7%
MIA
1.30 64.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHA
21
31
68%
MIA
15
27
56%
Midrange
CHA
9
23
39%
MIA
20
26
77%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHA
11
16.5
33
33%
50%
MIA
12
18.0
29
41%
62%
Free Throws
CHA
12
13
92%
MIA
16
20
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHA logo Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Smith1968%9.5 / 14
L. Ball1845%9.0 / 20
M. Bridges1745%8.5 / 19
M. Williams1488%7.0 / 8
S. Curry1083%5.0 / 6
D. Jeffries758%3.5 / 6
T. Salaün788%3.5 / 4
M. Diabaté6100%3.0 / 3
J. Nurkić536%2.5 / 7
K. Simpson220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Wiggins4288%21.0 / 24
T. Herro2969%14.5 / 21
K. Ware1260%6.0 / 10
D. Mitchell1275%6.0 / 8
B. Adebayo1150%5.5 / 11
H. Highsmith750%3.5 / 7
A. Burks660%3.0 / 5
D. Robinson330%1.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHA
77
+19
-19
96
MIA
85
+9
-10
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.09 54.7%
MIA
1.30 64.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.7
112.4
CHA 109.4
MIA 128.4 +19.0
Pace
98.2
97.2
CHA 97.8 +4.6
MIA 93.2
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
14.9
CHA 14.7 +0.7
MIA 15.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.3%
54.4%
CHA 53.4%
MIA 64.6% +11.2%
TO %
15.1%
12.8%
CHA 17.7%
MIA 11.7% +6.0%
ORB %
26.5%
22.3%
CHA 32.4% +12.4%
MIA 20.0%
FTrt
22.2
23.2
CHA 14.9
MIA 24.4 +9.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
63.5%
65.3%
CHA 58.5% +1.1%
MIA 57.4%
STL %
7.5%
8.3%
CHA 5.2%
MIA 10.5% +5.3%
BLK %
9.2%
7.6%
CHA 7.5% +0.1%
MIA 7.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.5%
56.0%
CHA 54.7%
MIA 64.9% +10.2%
Rim FG%
59.7%
62.5%
CHA 67.7% +12.1%
MIA 55.6%
Mid FG%
38.5%
44.4%
CHA 39.1%
MIA 76.9% +37.8%
3P %
33.9%
36.7%
CHA 33.3%
MIA 41.4% +8.1%
FT %
78.3%
79.1%
CHA 92.3% +12.3%
MIA 80.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.7%
29.6%
CHA 35.6% +2.7%
MIA 32.9%
Mid Att. %
26.3%
27.5%
CHA 26.4% +5.3%
MIA 31.7%
3P Att. %
43.0%
42.9%
CHA 37.9% +2.6%
MIA 35.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCHAMIA
Possessions9695
Possession Minutes23.624.5
Points105122
Rebounds4032
Assists2427
Steals510
Blocks44
Turnovers (Team)19 (1)10 (2)
Fouls1513
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (7)7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (0)25 (2)
Field Goals41-8747-82
At-the-Rim FG21-3115-27
Midrange FG9-2320-26
2-Point FG30-5435-53
3-Point FG11-3312-29
Free Throws12-1316-20
Fast Break Pts618
2nd Chance Pts176
Points in Paint5654
Pts off Turnovers1421
Bench Points3025
Biggest Lead1224

BOXSCORE

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25 Charlotte Hornets
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Nick Smith Jr.
#8 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 21
38.4
19
68%
3
3
1
0
2
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
40%
5-9
56%
Miles Bridges
#0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 27
34.4
17
45%
13
4
0
0
4
0
6
7
3-3
100%
7-11
64%
0-7
0%
LaMelo Ball
#1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 24
34.1
18
45%
3
11
2
0
5
3
1
2
4-4
100%
4-9
44%
2-10
20%
Mark Williams
#5 · C · 7'0" 240 · 23
27.5
14
88%
5
1
0
3
2
2
1
4
2-2
100%
6-7
86%
0-0
-
DaQuan Jeffries
#3 · SF · 6'5" 222 · 28
23.3
7
58%
3
0
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
40%
1-1
100%
Tidjane Salaün
#31 · PF · 6'8" 207 · 20
24.5
7
88%
5
1
1
0
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
KJ Simpson
#25 · PG · 6'0" 189 · 23
22.1
2
20%
3
2
0
0
3
1
1
2
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
Seth Curry
#30 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 35
15.3
10
83%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
50%
2-2
100%
Jusuf Nurkić
#11 · C · 7'0" 290 · 31
15.2
5
36%
3
2
0
0
2
2
1
2
1-2
50%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
Moussa Diabaté
#14 · C · 6'9" 210 · 23
5.3
6
100%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-3
100%
0-0
-
Taj Gibson
#67 · C · 6'9" 235 · 40
DNP – Coach's Decision
Wendell Moore Jr.
#9 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Brandon Miller
#24 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Wrist; Ligament Repair
Tre Mann
#23 · PG · 6'3" 178 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Disc; Herniation
Josh Green
#10 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Shoulder; Soreness
Grant Williams
#2 · PF · 6'6" 236 · 26
DND - Injury/Illness | Right Acl; Repair
Damion Baugh
#7 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 25
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Josh Okogie
#12 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
105
55%
40
24
5
4
19
15
12
28
12-13
92%
30-54
56%
11-33
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.