Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Sunday, March 23, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Pelicans | 21% | 104 | 130 |
 | 12 | Pistons | 79% | 116 | 136 |
Updated: Mar 23, 2025 06:57 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Updated: Mar 23, 2025 07:12 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Updated: Mar 23, 2025 09:42 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Hornets | 36% | 106 | 105 |
 | 17 | Heat | 64% | 111 | 122 |
Updated: Mar 23, 2025 09:42 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 27 | Raptors | 45% | 112 | 89 |
Updated: Mar 23, 2025 09:42 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2 | Celtics | 75% | 117 | 129 |
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Updated: Mar 23, 2025 09:42 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Updated: Mar 23, 2025 10:57 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Thunder | 53% | 111 | 103 |
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Updated: Mar 24, 2025 12:42 AM
game detailSaturday, March 22, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Nets | 28% | 107 | 103 |
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Updated: Mar 22, 2025 08:57 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 18 | Hawks | 38% | 113 | 124 |
Updated: Mar 22, 2025 10:57 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 9 | Knicks | 88% | 121 | 122 |
Updated: Mar 22, 2025 11:57 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Bucks | 48% | 111 | 114 |
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Updated: Mar 23, 2025 01:57 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Bulls | 31% | 111 | 146 |
 | 10 | Lakers | 69% | 119 | 115 |
Updated: Mar 23, 2025 02:17 AM
game detailFriday, March 21, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Magic | 68% | 111 | 120 |
| 27 | Wizards | 32% | 104 | 105 |
Updated: Mar 21, 2025 10:57 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Pelicans | 15% | 104 | 93 |
 | 5 | Timberwolves | 85% | 120 | 134 |
Updated: Mar 21, 2025 11:42 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Hornets | 6% | 97 | 106 |
| 1 | Thunder | 94% | 120 | 141 |
Updated: Mar 21, 2025 11:42 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 76ers | 39% | 113 | 120 |
| 22 | Spurs | 61% | 117 | 128 |
Updated: Mar 21, 2025 11:42 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pistons | 64% | 114 | 117 |
 | 23 | Mavericks | 36% | 109 | 123 |
Updated: Mar 22, 2025 12:27 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | 65% | 119 | 112 |
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Updated: Mar 22, 2025 01:57 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nuggets | 55% | 113 | 109 |
| 21 | Trail Blazers | 45% | 111 | 128 |
Updated: Mar 22, 2025 01:57 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 4 | Clippers | 61% | 116 | 128 |
Updated: Mar 22, 2025 02:17 AM
game detailThursday, March 20, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Knicks | 64% | 114 | 98 |
| 23 | Hornets | 36% | 108 | 115 |
Updated: Mar 20, 2025 10:57 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Raptors | 17% | 104 | 114 |
| 4 | Warriors | 83% | 118 | 117 |
Updated: Mar 21, 2025 01:57 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bulls | 34% | 114 | 128 |
| 12 | Kings | 66% | 120 | 116 |
Updated: Mar 21, 2025 01:57 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bucks | 68% | 109 | 118 |
| 26 | Lakers | 32% | 103 | 89 |
Updated: Mar 21, 2025 02:12 AM
game detailWednesday, March 19, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Mavericks | 33% | 109 | 131 |
| 14 | Pacers | 67% | 116 | 135 |
Updated: Mar 19, 2025 10:57 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rockets | 56% | 106 | 116 |
| 16 | Magic | 44% | 104 | 108 |
Updated: Mar 19, 2025 10:57 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pistons | 56% | 109 | 116 |
| 17 | Heat | 44% | 107 | 113 |
Updated: Mar 19, 2025 11:12 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pelicans | 18% | 106 | 119 |
| 6 | Timberwolves | 82% | 119 | 115 |
Updated: Mar 19, 2025 11:57 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 76ers | 13% | 101 | 100 |
| 4 | Thunder | 87% | 117 | 133 |
Updated: Mar 19, 2025 11:57 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Knicks | 66% | 116 | 105 |
| 22 | Spurs | 34% | 110 | 120 |
Updated: Mar 19, 2025 11:57 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Wizards | 51% | 117 | 112 |
| 30 | Jazz | 49% | 116 | 128 |
Updated: Mar 20, 2025 12:57 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Nuggets | 36% | 108 | 108 |
| 8 | Lakers | 64% | 113 | 120 |
Updated: Mar 20, 2025 01:47 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | 65% | 119 | 99 |
| 21 | Trail Blazers | 35% | 114 | 115 |
Updated: Mar 20, 2025 01:47 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | 60% | 118 | 119 |
| 13 | Kings | 40% | 114 | 123 |
Updated: Mar 20, 2025 01:47 AM
game detailTuesday, March 18, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hawks | 70% | 117 | 134 |
| 30 | Hornets | 30% | 109 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nets | 20% | 102 | 96 |
| 3 | Celtics | 80% | 115 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bucks | 42% | 110 | 93 |
| 6 | Warriors | 58% | 113 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cavaliers | 54% | 113 | 119 |
| 5 | Clippers | 46% | 112 | 132 |
Monday, March 17, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Heat | 35% | 104 | 95 |
| 7 | Knicks | 65% | 110 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 76ers | 15% | 101 | 137 |
| 8 | Rockets | 85% | 116 | 144 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pacers | 28% | 106 | 132 |
| 5 | Timberwolves | 72% | 115 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pistons | 63% | 117 | 127 |
| 22 | Pelicans | 37% | 112 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bulls | 62% | 121 | 111 |
| 28 | Jazz | 38% | 116 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nuggets | 23% | 108 | 114 |
| 2 | Warriors | 77% | 119 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Raptors | 33% | 108 | 89 |
| 14 | Suns | 67% | 115 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | 51% | 119 | 122 |
| 13 | Kings | 49% | 118 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Wizards | 44% | 114 | 97 |
| 19 | Trail Blazers | 56% | 116 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Spurs | 34% | 109 | 109 |
| 10 | Lakers | 66% | 115 | 125 |
Sunday, March 16, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 40% | 109 | 130 |
| 25 | Mavericks | 60% | 113 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Magic | 25% | 104 | 108 |
| 2 | Cavaliers | 75% | 114 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Suns | 40% | 110 | 96 |
| 12 | Lakers | 60% | 114 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hawks | 60% | 114 | 114 |
| 24 | Nets | 40% | 111 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Raptors | 39% | 109 | 102 |
| 18 | Trail Blazers | 61% | 113 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hornets | 21% | 104 | 88 |
| 6 | Clippers | 79% | 116 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Jazz | 18% | 107 | 102 |
| 4 | Timberwolves | 82% | 121 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 70% | 115 | 121 |
| 11 | Bucks | 30% | 108 | 105 |
Saturday, March 15, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Celtics | 71% | 114 | 115 |
| 21 | Nets | 29% | 106 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 67% | 115 | 113 |
| 11 | Pistons | 33% | 109 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bulls | 33% | 111 | 114 |
| 12 | Rockets | 67% | 118 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Heat | 37% | 110 | 91 |
| 10 | Grizzlies | 63% | 115 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pacers | 45% | 115 | 119 |
| 15 | Bucks | 55% | 117 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pelicans | 45% | 115 | 115 |
| 23 | Spurs | 55% | 117 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Knicks | 38% | 111 | 94 |
| 4 | Warriors | 62% | 115 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Wizards | 19% | 113 | 126 |
| 5 | Nuggets | 81% | 126 | 123 |
Friday, March 14, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 68% | 112 | 103 |
| 17 | Heat | 32% | 105 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 72% | 117 | 112 |
| 30 | 76ers | 28% | 109 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Clippers | 60% | 115 | 121 |
| 18 | Hawks | 40% | 111 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Mavericks | 29% | 106 | 96 |
| 10 | Rockets | 71% | 114 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 55% | 118 | 133 |
| 9 | Grizzlies | 45% | 116 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Magic | 27% | 100 | 111 |
| 6 | Timberwolves | 73% | 109 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 43% | 111 | 145 |
| 20 | Spurs | 57% | 114 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Lakers | 18% | 107 | 126 |
| 5 | Nuggets | 82% | 121 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Raptors | 51% | 116 | 126 |
| 27 | Jazz | 49% | 115 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Kings | 43% | 114 | 106 |
| 16 | Suns | 57% | 117 | 122 |
Thursday, March 13, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Wizards | 23% | 108 | 129 |
| 13 | Pistons | 77% | 119 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lakers | 52% | 111 | 106 |
| 14 | Bucks | 48% | 110 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nets | 51% | 116 | 110 |
| 24 | Bulls | 49% | 115 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Magic | 56% | 109 | 113 |
| 22 | Pelicans | 44% | 107 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Kings | 28% | 111 | 104 |
| 4 | Warriors | 72% | 119 | 130 |
Wednesday, March 12, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hornets | 39% | 113 | 110 |
| 19 | Hawks | 61% | 117 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 51% | 114 | 118 |
| 2 | Celtics | 49% | 113 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 76ers | 49% | 108 | 105 |
| 30 | Raptors | 51% | 109 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Clippers | 48% | 105 | 119 |
| 16 | Heat | 52% | 106 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Suns | 42% | 112 | 104 |
| 12 | Rockets | 58% | 115 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Jazz | 25% | 115 | 115 |
| 10 | Grizzlies | 75% | 125 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Mavericks | 46% | 114 | 116 |
| 22 | Spurs | 54% | 115 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Timberwolves | 41% | 114 | 115 |
| 5 | Nuggets | 59% | 117 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Knicks | 63% | 114 | 114 |
| 23 | Trail Blazers | 37% | 109 | 113 |
Tuesday, March 11, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nets | 14% | 104 | 104 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 86% | 119 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wizards | 19% | 108 | 103 |
| 11 | Pistons | 81% | 121 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bucks | 49% | 115 | 114 |
| 14 | Pacers | 51% | 116 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Clippers | 71% | 115 | 120 |
| 25 | Pelicans | 29% | 107 | 127 |
Monday, March 10, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 76ers | 28% | 109 | 123 |
| 20 | Hawks | 72% | 117 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Jazz | 11% | 105 | 108 |
| 4 | Celtics | 89% | 123 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lakers | 67% | 111 | 108 |
| 22 | Nets | 33% | 105 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | 34% | 104 | 105 |
| 17 | Heat | 66% | 111 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 35% | 110 | 104 |
| 27 | Raptors | 65% | 116 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pacers | 59% | 120 | 103 |
| 21 | Bulls | 41% | 117 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Magic | 42% | 104 | 84 |
| 14 | Rockets | 58% | 107 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Suns | 35% | 117 | 118 |
| 8 | Grizzlies | 65% | 123 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nuggets | 30% | 112 | 140 |
| 1 | Thunder | 70% | 120 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Mavericks | 42% | 113 | 133 |
| 19 | Spurs | 58% | 116 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Trail Blazers | 19% | 108 | 120 |
| 3 | Warriors | 81% | 122 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Knicks | 54% | 114 | 133 |
| 12 | Kings | 46% | 113 | 104 |