Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, March 23, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	1	Thunder	53%	111	103	106.2	97	105.6
	4	Clippers	47%	110	101	104.1	97	89.7

Scoring Opportunities

OKC

+15

-9

103

LAC

+14

-14

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.00 50.0%

LAC

1.04 52.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

1 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 27	37.3	26	38%	3	8	2	2	1	2	0	3	11-11	100%	6-22	27%	1-7	14%
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 27	33.1	14	54%	10	6	2	3	3	3	3	7	2-2	100%	6-12	50%	0-0	-
Alex Caruso #9 · SF · 6'5" 186 · 31	31.4	14	54%	6	5	2	0	1	3	1	5	2-4	50%	3-4	75%	2-7	29%
Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 21	30.3	8	50%	4	2	2	1	1	2	2	2	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	1-1	100%
Luguentz Dort #5 · PF · 6'4" 220 · 26	28.6	10	83%	4	2	1	1	0	5	0	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-4	50%

Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 26	25.9	19	56%	3	1	0	0	1	4	1	2	0-0	-	5-9	56%	3-8	38%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 26	19.9	0	0%	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-4	0%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 30	18.5	0	0%	3	2	0	0	1	1	2	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	14.9	12	150%	7	2	0	1	0	1	0	7	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	3-3	100%
Dillon Jones #3 · SF · 6'5" 235 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Branden Carlson #15 · C · 7'0" 220 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Adam Flagler #14 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ousmane Dieng #13 · C · 6'9" 185 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Jalen Williams #8 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Strain
Chet Holmgren #7 · C · 7'1" 208 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Strain
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Surgery
Alex Ducas #88 · SG · 6'7" 220 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Quad; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	50%	42	28	9	8	9	22	10	32	17-20	85%	25-57	44%	12-35	34%

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1 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 27	37.3	26	38%	3	8	2	2	1	2	0	3	11-11	100%	6-22	27%	1-7	14%
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 27	33.1	14	54%	10	6	2	3	3	3	3	7	2-2	100%	6-12	50%	0-0	-
Alex Caruso #9 · SF · 6'5" 186 · 31	31.4	14	54%	6	5	2	0	1	3	1	5	2-4	50%	3-4	75%	2-7	29%
Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 21	30.3	8	50%	4	2	2	1	1	2	2	2	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	1-1	100%
Luguentz Dort #5 · PF · 6'4" 220 · 26	28.6	10	83%	4	2	1	1	0	5	0	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-4	50%

Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 26	25.9	19	56%	3	1	0	0	1	4	1	2	0-0	-	5-9	56%	3-8	38%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 26	19.9	0	0%	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-4	0%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 30	18.5	0	0%	3	2	0	0	1	1	2	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	14.9	12	150%	7	2	0	1	0	1	0	7	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	3-3	100%
Dillon Jones #3 · SF · 6'5" 235 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Branden Carlson #15 · C · 7'0" 220 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Adam Flagler #14 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ousmane Dieng #13 · C · 6'9" 185 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Jalen Williams #8 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Strain
Chet Holmgren #7 · C · 7'1" 208 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Strain
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Surgery
Alex Ducas #88 · SG · 6'7" 220 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Quad; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	50%	42	28	9	8	9	22	10	32	17-20	85%	25-57	44%	12-35	34%

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4 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kawhi Leonard #2 · PF · 6'6" 225 · 34	40.3	25	57%	10	3	1	1	2	0	2	8	3-4	75%	8-16	50%	2-4	50%
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 36	35.4	17	50%	5	8	0	1	6	4	1	4	7-8	88%	2-8	25%	2-6	33%
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 28	33.3	15	54%	11	3	0	2	1	1	4	7	7-8	88%	4-10	40%	0-0	-
Norman Powell #24 · SF · 6'4" 215 · 32	31.0	9	38%	4	1	1	0	2	4	1	3	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-6	17%
Kris Dunn #8 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 31	19.2	7	70%	3	1	1	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-1	100%

Derrick Jones Jr. #55 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 28	26.1	9	64%	4	1	0	3	0	4	1	3	3-4	75%	0-1	0%	2-4	50%
Bogdan Bogdanović #10 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 33	20.9	2	17%	3	3	2	1	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-3	0%
Ben Simmons #25 · PG · 6'10" 230 · 29	14.7	8	80%	7	0	0	0	3	2	2	5	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Amir Coffey #7 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 28	13.6	9	64%	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	3-4	75%	3-3	100%	0-2	0%
Nicolas Batum #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 36	5.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Drew Eubanks #15 · C · 6'10" 245 · 28
Kobe Brown #21 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Patty Mills #88 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cam Christie #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #23 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Seth Lundy #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trentyn Flowers #9 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jordan Miller #11 · SF · 6'5" 194 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Tendinopathy
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	52%	48	20	6	8	14	19	11	37	23-28	82%	27-56	48%	8-26	31%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	LAC
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	LAC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.00 50.0%

LAC

1.04 52.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

OKC

48%

LAC

48%

Midrange

OKC

38%

LAC

48%

3PT | Effective 3PT

OKC

18.0

34%

51%

LAC

12.0

31%

46%

Free Throws

OKC

85%

LAC

82%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	26	38%	13.0 / 34
A. Wiggins	19	56%	9.5 / 17
I. Hartenstein	14	54%	7.0 / 13
A. Caruso	14	54%	7.0 / 13
J. Williams	12	150%	6.0 / 4
L. Dort	10	83%	5.0 / 6
C. Wallace	8	50%	4.0 / 8
I. Joe	0	-	0.0 / 4
K. Williams	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Clippers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Leonard	25	57%	12.5 / 22
J. Harden	17	50%	8.5 / 17
I. Zubac	15	54%	7.5 / 14
N. Powell	9	38%	4.5 / 12
D. Jones	9	64%	4.5 / 7
A. Coffey	9	64%	4.5 / 7
B. Simmons	8	80%	4.0 / 5
K. Dunn	7	70%	3.5 / 5
B. Bogdanović	2	17%	1.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	3 119.2 15 114.3	OKC 106.2 +2.1 LAC 104.1
Pace	5 100.9 24 98.1	OKC 105.6 +15.9 LAC 89.7
Avg. Poss. Time	25 13.9 5 15.1	OKC 13.6 −2.4 LAC 16.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	7 56.0% 11 55.4%	OKC 46.7% LAC 47.6% +0.9%
TO %	1 10.9% 22 14.0%	OKC 8.2% −4.7% LAC 12.9%
ORB %	21 24.2% 19 24.4%	OKC 21.3% LAC 25.6% +4.3%
FTrt	28 22.0 9 25.1	OKC 21.7 LAC 34.1 +12.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	26 60.2% 24 60.5%	OKC 75.7% +18.6% LAC 57.1%
STL %	1 10.2% 2 9.5%	OKC 9.3% +3.1% LAC 6.2%
BLK %	2 11.9% 16 9.3%	OKC 14.3% +0.3% LAC 14.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.52 and 2.52.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	4 57.9% 9 57.5%	OKC 50.0% LAC 52.1% +2.1%
Rim FG%	10 65.7% 13 64.2%	OKC 48.5% +0.5% LAC 48.0%
Mid FG%	7 45.7% 10 45.3%	OKC 37.5% LAC 48.4% +10.9%
3P %	6 37.4% 7 37.3%	OKC 34.3% +3.5% LAC 30.8%
FT %	1 81.9% 7 79.7%	OKC 85.0% +2.9% LAC 82.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	26 29.5% 14 31.6%	OKC 35.9% +5.4% LAC 30.5%
Mid Att. %	25 28.6% 28 29.7%	OKC 26.1% −11.7% LAC 37.8%
3P Att. %	16 41.9% 25 38.7%	OKC 38.0% +6.3% LAC 31.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	OKC	LAC
Possessions	97	97
Possession Minutes	22.0	26.0
Points	103	101
Rebounds	42	48
Assists	28	20
Steals	9	6
Blocks	8	8
Turnovers (Team)	9 (0)	14 (0)
Fouls	22	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (5)	11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (3)	37 (4)
Field Goals	37-92	35-82
At-the-Rim FG	16-33	12-25
Midrange FG	9-24	15-31
2-Point FG	25-57	27-56
3-Point FG	12-35	8-26
Free Throws	17-20	23-28
Fast Break Pts	13	17
2nd Chance Pts	18	7
Points in Paint	44	44
Pts off Turnovers	12	10
Bench Points	31	28
Biggest Lead	9	12

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg