Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, March 23, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	23	Spurs	55%	114	123	120.6	102	99.5
	27	Raptors	45%	112	89	87.3	102	104.6

Scoring Opportunities

SAS

+13

-14

101

TOR

+20

-21

101

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.22 60.9%

TOR

0.87 43.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

23 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Devin Vassell #24 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 25	29.6	25	89%	6	3	2	1	1	4	0	6	0-0	-	8-8	100%	3-6	50%
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 33	23.3	8	67%	9	3	1	0	0	1	4	5	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 40	22.1	2	25%	1	6	2	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Stephon Castle #5 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 20	19.8	15	58%	5	1	1	1	4	2	1	4	8-10	80%	2-5	40%	1-3	33%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 33	19.7	10	56%	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-6	33%

Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 22	25.9	8	67%	1	4	3	0	2	3	1	0	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	0-2	0%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 24	23.4	20	100%	5	2	3	1	2	2	3	2	4-5	80%	2-3	67%	4-6	67%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 22	20.3	9	50%	5	2	2	1	2	1	0	5	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	1-3	33%
Keldon Johnson #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 25	19.1	7	32%	2	3	0	1	0	0	0	2	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	1-6	17%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 26	16.4	13	54%	7	1	0	1	2	0	4	3	3-4	75%	2-4	50%	2-6	33%
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 22	10.2	4	40%	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	2-3	67%	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Jordan McLaughlin #11 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 29	10.2	2	100%	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Riley Minix #27 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
David Duke Jr. #7 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Acute-on-chronic Bone Bruise
De'Aaron Fox #4 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Fifth Finger; Extensor Tendon Surgery
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	123	61%	46	27	15	6	14	14	13	33	27-32	84%	27-43	63%	14-43	33%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

23 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Devin Vassell #24 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 25	29.6	25	89%	6	3	2	1	1	4	0	6	0-0	-	8-8	100%	3-6	50%
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 33	23.3	8	67%	9	3	1	0	0	1	4	5	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 40	22.1	2	25%	1	6	2	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Stephon Castle #5 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 20	19.8	15	58%	5	1	1	1	4	2	1	4	8-10	80%	2-5	40%	1-3	33%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 33	19.7	10	56%	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-6	33%

Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 22	25.9	8	67%	1	4	3	0	2	3	1	0	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	0-2	0%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 24	23.4	20	100%	5	2	3	1	2	2	3	2	4-5	80%	2-3	67%	4-6	67%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 22	20.3	9	50%	5	2	2	1	2	1	0	5	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	1-3	33%
Keldon Johnson #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 25	19.1	7	32%	2	3	0	1	0	0	0	2	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	1-6	17%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 26	16.4	13	54%	7	1	0	1	2	0	4	3	3-4	75%	2-4	50%	2-6	33%
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 22	10.2	4	40%	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	2-3	67%	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Jordan McLaughlin #11 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 29	10.2	2	100%	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Riley Minix #27 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
David Duke Jr. #7 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Acute-on-chronic Bone Bruise
De'Aaron Fox #4 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Fifth Finger; Extensor Tendon Surgery
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	123	61%	46	27	15	6	14	14	13	33	27-32	84%	27-43	63%	14-43	33%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

27 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
RJ Barrett #9 · SF · 6'6" 214 · 25	30.1	18	47%	7	2	0	0	6	3	0	7	1-4	25%	7-11	64%	1-6	17%
Ochai Agbaji #30 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 25	29.9	2	13%	7	3	0	0	0	2	2	5	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-3	0%
Scottie Barnes #4 · PF · 6'8" 237 · 24	29.7	22	85%	6	6	2	1	6	1	2	4	3-4	75%	5-5	100%	3-6	50%
Jamal Shead #23 · PG · 6'1" 200 · 23	27.4	17	61%	2	6	1	0	3	2	1	1	1-1	100%	5-6	83%	2-8	25%
Colin Castleton #11 · C · 6'10" 250 · 25	24.0	4	33%	4	1	2	1	2	3	3	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-1	0%

Jonathan Mogbo #2 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	26.5	6	33%	10	4	1	1	1	3	4	6	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-2	0%
Ja'Kobe Walter #14 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 21	24.5	10	38%	3	4	0	0	1	0	3	0	2-2	100%	1-6	17%	2-6	33%
Orlando Robinson #21 · C · 6'10" 235 · 25	22.7	5	42%	6	0	0	0	2	4	1	5	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-1	100%
Jamison Battle #77 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 24	21.9	5	28%	1	1	2	0	0	3	0	1	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	1-6	17%
Garrett Temple #17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 39	3.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Chris Boucher #25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 32	NWT - Not With Team
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 29	DND – Rest
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 26	DND – Rest
Jared Rhoden #8 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
A.J. Lawson #0 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Gradey Dick #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Bone Bruise
Brandon Ingram #3 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Ulrich Chomche #22 · PF · 6'11" 235 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Partial Proximal MCL Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	89	44%	46	27	8	3	21	21	16	30	9-13	69%	25-53	47%	10-39	26%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	TOR
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	TOR

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.22 60.9%

TOR

0.87 43.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

60%

TOR

49%

Midrange

SAS

69%

TOR

42%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

21.0

33%

49%

TOR

15.0

26%

38%

Free Throws

SAS

84%

TOR

69%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Vassell	25	89%	12.5 / 14
J. Champagnie	20	100%	10.0 / 10
S. Castle	15	58%	7.5 / 13
S. Mamukelashvili	13	54%	6.5 / 12
H. Barnes	10	56%	5.0 / 9
J. Sochan	9	50%	4.5 / 9
B. Biyombo	8	67%	4.0 / 6
B. Wesley	8	67%	4.0 / 6
K. Johnson	7	32%	3.5 / 11
M. Branham	4	40%	2.0 / 5
C. Paul	2	25%	1.0 / 4
J. McLaughlin	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Barnes	22	85%	11.0 / 13
R. Barrett	18	47%	9.0 / 19
J. Shead	17	61%	8.5 / 14
J. Walter	10	38%	5.0 / 13
J. Mogbo	6	33%	3.0 / 9
O. Robinson	5	42%	2.5 / 6
J. Battle	5	28%	2.5 / 9
C. Castleton	4	33%	2.0 / 6
O. Agbaji	2	13%	1.0 / 8
G. Temple	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 113.5 26 109.5	SAS 120.6 +33.3 TOR 87.3
Pace	13 100.1 9 100.6	SAS 99.5 TOR 104.6 +5.1
Avg. Poss. Time	20 14.3 27 13.8	SAS 14.5 TOR 13.8 −0.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	18 54.4% 24 52.2%	SAS 55.8% +12.3% TOR 43.5%
TO %	11 13.2% 26 14.5%	SAS 12.3% −6.1% TOR 18.4%
ORB %	20 24.3% 4 27.3%	SAS 30.2% TOR 32.7% +2.5%
FTrt	22 23.4 25 23.2	SAS 37.2 +23.1 TOR 14.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	3 68.5% 2 68.5%	SAS 65.9% TOR 77.1% +11.2%
STL %	14 8.2% 18 8.0%	SAS 14.7% +6.9% TOR 7.8%
BLK %	5 10.5% 27 8.4%	SAS 11.3% +4.3% TOR 7.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	18 56.3% 25 53.8%	SAS 60.9% +17.3% TOR 43.6%
Rim FG%	14 63.9% 28 60.2%	SAS 60.0% +11.2% TOR 48.8%
Mid FG%	20 41.8% 21 41.5%	SAS 69.2% +27.5% TOR 41.7%
3P %	20 35.7% 23 34.8%	SAS 32.6% +7.0% TOR 25.6%
FT %	21 77.4% 29 74.8%	SAS 84.4% +15.2% TOR 69.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	8 33.7% 3 36.2%	SAS 34.9% TOR 44.6% +9.7%
Mid Att. %	4 22.2% 17 26.5%	SAS 15.1% TOR 13.0% −2.1%
3P Att. %	8 44.1% 29 37.3%	SAS 50.0% +7.6% TOR 42.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAS	TOR
Possessions	102	102
Possession Minutes	24.6	23.4
Points	123	89
Rebounds	46	46
Assists	27	27
Steals	15	8
Blocks	6	3
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	21 (1)
Fouls	14	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (0)	16 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (5)	30 (3)
Field Goals	41-86	35-92
At-the-Rim FG	18-30	20-41
Midrange FG	9-13	5-12
2-Point FG	27-43	25-53
3-Point FG	14-43	10-39
Free Throws	27-32	9-13
Fast Break Pts	22	13
2nd Chance Pts	13	19
Points in Paint	50	46
Pts off Turnovers	30	13
Bench Points	63	26
Biggest Lead	38	1

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg