Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, March 23, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	19	Nuggets	31%	108	116	124.7	93	91.8
	6	Rockets	69%	116	111	120.7	92	92.9

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+18

-9

102

HOU

+18

-6

104

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.14 56.9%

HOU

1.07 53.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

19 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 37	38.4	11	69%	15	4	1	0	1	5	3	12	1-3	33%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 28	38.2	39	63%	4	7	0	0	1	2	1	3	5-6	83%	11-22	50%	4-6	67%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 30	37.1	13	65%	4	8	1	0	0	3	1	3	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	1-3	33%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 24	34.4	11	69%	4	2	0	0	1	0	0	4	4-4	100%	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 27	32.4	17	50%	9	2	0	0	1	3	4	5	2-2	100%	6-13	46%	1-3	33%

Russell Westbrook #4 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 36	24.0	14	54%	2	1	1	2	5	6	0	2	2-4	50%	3-7	43%	2-4	50%
Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 23	20.6	9	50%	5	3	1	2	0	3	1	4	2-3	67%	2-6	33%	1-2	50%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24	11.8	2	33%	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 25	3.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
PJ Hall #13 · C · 6'8" 245 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dario Šarić #9 · C · 6'10" 225 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Impingement
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	57%	43	28	5	4	9	23	10	33	18-26	69%	34-66	52%	10-21	48%

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19 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 37	38.4	11	69%	15	4	1	0	1	5	3	12	1-3	33%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 28	38.2	39	63%	4	7	0	0	1	2	1	3	5-6	83%	11-22	50%	4-6	67%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 30	37.1	13	65%	4	8	1	0	0	3	1	3	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	1-3	33%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 24	34.4	11	69%	4	2	0	0	1	0	0	4	4-4	100%	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 27	32.4	17	50%	9	2	0	0	1	3	4	5	2-2	100%	6-13	46%	1-3	33%

Russell Westbrook #4 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 36	24.0	14	54%	2	1	1	2	5	6	0	2	2-4	50%	3-7	43%	2-4	50%
Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 23	20.6	9	50%	5	3	1	2	0	3	1	4	2-3	67%	2-6	33%	1-2	50%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24	11.8	2	33%	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 25	3.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
PJ Hall #13 · C · 6'8" 245 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dario Šarić #9 · C · 6'10" 225 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Impingement
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	57%	43	28	5	4	9	23	10	33	18-26	69%	34-66	52%	10-21	48%

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6 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 31	41.7	7	27%	3	5	0	0	1	2	0	3	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	1-8	13%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 23	39.5	17	47%	14	10	2	1	0	1	3	11	5-8	63%	6-14	43%	0-1	0%
Dillon Brooks #9 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 29	36.6	21	88%	3	1	0	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	5-8	63%
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 23	35.8	30	58%	2	5	0	0	0	4	0	2	11-14	79%	5-10	50%	3-12	25%
Amen Thompson #1 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 22	31.8	11	42%	6	1	1	3	1	5	3	3	0-4	0%	4-9	44%	1-2	50%

Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 32	22.4	14	64%	12	2	0	3	1	3	10	2	2-4	50%	6-10	60%	0-0	-
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 22	16.6	7	70%	3	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Tari Eason #17 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	15.4	4	67%	2	1	1	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jock Landale #2 · C · 6'11" 255 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cam Whitmore #7 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Reed Sheppard #15 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Thumb; Avulsion Fracture
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
David Roddy #21 · PF · 6'5" 255 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jack McVeigh #58 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
N'Faly Dante #3 · C · 6'11" 230 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	53%	45	25	4	7	6	20	16	29	22-34	65%	28-55	51%	11-34	32%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	HOU
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	HOU

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.14 56.9%

HOU

1.07 53.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

59%

HOU

67%

Midrange

DEN

44%

HOU

27%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

15.0

48%

71%

HOU

16.5

32%

49%

Free Throws

DEN

69%

HOU

65%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Murray	39	63%	19.5 / 31
M. Porter	17	50%	8.5 / 17
R. Westbrook	14	54%	7.0 / 13
A. Gordon	13	65%	6.5 / 10
D. Jordan	11	69%	5.5 / 8
C. Braun	11	69%	5.5 / 8
P. Watson	9	50%	4.5 / 9
Z. Nnaji	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Green	30	58%	15.0 / 26
D. Brooks	21	88%	10.5 / 12
A. Sengun	17	47%	8.5 / 18
S. Adams	14	64%	7.0 / 11
A. Thompson	11	42%	5.5 / 13
F. VanVleet	7	27%	3.5 / 13
J. Smith	7	70%	3.5 / 5
T. Eason	4	67%	2.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	4 118.9 12 114.9	DEN 124.7 +4.1 HOU 120.7
Pace	8 100.6 18 99.0	DEN 91.8 HOU 92.9 +1.1
Avg. Poss. Time	22 14.2 12 14.8	DEN 15.7 HOU 15.5 −0.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	2 57.3% 23 52.3%	DEN 56.3% +6.3% HOU 50.0%
TO %	15 13.3% 10 13.1%	DEN 8.4% HOU 5.5% −2.9%
ORB %	7 26.7% 1 31.7%	DEN 25.6% HOU 32.7% +7.1%
FTrt	5 25.9 16 24.2	DEN 29.9 HOU 38.2 +8.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	4 68.3% 30 54.9%	DEN 63.6% HOU 64.1% +0.5%
STL %	19 7.9% 9 8.4%	DEN 5.4% +1.1% HOU 4.3%
BLK %	21 9.0% 15 9.3%	DEN 7.3% HOU 10.6% +3.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.58 and 2.58.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	2 58.8% 24 53.9%	DEN 56.9% +3.5% HOU 53.4%
Rim FG%	7 66.2% 25 61.5%	DEN 59.4% HOU 66.7% +7.3%
Mid FG%	8 45.5% 24 40.4%	DEN 44.1% +16.8% HOU 27.3%
3P %	5 37.6% 21 35.3%	DEN 47.6% +15.2% HOU 32.4%
FT %	23 77.0% 30 73.8%	DEN 69.2% +4.5% HOU 64.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	1 38.3% 10 33.3%	DEN 36.8% HOU 37.1% +0.3%
Mid Att. %	13 26.1% 23 28.3%	DEN 39.1% HOU 24.7% −14.4%
3P Att. %	30 35.6% 27 38.4%	DEN 24.1% HOU 38.2% +14.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.2 and 2.2.

Game Totals	DEN	HOU
Possessions	93	92
Possession Minutes	24.3	23.8
Points	116	111
Rebounds	43	45
Assists	28	25
Steals	5	4
Blocks	4	7
Turnovers (Team)	9 (0)	6 (0)
Fouls	23	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (8)	16 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (5)	29 (1)
Field Goals	44-87	39-89
At-the-Rim FG	19-32	22-33
Midrange FG	15-34	6-22
2-Point FG	34-66	28-55
3-Point FG	10-21	11-34
Free Throws	18-26	22-34
Fast Break Pts	14	0
2nd Chance Pts	20	10
Points in Paint	52	50
Pts off Turnovers	6	15
Bench Points	25	25
Biggest Lead	19	9

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg