Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, March 25, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	21	Spurs	37%	111	96	103.2	93	91.1
	14	Pistons	63%	116	122	131.2	93	95.0

Scoring Opportunities

SAS

+21

-10

104

DET

-10

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

0.92 46.2%

DET

1.34 67.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

21 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Devin Vassell #24 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 25	32.3	26	62%	6	1	0	0	1	0	0	6	0-0	-	4-9	44%	6-12	50%
Stephon Castle #5 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 20	29.6	19	53%	2	4	1	0	2	1	0	2	4-6	67%	6-11	55%	1-4	25%
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 33	25.4	0	0%	7	3	0	0	1	2	1	6	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 33	23.0	9	38%	4	3	0	0	1	2	1	3	6-6	100%	0-2	0%	1-7	14%
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 40	21.1	3	38%	1	3	2	1	2	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%

Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 22	22.9	5	36%	3	0	1	0	1	1	2	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-3	33%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 24	22.5	4	25%	6	2	2	0	1	2	1	5	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-6	0%
Keldon Johnson #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 25	22.4	10	45%	5	3	0	0	1	0	5	0	4-4	100%	3-7	43%	0-2	0%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 26	16.9	11	69%	2	1	0	0	0	5	2	0	0-2	0%	1-3	33%	3-4	75%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 22	14.8	2	25%	4	0	1	1	0	3	3	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 22	4.5	5	125%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Jordan McLaughlin #11 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 29	4.5	2	33%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
David Duke Jr. #7 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Riley Minix #27 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Acute-on-chronic Bone Bruise
De'Aaron Fox #4 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Fifth Finger; Extensor Tendon Surgery
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	96	46%	41	21	7	2	10	19	16	25	16-20	80%	19-47	40%	14-44	32%

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21 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Devin Vassell #24 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 25	32.3	26	62%	6	1	0	0	1	0	0	6	0-0	-	4-9	44%	6-12	50%
Stephon Castle #5 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 20	29.6	19	53%	2	4	1	0	2	1	0	2	4-6	67%	6-11	55%	1-4	25%
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 33	25.4	0	0%	7	3	0	0	1	2	1	6	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 33	23.0	9	38%	4	3	0	0	1	2	1	3	6-6	100%	0-2	0%	1-7	14%
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 40	21.1	3	38%	1	3	2	1	2	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%

Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 22	22.9	5	36%	3	0	1	0	1	1	2	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-3	33%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 24	22.5	4	25%	6	2	2	0	1	2	1	5	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-6	0%
Keldon Johnson #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 25	22.4	10	45%	5	3	0	0	1	0	5	0	4-4	100%	3-7	43%	0-2	0%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 26	16.9	11	69%	2	1	0	0	0	5	2	0	0-2	0%	1-3	33%	3-4	75%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 22	14.8	2	25%	4	0	1	1	0	3	3	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 22	4.5	5	125%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Jordan McLaughlin #11 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 29	4.5	2	33%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
David Duke Jr. #7 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Riley Minix #27 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Acute-on-chronic Bone Bruise
De'Aaron Fox #4 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Fifth Finger; Extensor Tendon Surgery
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	96	46%	41	21	7	2	10	19	16	25	16-20	80%	19-47	40%	14-44	32%

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14 Detroit Pistons

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tobias Harris #12 · PF · 6'8" 226 · 33	27.3	15	63%	8	4	3	1	1	0	0	8	4-4	100%	1-5	20%	3-5	60%
Ausar Thompson #9 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 22	27.0	14	64%	6	3	2	0	1	4	2	4	1-2	50%	5-7	71%	1-3	33%
Tim Hardaway Jr. #8 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 33	25.3	12	75%	2	4	0	0	0	2	0	2	3-3	100%	3-3	100%	1-4	25%
Jalen Duren #0 · C · 6'10" 250 · 21	24.0	14	64%	4	7	0	0	1	3	1	3	2-5	40%	6-9	67%	0-0	-
Dennis Schröder #17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 32	22.7	7	50%	2	6	0	0	0	4	0	2	3-3	100%	2-5	40%	0-1	0%

Marcus Sasser #25 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25	25.6	27	96%	4	1	1	0	3	1	1	3	4-5	80%	4-5	80%	5-7	71%
Malik Beasley #5 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 28	24.7	13	50%	3	3	0	0	1	0	0	3	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	2-7	29%
Isaiah Stewart #28 · C · 6'8" 250 · 24	19.7	4	67%	6	2	0	3	0	1	1	5	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Ronald Holland II #00 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 20	17.8	8	100%	6	2	0	1	2	1	1	5	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Simone Fontecchio #19 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 29	16.9	2	50%	3	1	0	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Lindy Waters III #43 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 28	4.7	3	150%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Paul Reed #7 · C · 6'9" 210 · 26	4.3	3	75%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Cade Cunningham #2 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Contusion
Bobi Klintman #34 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Ron Harper Jr. #13 · SF · 6'5" 233 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tolu Smith #35 · PF · 6'11" 254 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Daniss Jenkins #24 · PG · 6'4" 165 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jaden Ivey #23 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Fibula; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	67%	44	33	6	5	10	19	6	38	19-25	76%	29-47	62%	15-31	48%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	DET
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	DET

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

0.92 46.2%

DET

1.34 67.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

52%

DET

73%

Midrange

SAS

27%

DET

36%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

21.0

32%

48%

DET

22.5

48%

73%

Free Throws

SAS

80%

DET

76%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Vassell	26	62%	13.0 / 21
S. Castle	19	53%	9.5 / 18
S. Mamukelashvili	11	69%	5.5 / 8
K. Johnson	10	45%	5.0 / 11
H. Barnes	9	38%	4.5 / 12
B. Wesley	5	36%	2.5 / 7
M. Branham	5	125%	2.5 / 2
J. Champagnie	4	25%	2.0 / 8
C. Paul	3	38%	1.5 / 4
J. Sochan	2	25%	1.0 / 4
J. McLaughlin	2	33%	1.0 / 3
B. Biyombo	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pistons

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Sasser	27	96%	13.5 / 14
T. Harris	15	63%	7.5 / 12
A. Thompson	14	64%	7.0 / 11
J. Duren	14	64%	7.0 / 11
M. Beasley	13	50%	6.5 / 13
T. Hardaway	12	75%	6.0 / 8
R. Holland	8	100%	4.0 / 4
D. Schröder	7	50%	3.5 / 7
I. Stewart	4	67%	2.0 / 3
L. Waters	3	150%	1.5 / 1
P. Reed	3	75%	1.5 / 2
S. Fontecchio	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 113.5 14 114.5	SAS 103.2 DET 131.2 +28.0
Pace	13 100.1 12 100.3	SAS 91.1 DET 95.0 +3.9
Avg. Poss. Time	20 14.3 21 14.3	SAS 15.8 DET 15.2 −0.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	18 54.4% 16 54.7%	SAS 44.0% DET 66.0% +22.0%
TO %	11 13.2% 21 14.0%	SAS 9.9% −1.1% DET 11.0%
ORB %	20 24.3% 11 26.2%	SAS 29.6% +10.2% DET 19.4%
FTrt	22 23.4 12 24.8	SAS 22.0 DET 32.1 +10.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	3 68.5% 21 61.8%	SAS 63.6% DET 75.0% +11.4%
STL %	14 8.2% 20 7.9%	SAS 7.5% +1.0% DET 6.5%
BLK %	5 10.5% 6 10.4%	SAS 4.3% DET 10.6% +6.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	18 56.3% 16 56.6%	SAS 46.2% DET 67.0% +20.8%
Rim FG%	14 63.9% 16 63.7%	SAS 52.0% DET 72.7% +20.7%
Mid FG%	20 41.8% 16 43.5%	SAS 27.3% DET 35.7% +8.4%
3P %	20 35.7% 17 36.2%	SAS 31.8% DET 48.4% +16.6%
FT %	21 77.4% 20 77.4%	SAS 80.0% +4.0% DET 76.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	8 33.7% 5 34.4%	SAS 27.5% DET 42.3% +14.8%
Mid Att. %	4 22.2% 14 26.2%	SAS 24.2% DET 17.9% −6.2%
3P Att. %	8 44.1% 22 39.4%	SAS 48.4% +8.6% DET 39.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAS	DET
Possessions	93	93
Possession Minutes	24.5	23.5
Points	96	122
Rebounds	41	44
Assists	21	33
Steals	7	6
Blocks	2	5
Turnovers (Team)	10 (1)	10 (1)
Fouls	19	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	16 (5)	6 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	25 (4)	38 (1)
Field Goals	33-91	44-78
At-the-Rim FG	13-25	24-33
Midrange FG	6-22	5-14
2-Point FG	19-47	29-47
3-Point FG	14-44	15-31
Free Throws	16-20	19-25
Fast Break Pts	8	14
2nd Chance Pts	17	6
Points in Paint	36	56
Pts off Turnovers	5	19
Bench Points	39	60
Biggest Lead	1	30

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg