Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Tuesday, March 25, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Magic | |||
 | 26 | Hornets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 22 | Pistons | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 16 | Heat | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 5 | Mavericks | |||
 | 7 | Knicks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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%20--%3e%3csvg%20version='1.1'%20id='Layer_1'%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20xmlns:xlink='http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink'%20x='0px'%20y='0px'%20viewBox='0%200%20400%20400'%20style='enable-background:new%200%200%20400%20400;'%20xml:space='preserve'%3e%3cpath%20d='M376,81.4L341.7,155H204.3L161,247.8h-38.8c0.3-4.6,1.2-9.3,2.7-13.8c3.7-11.2,10.7-20.4,19.5-27c2.3,2.6,4.4,5.5,6.3,8.5%20c0.3,0.5,0.9,0.4,1.1,0c0,0,0,0,0,0l62.6-134.2H376z'/%3e%3cpath%20d='M57.8,276.6c-3.9,7.8-9.5,14.5-16.3,19.6c-5.7-6.6-10.2-14.3-13.1-23.1c-2-5.9-3.1-11.8-3.4-17.7h38.6%20C63.1,262.7,61.2,269.9,57.8,276.6'/%3e%3cpath%20d='M89.1,255.4v64.2c-15.8-0.9-30.7-7.3-42.3-17.9c7.4-5.7,13.4-13.1,17.8-21.7c3.9-7.8,6.1-16.1,6.6-24.6H89.1z'/%3e%3cpath%20d='M60.9,234c1.5,4.5,2.4,9.2,2.7,13.8H25c0.8-15.1,6.7-29.4,16.5-40.7C50.2,213.7,57.1,222.9,60.9,234'/%3e%3cpath%20d='M89.1,183.7v64.2H71.2c-0.3-5.4-1.4-10.9-3.1-16.2c-4.1-12.4-11.7-22.6-21.3-30c6.9-6.4,15.2-11.4,24.7-14.6%20C77.3,185.1,83.2,184,89.1,183.7'/%3e%3cpath%20d='M114.6,247.8H96.7v-64.2c15.8,0.9,30.8,7.2,42.4,17.9c-9.9,7.6-17.3,18-21.4,30.1C115.9,237,114.9,242.4,114.6,247.8'/%3e%3cpath%20d='M139.1,301.8c-6.9,6.3-15.2,11.3-24.6,14.5c-5.9,2-11.9,3.1-17.8,3.4v-64.2h17.8c0.5,8.5,2.7,16.8,6.6,24.6%20C125.5,288.7,131.6,296.1,139.1,301.8'/%3e%3cpath%20d='M161,255.4c-0.8,15.1-6.7,29.5-16.6,40.9c-6.9-5.1-12.5-11.8-16.4-19.7c-3.4-6.7-5.3-13.9-5.8-21.2H161z'/%3e%3c/svg%3e) | 28 | Jazz | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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%20--%3e%3csvg%20version='1.1'%20id='Layer_1'%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20xmlns:xlink='http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink'%20x='0px'%20y='0px'%20viewBox='0%200%20400%20400'%20style='enable-background:new%200%200%20400%20400;'%20xml:space='preserve'%3e%3cstyle%20type='text/css'%3e%20.st0{fill:%23FFFFFF;}%20.st1{fill:%23CF0A2C;}%20%3c/style%3e%3cg%3e%3cpath%20d='M300.9,131.4c-4.4-6.5-9.4-12.6-15-18.2c-2.4-2.4-4.9-4.7-7.5-6.9L333,51.7H174l-61.4,61.4h0c0,0-0.1,0.1-0.1,0.1%20c-5.5,5.6-10.6,11.7-15,18.2c-4.4,6.6-8.2,13.6-11.3,20.8c-6.4,15.1-9.6,31.2-9.6,47.7c0,16.6,3.2,32.6,9.6,47.7%20c3.1,7.3,6.9,14.3,11.3,20.8c4.4,6.5,9.4,12.6,15,18.2c2.4,2.4,4.9,4.7,7.5,6.9l-54.6,54.6h159l61.6-61.6h0%20c5.5-5.5,10.5-11.6,14.9-18c4.4-6.6,8.2-13.6,11.3-20.8c6.4-15.1,9.6-31.2,9.6-47.7c0-16.6-3.2-32.6-9.6-47.7%20C309.1,145,305.3,137.9,300.9,131.4'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st0'%20d='M278.8,120.3c-2.4-2.4-4.9-4.7-7.4-6.8l-66.7,66.7c3.3,0.9,6.4,2.7,9,5.3l0,0c8.1,8.1,8.1,21.1,0,29.2%20L89.9,338.3h14.5l116.4-116.4c12-12,12.1-31.5,0.1-43.6l7.2-7.2c16,16.1,15.9,42-0.1,58L118.9,338.3h14.5l101.9-101.9%20c20-20,20.1-52.5,0.1-72.5l7.2-7.2c24,24.1,23.9,63-0.1,87l-94.7,94.7h14.5l87.4-87.4c28-28,28.1-73.4,0.1-101.5l7.2-7.2%20c31.9,32.1,31.9,84-0.1,116l-80.2,80.2h14.5l72.9-72.9c36-36,36.1-94.4,0.1-130.5l7.3-7.3c40,40.1,39.9,105-0.1,145l-65.6,65.6%20h14.5l58.4-58.4l0,0C322.8,235.8,322.8,164.4,278.8,120.3'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M119.7,279.7c2.4,2.4,4.9,4.7,7.4,6.8l66.7-66.7c-3.3-0.9-6.4-2.7-9-5.3l0,0c-8.1-8.1-8.1-21.1,0-29.2%20L308.7,61.6h-14.5L177.7,178.1c-12,12-12.1,31.5-0.1,43.6l-7.2,7.2c-15.9-16.1-15.9-42,0.1-58L279.8,61.6h-14.5L163.2,163.6%20c-20,20-20.1,52.5-0.1,72.5l-7.2,7.2c-24-24.1-23.9-63,0.1-87l94.8-94.8h-14.5l-87.6,87.6c-28,28-28.1,73.4-0.1,101.5l-7.2,7.2%20c-31.9-32.1-31.9-84,0.1-116l80.3-80.3h-14.5l-73.1,73.1c-36,36-36.1,94.4-0.1,130.5l-7.3,7.3c-40-40.1-39.9-105,0.1-145l65.8-65.8%20h-14.5l-58.6,58.6l0,0C75.7,164.2,75.7,235.7,119.7,279.7'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e) | 29 | Trail Blazers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Thunder | |||
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Monday, March 24, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Timberwolves | |||
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Lakers | |||
| 11 | Magic | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Raptors | |||
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mavericks | |||
 | 27 | Nets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 22 | Pelicans | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Bulls | |||
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Bucks | |||
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2 | Celtics | |||
| 10 | Kings | |||
Sunday, March 23, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pelicans | |||
| 22 | Pistons | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | |||
| 28 | Jazz | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 76ers | |||
| 19 | Hawks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | |||
| 16 | Heat | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Spurs | |||
| 25 | Raptors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | |||
| 29 | Trail Blazers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | |||
| 6 | Rockets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | |||
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Saturday, March 22, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | |||
| 12 | Pacers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Warriors | |||
| 19 | Hawks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | |||
| 6 | Knicks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bucks | |||
| 10 | Kings | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bulls | |||
| 20 | Lakers | |||
Friday, March 21, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Magic | |||
| 30 | Wizards | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Rockets | |||
| 16 | Heat | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pelicans | |||
| 9 | Timberwolves | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | |||
| 1 | Thunder | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 76ers | |||
| 20 | Spurs | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pistons | |||
| 5 | Mavericks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | |||
| 28 | Jazz | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | |||
| 17 | Suns | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | |||
| 29 | Trail Blazers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Grizzlies | |||
| 11 | Clippers | |||
Thursday, March 20, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Knicks | |||
| 25 | Hornets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Nets | |||
| 13 | Pacers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bucks | |||
| 15 | Warriors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bulls | |||
| 9 | Kings | |||
Wednesday, March 19, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | |||
| 27 | Jazz | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mavericks | |||
| 13 | Pacers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Rockets | |||
| 12 | Magic | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pistons | |||
| 16 | Heat | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pelicans | |||
| 10 | Timberwolves | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 76ers | |||
| 1 | Thunder | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Knicks | |||
| 19 | Spurs | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Raptors | |||
| 15 | Warriors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | |||
| 21 | Lakers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bulls | |||
| 17 | Suns | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Grizzlies | |||
| 29 | Trail Blazers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | |||
| 9 | Kings | |||
Tuesday, March 18, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hawks | |||
| 25 | Hornets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | |||
| 2 | Celtics | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bucks | |||
| 21 | Lakers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | |||
| 11 | Clippers | |||
Monday, March 17, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Heat | |||
| 7 | Knicks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 76ers | |||
| 6 | Rockets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pacers | |||
| 10 | Timberwolves | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pistons | |||
| 23 | Pelicans | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Magic | |||
| 19 | Spurs | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bulls | |||
| 27 | Jazz | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | |||
| 15 | Warriors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Raptors | |||
| 17 | Suns | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Grizzlies | |||
| 9 | Kings | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | |||
| 29 | Trail Blazers | |||
Sunday, March 16, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | |||
| 11 | Clippers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 76ers | |||
| 5 | Mavericks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Suns | |||
| 21 | Lakers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hawks | |||
| 27 | Nets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Magic | |||
| 3 | Cavaliers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Raptors | |||
| 29 | Trail Blazers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Jazz | |||
| 9 | Timberwolves | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | |||
| 14 | Bucks | |||
Saturday, March 15, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | |||
| 27 | Nets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | |||
| 22 | Pistons | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bulls | |||
| 6 | Rockets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Heat | |||
| 4 | Grizzlies | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pacers | |||
| 12 | Bucks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pelicans | |||
| 20 | Spurs | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Knicks | |||
| 15 | Warriors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | |||
| 8 | Nuggets | |||
Friday, March 14, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | |||
| 16 | Heat | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pacers | |||
| 18 | 76ers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Clippers | |||
| 20 | Hawks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mavericks | |||
| 6 | Rockets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | |||
| 4 | Grizzlies | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Magic | |||
| 10 | Timberwolves | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | |||
| 19 | Spurs | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Lakers | |||
| 8 | Nuggets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Raptors | |||
| 27 | Jazz | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Kings | |||
| 17 | Suns | |||
Thursday, March 13, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | |||
| 22 | Pistons | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Lakers | |||
| 12 | Bucks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Nets | |||
| 24 | Bulls | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Kings | |||
| 15 | Warriors | |||
Wednesday, March 12, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bulls | |||
| 11 | Magic | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | |||
| 19 | Hawks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | |||
| 2 | Celtics | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 76ers | |||
| 25 | Raptors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Clippers | |||
| 16 | Heat | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Suns | |||
| 6 | Rockets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Jazz | |||
| 3 | Grizzlies | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mavericks | |||
| 20 | Spurs | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Timberwolves | |||
| 8 | Nuggets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Knicks | |||
| 29 | Trail Blazers | |||