Final Win Prob. pScore
758%108
86
1542%105
112
ORTG#PossPace
GSW logo Warriors
94.591101.2
MIA logo Heat
124.49081.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

HeatWarriorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatWarriorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventGSWMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.86
112
Q4 - 0:17.7HeatDavion Mitchell makes three point stepback jump shot86
112
Q4 - 0:39.2WarriorsTrayce Jackson-Davis makes two point layup86
109
Q4 - 0:43.8WarriorsGui Santos defensive rebound84
109
Q4 - 0:46.3HeatPelle Larsson misses three point jump shot84
109
Q4 - 1:08HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound84
109
Q4 - 1:12WarriorsGui Santos misses three point running jump shot84
109
Q4 - 1:18HeatPelle Larsson turnover (bad pass) (Jonathan Kuminga steals)84
109
Q4 - 1:29WarriorsTrayce Jackson-Davis makes two point tip dunk84
109
Q4 - 1:29WarriorsTrayce Jackson-Davis offensive rebound82
109
Q4 - 1:32WarriorsJonathan Kuminga misses three point jump shot82
109
Q4 - 1:36WarriorsGui Santos offensive rebound82
109
Q4 - 1:40WarriorsJonathan Kuminga misses regular free throw 2 of 282
109
Q4 - 1:40WarriorsJonathan Kuminga makes regular free throw 1 of 282
109
Q4 - 1:40HeatKel'el Ware shooting foul (Jonathan Kuminga draws the foul)81
109
Q4 - 1:43WarriorsKevin Knox II defensive rebound81
109
Q4 - 1:45HeatPelle Larsson misses two point driving floating jump shot81
109
Q4 - 2:09HeatDavion Mitchell defensive rebound81
109
Q4 - 2:11WarriorsPat Spencer misses two point fadeaway jump shot81
109
Q4 - 2:31HeatPelle Larsson makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)81
109
Q4 - 2:59WarriorsGui Santos makes three point jump shot (Jonathan Kuminga assists)81
106
Q4 - 3:13HeatPelle Larsson makes two point driving layup (Davion Mitchell assists)78
106
Q4 - 3:33HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound78
104
Q4 - 3:36WarriorsJonathan Kuminga misses regular free throw 2 of 278
104
Q4 - 3:36Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Pelle Larsson, Davion Mitchell, Kel'el Ware, Kyle Anderson)78
104
Q4 - 3:36WarriorsJonathan Kuminga makes regular free throw 1 of 278
104
Q4 - 3:36HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Jonathan Kuminga draws the foul)77
104
Q4 - 3:51HeatDavion Mitchell makes two point driving layup (Tyler Herro assists)77
104
Q4 - 4:13Warriors lineup change (Trayce Jackson-Davis, Jonathan Kuminga, Pat Spencer, Kevin Knox II, Gui Santos)77
102
Q4 - 4:13Stoppage (Out of bounds)77
102
Q4 - 4:14HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound77
102
Q4 - 4:14WarriorsMoses Moody misses three point jump shot77
102
Q4 - 4:24HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway bank jump shot77
102
Q4 - 4:42HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound77
100
Q4 - 4:47WarriorsMoses Moody misses three point jump shot77
100
Q4 - 4:55HeatKyle Anderson makes two point turnaround hook shot77
100
Q4 - 5:07Kevon Looney kicked ball violation77
98
Q4 - 5:15HeatDavion Mitchell offensive rebound77
98
Q4 - 5:17HeatDavion Mitchell misses two point driving floating jump shot77
98
Q4 - 5:42WarriorsGui Santos makes two point putback layup77
98
Q4 - 5:43WarriorsGui Santos offensive rebound75
98
Q4 - 5:45WarriorsPat Spencer misses two point driving layup75
98
Q4 - 6:03HeatBam Adebayo turnover (traveling)75
98
Q4 - 6:17Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Jonathan Kuminga, Pat Spencer, Gui Santos, Kevon Looney)75
98
Q4 - 6:17WarriorsKevon Looney personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)75
98
Q4 - 6:17HeatHeat defensive rebound75
98
Q4 - 6:17WarriorsJonathan Kuminga misses two point driving floating bank jump shot75
98
Q4 - 6:30HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)75
98
Q4 - 6:40HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound75
95
Q4 - 6:43WarriorsMoses Moody misses three point pullup jump shot75
95
Q4 - 7:06Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody, Jonathan Kuminga, Gui Santos, Kevon Looney)75
95
Q4 - 7:06Warriors 60 second timeout75
95
Q4 - 7:06HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Kyle Anderson assists)75
95
Q4 - 7:21Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III, Jonathan Kuminga, Kevon Looney)75
92
Q4 - 7:21WarriorsBrandin Podziemski turnover (out of bounds bad pass)75
92
Q4 - 7:32HeatKyle Anderson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)75
92
Q4 - 7:49WarriorsMoses Moody makes two point driving floating jump shot (Brandin Podziemski assists)75
92
Q4 - 8:10HeatKyle Anderson makes three point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)73
92
Q4 - 8:33WarriorsBrandin Podziemski makes three point jump shot (Kevon Looney assists)73
89
Q4 - 8:47HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 270
89
Q4 - 8:47HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 270
88
Q4 - 8:47WarriorsMoses Moody shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)70
87
Q4 - 8:57HeatKyle Anderson defensive rebound70
87
Q4 - 9:00WarriorsMoses Moody misses three point stepback jump shot70
87
Q4 - 9:20WarriorsKevon Looney defensive rebound70
87
Q4 - 9:23HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 270
87
Q4 - 9:23Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Buddy Hield, Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III, Kevon Looney)70
87
Q4 - 9:23Warriors 60 second timeout70
87
Q4 - 9:23HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 270
87
Q4 - 9:23WarriorsBuddy Hield shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)70
87
Q4 - 9:36WarriorsDraymond Green turnover (out of bounds bad pass)70
87
Q4 - 9:47HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds lost ball)70
87
Q4 - 9:50WarriorsBuddy Hield turnover (bad pass) (Haywood Highsmith steals)70
87
Q4 - 9:57HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Jimmy Butler III draws the foul)70
87
Q4 - 9:58Stoppage (Out of bounds)70
87
Q4 - 9:59HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Draymond Green draws the foul)70
87
Q4 - 10:09HeatKyle Anderson makes two point running finger roll layup (Tyler Herro assists)70
87
Q4 - 10:14WarriorsQuinten Post turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Anderson steals)70
85
Q4 - 10:22HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler III steals)70
85
Q4 - 10:34HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound70
85
Q4 - 10:37WarriorsJimmy Butler III misses two point fadeaway bank jump shot70
85
Q4 - 10:50WarriorsBuddy Hield defensive rebound70
85
Q4 - 10:53HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot70
85
Q4 - 11:07HeatDavion Mitchell offensive rebound70
85
Q4 - 11:10HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot70
85
Q4 - 11:32WarriorsGary Payton II turnover (offensive foul)70
85
Q4 - 11:32WarriorsGary Payton II offensive foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)70
85
Q4 - 11:45WarriorsBuddy Hield defensive rebound70
85
Q4 - 11:47HeatDavion Mitchell misses regular free throw 1 of 170
85
Q4 - 11:47WarriorsBuddy Hield shooting foul (Davion Mitchell draws the foul)70
85
Q4 - 11:47HeatDavion Mitchell makes two point running finger roll layup70
85
Q4 - 11:48WarriorsGary Payton II turnover (bad pass) (Davion Mitchell steals)70
83
Q4 - 12:00Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Quinten Post, Buddy Hield, Jimmy Butler III, Draymond Green)70
83
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.70
83
Q3 - 0:02.3HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound70
83
Q3 - 0:02.3WarriorsBuddy Hield misses three point pullup jump shot70
83
Q3 - 0:08.0HeatDavion Mitchell makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)70
83
Q3 - 0:27.4WarriorsJonathan Kuminga turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Anderson steals)70
80
Q3 - 0:33.0Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Haywood Highsmith, Davion Mitchell, Kyle Anderson, Bam Adebayo)70
80
Q3 - 0:33.8Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Quinten Post, Buddy Hield, Jonathan Kuminga, Draymond Green)70
80
Q3 - 0:33.8HeatDavion Mitchell personal foul (Jonathan Kuminga draws the foul)70
80
Q3 - 0:44.3HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot70
80
Q3 - 0:57.8WarriorsJonathan Kuminga makes three point jump shot (Brandin Podziemski assists)70
78
Q3 - 1:14WarriorsKevon Looney defensive rebound67
78
Q3 - 1:14HeatAndrew Wiggins misses two point driving layup67
78
Q3 - 1:29WarriorsBrandin Podziemski makes two point fadeaway jump shot67
78
Q3 - 1:41WarriorsBrandin Podziemski defensive rebound65
78
Q3 - 1:43HeatTyler Herro misses two point running finger roll layup65
78
Q3 - 1:46HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound65
78
Q3 - 1:50WarriorsJonathan Kuminga misses two point pullup jump shot65
78
Q3 - 1:59WarriorsKevon Looney defensive rebound65
78
Q3 - 2:02HeatAndrew Wiggins misses three point jump shot65
78
Q3 - 2:14Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins, Haywood Highsmith, Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo)65
78
Q3 - 2:14Stoppage (Out of bounds)65
78
Q3 - 2:14HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound65
78
Q3 - 2:16WarriorsBrandin Podziemski misses two point pullup jump shot65
78
Q3 - 2:36HeatDavion Mitchell turnover (bad pass) (Kevon Looney steals)65
78
Q3 - 2:51Brandin Podziemski kicked ball violation65
78
Q3 - 3:00HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound65
78
Q3 - 3:04WarriorsAndrew Wiggins blocks Gui Santos's three point jump shot65
78
Q3 - 3:16Warriors 60 second timeout65
78
Q3 - 3:16Heat lineup change (Alec Burks, Andrew Wiggins, Haywood Highsmith, Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo)65
78
Q3 - 3:16HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)65
78
Q3 - 3:30Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Buddy Hield, Jonathan Kuminga, Gui Santos, Kevon Looney)65
78
Q3 - 3:30WarriorsKevon Looney personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)65
78
Q3 - 3:30HeatHeat offensive rebound65
78
Q3 - 3:34HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot65
78
Q3 - 3:46WarriorsJimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 165
78
Q3 - 3:46Heat lineup change (Alec Burks, Andrew Wiggins, Davion Mitchell, Kel'el Ware, Bam Adebayo)64
78
Q3 - 3:46HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Jimmy Butler III draws the foul)64
78
Q3 - 3:46WarriorsJimmy Butler III makes two point fadeaway jump shot64
78
Q3 - 3:53HeatDavion Mitchell personal foul (Brandin Podziemski draws the foul)62
78
Q3 - 3:58WarriorsKevon Looney defensive rebound62
78
Q3 - 4:00HeatAndrew Wiggins misses three point pullup jump shot62
78
Q3 - 4:17WarriorsJonathan Kuminga makes two point reverse layup (Jimmy Butler III assists)62
78
Q3 - 4:25Stoppage (Out of bounds)60
78
Q3 - 4:25WarriorsWarriors offensive rebound60
78
Q3 - 4:26WarriorsBuddy Hield misses two point jump shot60
78
Q3 - 4:29Heat lineup change (Alec Burks, Andrew Wiggins, Haywood Highsmith, Davion Mitchell, Kel'el Ware)60
78
Q3 - 4:29Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Buddy Hield, Jimmy Butler III, Jonathan Kuminga, Kevon Looney)60
78
Q3 - 4:29Stoppage (Out of bounds)60
78
Q3 - 4:50HeatKel'el Ware makes two point tip layup60
78
Q3 - 4:51HeatKel'el Ware offensive rebound60
76
Q3 - 4:52HeatKevon Looney blocks Kel'el Ware's two point driving layup60
76
Q3 - 5:05WarriorsBrandin Podziemski makes two point pullup bank jump shot (Kevon Looney assists)60
76
Q3 - 5:22HeatAlec Burks makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)58
76
Q3 - 5:34WarriorsKevon Looney makes two point layup (Brandin Podziemski assists)58
73
Q3 - 5:54HeatKel'el Ware makes two point alley-oop dunk (Andrew Wiggins assists)56
73
Q3 - 6:09Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Buddy Hield, Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III, Kevon Looney)56
71
Q3 - 6:09Heat 60 second timeout56
71
Q3 - 6:17WarriorsBrandin Podziemski makes two point driving layup56
71
Q3 - 6:29HeatAndrew Wiggins makes two point stepback jump shot54
71
Q3 - 6:56WarriorsBrandin Podziemski makes three point jump shot (Draymond Green assists)54
69
Q3 - 7:19HeatKel'el Ware makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Haywood Highsmith assists)51
69
Q3 - 7:21HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound51
67
Q3 - 7:26WarriorsBrandin Podziemski misses three point running jump shot51
67
Q3 - 7:32WarriorsJimmy Butler III defensive rebound51
67
Q3 - 7:32HeatAndrew Wiggins misses two point driving layup51
67
Q3 - 7:44Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Alec Burks, Andrew Wiggins, Haywood Highsmith, Kel'el Ware)51
67
Q3 - 7:44WarriorsBrandin Podziemski personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)51
67
Q3 - 7:44WarriorsDraymond Green turnover (bad pass) (Alec Burks steals)51
67
Q3 - 7:47WarriorsGary Payton II defensive rebound51
67
Q3 - 7:50HeatAlec Burks misses three point running jump shot51
67
Q3 - 7:53HeatAndrew Wiggins defensive rebound51
67
Q3 - 7:58WarriorsDraymond Green misses three point pullup jump shot51
67
Q3 - 8:07WarriorsGary Payton II defensive rebound51
67
Q3 - 8:11HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving floating jump shot51
67
Q3 - 8:31WarriorsJimmy Butler III makes two point running finger roll layup (Gary Payton II assists)51
67
Q3 - 8:34WarriorsGary Payton II defensive rebound49
67
Q3 - 8:37HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot49
67
Q3 - 8:42HeatAlec Burks defensive rebound49
67
Q3 - 8:43WarriorsBrandin Podziemski misses three point jump shot49
67
Q3 - 8:49HeatKel'el Ware turnover (bad pass) (Gary Payton II steals)49
67
Q3 - 8:50HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound49
67
Q3 - 8:52WarriorsJimmy Butler III misses three point jump shot49
67
Q3 - 8:58HeatAlec Burks turnover (lost ball) (Brandin Podziemski steals)49
67
Q3 - 8:58Jump ball. Brandin Podziemski vs. Alec Burks (Draymond Green gains possession)49
67
Q3 - 9:16WarriorsJimmy Butler III makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Draymond Green assists)49
67
Q3 - 9:23WarriorsGary Payton II defensive rebound47
67
Q3 - 9:26HeatKel'el Ware misses two point turnaround hook shot47
67
Q3 - 9:40HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound47
67
Q3 - 9:40WarriorsMoses Moody misses three point jump shot47
67
Q3 - 9:41WarriorsJimmy Butler III offensive rebound47
67
Q3 - 9:43WarriorsMoses Moody misses three point jump shot47
67
Q3 - 9:52HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running layup (Andrew Wiggins assists)47
67
Q3 - 9:54HeatAndrew Wiggins defensive rebound47
65
Q3 - 9:59WarriorsAndrew Wiggins blocks Moses Moody's three point jump shot47
65
Q3 - 10:11HeatBam Adebayo makes three point jump shot (Andrew Wiggins assists)47
65
Q3 - 10:23WarriorsGary Payton II makes two point running dunk47
62
Q3 - 10:28HeatKel'el Ware turnover (bad pass) (Gary Payton II steals)45
62
Q3 - 10:47WarriorsMoses Moody makes regular free throw 1 of 145
62
Q3 - 10:47HeatAndrew Wiggins shooting foul (Moses Moody draws the foul)44
62
Q3 - 10:47WarriorsMoses Moody makes two point driving layup (Gary Payton II assists)44
62
Q3 - 10:49WarriorsGary Payton II offensive rebound42
62
Q3 - 10:53WarriorsBrandin Podziemski misses three point pullup jump shot42
62
Q3 - 11:03HeatAlec Burks makes three point pullup jump shot42
62
Q3 - 11:27WarriorsJimmy Butler III makes two point tip layup42
59
Q3 - 11:28WarriorsJimmy Butler III offensive rebound40
59
Q3 - 11:29WarriorsBrandin Podziemski misses two point pullup jump shot40
59
Q3 - 11:48HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving dunk40
59
Q3 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Alec Burks, Andrew Wiggins, Kel'el Ware, Bam Adebayo)40
57
Q3 - 12:00Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III, Draymond Green)40
57
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.40
57
Q2 - 0:00.0Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)40
57
Q2 - 0:00.3HeatTyler Herro makes three point fadeaway jump shot (Andrew Wiggins assists)40
57
Q2 - 0:07.2Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III, Jonathan Kuminga, Draymond Green)40
54
Q2 - 0:07.9WarriorsWarriors turnover (shot clock violation)40
54
Q2 - 0:32.7HeatAlec Burks makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)40
54
Q2 - 0:52.5WarriorsJonathan Kuminga makes regular free throw 2 of 240
51
Q2 - 0:52.5WarriorsJonathan Kuminga makes regular free throw 1 of 239
51
Q2 - 0:52.5Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Buddy Hield, Jimmy Butler III, Jonathan Kuminga, Draymond Green)38
51
Q2 - 0:52.5Instant replay (Challenge: Stands)38
51
Q2 - 0:52.0Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Buddy Hield, Jimmy Butler III, Jonathan Kuminga, Kevon Looney)38
51
Q2 - 0:52.5Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Buddy Hield, Jimmy Butler III, Jonathan Kuminga, Draymond Green)38
51
Q2 - 0:52.5Heat 60 second timeout38
51
Q2 - 0:52.5HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Jonathan Kuminga draws the foul)38
51
Q2 - 0:54.5WarriorsJimmy Butler III offensive rebound38
51
Q2 - 0:56.0WarriorsJimmy Butler III misses two point tip layup38
51
Q2 - 0:56.8WarriorsJimmy Butler III offensive rebound38
51
Q2 - 0:57.2WarriorsJonathan Kuminga misses two point fadeaway jump shot38
51
Q2 - 1:09HeatAlec Burks makes three point jump shot (Andrew Wiggins assists)38
51
Q2 - 1:25HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound38
48
Q2 - 1:27WarriorsBrandin Podziemski misses two point pullup jump shot38
48
Q2 - 1:35Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Overturned)38
48
Q2 - 1:35Warriors challenge timeout38
48
Q2 - 1:35Stoppage (Out of bounds)38
48
Q2 - 1:35WarriorsWarriors offensive rebound38
48
Q2 - 1:35WarriorsBrandin Podziemski misses two point driving layup38
48
Q2 - 1:50WarriorsJonathan Kuminga defensive rebound38
48
Q2 - 1:53HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot38
48
Q2 - 2:13WarriorsJonathan Kuminga makes regular free throw 2 of 238
48
Q2 - 2:13Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Alec Burks, Andrew Wiggins, Haywood Highsmith, Bam Adebayo)37
48
Q2 - 2:13Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Buddy Hield, Jimmy Butler III, Jonathan Kuminga, Kevon Looney)37
48
Q2 - 2:13WarriorsJonathan Kuminga misses regular free throw 1 of 237
48
Q2 - 2:13HeatKel'el Ware shooting foul (Jonathan Kuminga draws the foul)37
48
Q2 - 2:36HeatAndrew Wiggins makes two point turnaround jump shot37
48
Q2 - 2:55HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound37
46
Q2 - 2:58WarriorsKevon Looney misses regular free throw 2 of 237
46
Q2 - 2:58WarriorsKevon Looney makes regular free throw 1 of 237
46
Q2 - 2:58HeatAlec Burks shooting foul (Kevon Looney draws the foul)36
46
Q2 - 3:04WarriorsKevon Looney defensive rebound36
46
Q2 - 3:06HeatDavion Mitchell misses two point driving finger roll layup36
46
Q2 - 3:15WarriorsJonathan Kuminga makes two point running layup (Brandin Podziemski assists)36
46
Q2 - 3:19WarriorsBuddy Hield defensive rebound34
46
Q2 - 3:21HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot34
46
Q2 - 3:45Heat lineup change (Alec Burks, Andrew Wiggins, Davion Mitchell, Kel'el Ware, Bam Adebayo)34
46
Q2 - 3:45Heat 60 second timeout34
46
Q2 - 3:45WarriorsBuddy Hield makes two point driving finger roll layup34
46
Q2 - 3:54HeatDavion Mitchell turnover (bad pass) (Brandin Podziemski steals)32
46
Q2 - 4:04WarriorsJonathan Kuminga makes regular free throw 1 of 132
46
Q2 - 4:04HeatKel'el Ware shooting foul (Jonathan Kuminga draws the foul)31
46
Q2 - 4:04WarriorsJonathan Kuminga makes two point driving layup31
46
Q2 - 4:23HeatBam Adebayo makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)29
46
Q2 - 4:25Stoppage (Out of bounds)29
43
Q2 - 4:34WarriorsGui Santos personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)29
43
Q2 - 4:34Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Buddy Hield, Jonathan Kuminga, Gui Santos, Kevon Looney)29
43
Q2 - 4:34Stoppage (Out of bounds)29
43
Q2 - 4:34HeatHeat offensive rebound29
43
Q2 - 4:36HeatDavion Mitchell misses two point driving floating jump shot29
43
Q2 - 4:50HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound29
43
Q2 - 4:53WarriorsBuddy Hield misses three point jump shot29
43
Q2 - 4:54WarriorsDraymond Green offensive rebound29
43
Q2 - 4:58WarriorsJonathan Kuminga misses three point jump shot29
43
Q2 - 5:06Bam Adebayo kicked ball violation29
43
Q2 - 5:20HeatKel'el Ware makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)29
43
Q2 - 5:39HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound29
41
Q2 - 5:43WarriorsBrandin Podziemski misses two point pullup jump shot29
41
Q2 - 5:49Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins, Davion Mitchell, Kel'el Ware, Bam Adebayo)29
41
Q2 - 5:49Stoppage (Out of bounds)29
41
Q2 - 6:03HeatKel'el Ware makes two point floating jump shot29
41
Q2 - 6:16HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound29
39
Q2 - 6:19WarriorsBuddy Hield misses three point pullup jump shot29
39
Q2 - 6:32HeatKyle Anderson turnover (bad pass) (Jonathan Kuminga steals)29
39
Q2 - 6:50WarriorsBuddy Hield makes regular free throw 2 of 229
39
Q2 - 6:50Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Buddy Hield, Jonathan Kuminga, Draymond Green, Gui Santos)28
39
Q2 - 6:50WarriorsBuddy Hield makes regular free throw 1 of 228
39
Q2 - 6:50HeatDavion Mitchell shooting foul (Buddy Hield draws the foul)27
39
Q2 - 7:05HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)27
39
Q2 - 7:27HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound27
39
Q2 - 7:30WarriorsGui Santos misses three point jump shot27
39
Q2 - 7:42Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Buddy Hield, Jimmy Butler III, Draymond Green, Gui Santos)27
39
Q2 - 7:42Warriors 60 second timeout27
39
Q2 - 7:42HeatKel'el Ware makes two point cutting dunk (Kyle Anderson assists)27
39
Q2 - 7:51HeatKyle Anderson defensive rebound27
37
Q2 - 7:54WarriorsJimmy Butler III misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot27
37
Q2 - 8:10HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 227
37
Q2 - 8:10HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 227
36
Q2 - 8:10WarriorsDraymond Green shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)27
35
Q2 - 8:29WarriorsQuinten Post turnover (offensive foul)27
35
Q2 - 8:29WarriorsQuinten Post offensive foul (Charge) (Kyle Anderson draws the foul)27
35
Q2 - 8:39WarriorsDraymond Green defensive rebound27
35
Q2 - 8:41HeatKel'el Ware misses two point pullup jump shot27
35
Q2 - 8:52WarriorsGary Payton II personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)27
35
Q2 - 9:04WarriorsDraymond Green makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jimmy Butler III assists)27
35
Q2 - 9:17HeatDavion Mitchell makes two point running layup25
35
Q2 - 9:22HeatDavion Mitchell defensive rebound25
33
Q2 - 9:24WarriorsQuinten Post misses two point driving finger roll layup25
33
Q2 - 9:43HeatTyler Herro makes two point floating jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)25
33
Q2 - 9:46HeatDavion Mitchell offensive rebound25
31
Q2 - 9:48HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point driving floating jump shot25
31
Q2 - 10:02HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound25
31
Q2 - 10:05HeatKel'el Ware misses three point jump shot25
31
Q2 - 10:26HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound25
31
Q2 - 10:31WarriorsKel'el Ware blocks Jimmy Butler III's two point layup25
31
Q2 - 10:40WarriorsDraymond Green offensive rebound25
31
Q2 - 10:43WarriorsQuinten Post misses three point jump shot25
31
Q2 - 11:03HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Kyle Anderson assists)25
31
Q2 - 11:21WarriorsQuinten Post makes three point jump shot (Moses Moody assists)25
28
Q2 - 11:38WarriorsDraymond Green defensive rebound22
28
Q2 - 11:42HeatTyler Herro misses two point fadeaway jump shot22
28
Q2 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Haywood Highsmith, Davion Mitchell, Kel'el Ware, Kyle Anderson)22
28
Q2 - 12:00Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Quinten Post, Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III, Draymond Green)22
28
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.22
28
Q1 - 0:00.2HeatBam Adebayo makes two point stepback bank jump shot22
28
Q1 - 0:18.4HeatKyle Anderson defensive rebound22
26
Q1 - 0:22.3WarriorsBuddy Hield misses two point pullup jump shot22
26
Q1 - 0:34.1HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 122
26
Q1 - 0:34.1WarriorsGui Santos shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)22
25
Q1 - 0:34.1HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving floating jump shot22
25
Q1 - 0:48.9WarriorsGui Santos makes three point jump shot (Quinten Post assists)22
23
Q1 - 0:51.0WarriorsBrandin Podziemski offensive rebound19
23
Q1 - 0:52.5WarriorsBrandin Podziemski misses two point finger roll layup19
23
Q1 - 1:16HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 219
23
Q1 - 1:16Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Haywood Highsmith, Davion Mitchell, Kyle Anderson, Bam Adebayo)19
22
Q1 - 1:16HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 219
22
Q1 - 1:16WarriorsQuinten Post shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)19
21
Q1 - 1:39WarriorsGui Santos makes two point cutting layup (Quinten Post assists)19
21
Q1 - 1:47WarriorsBrandin Podziemski defensive rebound17
21
Q1 - 1:50HeatAlec Burks misses three point jump shot17
21
Q1 - 2:12WarriorsGui Santos makes three point jump shot (Quinten Post assists)17
21
Q1 - 2:30HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)14
21
Q1 - 2:52WarriorsBuddy Hield makes three point jump shot (Jonathan Kuminga assists)14
19
Q1 - 3:06WarriorsJonathan Kuminga defensive rebound11
19
Q1 - 3:08HeatAndrew Wiggins misses two point tip layup11
19
Q1 - 3:08HeatAndrew Wiggins offensive rebound11
19
Q1 - 3:09HeatAndrew Wiggins misses two point tip layup11
19
Q1 - 3:09HeatAndrew Wiggins offensive rebound11
19
Q1 - 3:10HeatAndrew Wiggins misses two point driving finger roll layup11
19
Q1 - 3:22WarriorsQuinten Post turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)11
19
Q1 - 3:39HeatAndrew Wiggins makes three point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)11
19
Q1 - 4:04Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Quinten Post, Buddy Hield, Jonathan Kuminga, Gui Santos)11
16
Q1 - 4:04Heat 60 second timeout11
16
Q1 - 4:04WarriorsMoses Moody makes two point putback layup11
16
Q1 - 4:04WarriorsMoses Moody offensive rebound9
16
Q1 - 4:07WarriorsQuinten Post misses three point jump shot9
16
Q1 - 4:25WarriorsQuinten Post defensive rebound9
16
Q1 - 4:27HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot9
16
Q1 - 4:40WarriorsWarriors turnover (shot clock violation)9
16
Q1 - 4:40WarriorsWarriors offensive rebound9
16
Q1 - 4:41WarriorsJonathan Kuminga misses two point driving floating jump shot9
16
Q1 - 5:04Stoppage (Out of bounds)9
16
Q1 - 5:04WarriorsWarriors defensive rebound9
16
Q1 - 5:04HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point running jump shot9
16
Q1 - 5:09WarriorsQuinten Post turnover (bad pass) (Andrew Wiggins steals)9
16
Q1 - 5:31HeatAndrew Wiggins makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)9
16
Q1 - 5:45WarriorsWarriors turnover (shot clock violation)9
13
Q1 - 5:45WarriorsJimmy Butler III offensive rebound9
13
Q1 - 5:46WarriorsBam Adebayo blocks Quinten Post's three point jump shot9
13
Q1 - 6:09Heat lineup change (Alec Burks, Andrew Wiggins, Haywood Highsmith, Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo)9
13
Q1 - 6:09Warriors lineup change (Quinten Post, Buddy Hield, Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III, Jonathan Kuminga)9
13
Q1 - 6:09Kel'el Ware kicked ball violation9
13
Q1 - 6:09Heat lineup change (Alec Burks, Andrew Wiggins, Davion Mitchell, Kel'el Ware, Bam Adebayo)9
13
Q1 - 6:09Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Quinten Post, Buddy Hield, Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III)9
13
Q1 - 6:09HeatAndrew Wiggins turnover (back court violation)9
13
Q1 - 6:20WarriorsBuddy Hield makes three point jump shot (Moses Moody assists)9
13
Q1 - 6:32HeatAlec Burks makes two point driving layup6
13
Q1 - 6:48Stoppage (Out of bounds)6
11
Q1 - 6:48HeatHeat defensive rebound6
11
Q1 - 6:54WarriorsDraymond Green misses three point jump shot6
11
Q1 - 7:01HeatHeat turnover (8-second violation)6
11
Q1 - 7:09WarriorsWarriors turnover (5-second violation)6
11
Q1 - 7:09Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Buddy Hield, Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III, Draymond Green)6
11
Q1 - 7:09Stoppage (Out of bounds)6
11
Q1 - 7:21HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot6
11
Q1 - 7:26HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound6
9
Q1 - 7:30WarriorsJimmy Butler III misses three point jump shot6
9
Q1 - 7:43HeatBam Adebayo turnover (traveling)6
9
Q1 - 8:00WarriorsGary Payton II makes two point tip layup6
9
Q1 - 8:00WarriorsGary Payton II offensive rebound4
9
Q1 - 8:05WarriorsBrandin Podziemski misses regular free throw 1 of 14
9
Q1 - 8:05HeatAndrew Wiggins shooting foul (Brandin Podziemski draws the foul)4
9
Q1 - 8:05WarriorsBrandin Podziemski makes two point pullup jump shot (Draymond Green assists)4
9
Q1 - 8:15HeatAndrew Wiggins turnover (out of bounds lost ball)2
9
Q1 - 8:28HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound2
9
Q1 - 8:30WarriorsAndrew Wiggins blocks Jimmy Butler III's two point running dunk2
9
Q1 - 8:35WarriorsDraymond Green defensive rebound2
9
Q1 - 8:37HeatAndrew Wiggins misses two point stepback jump shot2
9
Q1 - 8:45Stoppage (Out of bounds)2
9
Q1 - 8:46HeatHeat offensive rebound2
9
Q1 - 8:47HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving floating jump shot2
9
Q1 - 8:59WarriorsDraymond Green turnover (bad pass) (Andrew Wiggins steals)2
9
Q1 - 9:06Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)2
9
Q1 - 9:06HeatKel'el Ware personal foul (Draymond Green draws the foul)2
9
Q1 - 9:07HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds lost ball)2
9
Q1 - 9:07HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound2
9
Q1 - 9:09WarriorsDraymond Green misses three point jump shot2
9
Q1 - 9:33HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 22
9
Q1 - 9:33HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 22
8
Q1 - 9:33WarriorsGary Payton II shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)2
7
Q1 - 9:49WarriorsJimmy Butler III makes two point driving floating jump shot2
7
Q1 - 10:00HeatKel'el Ware makes two point dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)0
7
Q1 - 10:15HeatAlec Burks defensive rebound0
5
Q1 - 10:18WarriorsMoses Moody misses three point running jump shot0
5
Q1 - 10:22WarriorsGary Payton II defensive rebound0
5
Q1 - 10:24HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving layup0
5
Q1 - 10:31HeatAndrew Wiggins defensive rebound0
5
Q1 - 10:34WarriorsBrandin Podziemski misses three point pullup jump shot0
5
Q1 - 10:41Warriors 60 second timeout0
5
Q1 - 10:48HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving dunk0
5
Q1 - 10:59Stoppage (Other)0
3
Q1 - 10:59Stoppage (Out of bounds)0
3
Q1 - 10:59HeatHeat defensive rebound0
3
Q1 - 10:59WarriorsMoses Moody misses two point jump shot0
3
Q1 - 11:16HeatAlec Burks makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)0
3
Q1 - 11:17HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:20HeatAndrew Wiggins misses two point stepback jump shot0
0
Q1 - 11:41HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:44WarriorsMoses Moody misses three point jump shot0
0
Q1 - 11:46Stoppage (Out of bounds)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Draymond Green vs. Kel'el Ware (Moses Moody gains possession)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Alec Burks, Andrew Wiggins, Kel'el Ware, Bam Adebayo)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III, Draymond Green)0
0
ClockTeamEventGSWMIA
Score / WinProb
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SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

GSW
0.90 44.8%
MIA
1.30 65.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
GSW
18
26
69%
MIA
17
31
55%
Midrange
GSW
6
19
32%
MIA
9
21
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
GSW
9
13.5
38
24%
36%
MIA
17
25.5
25
68%
102%
Free Throws
GSW
11
16
69%
MIA
9
12
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
GSW logo Warriors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Kuminga1554%7.5 / 14
B. Podziemski1444%7.0 / 16
G. Santos1381%6.5 / 8
J. Butler1146%5.5 / 12
B. Hield1056%5.0 / 9
M. Moody727%3.5 / 13
G. Payton4100%2.0 / 2
T. Jackson-Davis4100%2.0 / 2
K. Looney375%1.5 / 2
Q. Post330%1.5 / 5
D. Green225%1.0 / 4
P. Spencer0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo2761%13.5 / 22
T. Herro2091%10.0 / 11
A. Burks17106%8.5 / 8
K. Ware1464%7.0 / 11
D. Mitchell1275%6.0 / 8
A. Wiggins1038%5.0 / 13
K. Anderson7117%3.5 / 3
P. Larsson563%2.5 / 4
H. Highsmith0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

GSW
79
+17
-12
96
MIA
75
+11
-15
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW
0.90 44.8%
MIA
1.30 65.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
114.2
112.4
GSW 94.5
MIA 124.4 +29.9
Pace
99.4
97.2
GSW 101.2 +19.5
MIA 81.7
Avg. Poss. Time
14.3
14.9
GSW 14.2 −3.4
MIA 17.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.6%
54.4%
GSW 45.2%
MIA 66.9% +21.7%
TO %
13.2%
12.8%
GSW 15.1% −2.8%
MIA 17.9%
ORB %
27.3%
22.3%
GSW 29.2% +4.2%
MIA 25.0%
FTrt
24.4
23.2
GSW 19.3 +3.7
MIA 15.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
71.4%
65.3%
GSW 60.6% +0.1%
MIA 60.5%
STL %
9.4%
8.3%
GSW 8.8%
MIA 8.9% +0.1%
BLK %
9.5%
7.6%
GSW 1.9%
MIA 11.1% +9.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.3%
56.0%
GSW 44.8%
MIA 65.1% +20.3%
Rim FG%
62.7%
62.5%
GSW 69.2% +14.4%
MIA 54.8%
Mid FG%
39.9%
44.4%
GSW 31.6%
MIA 42.9% +11.3%
3P %
36.4%
36.7%
GSW 23.7%
MIA 68.0% +44.3%
FT %
76.3%
79.1%
GSW 68.8%
MIA 75.0% +6.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.1%
29.6%
GSW 31.3%
MIA 40.3% +8.9%
Mid Att. %
23.1%
27.5%
GSW 22.9% −4.4%
MIA 27.3%
3P Att. %
46.9%
42.9%
GSW 45.8% +13.3%
MIA 32.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsGSWMIA
Possessions9190
Possession Minutes21.626.4
Points86112
Rebounds3842
Assists2026
Steals88
Blocks15
Turnovers (Team)12 (4)15 (3)
Fouls1415
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (3)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (1)34 (3)
Field Goals33-8343-77
At-the-Rim FG18-2617-31
Midrange FG6-199-21
2-Point FG24-4526-52
3-Point FG9-3817-25
Free Throws11-169-12
Fast Break Pts812
2nd Chance Pts2012
Points in Paint4244
Pts off Turnovers1218
Bench Points4824
Biggest Lead028

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#2 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 22
30.3
14
44%
3
4
2
0
1
1
1
2
0-1
0%
4-10
40%
2-6
33%
#10 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 36
28.7
11
46%
6
2
1
0
0
0
5
1
1-1
100%
5-10
50%
0-2
0%
#4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 23
25.0
7
27%
1
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
1-1
100%
3-4
75%
0-9
0%
#23 · C · 6'6" 230 · 35
23.2
2
25%
5
3
0
0
3
1
2
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-3
0%
#0 · SF · 6'2" 195 · 32
20.0
4
100%
7
2
2
0
2
3
2
5
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
#7 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 31
25.5
10
56%
3
0
0
0
1
2
0
3
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
2-5
40%
#00 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 22
24.8
15
54%
2
2
2
0
1
0
0
2
6-9
67%
3-7
43%
1-3
33%
#15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 23
19.6
13
81%
3
0
0
0
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
#5 · C · 6'9" 222 · 29
14.5
3
75%
5
2
1
1
0
2
0
5
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#21 · PF · 7'0" 238 · 25
13.6
3
30%
1
3
0
0
4
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-4
25%
#61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 29
6.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
#32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 25
4.2
4
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
#31 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26
4.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#12 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 28
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#1 · NA · 6'5" 190 · 23
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#44 · PF · 6'6" 210 · 28
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 37
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Pelvic; Contusion
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
86
45%
38
20
8
1
12
14
14
24
11-16
69%
24-45
53%
9-38
24%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.