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All Games Tuesday, March 25, 2025
FinalWin Prob.pScore
7
Warriors
58%108
86
15
Heat
42%105
112
ORTG#PossPace
GSW logo GSW
94.591101.2
MIA logo MIA
124.49081.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatWarriorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatWarriorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventGSWMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.86
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:17.7HeatDavion Mitchell makes three point stepback jump shot86
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:39.2WarriorsTrayce Jackson-Davis makes two point layup86
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:43.8WarriorsGui Santos defensive rebound84
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:46.3HeatPelle Larsson misses three point jump shot84
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 1:08HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound84
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12WarriorsGui Santos misses three point running jump shot84
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:18HeatPelle Larsson turnover (bad pass) (Jonathan Kuminga steals)84
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:29WarriorsTrayce Jackson-Davis makes two point tip dunk84
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:29WarriorsTrayce Jackson-Davis offensive rebound82
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:32WarriorsJonathan Kuminga misses three point jump shot82
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:36WarriorsGui Santos offensive rebound82
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:40WarriorsJonathan Kuminga misses regular free throw 2 of 282
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:40WarriorsJonathan Kuminga makes regular free throw 1 of 282
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:40HeatKel'el Ware shooting foul (Jonathan Kuminga draws the foul)81
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:43WarriorsKevin Knox II defensive rebound81
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:45HeatPelle Larsson misses two point driving floating jump shot81
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:09HeatDavion Mitchell defensive rebound81
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:11WarriorsPat Spencer misses two point fadeaway jump shot81
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:31HeatPelle Larsson makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)81
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:59WarriorsGui Santos makes three point jump shot (Jonathan Kuminga assists)81
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:13HeatPelle Larsson makes two point driving layup (Davion Mitchell assists)78
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:33HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound78
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:36WarriorsJonathan Kuminga misses regular free throw 2 of 278
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:36WarriorsJonathan Kuminga makes regular free throw 1 of 278
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:36HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Jonathan Kuminga draws the foul)77
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:51HeatDavion Mitchell makes two point driving layup (Tyler Herro assists)77
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 4:14HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound77
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:14WarriorsMoses Moody misses three point jump shot77
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:24HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway bank jump shot77
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:42HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound77
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:47WarriorsMoses Moody misses three point jump shot77
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:55HeatKyle Anderson makes two point turnaround hook shot77
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 5:15HeatDavion Mitchell offensive rebound77
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:17HeatDavion Mitchell misses two point driving floating jump shot77
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 5:42WarriorsGui Santos makes two point putback layup77
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:43WarriorsGui Santos offensive rebound75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:45WarriorsPat Spencer misses two point driving layup75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 6:03HeatBam Adebayo turnover (traveling)75
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 6:17WarriorsKevon Looney personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)75
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 6:17HeatHeat defensive rebound75
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 6:17WarriorsJonathan Kuminga misses two point driving floating bank jump shot75
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 6:30HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)75
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 6:40HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound75
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 6:43WarriorsMoses Moody misses three point pullup jump shot75
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 7:06HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Kyle Anderson assists)75
0.8%
95
99.2%
Q4 - 7:21WarriorsBrandin Podziemski turnover (out of bounds bad pass)75
1.3%
92
98.7%
Q4 - 7:32HeatKyle Anderson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)75
1.8%
92
98.2%
Q4 - 7:49WarriorsMoses Moody makes two point driving floating jump shot (Brandin Podziemski assists)75
1.3%
92
98.7%
Q4 - 8:10HeatKyle Anderson makes three point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)73
1.4%
92
98.6%
Q4 - 8:33WarriorsBrandin Podziemski makes three point jump shot (Kevon Looney assists)73
2.2%
89
97.8%
Q4 - 8:47HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 270
1.4%
89
98.6%
Q4 - 8:47HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 270
1.4%
88
98.6%
Q4 - 8:47WarriorsMoses Moody shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)70
1.5%
87
98.5%
Q4 - 8:57HeatKyle Anderson defensive rebound70
1.7%
87
98.3%
Q4 - 9:00WarriorsMoses Moody misses three point stepback jump shot70
1.8%
87
98.2%
Q4 - 9:20WarriorsKevon Looney defensive rebound70
2.8%
87
97.2%
Q4 - 9:23HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 270
2.7%
87
97.3%
Q4 - 9:23HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 270
2.4%
87
97.6%
Q4 - 9:23WarriorsBuddy Hield shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)70
2.0%
87
98.0%
Q4 - 9:36WarriorsDraymond Green turnover (out of bounds bad pass)70
2.2%
87
97.8%
Q4 - 9:47HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds lost ball)70
2.8%
87
97.2%
Q4 - 9:50WarriorsBuddy Hield turnover (bad pass) (Haywood Highsmith steals)70
2.2%
87
97.8%
Q4 - 9:57HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Jimmy Butler III draws the foul)70
2.8%
87
97.2%
Q4 - 9:59HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Draymond Green draws the foul)70
2.8%
87
97.2%
Q4 - 10:09HeatKyle Anderson makes two point running finger roll layup (Tyler Herro assists)70
3.6%
87
96.4%
Q4 - 10:14WarriorsQuinten Post turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Anderson steals)70
4.3%
85
95.7%
Q4 - 10:22HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler III steals)70
5.3%
85
94.7%
Q4 - 10:34HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound70
4.2%
85
95.8%
Q4 - 10:37WarriorsJimmy Butler III misses two point fadeaway bank jump shot70
4.5%
85
95.5%
Q4 - 10:50WarriorsBuddy Hield defensive rebound70
5.3%
85
94.7%
Q4 - 10:53HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot70
4.9%
85
95.1%
Q4 - 11:07HeatDavion Mitchell offensive rebound70
5.0%
85
95.0%
Q4 - 11:10HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot70
5.8%
85
94.2%
Q4 - 11:32WarriorsGary Payton II turnover (offensive foul)70
5.0%
85
95.0%
Q4 - 11:32WarriorsGary Payton II offensive foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)70
6.1%
85
93.9%
Q4 - 11:45WarriorsBuddy Hield defensive rebound70
6.1%
85
93.9%
Q4 - 11:47HeatDavion Mitchell misses regular free throw 1 of 170
5.9%
85
94.1%
Q4 - 11:47WarriorsBuddy Hield shooting foul (Davion Mitchell draws the foul)70
5.3%
85
94.7%
Q4 - 11:48WarriorsGary Payton II turnover (bad pass) (Davion Mitchell steals)70
7.3%
83
92.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.70
8.9%
83
91.1%
Q3 - 0:02.3HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound70
8.6%
83
91.4%
Q3 - 0:02.3WarriorsBuddy Hield misses three point pullup jump shot70
9.1%
83
90.9%
Q3 - 0:08.0HeatDavion Mitchell makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)70
10.2%
83
89.8%
Q3 - 0:27.4WarriorsJonathan Kuminga turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Anderson steals)70
14.2%
80
85.8%
Q3 - 0:33.8HeatDavion Mitchell personal foul (Jonathan Kuminga draws the foul)70
16.8%
80
83.2%
Q3 - 0:44.3HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot70
16.7%
80
83.3%
Q3 - 0:57.8WarriorsJonathan Kuminga makes three point jump shot (Brandin Podziemski assists)70
19.6%
78
80.4%
Q3 - 1:14WarriorsKevon Looney defensive rebound67
15.9%
78
84.1%
Q3 - 1:14HeatAndrew Wiggins misses two point driving layup67
15.1%
78
84.9%
Q3 - 1:29WarriorsBrandin Podziemski makes two point fadeaway jump shot67
13.5%
78
86.5%
Q3 - 1:41WarriorsBrandin Podziemski defensive rebound65
11.5%
78
88.5%
Q3 - 1:43HeatTyler Herro misses two point running finger roll layup65
10.9%
78
89.1%
Q3 - 1:46HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound65
9.7%
78
90.3%
Q3 - 1:50WarriorsJonathan Kuminga misses two point pullup jump shot65
10.2%
78
89.8%
Q3 - 1:59WarriorsKevon Looney defensive rebound65
11.5%
78
88.5%
Q3 - 2:02HeatAndrew Wiggins misses three point jump shot65
12.4%
78
87.6%
Q3 - 2:14HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound65
11.0%
78
89.0%
Q3 - 2:16WarriorsBrandin Podziemski misses two point pullup jump shot65
11.6%
78
88.4%
Q3 - 2:36HeatDavion Mitchell turnover (bad pass) (Kevon Looney steals)65
12.9%
78
87.1%
Q3 - 3:00HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound65
10.9%
78
89.1%
Q3 - 3:04WarriorsAndrew Wiggins blocks Gui Santos's three point jump shot65
12.5%
78
87.5%
Q3 - 3:16HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)65
14.0%
78
86.0%
Q3 - 3:30WarriorsKevon Looney personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)65
11.8%
78
88.2%
Q3 - 3:30HeatHeat offensive rebound65
11.8%
78
88.2%
Q3 - 3:34HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot65
13.3%
78
86.7%
Q3 - 3:46WarriorsJimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 165
11.8%
78
88.2%
Q3 - 3:46HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Jimmy Butler III draws the foul)64
11.5%
78
88.5%
Q3 - 3:53HeatDavion Mitchell personal foul (Brandin Podziemski draws the foul)62
9.0%
78
91.0%
Q3 - 3:58WarriorsKevon Looney defensive rebound62
9.0%
78
91.0%
Q3 - 4:00HeatAndrew Wiggins misses three point pullup jump shot62
8.5%
78
91.5%
Q3 - 4:17WarriorsJonathan Kuminga makes two point reverse layup (Jimmy Butler III assists)62
8.6%
78
91.4%
Q3 - 4:25WarriorsWarriors offensive rebound60
7.5%
78
92.5%
Q3 - 4:26WarriorsBuddy Hield misses two point jump shot60
6.7%
78
93.3%
Q3 - 4:50HeatKel'el Ware makes two point tip layup60
7.4%
78
92.6%
Q3 - 4:51HeatKel'el Ware offensive rebound60
8.5%
76
91.5%
Q3 - 4:52HeatKevon Looney blocks Kel'el Ware's two point driving layup60
9.5%
76
90.5%
Q3 - 5:05WarriorsBrandin Podziemski makes two point pullup bank jump shot (Kevon Looney assists)60
9.4%
76
90.6%
Q3 - 5:22HeatAlec Burks makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)58
8.2%
76
91.8%
Q3 - 5:34WarriorsKevon Looney makes two point layup (Brandin Podziemski assists)58
10.7%
73
89.3%
Q3 - 5:54HeatKel'el Ware makes two point alley-oop dunk (Andrew Wiggins assists)56
9.4%
73
90.6%
Q3 - 6:17WarriorsBrandin Podziemski makes two point driving layup56
11.7%
71
88.3%
Q3 - 6:29HeatAndrew Wiggins makes two point stepback jump shot54
10.4%
71
89.6%
Q3 - 6:56WarriorsBrandin Podziemski makes three point jump shot (Draymond Green assists)54
11.6%
69
88.4%
Q3 - 7:19HeatKel'el Ware makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Haywood Highsmith assists)51
10.1%
69
89.9%
Q3 - 7:21HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound51
11.3%
67
88.7%
Q3 - 7:26WarriorsBrandin Podziemski misses three point running jump shot51
11.8%
67
88.2%
Q3 - 7:32WarriorsJimmy Butler III defensive rebound51
13.0%
67
87.0%
Q3 - 7:32HeatAndrew Wiggins misses two point driving layup51
12.5%
67
87.5%
Q3 - 7:44WarriorsBrandin Podziemski personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)51
11.3%
67
88.7%
Q3 - 7:44WarriorsDraymond Green turnover (bad pass) (Alec Burks steals)51
11.3%
67
88.7%
Q3 - 7:47WarriorsGary Payton II defensive rebound51
13.0%
67
87.0%
Q3 - 7:50HeatAlec Burks misses three point running jump shot51
12.4%
67
87.6%
Q3 - 7:53HeatAndrew Wiggins defensive rebound51
11.3%
67
88.7%
Q3 - 7:58WarriorsDraymond Green misses three point pullup jump shot51
11.8%
67
88.2%
Q3 - 8:07WarriorsGary Payton II defensive rebound51
13.8%
67
86.2%
Q3 - 8:11HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving floating jump shot51
13.2%
67
86.8%
Q3 - 8:31WarriorsJimmy Butler III makes two point running finger roll layup (Gary Payton II assists)51
11.9%
67
88.1%
Q3 - 8:34WarriorsGary Payton II defensive rebound49
10.8%
67
89.2%
Q3 - 8:37HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot49
10.3%
67
89.7%
Q3 - 8:42HeatAlec Burks defensive rebound49
9.3%
67
90.7%
Q3 - 8:43WarriorsBrandin Podziemski misses three point jump shot49
9.7%
67
90.3%
Q3 - 8:49HeatKel'el Ware turnover (bad pass) (Gary Payton II steals)49
10.8%
67
89.2%
Q3 - 8:50HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound49
9.3%
67
90.7%
Q3 - 8:52WarriorsJimmy Butler III misses three point jump shot49
9.7%
67
90.3%
Q3 - 8:58Jump ball. Brandin Podziemski vs. Alec Burks (Draymond Green gains possession)49
10.8%
67
89.2%
Q3 - 9:16WarriorsJimmy Butler III makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Draymond Green assists)49
10.1%
67
89.9%
Q3 - 9:23WarriorsGary Payton II defensive rebound47
9.2%
67
90.8%
Q3 - 9:26HeatKel'el Ware misses two point turnaround hook shot47
8.8%
67
91.2%
Q3 - 9:40HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound47
7.9%
67
92.1%
Q3 - 9:40WarriorsMoses Moody misses three point jump shot47
8.2%
67
91.8%
Q3 - 9:41WarriorsJimmy Butler III offensive rebound47
9.1%
67
90.9%
Q3 - 9:43WarriorsMoses Moody misses three point jump shot47
8.2%
67
91.8%
Q3 - 9:52HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running layup (Andrew Wiggins assists)47
9.1%
67
90.9%
Q3 - 9:54HeatAndrew Wiggins defensive rebound47
10.0%
65
90.0%
Q3 - 9:59WarriorsAndrew Wiggins blocks Moses Moody's three point jump shot47
10.5%
65
89.5%
Q3 - 10:11HeatBam Adebayo makes three point jump shot (Andrew Wiggins assists)47
12.5%
65
87.5%
Q3 - 10:23WarriorsGary Payton II makes two point running dunk47
15.3%
62
84.7%
Q3 - 10:28HeatKel'el Ware turnover (bad pass) (Gary Payton II steals)45
14.0%
62
86.0%
Q3 - 10:47WarriorsMoses Moody makes regular free throw 1 of 145
12.2%
62
87.8%
Q3 - 10:47HeatAndrew Wiggins shooting foul (Moses Moody draws the foul)44
11.9%
62
88.1%
Q3 - 10:49WarriorsGary Payton II offensive rebound42
9.9%
62
90.1%
Q3 - 10:53WarriorsBrandin Podziemski misses three point pullup jump shot42
9.0%
62
91.0%
Q3 - 11:03HeatAlec Burks makes three point pullup jump shot42
10.4%
62
89.6%
Q3 - 11:27WarriorsJimmy Butler III makes two point tip layup42
12.9%
59
87.1%
Q3 - 11:28WarriorsJimmy Butler III offensive rebound40
11.7%
59
88.3%
Q3 - 11:29WarriorsBrandin Podziemski misses two point pullup jump shot40
10.7%
59
89.3%
Q3 - 11:48HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving dunk40
11.6%
59
88.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.40
12.9%
57
87.1%
Q2 - 0:00.3HeatTyler Herro makes three point fadeaway jump shot (Andrew Wiggins assists)40
15.4%
57
84.6%
Q2 - 0:07.9WarriorsWarriors turnover (shot clock violation)40
19.0%
54
81.0%
Q2 - 0:32.7HeatAlec Burks makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)40
20.8%
54
79.2%
Q2 - 0:52.5WarriorsJonathan Kuminga makes regular free throw 2 of 240
25.3%
51
74.7%
Q2 - 0:52.5WarriorsJonathan Kuminga makes regular free throw 1 of 239
24.7%
51
75.3%
Q2 - 0:52.5HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Jonathan Kuminga draws the foul)38
24.0%
51
76.0%
Q2 - 0:54.5WarriorsJimmy Butler III offensive rebound38
22.9%
51
77.1%
Q2 - 0:56.0WarriorsJimmy Butler III misses two point tip layup38
21.5%
51
78.5%
Q2 - 0:56.8WarriorsJimmy Butler III offensive rebound38
22.9%
51
77.1%
Q2 - 0:57.2WarriorsJonathan Kuminga misses two point fadeaway jump shot38
21.5%
51
78.5%
Q2 - 1:09HeatAlec Burks makes three point jump shot (Andrew Wiggins assists)38
24.0%
51
76.0%
Q2 - 1:25HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound38
28.8%
48
71.2%
Q2 - 1:27WarriorsBrandin Podziemski misses two point pullup jump shot38
29.5%
48
70.5%
Q2 - 1:35WarriorsWarriors offensive rebound38
31.1%
48
68.9%
Q2 - 1:35WarriorsBrandin Podziemski misses two point driving layup38
29.5%
48
70.5%
Q2 - 1:50WarriorsJonathan Kuminga defensive rebound38
31.1%
48
68.9%
Q2 - 1:53HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot38
30.4%
48
69.6%
Q2 - 2:13WarriorsJonathan Kuminga makes regular free throw 2 of 238
29.4%
48
70.6%
Q2 - 2:13WarriorsJonathan Kuminga misses regular free throw 1 of 237
28.8%
48
71.2%
Q2 - 2:13HeatKel'el Ware shooting foul (Jonathan Kuminga draws the foul)37
30.5%
48
69.5%
Q2 - 2:36HeatAndrew Wiggins makes two point turnaround jump shot37
29.7%
48
70.3%
Q2 - 2:55HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound37
31.9%
46
68.1%
Q2 - 2:58WarriorsKevon Looney misses regular free throw 2 of 237
32.3%
46
67.7%
Q2 - 2:58WarriorsKevon Looney makes regular free throw 1 of 237
33.6%
46
66.4%
Q2 - 2:58HeatAlec Burks shooting foul (Kevon Looney draws the foul)36
32.6%
46
67.4%
Q2 - 3:04WarriorsKevon Looney defensive rebound36
33.6%
46
66.4%
Q2 - 3:06HeatDavion Mitchell misses two point driving finger roll layup36
32.6%
46
67.4%
Q2 - 3:15WarriorsJonathan Kuminga makes two point running layup (Brandin Podziemski assists)36
30.5%
46
69.5%
Q2 - 3:19WarriorsBuddy Hield defensive rebound34
28.7%
46
71.3%
Q2 - 3:21HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot34
27.8%
46
72.2%
Q2 - 3:45WarriorsBuddy Hield makes two point driving finger roll layup34
25.8%
46
74.2%
Q2 - 3:54HeatDavion Mitchell turnover (bad pass) (Brandin Podziemski steals)32
24.2%
46
75.8%
Q2 - 4:04WarriorsJonathan Kuminga makes regular free throw 1 of 132
23.0%
46
77.0%
Q2 - 4:04HeatKel'el Ware shooting foul (Jonathan Kuminga draws the foul)31
22.5%
46
77.5%
Q2 - 4:23HeatBam Adebayo makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)29
19.5%
46
80.5%
Q2 - 4:34WarriorsGui Santos personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)29
22.9%
43
77.1%
Q2 - 4:34HeatHeat offensive rebound29
22.9%
43
77.1%
Q2 - 4:36HeatDavion Mitchell misses two point driving floating jump shot29
24.5%
43
75.5%
Q2 - 4:50HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound29
22.9%
43
77.1%
Q2 - 4:53WarriorsBuddy Hield misses three point jump shot29
23.5%
43
76.5%
Q2 - 4:54WarriorsDraymond Green offensive rebound29
25.2%
43
74.8%
Q2 - 4:58WarriorsJonathan Kuminga misses three point jump shot29
23.5%
43
76.5%
Q2 - 5:20HeatKel'el Ware makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)29
26.0%
43
74.0%
Q2 - 5:39HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound29
27.6%
41
72.4%
Q2 - 5:43WarriorsBrandin Podziemski misses two point pullup jump shot29
28.4%
41
71.6%
Q2 - 6:03HeatKel'el Ware makes two point floating jump shot29
31.0%
41
69.0%
Q2 - 6:16HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound29
32.8%
39
67.2%
Q2 - 6:19WarriorsBuddy Hield misses three point pullup jump shot29
33.7%
39
66.3%
Q2 - 6:32HeatKyle Anderson turnover (bad pass) (Jonathan Kuminga steals)29
35.7%
39
64.3%
Q2 - 6:50WarriorsBuddy Hield makes regular free throw 2 of 229
32.8%
39
67.2%
Q2 - 6:50WarriorsBuddy Hield makes regular free throw 1 of 228
32.4%
39
67.6%
Q2 - 6:50HeatDavion Mitchell shooting foul (Buddy Hield draws the foul)27
32.1%
39
67.9%
Q2 - 7:05HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)27
31.6%
39
68.4%
Q2 - 7:27HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound27
29.2%
39
70.8%
Q2 - 7:30WarriorsGui Santos misses three point jump shot27
29.9%
39
70.1%
Q2 - 7:42HeatKel'el Ware makes two point cutting dunk (Kyle Anderson assists)27
31.6%
39
68.4%
Q2 - 7:51HeatKyle Anderson defensive rebound27
33.6%
37
66.4%
Q2 - 7:54WarriorsJimmy Butler III misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot27
34.4%
37
65.6%
Q2 - 8:10HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 227
36.6%
37
63.4%
Q2 - 8:10HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 227
36.8%
36
63.2%
Q2 - 8:10WarriorsDraymond Green shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)27
37.1%
35
62.9%
Q2 - 8:29WarriorsQuinten Post turnover (offensive foul)27
38.6%
35
61.4%
Q2 - 8:29WarriorsQuinten Post offensive foul (Charge) (Kyle Anderson draws the foul)27
41.3%
35
58.7%
Q2 - 8:39WarriorsDraymond Green defensive rebound27
41.3%
35
58.7%
Q2 - 8:41HeatKel'el Ware misses two point pullup jump shot27
40.5%
35
59.5%
Q2 - 8:52WarriorsGary Payton II personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)27
38.6%
35
61.4%
Q2 - 9:04WarriorsDraymond Green makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jimmy Butler III assists)27
38.8%
35
61.2%
Q2 - 9:17HeatDavion Mitchell makes two point running layup25
36.5%
35
63.5%
Q2 - 9:22HeatDavion Mitchell defensive rebound25
38.8%
33
61.2%
Q2 - 9:24WarriorsQuinten Post misses two point driving finger roll layup25
39.5%
33
60.5%
Q2 - 9:43HeatTyler Herro makes two point floating jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)25
41.3%
33
58.7%
Q2 - 9:46HeatDavion Mitchell offensive rebound25
43.6%
31
56.4%
Q2 - 9:48HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point driving floating jump shot25
45.4%
31
54.6%
Q2 - 10:02HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound25
44.2%
31
55.8%
Q2 - 10:05HeatKel'el Ware misses three point jump shot25
46.0%
31
54.0%
Q2 - 10:26HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound25
44.2%
31
55.8%
Q2 - 10:31WarriorsKel'el Ware blocks Jimmy Butler III's two point layup25
45.0%
31
55.0%
Q2 - 10:40WarriorsDraymond Green offensive rebound25
46.7%
31
53.3%
Q2 - 10:43WarriorsQuinten Post misses three point jump shot25
44.9%
31
55.1%
Q2 - 11:03HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Kyle Anderson assists)25
47.2%
31
52.8%
Q2 - 11:21WarriorsQuinten Post makes three point jump shot (Moses Moody assists)25
51.8%
28
48.2%
Q2 - 11:38WarriorsDraymond Green defensive rebound22
47.2%
28
52.8%
Q2 - 11:42HeatTyler Herro misses two point fadeaway jump shot22
46.4%
28
53.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.22
44.7%
28
55.3%
Q1 - 0:00.2HeatBam Adebayo makes two point stepback bank jump shot22
47.3%
28
52.7%
Q1 - 0:18.4HeatKyle Anderson defensive rebound22
49.6%
26
50.4%
Q1 - 0:22.3WarriorsBuddy Hield misses two point pullup jump shot22
50.3%
26
49.7%
Q1 - 0:34.1HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 122
51.9%
26
48.1%
Q1 - 0:34.1WarriorsGui Santos shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)22
52.4%
25
47.6%
Q1 - 0:48.9WarriorsGui Santos makes three point jump shot (Quinten Post assists)22
56.5%
23
43.5%
Q1 - 0:51.0WarriorsBrandin Podziemski offensive rebound19
51.9%
23
48.1%
Q1 - 0:52.5WarriorsBrandin Podziemski misses two point finger roll layup19
50.3%
23
49.7%
Q1 - 1:16HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 219
52.2%
23
47.8%
Q1 - 1:16HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 219
52.7%
22
47.3%
Q1 - 1:16WarriorsQuinten Post shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)19
53.2%
21
46.8%
Q1 - 1:39WarriorsGui Santos makes two point cutting layup (Quinten Post assists)19
54.5%
21
45.5%
Q1 - 1:47WarriorsBrandin Podziemski defensive rebound17
52.2%
21
47.8%
Q1 - 1:50HeatAlec Burks misses three point jump shot17
51.5%
21
48.5%
Q1 - 2:12WarriorsGui Santos makes three point jump shot (Quinten Post assists)17
50.3%
21
49.7%
Q1 - 2:30HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)14
46.2%
21
53.8%
Q1 - 2:52WarriorsBuddy Hield makes three point jump shot (Jonathan Kuminga assists)14
48.0%
19
52.0%
Q1 - 3:06WarriorsJonathan Kuminga defensive rebound11
44.0%
19
56.0%
Q1 - 3:08HeatAndrew Wiggins misses two point tip layup11
43.2%
19
56.8%
Q1 - 3:08HeatAndrew Wiggins offensive rebound11
41.4%
19
58.6%
Q1 - 3:09HeatAndrew Wiggins misses two point tip layup11
43.2%
19
56.8%
Q1 - 3:09HeatAndrew Wiggins offensive rebound11
41.4%
19
58.6%
Q1 - 3:10HeatAndrew Wiggins misses two point driving finger roll layup11
43.2%
19
56.8%
Q1 - 3:22WarriorsQuinten Post turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)11
41.4%
19
58.6%
Q1 - 3:39HeatAndrew Wiggins makes three point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)11
44.0%
19
56.0%
Q1 - 4:04WarriorsMoses Moody makes two point putback layup11
49.5%
16
50.5%
Q1 - 4:04WarriorsMoses Moody offensive rebound9
47.9%
16
52.1%
Q1 - 4:07WarriorsQuinten Post misses three point jump shot9
46.3%
16
53.7%
Q1 - 4:25WarriorsQuinten Post defensive rebound9
47.9%
16
52.1%
Q1 - 4:27HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot9
47.2%
16
52.8%
Q1 - 4:40WarriorsWarriors turnover (shot clock violation)9
45.7%
16
54.3%
Q1 - 4:40WarriorsWarriors offensive rebound9
48.0%
16
52.0%
Q1 - 4:41WarriorsJonathan Kuminga misses two point driving floating jump shot9
46.4%
16
53.6%
Q1 - 5:04WarriorsWarriors defensive rebound9
48.7%
16
51.3%
Q1 - 5:04HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point running jump shot9
48.1%
16
51.9%
Q1 - 5:09WarriorsQuinten Post turnover (bad pass) (Andrew Wiggins steals)9
46.8%
16
53.2%
Q1 - 5:31HeatAndrew Wiggins makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)9
48.9%
16
51.1%
Q1 - 5:45WarriorsWarriors turnover (shot clock violation)9
52.3%
13
47.7%
Q1 - 5:45WarriorsJimmy Butler III offensive rebound9
54.2%
13
45.8%
Q1 - 5:46WarriorsBam Adebayo blocks Quinten Post's three point jump shot9
52.9%
13
47.1%
Q1 - 6:09HeatAndrew Wiggins turnover (back court violation)9
54.5%
13
45.5%
Q1 - 6:20WarriorsBuddy Hield makes three point jump shot (Moses Moody assists)9
52.8%
13
47.2%
Q1 - 6:32HeatAlec Burks makes two point driving layup6
49.7%
13
50.3%
Q1 - 6:48HeatHeat defensive rebound6
51.3%
11
48.7%
Q1 - 6:54WarriorsDraymond Green misses three point jump shot6
51.9%
11
48.1%
Q1 - 7:01HeatHeat turnover (8-second violation)6
53.5%
11
46.5%
Q1 - 7:09WarriorsWarriors turnover (5-second violation)6
51.8%
11
48.2%
Q1 - 7:21HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot6
53.6%
11
46.4%
Q1 - 7:26HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound6
54.9%
9
45.1%
Q1 - 7:30WarriorsJimmy Butler III misses three point jump shot6
55.5%
9
44.5%
Q1 - 7:43HeatBam Adebayo turnover (traveling)6
56.6%
9
43.4%
Q1 - 8:00WarriorsGary Payton II makes two point tip layup6
55.1%
9
44.9%
Q1 - 8:00WarriorsGary Payton II offensive rebound4
53.9%
9
46.1%
Q1 - 8:05WarriorsBrandin Podziemski misses regular free throw 1 of 14
53.0%
9
47.0%
Q1 - 8:05HeatAndrew Wiggins shooting foul (Brandin Podziemski draws the foul)4
53.8%
9
46.2%
Q1 - 8:15HeatAndrew Wiggins turnover (out of bounds lost ball)2
51.8%
9
48.2%
Q1 - 8:28HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound2
50.5%
9
49.5%
Q1 - 8:30WarriorsAndrew Wiggins blocks Jimmy Butler III's two point running dunk2
51.0%
9
49.0%
Q1 - 8:35WarriorsDraymond Green defensive rebound2
52.1%
9
47.9%
Q1 - 8:37HeatAndrew Wiggins misses two point stepback jump shot2
51.7%
9
48.3%
Q1 - 8:46HeatHeat offensive rebound2
50.8%
9
49.2%
Q1 - 8:47HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving floating jump shot2
51.8%
9
48.2%
Q1 - 8:59WarriorsDraymond Green turnover (bad pass) (Andrew Wiggins steals)2
51.1%
9
48.9%
Q1 - 9:06HeatKel'el Ware personal foul (Draymond Green draws the foul)2
52.8%
9
47.2%
Q1 - 9:07HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds lost ball)2
52.8%
9
47.2%
Q1 - 9:07HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound2
51.6%
9
48.4%
Q1 - 9:09WarriorsDraymond Green misses three point jump shot2
52.0%
9
48.0%
Q1 - 9:33HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 22
53.3%
9
46.7%
Q1 - 9:33HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 22
53.5%
8
46.5%
Q1 - 9:33WarriorsGary Payton II shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)2
53.7%
7
46.3%
Q1 - 9:49WarriorsJimmy Butler III makes two point driving floating jump shot2
54.5%
7
45.5%
Q1 - 10:00HeatKel'el Ware makes two point dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)0
53.9%
7
46.1%
Q1 - 10:15HeatAlec Burks defensive rebound0
55.1%
5
44.9%
Q1 - 10:18WarriorsMoses Moody misses three point running jump shot0
55.4%
5
44.6%
Q1 - 10:22WarriorsGary Payton II defensive rebound0
56.1%
5
43.9%
Q1 - 10:24HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving layup0
55.9%
5
44.1%
Q1 - 10:31HeatAndrew Wiggins defensive rebound0
55.4%
5
44.6%
Q1 - 10:34WarriorsBrandin Podziemski misses three point pullup jump shot0
55.8%
5
44.2%
Q1 - 10:48HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving dunk0
56.5%
5
43.5%
Q1 - 10:59HeatHeat defensive rebound0
57.1%
3
42.9%
Q1 - 10:59WarriorsMoses Moody misses two point jump shot0
57.3%
3
42.7%
Q1 - 11:16HeatAlec Burks makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)0
57.9%
3
42.1%
Q1 - 11:17HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound0
58.5%
0
41.5%
Q1 - 11:20HeatAndrew Wiggins misses two point stepback jump shot0
58.7%
0
41.3%
Q1 - 11:41HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound0
58.2%
0
41.8%
Q1 - 11:44WarriorsMoses Moody misses three point jump shot0
58.2%
0
41.8%
Q1 - 12:00Draymond Green vs. Kel'el Ware (Moses Moody gains possession)0
58.0%
0
42.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW
0.90 44.8%
MIA
1.30 65.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
GSW
18
26
69%
MIA
17
31
55%
Midrange
GSW
6
19
32%
MIA
9
21
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
GSW
9
13.5
38
24%
36%
MIA
17
25.5
25
68%
102%
Free Throws
GSW
11
16
69%
MIA
9
12
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
GSW logo Warriors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Kuminga1554%7.5 / 14
B. Podziemski1444%7.0 / 16
G. Santos1381%6.5 / 8
J. Butler1146%5.5 / 12
B. Hield1056%5.0 / 9
M. Moody727%3.5 / 13
G. Payton II4100%2.0 / 2
T. Jackson-Davis4100%2.0 / 2
K. Looney375%1.5 / 2
Q. Post330%1.5 / 5
D. Green225%1.0 / 4
P. Spencer0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo2761%13.5 / 22
T. Herro2091%10.0 / 11
A. Burks17106%8.5 / 8
K. Ware1464%7.0 / 11
D. Mitchell1275%6.0 / 8
A. Wiggins1038%5.0 / 13
K. Anderson7117%3.5 / 3
P. Larsson563%2.5 / 4
H. Highsmith0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

GSW
79
+17
-12
96
MIA
75
+11
-15
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW
0.90 44.8%
MIA
1.30 65.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
114.2
112.4
GSW 94.5 +29.9
MIA 124.4
Pace
99.4
97.2
GSW 101.2 +19.5
MIA 81.7
Avg. Poss. Time
14.3
14.9
GSW 14.2 +3.4
MIA 17.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.6%
54.4%
GSW 45.2%
MIA 66.9% +21.7%
TO %
13.2%
12.8%
GSW 15.1% +2.8%
MIA 17.9%
ORB %
27.3%
22.3%
GSW 29.2% +4.2%
MIA 25.0%
FTrt
24.4
23.2
GSW 19.3 +3.7
MIA 15.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
71.4%
65.3%
GSW 60.6% +0.1%
MIA 60.5%
STL %
9.4%
8.3%
GSW 8.8%
MIA 8.9% +0.1%
BLK %
9.5%
7.6%
GSW 1.9%
MIA 11.1% +9.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.3%
56.0%
GSW 44.8%
MIA 65.1% +20.3%
Rim FG%
62.7%
62.5%
GSW 69.2% +14.4%
MIA 54.8%
Mid FG%
39.9%
44.4%
GSW 31.6%
MIA 42.9% +11.3%
3P %
36.4%
36.7%
GSW 23.7%
MIA 68.0% +44.3%
FT %
76.3%
79.1%
GSW 68.8%
MIA 75.0% +6.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.1%
29.6%
GSW 31.3%
MIA 40.3% +8.9%
Mid Att. %
23.1%
27.5%
GSW 22.9% +4.4%
MIA 27.3%
3P Att. %
46.9%
42.9%
GSW 45.8% +13.3%
MIA 32.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsGSWMIA
Possessions9190
Possession Minutes21.626.4
Points86112
Rebounds3842
Assists2026
Steals88
Blocks15
Turnovers (Team)12 (4)15 (3)
Fouls1415
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (3)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (1)34 (3)
Field Goals33-8343-77
At-the-Rim FG18-2617-31
Midrange FG6-199-21
2-Point FG24-4526-52
3-Point FG9-3817-25
Free Throws11-169-12
Fast Break Pts812
2nd Chance Pts2012
Points in Paint4244
Pts off Turnovers1218
Bench Points4824
Biggest Lead028

BOXSCORE

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7 Golden State Warriors
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Brandin Podziemski
#2 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 22
30.3
14
44%
3
4
2
0
1
1
1
2
0-1
0%
4-10
40%
2-6
33%
Jimmy Butler III
#10 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 36
28.7
11
46%
6
2
1
0
0
0
5
1
1-1
100%
5-10
50%
0-2
0%
Moses Moody
#4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 23
25.0
7
27%
1
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
1-1
100%
3-4
75%
0-9
0%
Draymond Green
#23 · C · 6'6" 230 · 35
23.2
2
25%
5
3
0
0
3
1
2
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-3
0%
Gary Payton II
#0 · SF · 6'3" 190 · 32
20.0
4
100%
7
2
2
0
2
3
2
5
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
Buddy Hield
#7 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 31
25.5
10
56%
3
0
0
0
1
2
0
3
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
2-5
40%
Jonathan Kuminga
#00 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 22
24.8
15
54%
2
2
2
0
1
0
0
2
6-9
67%
3-7
43%
1-3
33%
Gui Santos
#15 · PF · 6'6" 185 · 23
19.6
13
81%
3
0
0
0
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
Kevon Looney
#5 · C · 6'9" 222 · 29
14.5
3
75%
5
2
1
1
0
2
0
5
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Quinten Post
#21 · PF · 7'0" 238 · 25
13.6
3
30%
1
3
0
0
4
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-4
25%
Pat Spencer
#61 · PG · 6'3" 205 · 29
6.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
Trayce Jackson-Davis
#32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 25
4.2
4
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
Kevin Knox II
#31 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26
4.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Braxton Key
#12 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 28
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Taran Armstrong
#1 · NA · 6'5" 190 · 23
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jackson Rowe
#44 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 28
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Stephen Curry
#30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 37
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Pelvic; Contusion
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
86
45%
38
20
8
1
12
14
14
24
11-16
69%
24-45
53%
9-38
24%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.