Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, March 25, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	18	Hawks	31%	112	114	112.9	101	112.2
	6	Rockets	69%	119	121	117.5	103	93.6

Scoring Opportunities

ATL

+22

-14

109

HOU

+21

-13

111

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.05 52.3%

HOU

1.09 54.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

18 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 27	39.0	19	53%	2	12	1	0	5	2	1	1	2-2	100%	4-10	40%	3-7	43%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 24	38.4	14	50%	15	3	0	0	1	4	5	10	0-0	-	4-10	40%	2-4	50%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SG · 6'7" 199 · 22	36.0	19	63%	8	10	4	0	2	3	4	4	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	3-6	50%
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 20	23.7	18	56%	4	1	0	0	1	2	1	3	2-2	100%	8-10	80%	0-6	0%
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 22	8.6	4	40%	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	3	4-4	100%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%

Terance Mann #14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 28	24.5	16	67%	4	1	1	0	1	4	2	2	0-0	-	5-7	71%	2-5	40%
Georges Niang #20 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 32	22.2	12	60%	0	2	1	0	2	3	0	0	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	3-7	43%
Caris LeVert #3 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 31	19.6	5	28%	1	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-5	20%
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 25	11.8	5	83%	1	1	0	1	1	1	0	1	2-3	67%	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Dominick Barlow #0 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 22	9.6	2	25%	3	0	0	0	0	4	3	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Garrison Mathews #24 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 28	6.5	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Jalen Johnson #1 · SF · 6'8" 219 · 23	NWT - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Surgery
Jacob Toppin #00 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Surgery
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; AC Sprain
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Medial Femoral Condyle; Fracture
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Fourth Metacarpal; Ligament Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	52%	42	32	8	1	14	26	18	24	13-15	87%	28-54	52%	15-49	31%

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18 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 27	39.0	19	53%	2	12	1	0	5	2	1	1	2-2	100%	4-10	40%	3-7	43%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 24	38.4	14	50%	15	3	0	0	1	4	5	10	0-0	-	4-10	40%	2-4	50%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SG · 6'7" 199 · 22	36.0	19	63%	8	10	4	0	2	3	4	4	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	3-6	50%
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 20	23.7	18	56%	4	1	0	0	1	2	1	3	2-2	100%	8-10	80%	0-6	0%
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 22	8.6	4	40%	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	3	4-4	100%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%

Terance Mann #14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 28	24.5	16	67%	4	1	1	0	1	4	2	2	0-0	-	5-7	71%	2-5	40%
Georges Niang #20 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 32	22.2	12	60%	0	2	1	0	2	3	0	0	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	3-7	43%
Caris LeVert #3 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 31	19.6	5	28%	1	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-5	20%
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 25	11.8	5	83%	1	1	0	1	1	1	0	1	2-3	67%	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Dominick Barlow #0 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 22	9.6	2	25%	3	0	0	0	0	4	3	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Garrison Mathews #24 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 28	6.5	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Jalen Johnson #1 · SF · 6'8" 219 · 23	NWT - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Surgery
Jacob Toppin #00 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Surgery
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; AC Sprain
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Medial Femoral Condyle; Fracture
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Fourth Metacarpal; Ligament Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	52%	42	32	8	1	14	26	18	24	13-15	87%	28-54	52%	15-49	31%

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6 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 23	40.8	32	64%	11	4	2	0	5	1	0	11	3-5	60%	13-17	76%	1-7	14%
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 31	38.5	21	58%	4	3	0	0	1	3	1	3	8-8	100%	2-6	33%	3-8	38%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 23	37.5	18	47%	9	5	1	1	1	0	2	7	2-2	100%	8-17	47%	0-2	0%
Dillon Brooks #9 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 29	28.9	10	50%	0	2	2	0	2	2	0	0	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	2-7	29%
Tari Eason #17 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 24	25.4	10	42%	14	0	1	0	1	2	5	9	4-4	100%	3-7	43%	0-3	0%

Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 22	33.1	17	61%	5	1	2	0	1	1	1	4	4-4	100%	2-3	67%	3-9	33%
Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 32	25.5	7	117%	7	1	0	0	1	2	4	3	3-4	75%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 28	10.2	6	100%	1	1	0	1	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jock Landale #2 · C · 6'11" 255 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cam Whitmore #7 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Amen Thompson #1 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Soreness
Reed Sheppard #15 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Thumb; Avulsion Fracture
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
David Roddy #21 · PF · 6'5" 255 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jack McVeigh #58 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
N'Faly Dante #3 · C · 6'11" 230 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	55%	51	17	8	2	13	12	14	37	26-29	90%	31-54	57%	11-39	28%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	HOU
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	HOU

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.05 52.3%

HOU

1.09 54.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

63%

HOU

76%

Midrange

ATL

38%

HOU

45%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

22.5

31%

46%

HOU

16.5

28%

42%

Free Throws

ATL

87%

HOU

90%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Young	19	53%	9.5 / 18
D. Daniels	19	63%	9.5 / 15
Z. Risacher	18	56%	9.0 / 16
T. Mann	16	67%	8.0 / 12
O. Okongwu	14	50%	7.0 / 14
G. Niang	12	60%	6.0 / 10
C. LeVert	5	28%	2.5 / 9
V. Krejčí	5	83%	2.5 / 3
M. Gueye	4	40%	2.0 / 5
D. Barlow	2	25%	1.0 / 4
G. Mathews	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Green	32	64%	16.0 / 25
F. VanVleet	21	58%	10.5 / 18
A. Sengun	18	47%	9.0 / 19
J. Smith	17	61%	8.5 / 14
D. Brooks	10	50%	5.0 / 10
T. Eason	10	42%	5.0 / 12
S. Adams	7	117%	3.5 / 3
A. Holiday	6	100%	3.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	17 113.7 12 114.9	ATL 112.9 HOU 117.5 +4.6
Pace	3 103.4 18 99.0	ATL 112.2 +18.6 HOU 93.6
Avg. Poss. Time	30 13.3 12 14.8	ATL 12.8 −2.6 HOU 15.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	17 54.6% 23 52.3%	ATL 49.0% HOU 51.1% +2.1%
TO %	23 14.1% 10 13.1%	ATL 11.3% −1.8% HOU 13.1%
ORB %	10 26.3% 1 31.7%	ATL 32.7% HOU 36.8% +4.1%
FTrt	8 25.2 16 24.2	ATL 14.6 HOU 31.2 +16.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 68.3% 30 54.9%	ATL 74.4% +33.9% HOU 40.5%
STL %	4 9.4% 9 8.4%	ATL 7.9% +0.1% HOU 7.8%
BLK %	11 9.7% 15 9.3%	ATL 1.9% HOU 3.7% +1.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.58 and 2.58.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	17 56.5% 24 53.9%	ATL 52.3% HOU 54.5% +2.2%
Rim FG%	20 62.9% 25 61.5%	ATL 63.3% HOU 76.2% +12.9%
Mid FG%	11 44.5% 24 40.4%	ATL 37.5% HOU 45.5% +8.0%
3P %	18 35.8% 21 35.3%	ATL 30.6% +2.4% HOU 28.2%
FT %	18 77.5% 30 73.8%	ATL 86.7% HOU 89.7% +3.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	6 34.1% 10 33.3%	ATL 29.1% +6.5% HOU 22.6%
Mid Att. %	10 24.8% 23 28.3%	ATL 23.3% −12.2% HOU 35.5%
3P Att. %	19 41.0% 27 38.4%	ATL 47.6% +5.6% HOU 41.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.2 and 2.2.

Game Totals	ATL	HOU
Possessions	101	103
Possession Minutes	21.6	26.4
Points	114	121
Rebounds	42	51
Assists	32	17
Steals	8	8
Blocks	1	2
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	13 (3)
Fouls	26	12
Off. Rebounds (Team)	18 (4)	14 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	24 (8)	37 (2)
Field Goals	43-103	42-93
At-the-Rim FG	19-30	16-21
Midrange FG	9-24	15-33
2-Point FG	28-54	31-54
3-Point FG	15-49	11-39
Free Throws	13-15	26-29
Fast Break Pts	13	11
2nd Chance Pts	17	20
Points in Paint	52	54
Pts off Turnovers	22	15
Bench Points	40	30
Biggest Lead	7	25

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg