Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, April 4, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	22	Blazers	40%	113	113	105.6	107	104.2
	19	Bulls	60%	117	118	108.3	109	112.1

Scoring Opportunities

POR

102

+22

-5

124

CHI

+13

-17

105

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR

0.91 45.6%

CHI

1.12 56.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

22 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Deni Avdija #8 · PF · 6'8" 228 · 24	35.5	37	58%	11	5	0	0	1	3	6	5	11-14	79%	10-18	56%	2-7	29%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 22	34.7	17	35%	2	5	1	0	1	2	0	2	2-2	100%	6-15	40%	1-8	13%
Dalano Banton #5 · PG · 6'8" 203 · 25	33.6	21	46%	3	3	0	1	1	4	0	3	1-2	50%	7-16	44%	2-6	33%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 21	31.1	7	32%	18	1	2	1	0	4	7	11	0-0	-	2-7	29%	1-4	25%
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SF · 6'5" 202 · 28	26.8	7	44%	4	2	1	1	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-3	33%

Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 25	27.4	8	44%	5	2	0	1	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-8	25%
Rayan Rupert #21 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 21	20.6	7	39%	4	0	2	1	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	2-6	33%	1-3	33%
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 23	19.9	7	50%	6	4	0	0	0	3	3	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Justin Minaya #10 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 26	10.4	2	100%	1	1	1	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 21	DND - Concussion Protocol
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 31	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Inflammation
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Forearm; Contusion
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Soreness
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Sidy Cissoko #25 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Rib; Fracture
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	46%	54	23	7	5	5	21	19	35	14-18	78%	33-73	45%	11-42	26%

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22 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Deni Avdija #8 · PF · 6'8" 228 · 24	35.5	37	58%	11	5	0	0	1	3	6	5	11-14	79%	10-18	56%	2-7	29%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 22	34.7	17	35%	2	5	1	0	1	2	0	2	2-2	100%	6-15	40%	1-8	13%
Dalano Banton #5 · PG · 6'8" 203 · 25	33.6	21	46%	3	3	0	1	1	4	0	3	1-2	50%	7-16	44%	2-6	33%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 21	31.1	7	32%	18	1	2	1	0	4	7	11	0-0	-	2-7	29%	1-4	25%
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SF · 6'5" 202 · 28	26.8	7	44%	4	2	1	1	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-3	33%

Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 25	27.4	8	44%	5	2	0	1	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-8	25%
Rayan Rupert #21 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 21	20.6	7	39%	4	0	2	1	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	2-6	33%	1-3	33%
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 23	19.9	7	50%	6	4	0	0	0	3	3	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Justin Minaya #10 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 26	10.4	2	100%	1	1	1	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 21	DND - Concussion Protocol
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 31	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Inflammation
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Forearm; Contusion
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Soreness
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Sidy Cissoko #25 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Rib; Fracture
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	46%	54	23	7	5	5	21	19	35	14-18	78%	33-73	45%	11-42	26%

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19 Chicago Bulls

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Josh Giddey #3 · PG · 6'7" 214 · 22	39.2	15	44%	19	12	0	0	2	2	5	14	7-9	78%	4-12	33%	0-1	0%
Coby White #0 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 25	34.8	31	74%	5	7	0	0	4	2	0	5	11-12	92%	7-10	70%	2-6	33%
Kevin Huerter #13 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 27	34.3	9	45%	2	1	0	1	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	3-7	43%
Matas Buzelis #14 · PF · 6'8" 196 · 20	33.6	12	60%	12	1	0	3	3	2	2	10	0-1	0%	3-6	50%	2-4	50%
Nikola Vučević #9 · C · 6'9" 265 · 34	33.4	31	67%	12	2	0	2	3	2	3	9	3-3	100%	11-19	58%	2-3	67%

Talen Horton-Tucker #22 · SG · 6'4" 235 · 24	15.8	13	81%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	5-6	83%	4-4	100%	0-1	0%
Dalen Terry #25 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 23	14.6	0	0%	4	1	1	1	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Zach Collins #12 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 27	14.6	5	63%	2	0	1	1	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Patrick Williams #44 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 24	14.4	2	20%	5	0	0	0	1	0	0	5	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Julian Phillips #15 · SF · 6'6" 201 · 21	5.3	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jevon Carter #5 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Smith #7 · C · 6'8" 244 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jahmir Young #17 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
E.J. Liddell #32 · PF · 6'6" 240 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Emanuel Miller #20 · PF · 6'5" 215 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tre Jones #30 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Midfoot; Sprain
Ayo Dosunmu #11 · SG · 6'4" 201 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Surgery
Lonzo Ball #2 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	56%	61	25	2	8	17	16	11	50	26-31	84%	31-60	52%	10-27	37%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	CHI
Clock	Team	Event	POR	CHI

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR

0.91 45.6%

CHI

1.12 56.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

48%

CHI

51%

Midrange

POR

35%

CHI

52%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

16.5

26%

39%

CHI

15.0

37%

56%

Free Throws

POR

78%

CHI

84%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Avdija	37	58%	18.5 / 32
D. Banton	21	46%	10.5 / 23
S. Sharpe	17	35%	8.5 / 24
K. Murray	8	44%	4.0 / 9
D. Clingan	7	32%	3.5 / 11
M. Thybulle	7	44%	3.5 / 8
R. Rupert	7	39%	3.5 / 9
J. Walker	7	50%	3.5 / 7
J. Minaya	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Bulls

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. White	31	74%	15.5 / 21
N. Vučević	31	67%	15.5 / 23
J. Giddey	15	44%	7.5 / 17
T. Horton-Tucker	13	81%	6.5 / 8
M. Buzelis	12	60%	6.0 / 10
K. Huerter	9	45%	4.5 / 10
Z. Collins	5	63%	2.5 / 4
P. Williams	2	20%	1.0 / 5
D. Terry	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	23 110.9 20 113.2	POR 105.6 CHI 108.3 +2.6
Pace	16 99.5 2 103.7	POR 104.2 CHI 112.1 +7.9
Avg. Poss. Time	19 14.3 29 13.3	POR 13.8 CHI 12.9 −1.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	25 52.1% 13 55.3%	POR 43.0% CHI 52.9% +9.9%
TO %	29 15.1% 17 13.4%	POR 3.9% −11.3% CHI 15.2%
ORB %	2 29.2% 28 22.3%	POR 27.5% +3.6% CHI 23.9%
FTrt	13 24.6 29 21.4	POR 15.7 CHI 35.6 +19.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	28 58.7% 7 67.2%	POR 52.3% CHI 61.0% +8.7%
STL %	13 8.2% 29 7.2%	POR 6.5% +4.7% CHI 1.8%
BLK %	9 10.0% 26 8.5%	POR 8.3% CHI 11.0% +2.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	23 54.1% 13 57.0%	POR 45.6% CHI 56.2% +10.6%
Rim FG%	27 60.7% 24 61.6%	POR 48.2% CHI 51.3% +3.1%
Mid FG%	28 39.1% 3 46.2%	POR 35.3% CHI 52.4% +17.1%
3P %	26 34.2% 13 36.7%	POR 26.2% CHI 37.0% +10.8%
FT %	26 76.2% 3 80.9%	POR 77.8% CHI 83.9% +6.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	2 36.6% 11 33.2%	POR 48.7% +3.9% CHI 44.8%
Mid Att. %	3 21.6% 2 21.1%	POR 14.8% −9.4% CHI 24.1%
3P Att. %	17 41.8% 4 45.7%	POR 36.5% +5.5% CHI 31.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	POR	CHI
Possessions	107	109
Possession Minutes	24.7	23.3
Points	113	118
Rebounds	54	61
Assists	23	25
Steals	7	2
Blocks	5	8
Turnovers (Team)	5 (0)	17 (1)
Fouls	21	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	19 (3)	11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (1)	50 (2)
Field Goals	44-115	41-87
At-the-Rim FG	27-56	20-39
Midrange FG	6-17	11-21
2-Point FG	33-73	31-60
3-Point FG	11-42	10-27
Free Throws	14-18	26-31
Fast Break Pts	16	15
2nd Chance Pts	20	10
Points in Paint	62	58
Pts off Turnovers	23	8
Bench Points	24	20
Biggest Lead	5	15

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg