Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, April 6, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	27	Wizards	10%	102	90	100.0	90	92.3
	3	Celtics	90%	121	124	137.8	90	87.8

Scoring Opportunities

WAS

+13

-10

BOS

+27

-13

104

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

0.97 48.4%

BOS

1.19 59.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

27 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bub Carrington #8 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 20	41.4	14	41%	3	6	0	1	0	2	0	3	1-2	50%	5-8	63%	1-8	13%
Justin Champagnie #9 · PF · 6'6" 206 · 24	37.0	15	68%	13	1	2	0	3	1	6	7	0-0	-	3-6	50%	3-5	60%
AJ Johnson #5 · SF · 6'5" 160 · 20	34.0	12	50%	0	4	0	0	0	3	0	0	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-8	25%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 20	32.5	16	47%	4	2	0	1	4	0	2	2	0-0	-	5-8	63%	2-9	22%
Jordan Poole #13 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 26	26.1	15	50%	2	5	0	0	1	3	1	1	1-2	50%	4-5	80%	2-9	22%

Colby Jones #1 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 23	25.6	9	50%	3	2	3	1	2	0	1	2	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	1-2	50%
JT Thor #21 · PF · 6'9" 203 · 23	21.9	3	50%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 32	21.6	6	43%	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	4	4-4	100%	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Malcolm Brogdon #15 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 32	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Richaun Holmes #22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 31	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Contusion
Kyshawn George #18 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Jaylen Martin #4 · SF · 6'6" 216 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; Surgery
Saddiq Bey #14 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; ACL surgery
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Contusion
Khris Middleton #32 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	90	48%	32	21	5	3	10	10	11	21	8-10	80%	23-41	56%	12-45	27%

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27 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bub Carrington #8 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 20	41.4	14	41%	3	6	0	1	0	2	0	3	1-2	50%	5-8	63%	1-8	13%
Justin Champagnie #9 · PF · 6'6" 206 · 24	37.0	15	68%	13	1	2	0	3	1	6	7	0-0	-	3-6	50%	3-5	60%
AJ Johnson #5 · SF · 6'5" 160 · 20	34.0	12	50%	0	4	0	0	0	3	0	0	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-8	25%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 20	32.5	16	47%	4	2	0	1	4	0	2	2	0-0	-	5-8	63%	2-9	22%
Jordan Poole #13 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 26	26.1	15	50%	2	5	0	0	1	3	1	1	1-2	50%	4-5	80%	2-9	22%

Colby Jones #1 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 23	25.6	9	50%	3	2	3	1	2	0	1	2	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	1-2	50%
JT Thor #21 · PF · 6'9" 203 · 23	21.9	3	50%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 32	21.6	6	43%	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	4	4-4	100%	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Malcolm Brogdon #15 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 32	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Richaun Holmes #22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 31	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Contusion
Kyshawn George #18 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Jaylen Martin #4 · SF · 6'6" 216 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; Surgery
Saddiq Bey #14 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; ACL surgery
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Contusion
Khris Middleton #32 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	90	48%	32	21	5	3	10	10	11	21	8-10	80%	23-41	56%	12-45	27%

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3 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jrue Holiday #4 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 35	29.5	13	50%	7	5	0	0	1	1	5	2	0-0	-	2-8	25%	3-5	60%
Al Horford #42 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 39	27.8	11	46%	10	4	0	0	1	0	2	8	0-0	-	1-4	25%	3-8	38%
Luke Kornet #40 · C · 7'1" 250 · 30	26.2	13	65%	14	3	0	0	0	1	9	5	1-2	50%	6-9	67%	0-0	-
Derrick White #9 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 31	25.8	19	79%	1	4	1	0	3	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	5-9	56%
Jaylen Brown #7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 28	21.6	15	68%	2	5	0	0	1	0	0	2	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	2-4	50%

Payton Pritchard #11 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 27	29.5	20	56%	6	7	2	0	1	1	1	5	0-0	-	4-7	57%	4-11	36%
Sam Hauser #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 27	21.7	18	75%	8	0	0	1	0	1	2	6	0-0	-	3-5	60%	4-7	57%
Baylor Scheierman #55 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 25	21.0	6	50%	4	2	1	0	4	3	2	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-6	33%
Torrey Craig #12 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 34	16.3	3	50%	8	2	0	3	0	0	4	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Neemias Queta #88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 26	6.9	6	100%	0	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Jordan Walsh #27 · PF · 6'6" 205 · 21	6.9	0	0%	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Xavier Tillman #26 · C · 6'8" 245 · 26	6.9	0	0%	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Kristaps Porziņģis #8 · C · 7'2" 240 · 30	DND - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Non-Covid
Jayson Tatum #0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Drew Peterson #13 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Miles Norris #44 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
JD Davison #20 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	60%	62	33	6	5	13	9	25	37	4-6	67%	24-46	52%	24-52	46%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	BOS
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	BOS

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

WAS

0.97 48.4%

BOS

1.19 59.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

74%

BOS

61%

Midrange

WAS

41%

BOS

33%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

18.0

27%

40%

BOS

36.0

46%

69%

Free Throws

WAS

80%

BOS

67%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Sarr	16	47%	8.0 / 17
J. Champagnie	15	68%	7.5 / 11
J. Poole	15	50%	7.5 / 15
B. Carrington	14	41%	7.0 / 17
A. Johnson	12	50%	6.0 / 12
C. Jones	9	50%	4.5 / 9
A. Gill	6	43%	3.0 / 7
J. Thor	3	50%	1.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Pritchard	20	56%	10.0 / 18
D. White	19	79%	9.5 / 12
S. Hauser	18	75%	9.0 / 12
J. Brown	15	68%	7.5 / 11
J. Holiday	13	50%	6.5 / 13
L. Kornet	13	65%	6.5 / 10
A. Horford	11	46%	5.5 / 12
B. Scheierman	6	50%	3.0 / 6
N. Queta	6	100%	3.0 / 3
T. Craig	3	50%	1.5 / 3
X. Tillman	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	30 105.8 2 119.5	WAS 100.0 BOS 137.8 +37.8
Pace	4 101.8 29 96.6	WAS 92.3 +4.4 BOS 87.8
Avg. Poss. Time	23 14.0 2 15.5	WAS 15.6 −0.8 BOS 16.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	28 51.2% 5 56.1%	WAS 47.7% BOS 61.2% +13.5%
TO %	27 14.6% 2 11.7%	WAS 10.0% −2.2% BOS 12.2%
ORB %	25 22.7% 15 25.6%	WAS 22.9% BOS 54.3% +31.4%
FTrt	26 22.9 30 21.2	WAS 11.6 +5.5 BOS 6.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	12 63.7% 20 62.8%	WAS 60.0% BOS 68.8% +8.8%
STL %	25 7.4% 26 7.4%	WAS 5.6% BOS 6.7% +1.1%
BLK %	12 9.6% 4 10.5%	WAS 6.5% BOS 12.2% +5.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	29 53.2% 6 57.8%	WAS 48.4% BOS 59.6% +11.2%
Rim FG%	17 63.7% 4 67.3%	WAS 73.7% +12.4% BOS 61.3%
Mid FG%	30 38.0% 14 43.9%	WAS 40.9% +7.6% BOS 33.3%
3P %	29 33.5% 10 36.8%	WAS 26.7% BOS 46.2% +19.5%
FT %	16 77.8% 6 79.9%	WAS 80.0% +13.3% BOS 66.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	21 30.5% 29 26.2%	WAS 22.1% BOS 31.6% +9.5%
Mid Att. %	11 25.9% 1 20.2%	WAS 25.6% BOS 15.3% −10.3%
3P Att. %	10 43.6% 1 53.6%	WAS 52.3% BOS 53.1% +0.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.17 and 3.17.

Game Totals	WAS	BOS
Possessions	90	90
Possession Minutes	23.4	24.6
Points	90	124
Rebounds	32	62
Assists	21	33
Steals	5	6
Blocks	3	5
Turnovers (Team)	10 (0)	13 (1)
Fouls	10	9
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (2)	25 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	21 (2)	37 (2)
Field Goals	35-86	48-98
At-the-Rim FG	14-19	19-31
Midrange FG	9-22	5-15
2-Point FG	23-41	24-46
3-Point FG	12-45	24-52
Free Throws	8-10	4-6
Fast Break Pts	11	15
2nd Chance Pts	6	32
Points in Paint	42	42
Pts off Turnovers	15	16
Bench Points	18	53
Biggest Lead	0	36

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg