Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Sunday, April 6, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Bulls | |||
 | 27 | Hornets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Raptors | |||
 | 25 | Nets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 10 | Lakers | |||
 | 1 | Thunder | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 2 | Celtics | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 8 | Knicks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Bucks | |||
 | 28 | Pelicans | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Saturday, April 5, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Knicks | |||
| 20 | Hawks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 13 | Pistons | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Timberwolves | |||
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| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bucks | |||
 | 16 | Heat | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Mavericks | |||
%20--%3e%3csvg%20version='1.1'%20id='Layer_1'%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20xmlns:xlink='http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink'%20x='0px'%20y='0px'%20viewBox='0%200%20400%20400'%20style='enable-background:new%200%200%20400%20400;'%20xml:space='preserve'%3e%3cstyle%20type='text/css'%3e%20.st0{fill:%23FFFFFF;}%20.st1{fill:%23C8102E;}%20.st2{fill:%231D428A;}%20%3c/style%3e%3cg%20id='Layer_2_1_'%3e%3cpath%20class='st0'%20d='M42.4,200.4c0-86.9,70.4-157.3,157.3-157.3S357,113.5,357,200.4s-70.4,157.3-157.3,157.3%20S42.4,287.3,42.4,200.4'/%3e%3cpath%20d='M199.8,56.1c-79.6,0-144.3,64.7-144.3,144.3s64.7,144.3,144.3,144.3S344.1,280,344.1,200.4%20C344.1,120.9,279.3,56.1,199.8,56.1%20M304.1,120.3c16.5,21.4,25.9,47,27.2,73.9h-54.4C278.2,167.2,287.6,141.7,304.1,120.3%20M95.5,120.3c16.5,21.4,25.9,47,27.3,73.9H68.2C69.6,167.1,78.9,141.7,95.5,120.3%20M95.5,280.6c-16.5-21.4-25.9-47-27.2-73.9h54.4%20C121.4,233.7,112,259.2,95.5,280.6%20M206.1,332v-37.7h-12.7V332c-34.3-1.6-66-16.3-89.6-41.4c19.3-24.1,30.1-53,31.4-83.7v-12.7%20c-1.3-30.7-12.2-59.6-31.4-83.7c23.6-25.1,55.3-39.8,89.6-41.4v37.4h12.7V68.9c34.3,1.6,66,16.3,89.6,41.4%20c-19.3,24.1-30.1,53-31.4,83.7v12.7c1.3,30.7,12.2,59.6,31.4,83.7C272.1,315.6,240.3,330.3,206.1,332%20M304.1,280.6%20c-16.5-21.4-25.9-47-27.3-73.9h54.4C329.9,233.7,320.6,259.2,304.1,280.6'/%3e%3cpolygon%20class='st1'%20points='167.6,140%20167.6,260.4%20232,260.4%20232,243.9%20184.8,243.9%20184.8,140%20'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st2'%20d='M253.8,180.3v-49.6c0-7.5-3-10.5-10.3-10.5h-87.6c-7.2,0-10.2,3.1-10.2,10.5v139.4c0,7.5,3,10.5,10.2,10.5%20h87.6c7.3,0,10.3-3.1,10.3-10.5v-49.7h-17.4v44.9H163V135.5h73.5v44.8L253.8,180.3L253.8,180.3z'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M232,239.2V140h-41.9l-0.4,99.2h16.7l0.3-30.9h8.5l-0.1,30.9H232z%20M215.1,191.7h-8.4v-35.2h8.4V191.7z'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e) | 4 | Clippers | |||
Friday, April 4, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Kings | |||
| 27 | Hornets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Jazz | |||
| 12 | Pacers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Suns | |||
| 2 | Celtics | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pistons | |||
| 24 | Raptors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Trail Blazers | |||
| 16 | Bulls | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | |||
| 11 | Rockets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | |||
| 23 | Spurs | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | |||
| 9 | Warriors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pelicans | |||
| 8 | Lakers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Mavericks | |||
| 4 | Clippers | |||
Thursday, April 3, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Magic | |||
| 28 | Wizards | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bucks | |||
| 27 | 76ers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Timberwolves | |||
| 25 | Nets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | |||
| 15 | Heat | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Trail Blazers | |||
| 24 | Raptors | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Warriors | |||
| 8 | Lakers | |||
Wednesday, April 2, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Knicks | |||
| 3 | Cavaliers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hornets | |||
| 12 | Pacers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Kings | |||
| 28 | Wizards | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Heat | |||
| 2 | Celtics | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Jazz | |||
| 11 | Rockets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hawks | |||
| 22 | Mavericks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Spurs | |||
| 5 | Nuggets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pistons | |||
| 1 | Thunder | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Pelicans | |||
| 4 | Clippers | |||
Tuesday, April 1, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Trail Blazers | |||
| 20 | Hawks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 76ers | |||
| 5 | Knicks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Suns | |||
| 16 | Bucks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Magic | |||
| 23 | Spurs | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Raptors | |||
| 19 | Bulls | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Warriors | |||
| 8 | Grizzlies | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Timberwolves | |||
| 6 | Nuggets | |||
Monday, March 31, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Jazz | |||
| 26 | Hornets | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Kings | |||
| 12 | Pacers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | |||
| 16 | Magic | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Heat | |||
| 30 | Wizards | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | |||
| 9 | Grizzlies | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bulls | |||
| 1 | Thunder | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Nets | |||
| 22 | Mavericks | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Rockets | |||
| 7 | Lakers | |||
Sunday, March 30, 2025
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | |||
| 3 | Cavaliers | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pistons | |||
| 7 | Timberwolves | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | |||
| 27 | Pelicans | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Warriors | |||
| 23 | Spurs | |||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Raptors | |||
| 28 | 76ers | |||
Saturday, March 29, 2025
Thursday, March 27, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Spurs | 19% | 111 | 116 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 81% | 124 | 124 |
Updated: Mar 27, 2025 10:57 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Mavericks | 40% | 105 | 101 |
| 14 | Magic | 60% | 108 | 92 |
Updated: Mar 27, 2025 10:57 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pacers | 71% | 122 | 162 |
| 26 | Wizards | 29% | 114 | 109 |
Updated: Mar 27, 2025 10:57 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Lakers | 52% | 117 | 117 |
| 20 | Bulls | 48% | 116 | 119 |
Updated: Mar 27, 2025 11:57 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Grizzlies | 23% | 110 | 104 |
| 1 | Thunder | 77% | 121 | 125 |
Updated: Mar 27, 2025 11:57 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 81% | 120 | 121 |
| 29 | Jazz | 19% | 107 | 110 |
Updated: Mar 28, 2025 12:57 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Trail Blazers | 39% | 113 | 107 |
| 13 | Kings | 61% | 117 | 128 |
Updated: Mar 28, 2025 01:57 AM
game detailWednesday, March 26, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wizards | 38% | 113 | 119 |
| 24 | 76ers | 62% | 117 | 114 |
Updated: Mar 26, 2025 10:57 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Raptors | 48% | 104 | 116 |
| 25 | Nets | 52% | 105 | 86 |
Updated: Mar 26, 2025 11:12 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lakers | 46% | 114 | 120 |
| 10 | Pacers | 54% | 115 | 119 |
Updated: Mar 26, 2025 11:12 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 59% | 111 | 126 |
| 12 | Knicks | 41% | 108 | 113 |
Updated: Mar 26, 2025 11:12 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bucks | 29% | 109 | 117 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 71% | 117 | 127 |
Updated: Mar 27, 2025 12:42 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Celtics | 64% | 116 | 132 |
| 14 | Suns | 36% | 111 | 102 |
Updated: Mar 27, 2025 01:57 AM
game detailTuesday, March 25, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Magic | 58% | 107 | 111 |
| 24 | Hornets | 42% | 104 | 104 |
Updated: Mar 25, 2025 10:57 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Spurs | 37% | 111 | 96 |
| 14 | Pistons | 63% | 116 | 122 |
Updated: Mar 25, 2025 10:57 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Warriors | 58% | 108 | 86 |
| 15 | Heat | 42% | 105 | 112 |
Updated: Mar 25, 2025 11:12 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Mavericks | 23% | 107 | 113 |
| 12 | Knicks | 77% | 118 | 128 |
Updated: Mar 25, 2025 11:12 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hawks | 31% | 112 | 114 |
| 5 | Rockets | 69% | 119 | 121 |
Updated: Mar 25, 2025 11:42 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Grizzlies | 77% | 124 | 140 |
| 28 | Jazz | 23% | 113 | 103 |
Updated: Mar 26, 2025 12:42 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 68% | 118 | 122 |
| 20 | Trail Blazers | 32% | 111 | 111 |
Updated: Mar 26, 2025 01:57 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 78% | 118 | 121 |
| 17 | Kings | 22% | 107 | 105 |
Updated: Mar 26, 2025 01:57 AM
game detailMonday, March 24, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Timberwolves | 51% | 115 | 103 |
| 10 | Pacers | 49% | 114 | 119 |
Updated: Mar 24, 2025 10:57 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Lakers | 53% | 105 | 106 |
| 16 | Magic | 47% | 104 | 118 |
Updated: Mar 24, 2025 10:57 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Raptors | 45% | 110 | 112 |
| 27 | Wizards | 55% | 112 | 104 |
Updated: Mar 24, 2025 10:57 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Mavericks | 55% | 109 | 120 |
| 24 | Nets | 45% | 107 | 101 |
Updated: Mar 24, 2025 11:12 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 76ers | 56% | 112 | 99 |
| 30 | Pelicans | 44% | 110 | 112 |
Updated: Mar 24, 2025 11:57 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bulls | 49% | 117 | 129 |
| 20 | Nuggets | 51% | 118 | 119 |
Updated: Mar 25, 2025 12:57 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 62% | 117 | 113 |
| 14 | Kings | 38% | 112 | 95 |
Updated: Mar 25, 2025 01:57 AM
game detail