Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, April 6, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	21	Spurs	49%	111	109	101.9	107	105.6
	22	Blazers	51%	112	120	112.1	107	108.4

Scoring Opportunities

SAS

+16

-18

105

POR

+11

-15

103

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.04 51.9%

POR

1.17 58.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

21 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 33	32.9	17	85%	7	1	1	0	0	2	1	6	3-3	100%	4-5	80%	2-4	50%
Devin Vassell #24 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 25	31.6	21	62%	7	2	3	0	4	3	2	5	2-3	67%	5-9	56%	3-7	43%
Stephon Castle #5 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 20	30.6	22	52%	7	5	1	0	4	3	2	5	7-9	78%	6-12	50%	1-5	20%
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 40	29.2	8	57%	3	9	1	0	2	5	0	3	2-3	67%	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 33	19.5	10	50%	4	0	0	1	2	2	2	2	0-0	-	5-10	50%	0-0	-

Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 22	22.9	17	61%	4	2	0	0	2	1	2	2	0-0	-	4-8	50%	3-6	50%
Keldon Johnson #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 25	20.6	2	9%	5	1	0	3	1	2	3	2	0-0	-	1-8	13%	0-3	0%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 24	20.1	7	70%	3	0	0	0	1	1	0	3	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	2-3	67%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 26	12.9	0	0%	0	2	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Jordan McLaughlin #11 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 29	10.1	5	125%	2	3	1	0	1	0	1	1	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 22	9.5	0	0%	3	1	2	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
David Duke Jr. #7 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Riley Minix #27 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Inflammation
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
De'Aaron Fox #4 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Fifth Finger; Extensor Tendon Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	52%	45	26	9	4	18	21	13	32	16-21	76%	30-61	49%	11-34	32%

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21 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 33	32.9	17	85%	7	1	1	0	0	2	1	6	3-3	100%	4-5	80%	2-4	50%
Devin Vassell #24 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 25	31.6	21	62%	7	2	3	0	4	3	2	5	2-3	67%	5-9	56%	3-7	43%
Stephon Castle #5 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 20	30.6	22	52%	7	5	1	0	4	3	2	5	7-9	78%	6-12	50%	1-5	20%
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 40	29.2	8	57%	3	9	1	0	2	5	0	3	2-3	67%	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 33	19.5	10	50%	4	0	0	1	2	2	2	2	0-0	-	5-10	50%	0-0	-

Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 22	22.9	17	61%	4	2	0	0	2	1	2	2	0-0	-	4-8	50%	3-6	50%
Keldon Johnson #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 25	20.6	2	9%	5	1	0	3	1	2	3	2	0-0	-	1-8	13%	0-3	0%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 24	20.1	7	70%	3	0	0	0	1	1	0	3	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	2-3	67%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 26	12.9	0	0%	0	2	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Jordan McLaughlin #11 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 29	10.1	5	125%	2	3	1	0	1	0	1	1	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 22	9.5	0	0%	3	1	2	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
David Duke Jr. #7 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Riley Minix #27 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Inflammation
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
De'Aaron Fox #4 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Fifth Finger; Extensor Tendon Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	52%	45	26	9	4	18	21	13	32	16-21	76%	30-61	49%	11-34	32%

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22 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 25	34.5	23	64%	10	3	0	1	2	5	2	8	3-4	75%	4-5	80%	4-11	36%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 22	34.1	21	48%	10	6	1	0	6	3	0	10	9-11	82%	3-10	30%	2-7	29%
Dalano Banton #5 · PG · 6'8" 203 · 25	31.8	20	53%	2	6	1	0	1	0	1	1	4-6	67%	5-9	56%	2-7	29%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 21	26.8	10	100%	8	0	2	3	1	5	3	5	1-1	100%	3-3	100%	1-2	50%
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SF · 6'5" 202 · 28	21.3	6	50%	4	2	1	0	1	3	0	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-4	50%

Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 25	32.6	18	75%	5	4	1	0	1	2	1	4	3-3	100%	6-8	75%	1-3	33%
Rayan Rupert #21 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 21	24.1	7	39%	1	3	3	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-7	29%	1-2	50%
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 23	21.3	10	83%	4	0	0	0	1	0	1	3	1-2	50%	3-3	100%	1-2	50%
Justin Minaya #10 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 26	13.6	5	63%	0	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Sidy Cissoko #91 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 21	DND - Concussion Protocol
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 31	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Inflammation
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Forearm; Contusion
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
Deni Avdija #8 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Thumb; Sprain
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Rib; Fracture
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	58%	44	25	10	5	15	20	8	36	21-27	78%	27-48	56%	15-41	37%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	POR
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	POR

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.04 51.9%

POR

1.17 58.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

53%

POR

74%

Midrange

SAS

45%

POR

14%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

16.5

32%

49%

POR

22.5

37%

55%

Free Throws

SAS

76%

POR

78%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Castle	22	52%	11.0 / 21
D. Vassell	21	62%	10.5 / 17
H. Barnes	17	85%	8.5 / 10
M. Branham	17	61%	8.5 / 14
B. Biyombo	10	50%	5.0 / 10
C. Paul	8	57%	4.0 / 7
J. Champagnie	7	70%	3.5 / 5
J. McLaughlin	5	125%	2.5 / 2
K. Johnson	2	9%	1.0 / 11
S. Mamukelashvili	0	-	0.0 / 3
B. Wesley	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Camara	23	64%	11.5 / 18
S. Sharpe	21	48%	10.5 / 22
D. Banton	20	53%	10.0 / 19
K. Murray	18	75%	9.0 / 12
D. Clingan	10	100%	5.0 / 5
J. Walker	10	83%	5.0 / 6
R. Rupert	7	39%	3.5 / 9
M. Thybulle	6	50%	3.0 / 6
J. Minaya	5	63%	2.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 113.5 23 110.9	SAS 101.9 POR 112.1 +10.3
Pace	13 100.1 16 99.5	SAS 105.6 POR 108.4 +2.8
Avg. Poss. Time	20 14.3 19 14.3	SAS 13.6 POR 13.3 −0.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	18 54.4% 25 52.1%	SAS 48.9% POR 55.6% +6.7%
TO %	11 13.2% 29 15.1%	SAS 14.7% POR 12.9% −1.8%
ORB %	20 24.3% 2 29.2%	SAS 26.5% +6.5% POR 20.0%
FTrt	22 23.4 13 24.6	SAS 22.1 POR 30.3 +8.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	3 68.5% 28 58.7%	SAS 63.4% +3.9% POR 59.5%
STL %	14 8.2% 13 8.2%	SAS 8.4% POR 9.3% +0.9%
BLK %	5 10.5% 9 10.0%	SAS 8.3% +0.1% POR 8.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	18 56.3% 23 54.1%	SAS 51.9% POR 58.3% +6.4%
Rim FG%	14 63.9% 27 60.7%	SAS 53.3% POR 73.5% +20.2%
Mid FG%	20 41.8% 28 39.1%	SAS 45.2% +30.9% POR 14.3%
3P %	20 35.7% 26 34.2%	SAS 32.4% POR 36.6% +4.2%
FT %	21 77.4% 26 76.2%	SAS 76.2% POR 77.8% +1.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	8 33.7% 2 36.6%	SAS 31.6% POR 38.2% +6.6%
Mid Att. %	4 22.2% 3 21.6%	SAS 32.6% POR 15.7% −16.9%
3P Att. %	8 44.1% 17 41.8%	SAS 35.8% POR 46.1% +10.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAS	POR
Possessions	107	107
Possession Minutes	24.3	23.7
Points	109	120
Rebounds	45	44
Assists	26	25
Steals	9	10
Blocks	4	5
Turnovers (Team)	18 (0)	15 (0)
Fouls	21	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (3)	8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (4)	36 (4)
Field Goals	41-95	42-89
At-the-Rim FG	16-30	25-34
Midrange FG	14-31	2-14
2-Point FG	30-61	27-48
3-Point FG	11-34	15-41
Free Throws	16-21	21-27
Fast Break Pts	18	20
2nd Chance Pts	17	11
Points in Paint	50	52
Pts off Turnovers	14	22
Bench Points	31	40
Biggest Lead	3	17

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg