Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, April 6, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	12	Pacers	45%	117	125	119.0	105	104.6
	11	Nuggets	55%	119	120	114.3	105	105.4

Scoring Opportunities

IND

-6

108

DEN

+11

-13

103

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.16 57.9%

DEN

1.17 58.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

12 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 25	35.4	9	45%	3	14	1	1	3	1	0	3	2-4	50%	2-2	100%	1-6	17%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 25	32.5	19	59%	4	6	2	0	0	4	1	3	3-4	75%	8-9	89%	0-5	0%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 29	31.1	24	67%	2	1	0	3	0	1	0	2	4-4	100%	4-6	67%	4-10	40%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25	30.5	17	71%	6	0	3	1	0	1	2	4	4-4	100%	2-5	40%	3-5	60%
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 27	26.4	22	61%	4	1	0	0	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	5-9	56%	4-9	44%

Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SF · 6'5" 210 · 23	21.1	4	40%	5	4	1	0	2	1	0	5	4-4	100%	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	20.6	11	110%	6	1	1	0	0	1	0	6	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-3	100%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 33	18.6	12	46%	3	6	1	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	6-13	46%	0-0	-
Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	14.5	7	50%	4	0	1	2	1	4	1	3	1-1	100%	3-3	100%	0-4	0%
Johnny Furphy #12 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	7.0	0	0%	4	1	0	0	0	1	2	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Tony Bradley #13 · C · 6'10" 248 · 27	2.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Enrique Freeman #8 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
RayJ Dennis #10 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
James Johnson #16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Jackson #22 · C · 6'8" 205 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Tear
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Great Toe; Sprain
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Olecranon; Bursitis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	58%	41	34	10	7	6	17	7	34	18-21	86%	31-52	60%	15-44	34%

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12 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 25	35.4	9	45%	3	14	1	1	3	1	0	3	2-4	50%	2-2	100%	1-6	17%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 25	32.5	19	59%	4	6	2	0	0	4	1	3	3-4	75%	8-9	89%	0-5	0%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 29	31.1	24	67%	2	1	0	3	0	1	0	2	4-4	100%	4-6	67%	4-10	40%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25	30.5	17	71%	6	0	3	1	0	1	2	4	4-4	100%	2-5	40%	3-5	60%
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 27	26.4	22	61%	4	1	0	0	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	5-9	56%	4-9	44%

Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SF · 6'5" 210 · 23	21.1	4	40%	5	4	1	0	2	1	0	5	4-4	100%	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	20.6	11	110%	6	1	1	0	0	1	0	6	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-3	100%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 33	18.6	12	46%	3	6	1	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	6-13	46%	0-0	-
Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	14.5	7	50%	4	0	1	2	1	4	1	3	1-1	100%	3-3	100%	0-4	0%
Johnny Furphy #12 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 20	7.0	0	0%	4	1	0	0	0	1	2	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Tony Bradley #13 · C · 6'10" 248 · 27	2.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Enrique Freeman #8 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
RayJ Dennis #10 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
James Johnson #16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Jackson #22 · C · 6'8" 205 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Tear
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Great Toe; Sprain
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Olecranon; Bursitis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	58%	41	34	10	7	6	17	7	34	18-21	86%	31-52	60%	15-44	34%

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11 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 30	39.0	41	60%	15	13	2	1	4	0	3	12	2-3	67%	15-22	68%	3-11	27%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 24	38.8	30	88%	8	4	0	0	0	3	1	7	3-3	100%	9-13	69%	3-3	100%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 27	38.8	15	50%	6	4	0	1	3	4	2	4	2-2	100%	5-5	100%	1-9	11%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 30	33.7	5	42%	3	4	0	0	2	1	0	3	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Jalen Pickett #24 · PG · 6'2" 202 · 25	24.4	4	40%	1	2	0	0	1	2	1	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-2	0%

Russell Westbrook #4 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 36	23.6	16	67%	5	4	0	0	1	4	0	5	3-4	75%	5-8	63%	1-2	50%
Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 23	22.1	3	50%	1	0	0	3	2	0	0	1	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	10.6	6	50%	3	0	0	1	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-3	0%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 37	9.0	0	0%	5	2	0	1	0	1	2	3	0-2	0%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
PJ Hall #13 · C · 6'8" 245 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dario Šarić #9 · C · 6'10" 225 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	INACTIVE
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Inflammation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	58%	47	33	2	7	13	17	9	38	12-18	67%	42-62	68%	8-31	26%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	IND	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	IND	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.16 57.9%

DEN

1.17 58.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

58%

DEN

74%

Midrange

IND

61%

DEN

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

22.5

34%

51%

DEN

12.0

26%

39%

Free Throws

IND

86%

DEN

67%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Turner	24	67%	12.0 / 18
O. Toppin	22	61%	11.0 / 18
A. Nembhard	19	59%	9.5 / 16
A. Nesmith	17	71%	8.5 / 12
T. McConnell	12	46%	6.0 / 13
J. Walker	11	110%	5.5 / 5
T. Haliburton	9	45%	4.5 / 10
T. Bryant	7	50%	3.5 / 7
B. Mathurin	4	40%	2.0 / 5
J. Furphy	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	41	60%	20.5 / 34
C. Braun	30	88%	15.0 / 17
R. Westbrook	16	67%	8.0 / 12
M. Porter	15	50%	7.5 / 15
J. Strawther	6	50%	3.0 / 6
A. Gordon	5	42%	2.5 / 6
J. Pickett	4	40%	2.0 / 5
P. Watson	3	50%	1.5 / 3
D. Jordan	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	9 115.3 4 118.9	IND 119.0 +4.8 DEN 114.3
Pace	6 100.9 8 100.6	IND 104.6 DEN 105.4 +0.8
Avg. Poss. Time	24 14.0 22 14.2	IND 13.8 DEN 13.7 −0.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	4 56.2% 2 57.3%	IND 55.7% DEN 58.1% +2.4%
TO %	3 12.0% 15 13.3%	IND 5.4% −6.0% DEN 11.4%
ORB %	29 21.3% 7 26.7%	IND 15.6% DEN 20.9% +5.3%
FTrt	17 24.1 5 25.9	IND 21.9 +2.5 DEN 19.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	8 67.1% 4 68.3%	IND 73.9% +7.9% DEN 66.0%
STL %	10 8.3% 19 7.9%	IND 9.5% +7.6% DEN 1.9%
BLK %	8 10.2% 21 9.0%	IND 11.3% DEN 13.5% +2.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	7 57.6% 2 58.8%	IND 57.9% DEN 58.3% +0.4%
Rim FG%	6 66.7% 7 66.2%	IND 58.3% DEN 73.9% +15.6%
Mid FG%	6 45.8% 8 45.5%	IND 60.7% +10.7% DEN 50.0%
3P %	9 36.8% 5 37.6%	IND 34.1% +8.3% DEN 25.8%
FT %	9 78.9% 23 77.0%	IND 85.7% +19.0% DEN 66.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	17 31.4% 1 38.3%	IND 25.0% DEN 49.5% +24.5%
Mid Att. %	24 28.6% 13 26.1%	IND 29.2% DEN 17.2% −12.0%
3P Att. %	21 40.0% 30 35.6%	IND 45.8% +12.5% DEN 33.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Game Totals	IND	DEN
Possessions	105	105
Possession Minutes	24.1	23.9
Points	125	120
Rebounds	41	47
Assists	34	33
Steals	10	2
Blocks	7	7
Turnovers (Team)	6 (0)	13 (0)
Fouls	17	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (2)	9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (1)	38 (3)
Field Goals	46-96	50-93
At-the-Rim FG	14-24	34-46
Midrange FG	17-28	8-16
2-Point FG	31-52	42-62
3-Point FG	15-44	8-31
Free Throws	18-21	12-18
Fast Break Pts	23	17
2nd Chance Pts	9	11
Points in Paint	54	76
Pts off Turnovers	13	5
Bench Points	34	25
Biggest Lead	10	13

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg