Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, April 8, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	8	Grizzlies	79%	120	124	125.3	99	110.2
	27	Hornets	21%	108	100	102.0	98	89.0

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+20

-13

106

CHA

+10

-15

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.17 58.5%

CHA

1.08 53.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

8 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 23	31.3	17	85%	19	0	3	1	5	3	5	14	3-4	75%	7-7	100%	0-2	0%
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 26	27.4	28	61%	5	8	0	1	0	1	3	2	4-4	100%	6-11	55%	4-10	40%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 26	26.6	14	54%	5	1	2	0	2	3	2	3	7-7	100%	2-4	50%	1-6	17%
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 27	25.4	19	79%	5	3	0	0	1	2	0	5	4-4	100%	3-6	50%	3-5	60%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 22	11.1	3	30%	5	2	1	0	0	1	0	5	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-3	0%

Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 24	25.4	11	61%	3	2	2	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-7	43%
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 24	23.2	10	71%	1	2	1	1	1	2	1	0	2-3	67%	1-3	33%	2-3	67%
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 25	16.7	8	67%	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-5	40%
Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 29	16.1	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 29	11.0	0	0%	1	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 25	7.8	2	25%	1	2	0	0	1	2	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 28	6.7	3	75%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 20	5.1	6	50%	2	0	1	0	1	0	0	2	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Lamar Stevens #8 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 28	4.7	3	75%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 26	1.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Yuki Kawamura #17 · PG · 5'7" 159 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Zyon Pullin #2 · SG · 6'4" 206 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Patellar; Tendon Surgery Recovery
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; PCL Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	59%	52	23	12	3	13	18	14	38	22-26	85%	24-38	63%	18-55	33%

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8 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 23	31.3	17	85%	19	0	3	1	5	3	5	14	3-4	75%	7-7	100%	0-2	0%
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 26	27.4	28	61%	5	8	0	1	0	1	3	2	4-4	100%	6-11	55%	4-10	40%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 26	26.6	14	54%	5	1	2	0	2	3	2	3	7-7	100%	2-4	50%	1-6	17%
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 27	25.4	19	79%	5	3	0	0	1	2	0	5	4-4	100%	3-6	50%	3-5	60%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 22	11.1	3	30%	5	2	1	0	0	1	0	5	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-3	0%

Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 24	25.4	11	61%	3	2	2	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-7	43%
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 24	23.2	10	71%	1	2	1	1	1	2	1	0	2-3	67%	1-3	33%	2-3	67%
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 25	16.7	8	67%	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-5	40%
Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 29	16.1	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 29	11.0	0	0%	1	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 25	7.8	2	25%	1	2	0	0	1	2	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 28	6.7	3	75%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 20	5.1	6	50%	2	0	1	0	1	0	0	2	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Lamar Stevens #8 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 28	4.7	3	75%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 26	1.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Yuki Kawamura #17 · PG · 5'7" 159 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Zyon Pullin #2 · SG · 6'4" 206 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Patellar; Tendon Surgery Recovery
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; PCL Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	59%	52	23	12	3	13	18	14	38	22-26	85%	24-38	63%	18-55	33%

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27 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DaQuan Jeffries #3 · SF · 6'5" 222 · 28	33.9	4	25%	5	2	1	0	0	2	2	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-6	0%
Mark Williams #5 · C · 7'1" 240 · 23	31.1	8	36%	7	2	1	1	4	3	2	5	0-0	-	4-10	40%	0-1	0%
Miles Bridges #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 27	30.0	14	50%	6	3	0	1	3	2	0	6	4-4	100%	2-7	29%	2-6	33%
Josh Okogie #12 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 27	18.0	12	67%	2	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	2-4	50%	2-2	100%	2-5	40%
KJ Simpson #25 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 23	15.4	7	39%	2	2	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-5	20%

Tidjane Salaün #31 · PF · 6'10" 207 · 20	28.9	13	59%	9	3	0	0	2	2	0	9	4-8	50%	0-0	-	3-7	43%
Seth Curry #30 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 35	19.3	9	64%	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	2-3	67%	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Jaylen Sims #33 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 26	18.5	9	64%	0	3	1	0	1	1	0	0	3-4	75%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Moussa Diabaté #14 · C · 6'10" 210 · 23	16.8	10	83%	2	2	0	1	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	5-5	100%	0-1	0%
Taj Gibson #67 · C · 6'9" 232 · 40	14.2	6	100%	3	1	0	1	2	3	0	3	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Nick Smith Jr. #8 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 21	14.0	8	67%	2	2	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-3	67%
Jusuf Nurkić #11 · C · 6'11" 290 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Wendell Moore Jr. #9 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24	INACTIVE
Brandon Miller #24 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Ligament Repair
Damion Baugh #7 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Bursitis
Josh Green #10 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Strain
Grant Williams #2 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Repair
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Impingement
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Disc; Herniation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	54%	38	22	3	4	15	18	6	32	15-23	65%	26-43	60%	11-38	29%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	CHA
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	CHA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.17 58.5%

CHA

1.08 53.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

74%

CHA

75%

Midrange

MEM

36%

CHA

42%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

27.0

33%

49%

CHA

16.5

29%

43%

Free Throws

MEM

85%

CHA

65%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Morant	28	61%	14.0 / 23
D. Bane	19	79%	9.5 / 12
Z. Edey	17	85%	8.5 / 10
J. Jackson	14	54%	7.0 / 13
S. Aldama	11	61%	5.5 / 9
S. Pippen	10	71%	5.0 / 7
V. Williams	8	67%	4.0 / 6
G. Jackson	6	50%	3.0 / 6
J. Wells	3	30%	1.5 / 5
J. Huff	3	75%	1.5 / 2
L. Stevens	3	75%	1.5 / 2
C. Spencer	2	25%	1.0 / 4
L. Kennard	0	-	0.0 / 3
M. Bagley	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Hornets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Bridges	14	50%	7.0 / 14
T. Salaün	13	59%	6.5 / 11
J. Okogie	12	67%	6.0 / 9
M. Diabaté	10	83%	5.0 / 6
S. Curry	9	64%	4.5 / 7
J. Sims	9	64%	4.5 / 7
M. Williams	8	36%	4.0 / 11
N. Smith	8	67%	4.0 / 6
K. Simpson	7	39%	3.5 / 9
T. Gibson	6	100%	3.0 / 3
D. Jeffries	4	25%	2.0 / 8

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	6 117.2 29 106.7	MEM 125.3 +23.2 CHA 102.0
Pace	1 103.7 23 98.2	MEM 110.2 +21.2 CHA 89.0
Avg. Poss. Time	28 13.4 8 14.9	MEM 13.1 −3.1 CHA 16.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	12 55.4% 30 50.3%	MEM 54.8% +2.3% CHA 52.5%
TO %	25 14.4% 28 15.1%	MEM 11.8% −2.3% CHA 14.1%
ORB %	3 28.7% 8 26.5%	MEM 30.4% +16.8% CHA 13.6%
FTrt	10 24.9 27 22.2	MEM 28.0 CHA 28.4 +0.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	15 63.5% 16 63.5%	MEM 54.8% CHA 59.5% +4.7%
STL %	7 8.5% 24 7.5%	MEM 12.1% +9.0% CHA 3.1%
BLK %	3 10.8% 18 9.2%	MEM 7.0% CHA 10.5% +3.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.1 and 2.1.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	10 57.4% 30 52.5%	MEM 58.5% +4.7% CHA 53.8%
Rim FG%	11 65.3% 30 59.7%	MEM 74.1% CHA 75.0% +0.9%
Mid FG%	9 45.4% 29 38.5%	MEM 36.4% CHA 42.1% +5.7%
3P %	12 36.7% 28 33.9%	MEM 32.7% +3.8% CHA 28.9%
FT %	12 78.6% 14 78.3%	MEM 84.6% +19.4% CHA 65.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	22 30.5% 19 30.7%	MEM 29.0% CHA 29.6% +0.6%
Mid Att. %	26 29.0% 16 26.3%	MEM 11.8% −11.6% CHA 23.5%
3P Att. %	20 40.6% 11 43.0%	MEM 59.1% +12.2% CHA 46.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MEM	CHA
Possessions	99	98
Possession Minutes	21.6	26.4
Points	124	100
Rebounds	52	38
Assists	23	22
Steals	12	3
Blocks	3	4
Turnovers (Team)	13 (1)	15 (0)
Fouls	18	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (6)	6 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	38 (2)	32 (2)
Field Goals	42-93	37-81
At-the-Rim FG	20-27	18-24
Midrange FG	4-11	8-19
2-Point FG	24-38	26-43
3-Point FG	18-55	11-38
Free Throws	22-26	15-23
Fast Break Pts	16	6
2nd Chance Pts	16	7
Points in Paint	46	46
Pts off Turnovers	25	16
Bench Points	43	55
Biggest Lead	29	0

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg