Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, April 8, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	25	Bulls	16%	107	113	108.7	104	103.5
	4	Cavaliers	84%	122	135	132.4	102	103.3

Scoring Opportunities

CHI

+14

-20

CLE

+17

-12

107

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHI

1.15 57.7%

CLE

1.26 63.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

25 Chicago Bulls

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jevon Carter #5 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 30	33.6	10	33%	1	3	4	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-6	33%	2-9	22%
Jalen Smith #7 · C · 6'8" 244 · 25	31.9	13	54%	10	2	1	1	2	0	2	8	4-5	80%	3-5	60%	1-5	20%
Matas Buzelis #14 · PF · 6'8" 196 · 20	27.1	19	63%	5	5	2	1	3	2	0	5	5-7	71%	4-5	80%	2-7	29%
Patrick Williams #44 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 24	26.3	21	88%	3	5	1	0	4	1	0	3	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	5-6	83%
Dalen Terry #25 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 23	24.2	9	50%	3	1	1	0	2	4	0	3	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	1-5	20%

Talen Horton-Tucker #22 · SG · 6'4" 235 · 24	30.3	17	71%	2	3	0	0	1	1	0	2	3-3	100%	4-6	67%	2-5	40%
Zach Collins #12 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 27	24.2	7	58%	13	3	0	0	5	3	5	8	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Julian Phillips #15 · SF · 6'6" 201 · 21	18.8	7	58%	2	1	0	1	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
E.J. Liddell #32 · PF · 6'6" 240 · 24	9.8	6	75%	3	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-1	0%
Jahmir Young #17 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 25	9.8	4	100%	1	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Emanuel Miller #20 · PF · 6'5" 215 · 25	4.0	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Lonzo Ball #2 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Sprain
Josh Giddey #3 · PG · 6'7" 214 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Flexor Carpi Ulnaris; Teninopathy
Ayo Dosunmu #11 · SG · 6'4" 201 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Surgery
Tre Jones #30 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Midfoot; Sprain
Kevin Huerter #13 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Cervical; Strain
Nikola Vučević #9 · C · 6'9" 265 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Soreness; Injury Management
Coby White #0 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 25	Inactive – Rest \| Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	58%	45	26	9	3	20	15	12	33	16-19	84%	26-43	60%	15-43	35%

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25 Chicago Bulls

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jevon Carter #5 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 30	33.6	10	33%	1	3	4	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-6	33%	2-9	22%
Jalen Smith #7 · C · 6'8" 244 · 25	31.9	13	54%	10	2	1	1	2	0	2	8	4-5	80%	3-5	60%	1-5	20%
Matas Buzelis #14 · PF · 6'8" 196 · 20	27.1	19	63%	5	5	2	1	3	2	0	5	5-7	71%	4-5	80%	2-7	29%
Patrick Williams #44 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 24	26.3	21	88%	3	5	1	0	4	1	0	3	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	5-6	83%
Dalen Terry #25 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 23	24.2	9	50%	3	1	1	0	2	4	0	3	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	1-5	20%

Talen Horton-Tucker #22 · SG · 6'4" 235 · 24	30.3	17	71%	2	3	0	0	1	1	0	2	3-3	100%	4-6	67%	2-5	40%
Zach Collins #12 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 27	24.2	7	58%	13	3	0	0	5	3	5	8	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Julian Phillips #15 · SF · 6'6" 201 · 21	18.8	7	58%	2	1	0	1	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
E.J. Liddell #32 · PF · 6'6" 240 · 24	9.8	6	75%	3	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-1	0%
Jahmir Young #17 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 25	9.8	4	100%	1	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Emanuel Miller #20 · PF · 6'5" 215 · 25	4.0	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Lonzo Ball #2 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Sprain
Josh Giddey #3 · PG · 6'7" 214 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Flexor Carpi Ulnaris; Teninopathy
Ayo Dosunmu #11 · SG · 6'4" 201 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Surgery
Tre Jones #30 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Midfoot; Sprain
Kevin Huerter #13 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Cervical; Strain
Nikola Vučević #9 · C · 6'9" 265 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Soreness; Injury Management
Coby White #0 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 25	Inactive – Rest \| Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	58%	45	26	9	3	20	15	12	33	16-19	84%	26-43	60%	15-43	35%

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4 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 27	29.1	12	60%	9	3	3	2	2	1	6	3	2-4	50%	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Darius Garland #10 · PG · 6'1" 192 · 25	29.1	28	78%	2	5	1	0	1	1	1	1	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	6-10	60%
Evan Mobley #4 · PF · 6'11" 215 · 24	29.1	21	55%	12	7	2	1	4	1	6	6	2-2	100%	5-12	42%	3-6	50%
Max Strus #1 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 29	25.4	9	64%	5	4	0	0	1	3	0	5	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-7	43%
Isaac Okoro #35 · SF · 6'4" 225 · 24	19.9	2	20%	5	0	0	0	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%

De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 27	26.7	17	50%	3	4	3	0	1	0	0	3	1-4	25%	5-7	71%	2-8	25%
Sam Merrill #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 29	21.6	9	90%	2	3	3	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-5	60%
Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 28	21.4	18	82%	0	5	0	0	2	3	0	0	1-1	100%	4-7	57%	3-4	75%
Dean Wade #32 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 28	20.8	9	90%	3	1	1	0	0	3	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-4	75%
Chuma Okeke #18 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 27	3.4	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Javonte Green #8 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 32	3.4	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Emoni Bates #21 · SF · 6'9" 202 · 21	3.4	3	75%	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Luke Travers #33 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 24	3.4	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jaylon Tyson #24 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 22	3.4	5	50%	2	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-1	100%
Tristan Thompson #13 · C · 6'9" 254 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nae'Qwan Tomlin #30 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
Donovan Mitchell #45 · SG · 6'2" 215 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	135	63%	45	35	13	3	12	15	16	29	8-13	62%	26-50	52%	25-50	50%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CHI	CLE
Clock	Team	Event	CHI	CLE

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

CHI

1.15 57.7%

CLE

1.26 63.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CHI

71%

CLE

60%

Midrange

CHI

33%

CLE

33%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CHI

22.5

35%

52%

CLE

37.5

50%

75%

Free Throws

CHI

84%

CLE

62%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Bulls

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Williams	21	88%	10.5 / 12
M. Buzelis	19	63%	9.5 / 15
T. Horton-Tucker	17	71%	8.5 / 12
J. Smith	13	54%	6.5 / 12
J. Carter	10	33%	5.0 / 15
D. Terry	9	50%	4.5 / 9
Z. Collins	7	58%	3.5 / 6
J. Phillips	7	58%	3.5 / 6
E. Liddell	6	75%	3.0 / 4
J. Young	4	100%	2.0 / 2
E. Miller	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Cavaliers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Garland	28	78%	14.0 / 18
E. Mobley	21	55%	10.5 / 19
T. Jerome	18	82%	9.0 / 11
D. Hunter	17	50%	8.5 / 17
J. Allen	12	60%	6.0 / 10
M. Strus	9	64%	4.5 / 7
S. Merrill	9	90%	4.5 / 5
D. Wade	9	90%	4.5 / 5
J. Tyson	5	50%	2.5 / 5
E. Bates	3	75%	1.5 / 2
I. Okoro	2	20%	1.0 / 5
C. Okeke	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	20 113.2 1 120.9	CHI 108.7 CLE 132.4 +23.7
Pace	2 103.7 10 100.4	CHI 103.5 +0.2 CLE 103.3
Avg. Poss. Time	29 13.3 26 13.8	CHI 13.9 −0.0 CLE 13.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	13 55.3% 1 57.8%	CHI 56.4% CLE 63.5% +7.1%
TO %	17 13.4% 5 12.4%	CHI 17.5% CLE 11.0% −6.5%
ORB %	28 22.3% 13 25.9%	CHI 29.3% CLE 32.7% +3.4%
FTrt	29 21.4 18 24.1	CHI 22.1 +9.1 CLE 13.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	7 67.2% 19 63.1%	CHI 63.4% CLE 68.6% +5.2%
STL %	29 7.2% 15 8.1%	CHI 8.7% CLE 12.7% +4.0%
BLK %	26 8.5% 28 7.9%	CHI 6.0% CLE 7.0% +1.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	13 57.0% 1 59.2%	CHI 57.7% CLE 63.1% +5.4%
Rim FG%	24 61.6% 9 66.0%	CHI 71.0% +11.0% CLE 60.0%
Mid FG%	3 46.2% 2 47.9%	CHI 33.3% CLE 33.3%
3P %	13 36.7% 2 38.3%	CHI 34.9% CLE 50.0% +15.1%
FT %	3 80.9% 17 77.6%	CHI 84.2% +22.7% CLE 61.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	11 33.2% 20 30.6%	CHI 36.0% +1.0% CLE 35.0%
Mid Att. %	2 21.1% 9 23.7%	CHI 14.0% −1.0% CLE 15.0%
3P Att. %	4 45.7% 5 45.7%	CHI 50.0% CLE 50.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	CHI	CLE
Possessions	104	102
Possession Minutes	24.1	23.7
Points	113	135
Rebounds	45	45
Assists	26	35
Steals	9	13
Blocks	3	3
Turnovers (Team)	20 (0)	12 (1)
Fouls	15	15
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (2)	16 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (1)	29 (2)
Field Goals	41-86	51-100
At-the-Rim FG	22-31	21-35
Midrange FG	4-12	5-15
2-Point FG	26-43	26-50
3-Point FG	15-43	25-50
Free Throws	16-19	8-13
Fast Break Pts	20	16
2nd Chance Pts	17	14
Points in Paint	50	48
Pts off Turnovers	19	23
Bench Points	41	63
Biggest Lead	3	27

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg