Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, April 8, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	17	Hawks	42%	110	112	115.5	97	105.2
	13	Magic	58%	113	119	122.7	97	90.0

Scoring Opportunities

ATL

+20

-18

ORL

+17

-13

101

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.13 56.6%

ORL

1.18 58.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

17 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 24	40.2	30	71%	14	4	3	0	2	4	7	7	8-8	100%	5-10	50%	4-7	57%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 27	36.7	28	64%	1	10	1	0	3	3	0	1	5-6	83%	7-11	64%	3-9	33%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SG · 6'7" 199 · 22	33.9	15	58%	5	3	1	2	4	2	2	3	1-2	50%	7-10	70%	0-2	0%
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 22	18.1	6	50%	5	2	1	3	1	4	2	3	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 20	16.0	8	67%	1	1	0	0	0	3	0	1	0-1	0%	1-3	33%	2-3	67%

Caris LeVert #3 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 31	29.7	13	54%	6	0	0	0	2	3	1	5	3-3	100%	2-5	40%	2-6	33%
Terance Mann #14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 28	29.6	0	0%	4	5	1	0	3	2	2	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-4	0%
Georges Niang #20 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 32	19.8	9	45%	1	0	0	1	2	3	0	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-5	20%
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 25	14.8	3	75%	4	0	0	0	1	2	0	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Dominick Barlow #0 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 22	1.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Garrison Mathews #24 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jacob Toppin #00 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Medial Femoral Condyle; Fracture
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Fourth Metacarpal; Ligament Sprain
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Surgery
Jalen Johnson #1 · SF · 6'8" 219 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	57%	41	25	7	6	18	26	14	27	18-22	82%	26-47	55%	14-41	34%

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17 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 24	40.2	30	71%	14	4	3	0	2	4	7	7	8-8	100%	5-10	50%	4-7	57%
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 27	36.7	28	64%	1	10	1	0	3	3	0	1	5-6	83%	7-11	64%	3-9	33%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SG · 6'7" 199 · 22	33.9	15	58%	5	3	1	2	4	2	2	3	1-2	50%	7-10	70%	0-2	0%
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 22	18.1	6	50%	5	2	1	3	1	4	2	3	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 20	16.0	8	67%	1	1	0	0	0	3	0	1	0-1	0%	1-3	33%	2-3	67%

Caris LeVert #3 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 31	29.7	13	54%	6	0	0	0	2	3	1	5	3-3	100%	2-5	40%	2-6	33%
Terance Mann #14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 28	29.6	0	0%	4	5	1	0	3	2	2	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-4	0%
Georges Niang #20 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 32	19.8	9	45%	1	0	0	1	2	3	0	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-5	20%
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 25	14.8	3	75%	4	0	0	0	1	2	0	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Dominick Barlow #0 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 22	1.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Garrison Mathews #24 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jacob Toppin #00 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Medial Femoral Condyle; Fracture
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Fourth Metacarpal; Ligament Sprain
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Surgery
Jalen Johnson #1 · SF · 6'8" 219 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	57%	41	25	7	6	18	26	14	27	18-22	82%	26-47	55%	14-41	34%

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13 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 24	39.7	22	50%	6	6	2	1	2	2	1	5	4-4	100%	6-13	46%	2-7	29%
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 22	37.3	33	57%	10	4	0	1	3	4	0	10	7-10	70%	10-19	53%	2-5	40%
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 26	36.9	17	71%	9	2	6	3	4	2	5	4	4-6	67%	5-6	83%	1-3	33%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 32	32.6	15	83%	3	2	3	0	1	0	0	3	2-3	67%	2-2	100%	3-6	50%
Cory Joseph #10 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 34	26.1	8	67%	5	1	2	0	1	2	1	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-5	40%

Anthony Black #0 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 21	21.1	8	57%	1	2	0	1	0	3	0	1	1-1	100%	2-5	40%	1-2	50%
Caleb Houstan #2 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 22	17.0	7	70%	2	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1-1	100%	0-0	-	2-5	40%
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 28	11.1	5	50%	5	1	0	0	2	3	4	1	1-4	25%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 25	10.3	1	25%	2	2	0	0	0	2	1	1	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	7.9	3	150%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tristan da Silva #23 · SF · 6'8" 217 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jett Howard #13 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trevelin Queen #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 28	INACTIVE
Ethan Thompson #55 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Mac McClung #8 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Torn ACL
Jalen Suggs #4 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Trochlea cartilage tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	59%	43	23	13	6	13	20	13	30	21-31	68%	28-50	56%	14-34	41%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	ORL
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	ORL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.13 56.6%

ORL

1.18 58.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

55%

ORL

69%

Midrange

ATL

56%

ORL

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

21.0

34%

51%

ORL

21.0

41%

62%

Free Throws

ATL

82%

ORL

68%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
O. Okongwu	30	71%	15.0 / 21
T. Young	28	64%	14.0 / 22
D. Daniels	15	58%	7.5 / 13
C. LeVert	13	54%	6.5 / 12
G. Niang	9	45%	4.5 / 10
Z. Risacher	8	67%	4.0 / 6
M. Gueye	6	50%	3.0 / 6
V. Krejčí	3	75%	1.5 / 2
T. Mann	0	-	0.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Banchero	33	57%	16.5 / 29
F. Wagner	22	50%	11.0 / 22
W. Carter	17	71%	8.5 / 12
K. Caldwell-Pope	15	83%	7.5 / 9
C. Joseph	8	67%	4.0 / 6
A. Black	8	57%	4.0 / 7
C. Houstan	7	70%	3.5 / 5
J. Isaac	5	50%	2.5 / 5
G. Harris	3	150%	1.5 / 1
C. Anthony	1	25%	0.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	17 113.7 27 109.1	ATL 115.5 ORL 122.7 +7.2
Pace	3 103.4 30 96.4	ATL 105.2 +15.3 ORL 90.0
Avg. Poss. Time	30 13.3 1 15.5	ATL 13.7 −2.3 ORL 16.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	17 54.6% 29 51.0%	ATL 53.4% ORL 58.3% +4.9%
TO %	23 14.1% 18 13.5%	ATL 15.6% ORL 12.5% −3.1%
ORB %	10 26.3% 17 25.3%	ATL 31.8% ORL 32.5% +0.7%
FTrt	8 25.2 2 26.9	ATL 25.0 ORL 36.9 +11.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 68.3% 25 60.3%	ATL 62.5% +7.7% ORL 54.8%
STL %	4 9.4% 6 9.2%	ATL 7.2% ORL 13.4% +6.2%
BLK %	11 9.7% 1 11.9%	ATL 12.0% ORL 12.8% +0.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	17 56.5% 28 53.3%	ATL 56.6% ORL 58.9% +2.3%
Rim FG%	20 62.9% 19 63.6%	ATL 54.5% ORL 69.0% +14.5%
Mid FG%	11 44.5% 22 41.4%	ATL 56.0% +17.9% ORL 38.1%
3P %	18 35.8% 30 31.8%	ATL 34.1% ORL 41.2% +7.1%
FT %	18 77.5% 19 77.5%	ATL 81.8% +14.1% ORL 67.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	6 34.1% 15 31.5%	ATL 25.0% ORL 34.5% +9.5%
Mid Att. %	10 24.8% 19 27.4%	ATL 28.4% ORL 25.0% −3.4%
3P Att. %	19 41.0% 18 41.1%	ATL 46.6% +6.1% ORL 40.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.65 and 2.65.

Game Totals	ATL	ORL
Possessions	97	97
Possession Minutes	22.1	25.9
Points	112	119
Rebounds	41	43
Assists	25	23
Steals	7	13
Blocks	6	6
Turnovers (Team)	18 (0)	13 (1)
Fouls	26	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (6)	13 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (1)	30 (0)
Field Goals	40-88	42-84
At-the-Rim FG	12-22	20-29
Midrange FG	14-25	8-21
2-Point FG	26-47	28-50
3-Point FG	14-41	14-34
Free Throws	18-22	21-31
Fast Break Pts	5	5
2nd Chance Pts	31	20
Points in Paint	50	48
Pts off Turnovers	13	20
Bench Points	25	24
Biggest Lead	6	14

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg