Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, April 8, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	23	Spurs	25%	107	117	117.0	100	106.3
	9	Clippers	75%	117	122	122.0	100	94.4

Scoring Opportunities

SAS

+10

-16

LAC

+19

-15

104

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.24 62.2%

LAC

1.17 58.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

23 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephon Castle #5 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 20	32.3	19	79%	1	8	0	2	4	2	0	1	8-12	67%	4-5	80%	1-2	50%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 33	31.1	24	109%	5	1	3	0	2	0	0	5	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	6-8	75%
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 40	25.1	9	45%	2	3	0	0	3	2	0	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-4	25%
Devin Vassell #24 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 25	25.0	7	44%	1	2	2	0	3	1	0	1	0-1	0%	2-3	67%	1-5	20%
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 33	20.5	6	38%	8	2	0	0	0	4	2	6	0-1	0%	3-8	38%	0-0	-

Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 26	23.4	8	57%	2	0	0	0	2	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-6	33%
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 22	22.9	8	57%	1	7	1	1	0	3	1	0	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-1	0%
Keldon Johnson #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 25	22.1	12	67%	6	2	0	0	1	1	1	5	0-0	-	6-7	86%	0-2	0%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 24	21.1	6	33%	3	0	1	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-7	29%
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 22	4.1	9	90%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-2	50%
Jordan McLaughlin #11 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 29	4.1	6	75%	2	3	0	1	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 22	4.1	0	0%	2	1	1	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
David Duke Jr. #7 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 25	4.1	3	150%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Inflammation
De'Aaron Fox #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Fifth Finger; Extensor Tendon Surgery
Riley Minix #27 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Labrum Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	62%	34	29	8	4	16	16	8	26	10-16	63%	28-43	65%	17-42	40%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

23 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephon Castle #5 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 20	32.3	19	79%	1	8	0	2	4	2	0	1	8-12	67%	4-5	80%	1-2	50%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 33	31.1	24	109%	5	1	3	0	2	0	0	5	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	6-8	75%
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 40	25.1	9	45%	2	3	0	0	3	2	0	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-4	25%
Devin Vassell #24 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 25	25.0	7	44%	1	2	2	0	3	1	0	1	0-1	0%	2-3	67%	1-5	20%
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 33	20.5	6	38%	8	2	0	0	0	4	2	6	0-1	0%	3-8	38%	0-0	-

Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 26	23.4	8	57%	2	0	0	0	2	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-6	33%
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 22	22.9	8	57%	1	7	1	1	0	3	1	0	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-1	0%
Keldon Johnson #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 25	22.1	12	67%	6	2	0	0	1	1	1	5	0-0	-	6-7	86%	0-2	0%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 24	21.1	6	33%	3	0	1	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-7	29%
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 22	4.1	9	90%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-2	50%
Jordan McLaughlin #11 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 29	4.1	6	75%	2	3	0	1	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 22	4.1	0	0%	2	1	1	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
David Duke Jr. #7 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 25	4.1	3	150%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Inflammation
De'Aaron Fox #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Fifth Finger; Extensor Tendon Surgery
Riley Minix #27 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Labrum Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	62%	34	29	8	4	16	16	8	26	10-16	63%	28-43	65%	17-42	40%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

9 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Norman Powell #24 · SF · 6'4" 215 · 32	41.3	25	57%	5	3	0	0	3	1	1	4	4-6	67%	6-12	50%	3-7	43%
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 28	38.7	24	67%	20	5	1	0	2	2	8	12	2-2	100%	11-17	65%	0-0	-
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 36	37.8	21	58%	9	12	0	0	3	2	1	8	2-3	67%	5-11	45%	3-6	50%
Kris Dunn #8 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 31	27.9	6	50%	1	3	3	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-4	50%
Derrick Jones Jr. #55 · PF · 6'6" 210 · 28	26.1	18	60%	2	1	1	0	0	2	2	0	1-1	100%	7-10	70%	1-5	20%

Bogdan Bogdanović #10 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 33	25.5	19	73%	2	4	0	0	1	0	0	2	3-4	75%	5-8	63%	2-3	67%
Nicolas Batum #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 36	21.5	9	90%	2	0	1	0	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-5	60%
Ben Simmons #25 · PG · 6'10" 230 · 29	15.0	0	0%	7	2	0	0	1	3	2	5	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Drew Eubanks #15 · C · 6'10" 245 · 28	2.8	0	0%	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kobe Brown #21 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 25	0.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jordan Miller #11 · SF · 6'5" 194 · 25	0.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Cam Christie #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	0.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Trentyn Flowers #9 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 20	0.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #23 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Seth Lundy #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kawhi Leonard #2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Management
Amir Coffey #7 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Inflammation
Patty Mills #88 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	59%	50	30	6	0	15	14	14	36	12-16	75%	34-63	54%	14-30	47%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	LAC
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	LAC

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.24 62.2%

LAC

1.17 58.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

79%

LAC

67%

Midrange

SAS

47%

LAC

40%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

25.5

40%

61%

LAC

21.0

47%

70%

Free Throws

SAS

63%

LAC

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
H. Barnes	24	109%	12.0 / 11
S. Castle	19	79%	9.5 / 12
K. Johnson	12	67%	6.0 / 9
C. Paul	9	45%	4.5 / 10
M. Branham	9	90%	4.5 / 5
S. Mamukelashvili	8	57%	4.0 / 7
B. Wesley	8	57%	4.0 / 7
D. Vassell	7	44%	3.5 / 8
B. Biyombo	6	38%	3.0 / 8
J. Champagnie	6	33%	3.0 / 9
J. McLaughlin	6	75%	3.0 / 4
D. Duke	3	150%	1.5 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Clippers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Powell	25	57%	12.5 / 22
I. Zubac	24	67%	12.0 / 18
J. Harden	21	58%	10.5 / 18
B. Bogdanović	19	73%	9.5 / 13
D. Jones	18	60%	9.0 / 15
N. Batum	9	90%	4.5 / 5
K. Dunn	6	50%	3.0 / 6
B. Simmons	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 113.5 15 114.3	SAS 117.0 LAC 122.0 +5.0
Pace	13 100.1 24 98.1	SAS 106.3 +11.8 LAC 94.4
Avg. Poss. Time	20 14.3 5 15.1	SAS 13.6 −1.7 LAC 15.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	18 54.4% 11 55.4%	SAS 62.9% +3.8% LAC 59.1%
TO %	11 13.2% 22 14.0%	SAS 15.6% LAC 14.5% −1.1%
ORB %	20 24.3% 19 24.4%	SAS 18.2% LAC 35.0% +16.8%
FTrt	22 23.4 9 25.1	SAS 18.8 +1.6 LAC 17.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	3 68.5% 24 60.5%	SAS 64.4% +1.9% LAC 62.5%
STL %	14 8.2% 2 9.5%	SAS 8.0% +2.0% LAC 6.0%
BLK %	5 10.5% 16 9.3%	SAS 6.3% +6.3% LAC 0.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	18 56.3% 9 57.5%	SAS 62.2% +3.5% LAC 58.7%
Rim FG%	14 63.9% 13 64.2%	SAS 79.2% +12.5% LAC 66.7%
Mid FG%	20 41.8% 10 45.3%	SAS 47.4% +7.4% LAC 40.0%
3P %	20 35.7% 7 37.3%	SAS 40.5% LAC 46.7% +6.2%
FT %	21 77.4% 7 79.7%	SAS 62.5% LAC 75.0% +12.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	8 33.7% 14 31.6%	SAS 28.2% LAC 35.5% +7.2%
Mid Att. %	4 22.2% 28 29.7%	SAS 22.4% −9.9% LAC 32.3%
3P Att. %	8 44.1% 25 38.7%	SAS 49.4% +17.2% LAC 32.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAS	LAC
Possessions	100	100
Possession Minutes	22.6	25.4
Points	117	122
Rebounds	34	50
Assists	29	30
Steals	8	6
Blocks	4	0
Turnovers (Team)	16 (1)	15 (2)
Fouls	16	14
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (2)	14 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	26 (2)	36 (0)
Field Goals	45-85	48-93
At-the-Rim FG	19-24	22-33
Midrange FG	9-19	12-30
2-Point FG	28-43	34-63
3-Point FG	17-42	14-30
Free Throws	10-16	12-16
Fast Break Pts	14	9
2nd Chance Pts	6	19
Points in Paint	50	60
Pts off Turnovers	22	24
Bench Points	52	28
Biggest Lead	5	18

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg