Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	6	Nuggets	38%	115	112	120.4	93	96.4
	2	Rockets	62%	119	109	114.7	95	91.7

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 29	40.5	26	72%	2	10	1	1	4	2	0	2	3-4	75%	7-9	78%	3-7	43%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 31	39.3	34	68%	10	9	2	1	4	5	4	6	8-10	80%	7-12	58%	4-8	50%
Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 23	34.2	9	64%	10	3	1	1	3	2	2	8	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Cameron Johnson #23 · SG · 6'8" 210 · 30	32.2	9	56%	5	1	1	1	1	3	2	3	4-4	100%	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 30	3.4	1	25%	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-1	0%

Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 34	31.5	12	55%	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-1	0%	3-4	75%	2-7	29%
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	21.7	3	150%	4	0	0	0	0	4	3	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 29	20.9	10	56%	1	3	3	1	0	3	0	1	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	0-2	0%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	16.2	8	50%	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-1	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Tamar Bates #7 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Curtis Jones #1 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Injury Management
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	61%	38	28	8	6	14	20	11	27	21-27	78%	29-47	62%	11-29	38%

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6 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 29	40.5	26	72%	2	10	1	1	4	2	0	2	3-4	75%	7-9	78%	3-7	43%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 31	39.3	34	68%	10	9	2	1	4	5	4	6	8-10	80%	7-12	58%	4-8	50%
Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 23	34.2	9	64%	10	3	1	1	3	2	2	8	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Cameron Johnson #23 · SG · 6'8" 210 · 30	32.2	9	56%	5	1	1	1	1	3	2	3	4-4	100%	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 30	3.4	1	25%	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-1	0%

Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 34	31.5	12	55%	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-1	0%	3-4	75%	2-7	29%
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	21.7	3	150%	4	0	0	0	0	4	3	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 29	20.9	10	56%	1	3	3	1	0	3	0	1	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	0-2	0%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	16.2	8	50%	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-1	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Tamar Bates #7 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Curtis Jones #1 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Injury Management
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	61%	38	28	8	6	14	20	11	27	21-27	78%	29-47	62%	11-29	38%

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2 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Amen Thompson #1 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 23	43.5	22	61%	7	2	2	0	3	3	4	3	1-1	100%	9-16	56%	1-2	50%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · SF · 6'11" 220 · 23	37.0	21	53%	11	4	0	1	3	6	4	7	2-3	67%	2-9	22%	5-11	45%
Alperen Sengun #28 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 23	36.1	14	44%	5	6	1	0	4	5	2	3	2-3	67%	6-13	46%	0-1	0%
Kevin Durant #7 · SG · 6'11" 240 · 37	35.3	13	46%	7	2	2	1	2	3	0	7	2-3	67%	4-9	44%	1-5	20%
Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 32	23.1	5	63%	8	2	0	0	1	1	5	3	1-3	33%	2-2	100%	0-0	-

Reed Sheppard #15 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 21	36.8	27	90%	0	4	2	0	1	2	0	0	4-6	67%	4-5	80%	5-8	63%
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 29	13.5	1	13%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1-1	100%	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Josh Okogie #20 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 27	11.1	6	50%	2	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-6	33%
Clint Capela #30 · C · 6'10" 256 · 32	3.8	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
JD Davison #4 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevon Harris #00 · SG · 6'5" 216 · 28	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Crawford #27 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tari Eason #17 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Oblique; Strain
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; ACL Repair
Dorian Finney-Smith #2 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	52%	40	21	8	2	14	22	17	23	13-20	65%	27-56	48%	14-36	39%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	HOU
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	HOU

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.22 60.9%

HOU

1.05 52.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

16

20

80%

HOU

17

25

68%

Midrange

DEN

13

27

48%

HOU

10

31

32%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

11

16.5

29

38%

57%

HOU

14

21.0

36

39%

58%

Free Throws

DEN

21

27

78%

HOU

13

20

65%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	34	68%	17.0 / 25
J. Murray	26	72%	13.0 / 18
T. Hardaway	12	55%	6.0 / 11
B. Brown	10	56%	5.0 / 9
P. Watson	9	64%	4.5 / 7
C. Johnson	9	56%	4.5 / 8
J. Valančiūnas	8	50%	4.0 / 8
S. Jones	3	150%	1.5 / 1
A. Gordon	1	25%	0.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Sheppard	27	90%	13.5 / 15
A. Thompson	22	61%	11.0 / 18
J. Smith	21	53%	10.5 / 20
A. Sengun	14	44%	7.0 / 16
K. Durant	13	46%	6.5 / 14
J. Okogie	6	50%	3.0 / 6
S. Adams	5	63%	2.5 / 4
A. Holiday	1	13%	0.5 / 4
C. Capela	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	1 121.3 8 117.5	DEN 120.4 +5.7 HOU 114.7
Pace	19 99.4 29 96.9	DEN 96.4 +4.7 HOU 91.7
Avg. Poss. Time	9 14.7 1 15.8	DEN 14.9 −0.8 HOU 15.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 57.7% 17 54.2%	DEN 59.9% +7.7% HOU 52.2%
TO %	3 12.1% 25 14.7%	DEN 14.6% HOU 13.7% −0.9%
ORB %	24 23.6% 1 34.8%	DEN 32.4% HOU 38.6% +6.2%
FTrt	4 29.4 18 26.0	DEN 35.5 +13.8 HOU 21.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	9 66.5% 27 59.1%	DEN 70.0% +18.8% HOU 51.2%
STL %	30 6.8% 9 8.7%	DEN 8.6% +0.2% HOU 8.4%
BLK %	29 7.6% 4 10.9%	DEN 10.7% +6.4% HOU 4.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.81 and 2.81.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	1 60.1% 20 56.1%	DEN 60.9% +8.5% HOU 52.4%
Rim FG%	12 65.1% 13 64.8%	DEN 80.0% +12.0% HOU 68.0%
Mid FG%	2 47.0% 9 44.3%	DEN 48.1% +15.8% HOU 32.3%
3P %	1 39.6% 10 36.4%	DEN 37.9% HOU 38.9% +1.0%
FT %	5 80.8% 25 76.3%	DEN 77.8% +12.8% HOU 65.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	19 31.1% 20 30.7%	DEN 26.3% HOU 27.2% +0.9%
Mid Att. %	21 28.1% 29 34.2%	DEN 35.5% HOU 33.7% −1.8%
3P Att. %	17 40.8% 28 35.0%	DEN 38.2% HOU 39.1% +1.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.73 and 2.73.

Game Totals	DEN	HOU
Possessions	93	95
Possession Minutes	23.2	24.9
Points	112	109
Rebounds	38	40
Assists	28	21
Steals	8	8
Blocks	6	2
Turnovers (Team)	14 (1)	14 (2)
Fouls	20	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (4)	17 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (5)	23 (1)
Field Goals	40-76	41-92
At-the-Rim FG	16-20	17-25
Midrange FG	13-27	10-31
2-Point FG	29-47	27-56
3-Point FG	11-29	14-36
Free Throws	21-27	13-20
Fast Break Pts	17	17
2nd Chance Pts	9	19
Points in Paint	40	50
Pts off Turnovers	14	20
Bench Points	33	34
Biggest Lead	13	5

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg