Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, November 21, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Updated: Nov 22, 2025 12:01 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28 | Nets | 15% | 107 | 113 |
 | 3 | Celtics | 85% | 120 | 105 |
Updated: Nov 22, 2025 12:31 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 14 | Raptors | 86% | 125 | 140 |
Updated: Nov 22, 2025 12:31 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Pelicans | 45% | 111 | 115 |
 | 24 | Mavericks | 55% | 113 | 118 |
Updated: Nov 22, 2025 01:32 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Timberwolves | 60% | 117 | 113 |
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Updated: Nov 22, 2025 02:03 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Updated: Nov 22, 2025 02:34 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Thunder | 88% | 122 | 144 |
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Updated: Nov 22, 2025 03:03 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Updated: Nov 22, 2025 03:03 AM
game detailThursday, November 20, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 10 | Magic | 61% | 111 | 129 |
Updated: Nov 20, 2025 11:56 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Updated: Nov 21, 2025 12:56 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 23 | Bucks | 49% | 114 | 114 |
Updated: Nov 21, 2025 12:56 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Updated: Nov 21, 2025 12:56 AM
game detailWednesday, November 19, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 49% | 116 | 114 |
| 5 | Cavaliers | 51% | 117 | 104 |
Updated: Nov 20, 2025 12:01 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Hornets | 56% | 119 | 118 |
| 26 | Pacers | 44% | 117 | 127 |
Updated: Nov 20, 2025 12:01 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Raptors | 51% | 118 | 121 |
| 16 | 76ers | 49% | 117 | 112 |
Updated: Nov 20, 2025 12:01 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Warriors | 29% | 112 | 96 |
 | 12 | Heat | 71% | 119 | 110 |
Updated: Nov 20, 2025 12:31 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 14% | 111 | 109 |
| 9 | Timberwolves | 86% | 124 | 120 |
Updated: Nov 20, 2025 12:58 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 77% | 122 | 125 |
| 25 | Pelicans | 23% | 112 | 118 |
Updated: Nov 20, 2025 12:58 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Knicks | 68% | 121 | 113 |
| 22 | Mavericks | 32% | 115 | 111 |
Updated: Nov 20, 2025 02:32 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Bulls | 62% | 122 | 122 |
| 24 | Blazers | 38% | 117 | 121 |
Updated: Nov 20, 2025 03:02 AM
game detailTuesday, November 18, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | 52% | 112 | 113 |
| 10 | Magic | 48% | 111 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Celtics | 80% | 119 | 113 |
| 28 | Nets | 20% | 108 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Pistons | 40% | 110 | 120 |
| 15 | Hawks | 60% | 114 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Grizzlies | 40% | 116 | 101 |
| 19 | Spurs | 60% | 119 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Jazz | 17% | 113 | 126 |
 | 6 | Lakers | 83% | 126 | 140 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Suns | 46% | 118 | 127 |
| 21 | Blazers | 54% | 119 | 110 |
Monday, November 17, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bucks | 27% | 115 | 106 |
| 2 | Cavaliers | 73% | 123 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pacers | 34% | 110 | 112 |
| 22 | Pistons | 66% | 116 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Clippers | 38% | 110 | 108 |
| 15 | 76ers | 62% | 114 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Knicks | 48% | 119 | 113 |
| 16 | Heat | 52% | 120 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hornets | 30% | 116 | 108 |
| 12 | Raptors | 70% | 123 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Mavericks | 17% | 108 | 96 |
| 8 | Timberwolves | 83% | 120 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 93% | 117 | 126 |
| 29 | Pelicans | 7% | 98 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bulls | 19% | 114 | 130 |
| 4 | Nuggets | 81% | 126 | 127 |
Sunday, November 16, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Clippers | 34% | 107 | 118 |
| 7 | Celtics | 66% | 112 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Kings | 32% | 117 | 110 |
| 17 | Spurs | 68% | 123 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 47% | 117 | 129 |
| 30 | Wizards | 53% | 118 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Magic | 28% | 109 | 113 |
| 3 | Rockets | 72% | 116 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Warriors | 78% | 118 | 124 |
| 28 | Pelicans | 22% | 108 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Blazers | 53% | 116 | 133 |
| 24 | Mavericks | 47% | 115 | 138 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hawks | 54% | 115 | 124 |
| 20 | Suns | 46% | 113 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bulls | 60% | 123 | 147 |
| 27 | Jazz | 40% | 120 | 150 |
Saturday, November 15, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Grizzlies | 25% | 115 | 100 |
| 2 | Cavaliers | 75% | 124 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 91% | 121 | 109 |
| 27 | Hornets | 9% | 104 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Raptors | 69% | 120 | 129 |
| 28 | Pacers | 31% | 114 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Lakers | 39% | 117 | 119 |
| 8 | Bucks | 61% | 121 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 46% | 116 | 123 |
| 6 | Timberwolves | 54% | 118 | 112 |
Friday, November 14, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Heat | 36% | 115 | 132 |
| 8 | Knicks | 64% | 119 | 140 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 16% | 107 | 98 |
| 11 | Magic | 84% | 120 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 76ers | 57% | 113 | 105 |
| 24 | Pistons | 43% | 111 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Blazers | 29% | 111 | 116 |
| 3 | Rockets | 71% | 119 | 140 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hornets | 29% | 117 | 134 |
| 12 | Bucks | 71% | 124 | 147 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Kings | 22% | 113 | 110 |
| 6 | Timberwolves | 78% | 123 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lakers | 71% | 118 | 118 |
| 27 | Pelicans | 29% | 111 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Clippers | 55% | 111 | 133 |
| 23 | Mavericks | 45% | 110 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Warriors | 48% | 115 | 109 |
| 10 | Spurs | 52% | 116 | 108 |
Thursday, November 13, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Raptors | 32% | 117 | 126 |
| 2 | Cavaliers | 68% | 123 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pacers | 43% | 116 | 98 |
| 19 | Suns | 57% | 118 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hawks | 58% | 118 | 132 |
| 27 | Jazz | 42% | 115 | 122 |
Wednesday, November 12, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bucks | 58% | 118 | 100 |
| 27 | Hornets | 42% | 116 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bulls | 58% | 117 | 113 |
| 24 | Pistons | 42% | 114 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Magic | 41% | 114 | 124 |
| 4 | Knicks | 59% | 117 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Grizzlies | 28% | 111 | 95 |
| 6 | Celtics | 72% | 118 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Cavaliers | 48% | 118 | 130 |
| 15 | Heat | 52% | 119 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 8% | 107 | 112 |
| 2 | Rockets | 92% | 125 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Blazers | 69% | 118 | 125 |
| 28 | Pelicans | 31% | 112 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Warriors | 39% | 114 | 125 |
| 10 | Spurs | 61% | 117 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Suns | 53% | 116 | 123 |
| 23 | Mavericks | 47% | 115 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Lakers | 30% | 109 | 92 |
| 1 | Thunder | 70% | 116 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hawks | 69% | 118 | 133 |
| 25 | Kings | 31% | 112 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nuggets | 54% | 114 | 130 |
| 11 | Clippers | 46% | 113 | 116 |
Tuesday, November 11, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Raptors | 73% | 121 | 119 |
| 29 | Nets | 27% | 113 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Grizzlies | 34% | 115 | 120 |
| 8 | Knicks | 66% | 121 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Celtics | 59% | 117 | 100 |
| 20 | 76ers | 41% | 114 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Warriors | 27% | 107 | 102 |
| 1 | Thunder | 73% | 115 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pacers | 61% | 117 | 128 |
| 28 | Jazz | 39% | 113 | 152 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nuggets | 76% | 126 | 122 |
| 25 | Kings | 24% | 117 | 108 |
Monday, November 10, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lakers | 74% | 123 | 121 |
| 27 | Hornets | 26% | 115 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 21% | 111 | 135 |
| 14 | Pistons | 79% | 122 | 137 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Blazers | 49% | 117 | 112 |
| 15 | Magic | 51% | 118 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | 66% | 123 | 138 |
| 20 | Heat | 34% | 118 | 140 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Spurs | 58% | 118 | 121 |
| 22 | Bulls | 42% | 115 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bucks | 58% | 118 | 116 |
| 25 | Mavericks | 42% | 115 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pelicans | 31% | 112 | 98 |
| 17 | Suns | 69% | 119 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Timberwolves | 68% | 119 | 120 |
| 28 | Jazz | 32% | 113 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hawks | 42% | 109 | 105 |
| 12 | Clippers | 58% | 112 | 102 |
Sunday, November 9, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | 57% | 117 | 122 |
| 11 | Bucks | 43% | 115 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | 12% | 110 | 98 |
| 5 | Knicks | 88% | 125 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Celtics | 51% | 115 | 111 |
| 10 | Magic | 49% | 114 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 72% | 117 | 114 |
| 16 | Grizzlies | 28% | 109 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pistons | 58% | 117 | 111 |
| 21 | 76ers | 42% | 114 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Pacers | 17% | 105 | 83 |
| 13 | Warriors | 83% | 117 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Timberwolves | 66% | 120 | 144 |
| 23 | Kings | 34% | 115 | 117 |
Saturday, November 8, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Mavericks | 59% | 118 | 111 |
| 30 | Wizards | 41% | 115 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Raptors | 34% | 117 | 120 |
| 13 | 76ers | 66% | 122 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Lakers | 61% | 115 | 102 |
| 22 | Hawks | 39% | 111 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bulls | 25% | 115 | 122 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 75% | 124 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Blazers | 56% | 119 | 131 |
| 20 | Heat | 44% | 117 | 136 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pelicans | 27% | 109 | 119 |
| 11 | Spurs | 73% | 117 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pacers | 32% | 114 | 100 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 68% | 120 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Suns | 37% | 112 | 114 |
| 10 | Clippers | 63% | 117 | 103 |