Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Saturday, November 8, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Mavericks | 59% | 118 | 111 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Raptors | 34% | 117 | 120 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Lakers | 61% | 115 | 102 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Bulls | 25% | 115 | 122 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 20 | Heat | 44% | 117 | 136 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Pelicans | 27% | 109 | 119 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Friday, November 7, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Celtics | 52% | 114 | 110 |
 | 11 | Magic | 48% | 113 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 87% | 129 | 148 |
| 30 | Wizards | 13% | 114 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Raptors | 40% | 115 | 109 |
| 18 | Hawks | 60% | 119 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Pistons | 72% | 118 | 125 |
 | 27 | Nets | 28% | 111 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 20 | Spurs | 33% | 109 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Hornets | 27% | 112 | 108 |
| 22 | Heat | 73% | 120 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Mavericks | 35% | 114 | 104 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bulls | 43% | 118 | 110 |
 | 9 | Bucks | 57% | 121 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 7 | Timberwolves | 76% | 119 | 137 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 4 | Nuggets | 70% | 120 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Thunder | 83% | 120 | 132 |
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Thursday, November 6, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Clippers | 48% | 114 | 102 |
| 18 | Suns | 52% | 115 | 115 |
Wednesday, November 5, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 76ers | 18% | 111 | 121 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 82% | 123 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Jazz | 26% | 110 | 103 |
| 13 | Pistons | 74% | 118 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Nets | 32% | 115 | 112 |
| 23 | Pacers | 68% | 121 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 13% | 109 | 107 |
| 6 | Celtics | 87% | 123 | 136 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Timberwolves | 37% | 113 | 114 |
 | 5 | Knicks | 63% | 117 | 137 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 67% | 117 | 124 |
| 12 | Grizzlies | 33% | 111 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pelicans | 30% | 111 | 101 |
| 24 | Mavericks | 70% | 117 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Heat | 28% | 116 | 112 |
| 2 | Nuggets | 72% | 123 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Spurs | 43% | 113 | 116 |
| 14 | Lakers | 57% | 115 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 58% | 115 | 119 |
| 10 | Blazers | 42% | 112 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Warriors | 51% | 113 | 116 |
| 25 | Kings | 49% | 112 | 121 |
Tuesday, November 4, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bucks | 47% | 120 | 100 |
| 21 | Raptors | 53% | 121 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Magic | 51% | 116 | 112 |
| 18 | Hawks | 49% | 115 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 76ers | 47% | 119 | 111 |
| 19 | Bulls | 53% | 120 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hornets | 46% | 115 | 112 |
| 29 | Pelicans | 54% | 116 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Suns | 24% | 113 | 107 |
| 5 | Warriors | 76% | 123 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 67% | 111 | 126 |
| 8 | Clippers | 33% | 105 | 107 |
Monday, November 3, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Timberwolves | 75% | 119 | 125 |
| 27 | Nets | 25% | 110 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bucks | 57% | 119 | 117 |
| 22 | Pacers | 43% | 116 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Jazz | 12% | 108 | 105 |
| 8 | Celtics | 88% | 123 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 15% | 113 | 102 |
| 7 | Knicks | 85% | 127 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Mavericks | 16% | 106 | 102 |
| 4 | Rockets | 84% | 119 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pistons | 53% | 116 | 114 |
| 14 | Grizzlies | 47% | 115 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Kings | 19% | 114 | 124 |
| 3 | Nuggets | 81% | 125 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Lakers | 23% | 109 | 123 |
| 11 | Blazers | 77% | 119 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Heat | 25% | 109 | 120 |
| 5 | Clippers | 75% | 118 | 119 |
Sunday, November 2, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pelicans | 15% | 104 | 106 |
| 1 | Thunder | 85% | 117 | 137 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 76ers | 59% | 121 | 129 |
| 27 | Nets | 41% | 118 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Jazz | 57% | 118 | 103 |
| 29 | Hornets | 43% | 116 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hawks | 38% | 113 | 109 |
| 12 | Cavaliers | 62% | 117 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Grizzlies | 47% | 120 | 104 |
| 23 | Raptors | 53% | 121 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bulls | 29% | 115 | 116 |
| 6 | Knicks | 71% | 122 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Spurs | 54% | 118 | 118 |
| 20 | Suns | 46% | 116 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Heat | 33% | 115 | 120 |
| 8 | Lakers | 67% | 120 | 130 |
Saturday, November 1, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Kings | 29% | 115 | 135 |
| 9 | Bucks | 71% | 122 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Timberwolves | 61% | 119 | 122 |
| 26 | Hornets | 39% | 115 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Warriors | 74% | 120 | 109 |
| 23 | Pacers | 26% | 111 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Magic | 72% | 122 | 125 |
| 30 | Wizards | 28% | 115 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 53% | 111 | 128 |
| 5 | Celtics | 47% | 110 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Mavericks | 27% | 110 | 110 |
| 15 | Pistons | 73% | 118 | 122 |
Friday, October 31, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hawks | 49% | 115 | 128 |
| 23 | Pacers | 51% | 116 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Celtics | 59% | 119 | 109 |
| 16 | 76ers | 41% | 116 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Raptors | 40% | 116 | 112 |
| 20 | Cavaliers | 60% | 119 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Knicks | 63% | 121 | 125 |
| 19 | Bulls | 37% | 116 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lakers | 54% | 121 | 117 |
| 10 | Grizzlies | 46% | 120 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Jazz | 43% | 120 | 96 |
| 22 | Suns | 57% | 122 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Nuggets | 60% | 121 | 107 |
| 12 | Blazers | 40% | 118 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pelicans | 18% | 105 | 124 |
| 5 | Clippers | 82% | 117 | 126 |
Thursday, October 30, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Magic | 51% | 122 | 123 |
| 26 | Hornets | 49% | 121 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Warriors | 71% | 118 | 110 |
| 21 | Bucks | 29% | 111 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 10% | 106 | 108 |
| 1 | Thunder | 90% | 122 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Heat | 49% | 116 | 101 |
| 13 | Spurs | 51% | 117 | 107 |
Wednesday, October 29, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Rockets | 65% | 117 | 139 |
| 20 | Raptors | 35% | 112 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cavaliers | 49% | 116 | 105 |
| 8 | Celtics | 51% | 117 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Magic | 53% | 115 | 116 |
| 18 | Pistons | 47% | 114 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hawks | 67% | 123 | 117 |
| 29 | Nets | 33% | 118 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Kings | 37% | 119 | 113 |
| 19 | Bulls | 63% | 123 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pacers | 49% | 116 | 105 |
| 24 | Mavericks | 51% | 117 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pelicans | 17% | 113 | 88 |
| 2 | Nuggets | 83% | 125 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Blazers | 62% | 119 | 136 |
| 26 | Jazz | 38% | 115 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Lakers | 38% | 112 | 116 |
| 11 | Timberwolves | 62% | 116 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Grizzlies | 55% | 123 | 114 |
| 23 | Suns | 45% | 122 | 113 |
Tuesday, October 28, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 76ers | 58% | 125 | 139 |
| 30 | Wizards | 42% | 122 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 34% | 119 | 117 |
| 17 | Heat | 66% | 124 | 144 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Knicks | 55% | 121 | 111 |
| 9 | Bucks | 45% | 119 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Kings | 22% | 107 | 101 |
| 1 | Thunder | 78% | 117 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Clippers | 53% | 115 | 79 |
| 5 | Warriors | 47% | 114 | 98 |
Monday, October 27, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 57% | 116 | 116 |
| 12 | Pistons | 43% | 114 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Magic | 57% | 120 | 124 |
| 25 | 76ers | 43% | 118 | 136 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hawks | 51% | 121 | 123 |
| 23 | Bulls | 49% | 120 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Nets | 13% | 108 | 109 |
| 5 | Rockets | 87% | 122 | 137 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Celtics | 64% | 119 | 122 |
| 30 | Pelicans | 36% | 114 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Raptors | 39% | 117 | 103 |
| 13 | Spurs | 61% | 121 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 79% | 119 | 101 |
| 21 | Mavericks | 21% | 108 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Suns | 47% | 116 | 134 |
| 28 | Jazz | 53% | 117 | 138 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nuggets | 62% | 118 | 127 |
| 11 | Timberwolves | 38% | 114 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Grizzlies | 30% | 117 | 118 |
| 6 | Warriors | 70% | 123 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Blazers | 44% | 115 | 122 |
| 18 | Lakers | 56% | 117 | 108 |
Sunday, October 26, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | 28% | 116 | 107 |
| 13 | Spurs | 72% | 123 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Celtics | 47% | 113 | 113 |
| 12 | Pistons | 53% | 114 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Bucks | 38% | 119 | 113 |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 62% | 123 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Knicks | 58% | 121 | 107 |
| 15 | Heat | 42% | 119 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | 44% | 122 | 139 |
| 29 | Wizards | 56% | 124 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pacers | 24% | 110 | 110 |
| 8 | Timberwolves | 76% | 119 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Raptors | 51% | 121 | 129 |
| 21 | Mavericks | 49% | 120 | 139 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Blazers | 26% | 109 | 107 |
| 2 | Clippers | 74% | 118 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Lakers | 51% | 115 | 127 |
| 19 | Kings | 49% | 114 | 120 |