Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, October 30, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	30	Wizards	10%	106	108	106.9	101	105.6
	1	Thunder	90%	122	127	124.5	102	97.6

Scoring Opportunities

WAS

+13

-22

OKC

+18

-6

114

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.17 58.7%

OKC

1.11 55.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

30 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyshawn George #18 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 22	30.5	12	75%	7	6	0	1	5	5	1	6	1-1	100%	1-3	33%	3-5	60%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 21	26.0	14	64%	8	2	1	2	3	2	3	5	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	2-3	67%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SG · 6'7" 195 · 21	24.4	16	62%	8	4	1	3	4	0	1	7	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	2-7	29%
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34	24.0	19	86%	2	1	0	0	1	2	0	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	5-8	63%
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 34	19.6	6	50%	1	2	0	0	2	4	1	0	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-1	0%

Tre Johnson #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	26.7	10	63%	3	2	0	0	1	4	0	3	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	2-5	40%
Bub Carrington #7 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 20	21.9	3	25%	4	1	0	0	3	4	0	4	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-4	0%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 27	19.6	8	57%	6	2	0	0	2	1	1	5	3-3	100%	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 27	16.2	8	80%	3	2	0	0	1	3	2	1	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Cam Whitmore #1 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 21	15.1	7	39%	5	1	1	0	0	1	2	3	0-0	-	2-8	25%	1-1	100%
Will Riley #27 · SF · 6'9" 180 · 20	4.9	2	50%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 24	3.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 23	3.7	3	75%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
AJ Johnson #4 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 21	3.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Malaki Branham #8 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 22	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Jamir Watkins #5 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Sharife Cooper #13 · PG · 6'0" 176 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	108	59%	49	25	3	6	22	26	12	37	15-17	88%	21-44	48%	17-40	43%

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30 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyshawn George #18 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 22	30.5	12	75%	7	6	0	1	5	5	1	6	1-1	100%	1-3	33%	3-5	60%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 21	26.0	14	64%	8	2	1	2	3	2	3	5	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	2-3	67%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SG · 6'7" 195 · 21	24.4	16	62%	8	4	1	3	4	0	1	7	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	2-7	29%
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34	24.0	19	86%	2	1	0	0	1	2	0	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	5-8	63%
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 34	19.6	6	50%	1	2	0	0	2	4	1	0	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-1	0%

Tre Johnson #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	26.7	10	63%	3	2	0	0	1	4	0	3	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	2-5	40%
Bub Carrington #7 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 20	21.9	3	25%	4	1	0	0	3	4	0	4	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-4	0%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 27	19.6	8	57%	6	2	0	0	2	1	1	5	3-3	100%	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 27	16.2	8	80%	3	2	0	0	1	3	2	1	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Cam Whitmore #1 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 21	15.1	7	39%	5	1	1	0	0	1	2	3	0-0	-	2-8	25%	1-1	100%
Will Riley #27 · SF · 6'9" 180 · 20	4.9	2	50%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 24	3.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 23	3.7	3	75%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
AJ Johnson #4 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 21	3.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Malaki Branham #8 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 22	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Jamir Watkins #5 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Sharife Cooper #13 · PG · 6'0" 176 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	108	59%	49	25	3	6	22	26	12	37	15-17	88%	21-44	48%	17-40	43%

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1 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 27	29.0	31	70%	3	7	0	1	0	1	0	3	6-6	100%	8-14	57%	3-6	50%
Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 22	27.3	12	67%	5	3	4	2	0	2	1	4	4-4	100%	1-3	33%	2-4	50%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 27	25.8	7	50%	6	1	2	0	0	0	5	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-5	20%
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 27	25.7	17	65%	8	5	2	0	3	2	5	3	3-4	75%	7-11	64%	0-0	-
Aaron Wiggins #21 · PF · 6'5" 190 · 27	24.3	8	31%	4	3	0	2	2	0	0	4	2-4	50%	3-5	60%	0-6	0%

Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	30.1	20	56%	1	2	2	0	0	3	0	1	6-6	100%	4-8	50%	2-7	29%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 26	24.1	20	77%	6	1	1	0	0	2	1	5	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	5-9	56%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	22.2	7	50%	9	4	2	1	0	4	2	7	1-2	50%	0-0	-	2-6	33%
Alex Caruso #9 · SG · 6'5" 186 · 32	16.7	0	0%	2	2	3	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-3	0%
Chris Youngblood #3 · SG · 6'4" 221 · 24	5.7	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Ousmane Dieng #13 · C · 6'9" 185 · 22	5.4	2	50%	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Branden Carlson #15 · C · 7'0" 220 · 26	3.7	3	150%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Brooks Barnhizer #23 · SG · 6'5" 230 · 24	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Chet Holmgren #7 · C · 7'1" 208 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Low Back Soreness
Thomas Sorber #12 · C · 6'9" 250 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgical Recovery
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgical Recovery
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Surgical Recovery
Jalen Williams #8 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Surgical recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	127	56%	47	29	16	8	6	15	14	33	23-28	82%	28-49	57%	16-49	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	OKC
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	OKC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.17 58.7%

OKC

1.11 55.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

54%

OKC

55%

Midrange

WAS

39%

OKC

61%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

25.5

43%

64%

OKC

24.0

33%

49%

Free Throws

WAS

88%

OKC

82%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. McCollum	19	86%	9.5 / 11
B. Coulibaly	16	62%	8.0 / 13
A. Sarr	14	64%	7.0 / 11
K. George	12	75%	6.0 / 8
T. Johnson	10	63%	5.0 / 8
C. Kispert	8	57%	4.0 / 7
M. Bagley	8	80%	4.0 / 5
C. Whitmore	7	39%	3.5 / 9
K. Middleton	6	50%	3.0 / 6
B. Carrington	3	25%	1.5 / 6
T. Vukcevic	3	75%	1.5 / 2
W. Riley	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Champagnie	0	-	0.0 / 1
A. Johnson	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	31	70%	15.5 / 22
A. Mitchell	20	56%	10.0 / 18
I. Joe	20	77%	10.0 / 13
I. Hartenstein	17	65%	8.5 / 13
C. Wallace	12	67%	6.0 / 9
A. Wiggins	8	31%	4.0 / 13
L. Dort	7	50%	3.5 / 7
J. Williams	7	50%	3.5 / 7
B. Carlson	3	150%	1.5 / 1
O. Dieng	2	50%	1.0 / 2
A. Caruso	0	-	0.0 / 5
C. Youngblood	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	29 109.7 7 117.6	WAS 106.9 OKC 124.5 +17.6
Pace	5 102.5 15 100.3	WAS 105.6 +8.0 OKC 97.6
Avg. Poss. Time	23 14.0 20 14.1	WAS 13.6 −1.1 OKC 14.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	21 53.5% 4 56.1%	WAS 55.4% +2.3% OKC 53.1%
TO %	26 14.7% 1 11.8%	WAS 20.1% OKC 5.2% −14.9%
ORB %	21 24.0% 28 22.3%	WAS 26.7% OKC 27.5% +0.8%
FTrt	26 23.5 17 26.1	WAS 20.2 OKC 28.6 +8.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	24 59.9% 25 59.8%	WAS 65.8% OKC 65.9% +0.1%
STL %	22 7.8% 4 9.6%	WAS 3.0% OKC 15.7% +12.7%
BLK %	9 10.0% 2 11.0%	WAS 12.2% OKC 18.2% +6.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	26 55.4% 4 58.5%	WAS 58.7% +3.0% OKC 55.7%
Rim FG%	15 64.7% 11 65.2%	WAS 53.8% OKC 54.8% +1.0%
Mid FG%	26 41.3% 1 47.6%	WAS 38.9% OKC 61.1% +22.2%
3P %	16 35.9% 9 36.5%	WAS 42.5% +9.8% OKC 32.7%
FT %	23 76.6% 3 81.7%	WAS 88.2% +6.1% OKC 82.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	22 30.6% 16 31.3%	WAS 31.0% OKC 31.6% +0.7%
Mid Att. %	25 29.1% 15 26.1%	WAS 21.4% OKC 18.4% −3.1%
3P Att. %	20 40.3% 13 42.6%	WAS 47.6% OKC 50.0% +2.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	WAS	OKC
Possessions	101	102
Possession Minutes	23.0	25.1
Points	108	127
Rebounds	49	47
Assists	25	29
Steals	3	16
Blocks	6	8
Turnovers (Team)	22 (1)	6 (0)
Fouls	26	15
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (1)	14 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	37 (1)	33 (1)
Field Goals	38-84	44-98
At-the-Rim FG	14-26	17-31
Midrange FG	7-18	11-18
2-Point FG	21-44	28-49
3-Point FG	17-40	16-49
Free Throws	15-17	23-28
Fast Break Pts	10	14
2nd Chance Pts	10	12
Points in Paint	36	50
Pts off Turnovers	5	26
Bench Points	41	52
Biggest Lead	5	24

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg