Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Thursday, October 30, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Magic | 51% | 122 | 123 |
 | 25 | Hornets | 49% | 121 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 1 | Thunder | 90% | 122 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 26 | Bucks | 29% | 111 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Heat | 49% | 116 | 101 |
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Wednesday, October 29, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 19 | Raptors | 35% | 112 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 8 | Celtics | 51% | 117 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Magic | 53% | 115 | 116 |
 | 17 | Pistons | 47% | 114 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 29 | Nets | 33% | 118 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 18 | Bulls | 63% | 123 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 22 | Mavericks | 51% | 117 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Pelicans | 17% | 113 | 88 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Lakers | 38% | 112 | 116 |
 | 12 | Timberwolves | 62% | 116 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Tuesday, October 28, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 30 | Wizards | 42% | 122 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | 34% | 119 | 117 |
| 17 | Heat | 66% | 124 | 144 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Kings | 22% | 107 | 101 |
| 1 | Thunder | 78% | 117 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Knicks | 55% | 121 | 111 |
| 12 | Bucks | 45% | 119 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 4 | Warriors | 47% | 114 | 98 |
Monday, October 27, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 57% | 116 | 116 |
| 10 | Pistons | 43% | 114 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Magic | 57% | 120 | 124 |
| 24 | 76ers | 43% | 118 | 136 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hawks | 51% | 121 | 123 |
| 20 | Bulls | 49% | 120 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Nets | 13% | 108 | 109 |
| 6 | Rockets | 87% | 122 | 137 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Celtics | 64% | 119 | 122 |
| 29 | Pelicans | 36% | 114 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Raptors | 39% | 117 | 103 |
| 15 | Spurs | 61% | 121 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 79% | 119 | 101 |
| 22 | Mavericks | 21% | 108 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Suns | 47% | 116 | 134 |
| 28 | Jazz | 53% | 117 | 138 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nuggets | 62% | 118 | 127 |
| 9 | Timberwolves | 38% | 114 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Grizzlies | 30% | 117 | 118 |
| 5 | Warriors | 70% | 123 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Blazers | 44% | 115 | 122 |
| 16 | Lakers | 56% | 117 | 108 |
Sunday, October 26, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | 28% | 116 | 107 |
| 16 | Spurs | 72% | 123 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Celtics | 47% | 113 | 113 |
| 12 | Pistons | 53% | 114 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 44% | 122 | 139 |
| 29 | Wizards | 56% | 124 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Knicks | 58% | 121 | 107 |
| 17 | Heat | 42% | 119 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bucks | 38% | 119 | 113 |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 62% | 123 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pacers | 24% | 110 | 110 |
| 7 | Timberwolves | 76% | 119 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Raptors | 51% | 121 | 129 |
| 21 | Mavericks | 49% | 120 | 139 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Lakers | 51% | 115 | 127 |
| 22 | Kings | 49% | 114 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Blazers | 26% | 109 | 107 |
| 2 | Clippers | 74% | 118 | 114 |
Saturday, October 25, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bulls | 35% | 117 | 110 |
| 11 | Magic | 65% | 122 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 35% | 120 | 121 |
| 17 | 76ers | 65% | 124 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 71% | 119 | 117 |
| 13 | Hawks | 29% | 112 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pacers | 55% | 121 | 103 |
| 20 | Grizzlies | 45% | 120 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Suns | 13% | 111 | 111 |
| 3 | Nuggets | 87% | 125 | 133 |
Friday, October 24, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bucks | 45% | 123 | 122 |
| 15 | Raptors | 55% | 125 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hawks | 37% | 122 | 111 |
| 10 | Magic | 63% | 126 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Celtics | 41% | 120 | 95 |
| 9 | Knicks | 59% | 123 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 80% | 125 | 131 |
| 28 | Nets | 20% | 114 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pistons | 30% | 106 | 115 |
| 5 | Rockets | 70% | 112 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Heat | 43% | 117 | 146 |
| 13 | Grizzlies | 57% | 119 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Spurs | 46% | 121 | 120 |
| 18 | Pelicans | 54% | 122 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 28% | 114 | 117 |
| 22 | Mavericks | 72% | 121 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Timberwolves | 46% | 115 | 110 |
| 7 | Lakers | 54% | 116 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Warriors | 56% | 114 | 119 |
| 17 | Blazers | 44% | 112 | 139 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Jazz | 34% | 114 | 104 |
| 25 | Kings | 66% | 119 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Suns | 21% | 110 | 102 |
| 6 | Clippers | 79% | 120 | 129 |
Thursday, October 23, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 77% | 114 | 141 |
| 23 | Pacers | 23% | 105 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 42% | 115 | 131 |
| 2 | Warriors | 58% | 118 | 137 |
Wednesday, October 22, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 53% | 116 | 111 |
| 10 | Knicks | 47% | 115 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | 36% | 115 | 117 |
| 25 | Hornets | 64% | 119 | 136 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Heat | 30% | 106 | 121 |
| 8 | Magic | 70% | 113 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Raptors | 39% | 114 | 138 |
| 12 | Hawks | 61% | 117 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 76ers | 35% | 115 | 117 |
| 11 | Celtics | 65% | 120 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pistons | 57% | 113 | 111 |
| 22 | Bulls | 43% | 111 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pelicans | 37% | 111 | 122 |
| 13 | Grizzlies | 63% | 115 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 26% | 110 | 120 |
| 17 | Bucks | 74% | 118 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Clippers | 82% | 119 | 108 |
| 29 | Jazz | 18% | 108 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Spurs | 41% | 112 | 125 |
| 15 | Mavericks | 59% | 115 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Kings | 45% | 116 | 116 |
| 26 | Suns | 55% | 118 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Timberwolves | 59% | 112 | 118 |
| 21 | Blazers | 41% | 109 | 114 |
Tuesday, October 21, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 30% | 105 | 124 |
| 1 | Thunder | 70% | 111 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Warriors | 52% | 114 | 119 |
| 7 | Lakers | 48% | 113 | 109 |
Friday, October 17, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timberwolves | - | - | 110 | |
| 76ers | - | - | 126 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nets | - | - | 114 | |
| Raptors | - | - | 119 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hornets | - | - | 108 | |
| Knicks | - | - | 113 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grizzlies | - | - | 141 | |
| Heat | - | - | 125 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pacers | - | - | 104 | |
| Spurs | - | - | 133 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets | - | - | 91 | |
| Thunder | - | - | 94 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clippers | - | - | 106 | |
| Warriors | - | - | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kings | - | - | 117 | |
| Lakers | - | - | 116 | |