Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, October 24, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Bucks | 45% | 123 | 122 |
 | 15 | Raptors | 55% | 125 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 11 | Magic | 63% | 126 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 10 | Celtics | 41% | 120 | 95 |
 | 9 | Knicks | 59% | 123 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 29 | Nets | 20% | 114 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Pistons | 30% | 106 | 115 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Heat | 43% | 117 | 146 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 18 | Pelicans | 54% | 122 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 22 | Mavericks | 72% | 121 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Timberwolves | 46% | 115 | 110 |
 | 7 | Lakers | 54% | 116 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Thursday, October 23, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Thunder | 77% | 114 | 141 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 2 | Warriors | 58% | 118 | 137 |
Wednesday, October 22, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 53% | 116 | 111 |
| 10 | Knicks | 47% | 115 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | 36% | 115 | 117 |
 | 23 | Hornets | 64% | 119 | 136 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Heat | 30% | 106 | 121 |
| 9 | Magic | 70% | 113 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Raptors | 39% | 114 | 138 |
| 12 | Hawks | 61% | 117 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 11 | Celtics | 65% | 120 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pistons | 57% | 113 | 111 |
 | 25 | Bulls | 43% | 111 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pelicans | 37% | 111 | 122 |
| 15 | Grizzlies | 63% | 115 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 26% | 110 | 120 |
| 17 | Bucks | 74% | 118 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Clippers | 82% | 119 | 108 |
| 29 | Jazz | 18% | 108 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Spurs | 41% | 112 | 125 |
| 13 | Mavericks | 59% | 115 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Kings | 45% | 116 | 116 |
| 26 | Suns | 55% | 118 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Timberwolves | 59% | 112 | 118 |
| 21 | Blazers | 41% | 109 | 114 |
Tuesday, October 21, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Rockets | 30% | 105 | 124 |
| 1 | Thunder | 70% | 111 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Warriors | 52% | 114 | 119 |
| 6 | Lakers | 48% | 113 | 109 |
Friday, October 17, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timberwolves | - | - | 110 | |
| 76ers | - | - | 126 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nets | - | - | 114 | |
| Raptors | - | - | 119 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hornets | - | - | 108 | |
| Knicks | - | - | 113 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pacers | - | - | 104 | |
| Spurs | - | - | 133 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets | - | - | 91 | |
| Thunder | - | - | 94 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grizzlies | - | - | 141 | |
| Heat | - | - | 125 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clippers | - | - | 106 | |
| Warriors | - | - | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kings | - | - | 117 | |
| Lakers | - | - | 116 | |
Thursday, October 16, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wizards | - | - | 98 | |
| Pistons | - | - | 119 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pelicans | - | - | 125 | |
| Magic | - | - | 132 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rockets | - | - | 133 | |
| Hawks | - | - | 115 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timberwolves | - | - | 120 | |
| Bulls | - | - | 126 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blazers | - | - | 129 | |
| Jazz | - | - | 132 | |
Wednesday, October 15, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grizzlies | - | - | 116 | |
| Hornets | - | - | 145 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raptors | - | - | 108 | |
| Celtics | - | - | 110 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clippers | - | - | 109 | |
| Kings | - | - | 91 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mavericks | - | - | 121 | |
| Lakers | - | - | 94 | |
Tuesday, October 14, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pistons | - | - | 100 | |
| Cavaliers | - | - | 118 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rockets | - | - | 130 | |
| Pelicans | - | - | 128 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder | - | - | 116 | |
| Bucks | - | - | 112 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulls | - | - | 117 | |
| Nuggets | - | - | 124 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warriors | - | - | 118 | |
| Blazers | - | - | 111 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lakers | - | - | 104 | |
| Suns | - | - | 113 | |
Monday, October 13, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat | - | - | 118 | |
| Hawks | - | - | 119 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spurs | - | - | 124 | |
| Pacers | - | - | 108 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wizards | - | - | 120 | |
| Knicks | - | - | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | 74 | |||
| Timberwolves | - | - | 134 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mavericks | - | - | 114 | |
| Jazz | - | - | 101 | |
Sunday, October 12, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nets | - | - | 111 | |
| Suns | - | - | 109 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raptors | - | - | 113 | |
| Wizards | - | - | 112 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat | - | - | 104 | |
| Magic | - | - | 120 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucks | - | - | 127 | |
| Bulls | - | - | 121 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cavaliers | - | - | 107 | |
| Celtics | - | - | 138 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets | - | - | 102 | |
| Clippers | - | - | 94 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warriors | - | - | 116 | |
| Lakers | - | - | 126 | |
Saturday, October 11, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder | - | - | 101 | |
| Pacers | - | - | 116 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hawks | - | - | 122 | |
| Grizzlies | - | - | 116 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hornets | - | - | 120 | |
| Mavericks | - | - | 116 | |