Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, October 24, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	20	Heat	43%	117	146	128.1	114	120.8
	13	Grizzlies	57%	119	114	100.9	113	107.0

Scoring Opportunities

MIA

+19

-19

114

MEM

+17

-20

110

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.28 64.0%

MEM

1.04 51.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

20 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bam Adebayo #13 · PF · 6'9" 260 · 28	28.4	24	57%	5	4	1	0	1	2	1	4	4-4	100%	4-11	36%	4-8	50%
Norman Powell #24 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 32	24.6	15	63%	6	2	2	0	2	2	0	6	3-4	75%	3-6	50%	2-4	50%
Andrew Wiggins #22 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 31	23.7	10	50%	7	3	1	1	2	3	4	3	2-5	40%	4-7	57%	0-1	0%
Kel'el Ware #7 · C · 7'0" 250 · 22	22.8	19	73%	9	1	1	1	2	3	5	4	2-2	100%	7-11	64%	1-1	100%
Davion Mitchell #45 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 27	20.6	2	50%	1	6	0	0	3	2	0	1	0-1	0%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%

Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 25	26.9	17	71%	10	6	2	0	3	2	3	7	1-1	100%	8-11	73%	0-1	0%
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	26.9	20	91%	6	4	1	1	1	2	1	5	5-5	100%	3-3	100%	3-6	50%
Simone Fontecchio #0 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 30	23.4	14	78%	4	2	2	0	1	4	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	4-8	50%
Dru Smith #12 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 28	20.6	10	63%	3	5	3	1	1	2	2	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-3	67%
Pelle Larsson #9 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 25	7.6	8	80%	2	0	1	0	2	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-3	67%
Keshad Johnson #16 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 24	7.6	5	50%	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Jahmir Young #17 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 25	6.9	2	33%	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Vladislav Goldin #50 · C · 7'0" 255 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Myron Gardner #15 · SF · 6'5" 225 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kasparas Jakučionis #25 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Strain
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
Terry Rozier #2 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 32	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	146	64%	57	34	15	4	19	25	17	40	17-22	77%	36-62	58%	19-40	48%

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20 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bam Adebayo #13 · PF · 6'9" 260 · 28	28.4	24	57%	5	4	1	0	1	2	1	4	4-4	100%	4-11	36%	4-8	50%
Norman Powell #24 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 32	24.6	15	63%	6	2	2	0	2	2	0	6	3-4	75%	3-6	50%	2-4	50%
Andrew Wiggins #22 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 31	23.7	10	50%	7	3	1	1	2	3	4	3	2-5	40%	4-7	57%	0-1	0%
Kel'el Ware #7 · C · 7'0" 250 · 22	22.8	19	73%	9	1	1	1	2	3	5	4	2-2	100%	7-11	64%	1-1	100%
Davion Mitchell #45 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 27	20.6	2	50%	1	6	0	0	3	2	0	1	0-1	0%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%

Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 25	26.9	17	71%	10	6	2	0	3	2	3	7	1-1	100%	8-11	73%	0-1	0%
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22	26.9	20	91%	6	4	1	1	1	2	1	5	5-5	100%	3-3	100%	3-6	50%
Simone Fontecchio #0 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 30	23.4	14	78%	4	2	2	0	1	4	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	4-8	50%
Dru Smith #12 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 28	20.6	10	63%	3	5	3	1	1	2	2	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-3	67%
Pelle Larsson #9 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 25	7.6	8	80%	2	0	1	0	2	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-3	67%
Keshad Johnson #16 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 24	7.6	5	50%	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Jahmir Young #17 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 25	6.9	2	33%	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Vladislav Goldin #50 · C · 7'0" 255 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Myron Gardner #15 · SF · 6'5" 225 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kasparas Jakučionis #25 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Strain
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
Terry Rozier #2 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 32	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	146	64%	57	34	15	4	19	25	17	40	17-22	77%	36-62	58%	19-40	48%

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13 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SF · 6'5" 204 · 33	23.1	7	58%	3	6	2	0	2	1	0	3	1-1	100%	0-1	0%	2-5	40%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 22	22.5	9	50%	4	1	0	0	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	3-7	43%
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 26	21.6	12	33%	2	6	0	0	3	2	1	1	4-4	100%	4-12	33%	0-4	0%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #8 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 26	21.4	19	59%	3	1	1	1	3	4	0	3	4-4	100%	6-10	60%	1-4	25%
Jock Landale #31 · C · 6'11" 255 · 30	17.7	4	50%	5	0	0	1	2	2	3	2	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%

Cedric Coward #23 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 22	22.2	16	73%	2	2	2	0	0	2	0	2	4-4	100%	3-4	75%	2-5	40%
Javon Small #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	22.0	9	41%	2	8	0	0	3	2	0	2	3-4	75%	0-3	0%	2-6	33%
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 25	19.7	13	72%	8	0	1	0	1	0	3	5	0-1	0%	5-7	71%	1-2	50%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 23	16.9	8	80%	4	1	0	0	3	0	3	1	4-4	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 21	16.3	5	31%	2	0	1	0	0	1	1	1	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-3	0%
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 26	14.9	2	17%	2	3	0	0	2	0	0	2	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-4	0%
PJ Hall #16 · C · 6'8" 245 · 24	14.1	7	88%	3	0	0	1	0	3	0	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-2	50%
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 30	7.6	3	150%	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery Recovery
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Heel; Soreness
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Great Toe; Surgery Recovery
Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery Recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	52%	41	29	8	4	20	19	12	29	25-28	89%	25-50	50%	13-45	29%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	MEM
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	MEM

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.28 64.0%

MEM

1.04 51.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

79%

MEM

63%

Midrange

MIA

34%

MEM

42%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

28.5

48%

71%

MEM

19.5

29%

43%

Free Throws

MIA

77%

MEM

89%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo	24	57%	12.0 / 21
N. Jović	20	91%	10.0 / 11
K. Ware	19	73%	9.5 / 13
J. Jaquez	17	71%	8.5 / 12
N. Powell	15	63%	7.5 / 12
S. Fontecchio	14	78%	7.0 / 9
A. Wiggins	10	50%	5.0 / 10
D. Smith	10	63%	5.0 / 8
P. Larsson	8	80%	4.0 / 5
K. Johnson	5	50%	2.5 / 5
D. Mitchell	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Young	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Jackson	19	59%	9.5 / 16
C. Coward	16	73%	8.0 / 11
S. Aldama	13	72%	6.5 / 9
J. Morant	12	33%	6.0 / 18
J. Wells	9	50%	4.5 / 9
J. Small	9	41%	4.5 / 11
O. Prosper	8	80%	4.0 / 5
K. Caldwell-Pope	7	58%	3.5 / 6
P. Hall	7	88%	3.5 / 4
G. Jackson	5	31%	2.5 / 8
J. Landale	4	50%	2.0 / 4
J. Konchar	3	150%	1.5 / 1
C. Spencer	2	17%	1.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	12 115.8 23 112.4	MIA 128.1 +27.2 MEM 100.9
Pace	1 104.3 7 101.8	MIA 120.8 +13.8 MEM 107.0
Avg. Poss. Time	30 13.1 26 13.8	MIA 11.9 −1.5 MEM 13.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	18 54.2% 24 53.3%	MIA 63.2% +16.4% MEM 46.8%
TO %	5 12.6% 22 14.3%	MIA 15.2% −0.5% MEM 15.7%
ORB %	17 25.4% 19 24.7%	MIA 37.0% +13.9% MEM 23.1%
FTrt	14 26.8 21 25.1	MIA 21.6 MEM 29.5 +7.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	10 66.3% 6 67.4%	MIA 61.8% MEM 76.3% +14.5%
STL %	17 8.3% 11 8.7%	MIA 13.2% +6.1% MEM 7.1%
BLK %	28 7.9% 14 9.1%	MIA 8.0% +1.5% MEM 6.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.12 and 2.12.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	15 56.8% 22 55.8%	MIA 64.0% +12.2% MEM 51.8%
Rim FG%	20 63.6% 26 62.8%	MIA 78.8% +15.6% MEM 63.2%
Mid FG%	21 42.4% 11 44.2%	MIA 34.5% MEM 41.9% +7.4%
3P %	11 36.1% 22 35.3%	MIA 47.5% +18.6% MEM 28.9%
FT %	11 79.2% 9 79.3%	MIA 77.3% MEM 89.3% +12.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	11 32.9% 26 28.6%	MIA 32.4% +12.4% MEM 20.0%
Mid Att. %	17 26.5% 19 27.8%	MIA 28.4% −4.2% MEM 32.6%
3P Att. %	18 40.6% 10 43.6%	MIA 39.2% MEM 47.4% +8.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIA	MEM
Possessions	114	113
Possession Minutes	22.6	25.4
Points	146	114
Rebounds	57	41
Assists	34	29
Steals	15	8
Blocks	4	4
Turnovers (Team)	19 (1)	20 (0)
Fouls	25	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	17 (2)	12 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	40 (3)	29 (2)
Field Goals	55-102	38-95
At-the-Rim FG	26-33	12-19
Midrange FG	10-29	13-31
2-Point FG	36-62	25-50
3-Point FG	19-40	13-45
Free Throws	17-22	25-28
Fast Break Pts	26	19
2nd Chance Pts	24	11
Points in Paint	72	44
Pts off Turnovers	23	22
Bench Points	76	63
Biggest Lead	45	4

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg