Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, October 30, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	5	Warriors	71%	118	110	105.8	104	103.7
	26	Bucks	29%	111	120	115.4	104	103.9

Scoring Opportunities

GSW

+18

-19

103

MIL

+16

-12

108

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.08 53.9%

MIL

1.12 56.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

5 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SG · 6'6" 230 · 36	36.8	23	52%	10	3	1	1	2	2	6	4	8-8	100%	6-16	38%	1-2	50%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	35.0	27	61%	6	4	1	0	5	2	0	6	7-8	88%	4-9	44%	4-10	40%
Jonathan Kuminga #1 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 23	33.8	24	80%	8	4	0	1	5	2	1	7	8-8	100%	5-7	71%	2-4	50%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 36	32.6	7	50%	4	6	0	1	1	3	0	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	9.7	0	0%	3	0	0	0	2	2	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%

Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 23	25.9	9	56%	5	3	3	0	2	1	0	5	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 39	20.3	3	25%	2	2	0	2	2	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-4	25%
Buddy Hield #7 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 33	16.9	8	67%	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-4	50%
Will Richard #3 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 23	11.8	7	117%	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 23	9.9	0	0%	3	0	0	1	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 23	4.0	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	3.5	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jackson Rowe #44 · PF · 6'6" 210 · 29	Inactive - Coaches Decision
De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left ACL; Surgery
Alex Toohey #22 · PF · 6'8" 223 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	54%	44	23	8	6	19	17	9	35	25-26	96%	23-47	49%	13-38	34%

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5 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SG · 6'6" 230 · 36	36.8	23	52%	10	3	1	1	2	2	6	4	8-8	100%	6-16	38%	1-2	50%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	35.0	27	61%	6	4	1	0	5	2	0	6	7-8	88%	4-9	44%	4-10	40%
Jonathan Kuminga #1 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 23	33.8	24	80%	8	4	0	1	5	2	1	7	8-8	100%	5-7	71%	2-4	50%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 36	32.6	7	50%	4	6	0	1	1	3	0	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	9.7	0	0%	3	0	0	0	2	2	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%

Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 23	25.9	9	56%	5	3	3	0	2	1	0	5	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 39	20.3	3	25%	2	2	0	2	2	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-4	25%
Buddy Hield #7 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 33	16.9	8	67%	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-4	50%
Will Richard #3 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 23	11.8	7	117%	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 23	9.9	0	0%	3	0	0	1	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 23	4.0	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	3.5	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jackson Rowe #44 · PF · 6'6" 210 · 29	Inactive - Coaches Decision
De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left ACL; Surgery
Alex Toohey #22 · PF · 6'8" 223 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	54%	44	23	8	6	19	17	9	35	25-26	96%	23-47	49%	13-38	34%

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26 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ryan Rollins #13 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 23	36.3	32	73%	3	8	0	0	1	5	1	2	1-3	33%	8-14	57%	5-7	71%
Kyle Kuzma #18 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 30	35.6	10	45%	8	4	1	0	4	2	1	7	1-2	50%	3-6	50%	1-4	25%
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 26	33.0	10	63%	2	0	1	0	1	3	0	2	1-2	50%	0-0	-	3-7	43%
Gary Trent Jr. #5 · SF · 6'5" 204 · 27	29.9	13	43%	2	3	4	0	0	2	0	2	3-3	100%	2-7	29%	2-7	29%
Myles Turner #3 · C · 6'11" 250 · 30	29.5	17	71%	7	3	0	1	1	1	2	5	0-0	-	4-6	67%	3-6	50%

Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 25	21.2	16	53%	3	2	1	1	3	6	0	3	0-0	-	5-8	63%	2-7	29%
Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 31	18.7	12	60%	5	2	0	0	2	0	1	4	0-0	-	3-7	43%	2-3	67%
Taurean Prince #12 · SF · 6'6" 218 · 32	18.3	10	71%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	3-3	100%	2-2	100%	1-4	25%
Amir Coffey #17 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 28	13.5	0	0%	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Gary Harris #11 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	4.0	0	0%	1	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Mark Sears #19 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jericho Sims #00 · C · 6'10" 250 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Pete Nance #35 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Alex Antetokounmpo #29 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 24	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Kevin Porter Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	56%	34	25	7	2	12	22	7	27	9-13	69%	27-50	54%	19-46	41%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	MIL
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	MIL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.08 53.9%

MIL

1.12 56.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

GSW

62%

MIL

70%

Midrange

GSW

28%

MIL

41%

3PT | Effective 3PT

GSW

19.5

34%

51%

MIL

28.5

41%

62%

Free Throws

GSW

96%

MIL

69%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Curry	27	61%	13.5 / 22
J. Kuminga	24	80%	12.0 / 15
J. Butler	23	52%	11.5 / 22
B. Podziemski	9	56%	4.5 / 8
B. Hield	8	67%	4.0 / 6
D. Green	7	50%	3.5 / 7
W. Richard	7	117%	3.5 / 3
A. Horford	3	25%	1.5 / 6
G. Santos	2	50%	1.0 / 2
Q. Post	0	-	0.0 / 2
M. Moody	0	-	0.0 / 3
G. Payton	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Rollins	32	73%	16.0 / 22
M. Turner	17	71%	8.5 / 12
C. Anthony	16	53%	8.0 / 15
G. Trent	13	43%	6.5 / 15
B. Portis	12	60%	6.0 / 10
K. Kuzma	10	45%	5.0 / 11
A. Green	10	63%	5.0 / 8
T. Prince	10	71%	5.0 / 7
A. Coffey	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 114.0 24 112.3	GSW 105.8 MIL 115.4 +9.6
Pace	18 99.9 24 98.1	GSW 103.7 MIL 103.9 +0.1
Avg. Poss. Time	10 14.7 7 14.8	GSW 13.9 MIL 13.9 −0.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	13 55.0% 3 56.5%	GSW 50.0% MIL 57.8% +7.8%
TO %	28 14.9% 24 14.7%	GSW 18.6% MIL 13.6% −5.0%
ORB %	14 25.8% 30 21.1%	GSW 25.0% +8.3% MIL 16.7%
FTrt	24 23.8 29 22.3	GSW 30.6 +17.1 MIL 13.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 70.6% 17 63.3%	GSW 63.9% +9.6% MIL 54.3%
STL %	3 9.6% 23 7.5%	GSW 7.7% +1.0% MIL 6.7%
BLK %	27 8.0% 25 8.2%	GSW 12.0% +7.7% MIL 4.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.1% 9 57.5%	GSW 53.9% MIL 56.1% +2.2%
Rim FG%	5 66.7% 4 67.1%	GSW 62.1% MIL 69.6% +7.5%
Mid FG%	22 42.1% 20 42.6%	GSW 27.8% MIL 40.7% +12.9%
3P %	20 35.6% 2 38.7%	GSW 34.2% MIL 41.3% +7.1%
FT %	6 80.7% 30 73.0%	GSW 96.2% +27.0% MIL 69.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	24 29.5% 27 28.2%	GSW 34.1% +10.2% MIL 24.0%
Mid Att. %	3 20.8% 16 26.1%	GSW 21.2% −6.9% MIL 28.1%
3P Att. %	1 49.7% 5 45.7%	GSW 44.7% MIL 47.9% +3.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.4 and 2.4.

Game Totals	GSW	MIL
Possessions	104	104
Possession Minutes	24.1	24.0
Points	110	120
Rebounds	44	34
Assists	23	25
Steals	8	7
Blocks	6	2
Turnovers (Team)	19 (3)	12 (4)
Fouls	17	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (9)	7 (9)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (1)	27 (5)
Field Goals	36-85	46-96
At-the-Rim FG	18-29	16-23
Midrange FG	5-18	11-27
2-Point FG	23-47	27-50
3-Point FG	13-38	19-46
Free Throws	25-26	9-13
Fast Break Pts	17	12
2nd Chance Pts	15	12
Points in Paint	44	50
Pts off Turnovers	25	27
Bench Points	29	38
Biggest Lead	5	12

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg