Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Win Prob.pScoreScore
19Heat
14Spurs
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.8
30.8
1
5-9
53%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'9" 255 · 28.3
30.5
1
5-9
52%
Andrew Wiggins
F · 6'7" 197 · 30.7
22.4
1
3-5
50%
Norman Powell
G · 6'4" 215 · 32.4
22.0
1
2-5
53%
Nikola Jović
F · 6'10" 205 · 22.4
20.1
1
2-3
56%
Kel'el Ware
C · 7'0" 230 · 21.5
18.8
1
3-4
61%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.6
18.3
1
2-3
49%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
G · 6'6" 225 · 24.7
17.0
1
2-4
53%
Davion Mitchell
G · 6'0" 202 · 27.2
14.3
0
1-2
54%
Dru Smith
G · 6'2" 203 · 27.8
8.7
1
1-1
49%
Alec Burks
G · 6'5" 214 · 34.3
8.5
0
0-1
41%
Pelle Larsson
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.7
8.3
0
1-1
52%
Kasparas Jakučionis
G · 6'6" 205 · 19.4
8.1
0
1-2
50%
Simone Fontecchio
F · 6'7" 209 · 29.9
6.1
0
0-1
51%
Josh Christopher
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.9
4.3
0
1-1
53%
Myron Gardner
F · 6'6" 220 · 24.4
4.0
0
0-1
50%
Keshad Johnson
F · 6'7" 225 · 24.4
2.8
0
0-1
53%
Vladislav Goldin
C · 7'1" 250 · 24.5
2.3
0
0-0
55%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
De'Aaron Fox
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.9
28.6
1
5-9
55%
Victor Wembanyama
F-C · 7'3" 235 · 21.8
28.6
1
5-8
57%
Devin Vassell
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 25.2
26.8
1
3-5
53%
Stephon Castle
G · 6'6" 215 · 21.0
25.2
1
4-8
52%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 33.4
18.9
0
1-2
57%
Jeremy Sochan
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.4
18.9
1
3-5
55%
Dylan Harper
G · 6'5" 213 · 19.7
17.7
1
2-3
52%
Keldon Johnson
F-G · 6'5" 220 · 26.1
17.5
0
3-5
55%
Julian Champagnie
F · 6'7" 217 · 24.3
14.8
0
1-2
53%
Luke Kornet
C-F · 7'1" 250 · 30.3
14.3
0
2-3
67%
Carter Bryant
F · 6'8" 225 · 19.9
9.2
0
1-2
54%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 34.5
7.7
0
1-2
58%
Lindy Waters III
F · 6'6" 210 · 28.3
4.7
0
0-0
52%
Harrison Ingram
F · 6'5" 230 · 22.9
2.7
0
0-0
53%
Riley Minix
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.1
2.3
0
0-0
54%
Jordan McLaughlin
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.6
1.9
0
0-0
53%
David Jones-Garcia
F · 6'3" 211 · 23.9
1.3
0
0-0
52%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.