Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, February 28, 2026

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	10	Rockets	52%	113	105
	14	Heat	48%	112	115

Prediction updated: Feb 28, 2026 08:31 PM

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
Rockets	106.1	99	96.1
Heat	117.3	98	101.1

Scoring Opportunities

HOU

+21

-11

109

MIA

+16

-13

101

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

0.97 48.6%

MIA

1.14 56.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	MIA
Q4 - 0:00.0		End of 4th Quarter.	105 0%	115 100%
Q4 - 0:01.6	Heat	Heat turnover (shot clock violation)	105 0%	115 100%
Q4 - 0:25.7	Rockets	Aaron Holiday makes two point floating jump shot	105 0.1%	115 99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0	Heat	Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 2	103 0.1%	115 99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0		Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Clint Capela, Aaron Holiday, Isaiah Crawford, Dorian Finney-Smith)	103	114
Q4 - 0:37.0	Heat	Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 2	103 0.1%	114 99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0	Rockets	Reed Sheppard personal foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)	103 0.1%	113 99.9%
Q4 - 0:48.1	Rockets	Kevin Durant turnover (out of bounds bad pass)	103 0.1%	113 99.9%
Q4 - 0:51.3		Jump ball. Amen Thompson vs. Bam Adebayo (Alperen Sengun gains possession)	103	113
Q4 - 0:51.3	Rockets	Rockets offensive rebound	103 0.3%	113 99.7%
Q4 - 0:53.8	Rockets	Tari Eason misses three point jump shot	103 0.2%	113 99.8%
Q4 - 0:54.0	Rockets	Amen Thompson offensive rebound	103 0.3%	113 99.7%
Q4 - 0:57.2	Rockets	Reed Sheppard misses three point jump shot	103 0.2%	113 99.8%
Q4 - 1:00	Rockets	Tari Eason offensive rebound	103 0.4%	113 99.6%
Q4 - 1:03	Rockets	Amen Thompson misses two point running layup	103 0.3%	113 99.7%
Q4 - 1:05	Rockets	Reed Sheppard defensive rebound	103 0.4%	113 99.6%
Q4 - 1:07	Heat	Pelle Larsson misses two point tip layup	103 0.4%	113 99.6%
Q4 - 1:07	Heat	Pelle Larsson offensive rebound	103 0.2%	113 99.8%
Q4 - 1:12	Heat	Bam Adebayo misses two point turnaround jump shot	103 0.5%	113 99.5%
Q4 - 1:25		Stoppage (Out of bounds)	103	113
Q4 - 1:29	Heat	Bam Adebayo defensive rebound	103 0.5%	113 99.5%
Q4 - 1:33	Rockets	Alperen Sengun misses two point hook shot	103 0.6%	113 99.4%
Q4 - 1:35	Rockets	Alperen Sengun offensive rebound	103 1.0%	113 99.0%
Q4 - 1:37	Rockets	Reed Sheppard misses two point pullup jump shot	103 0.7%	113 99.3%
Q4 - 1:52	Heat	Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 2	103 1.2%	113 98.8%
Q4 - 1:52	Heat	Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 2	103 1.4%	112 98.6%
Q4 - 1:52	Rockets	Amen Thompson personal foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)	103 1.5%	111 98.5%
Q4 - 1:52	Heat	Pelle Larsson defensive rebound	103 1.8%	111 98.2%
Q4 - 1:53	Rockets	Kevin Durant misses three point stepback jump shot	103 2.1%	111 97.9%
Q4 - 2:05	Heat	Kel'el Ware personal foul (Loose ball) (Alperen Sengun draws the foul)	103 2.8%	111 97.2%
Q4 - 2:05	Rockets	Rockets offensive rebound	103 2.8%	111 97.2%
Q4 - 2:06	Rockets	Reed Sheppard misses three point jump shot	103 1.8%	111 98.2%
Q4 - 2:24	Heat	Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 1	103 2.6%	111 97.4%
Q4 - 2:24	Rockets	Tari Eason shooting foul (Andrew Wiggins draws the foul)	103 2.9%	110 97.1%
Q4 - 2:24	Heat	Andrew Wiggins makes two point running dunk	103	110
Q4 - 2:25	Heat	Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound	103 5.8%	108 94.2%
Q4 - 2:31	Rockets	Kevin Durant misses three point jump shot	103 6.9%	108 93.1%
Q4 - 2:41		Tari Eason defensive goaltending violation	103	108
Q4 - 2:41	Heat	Bam Adebayo makes two point driving floating jump shot (Pelle Larsson assists)	103 10.5%	108 89.5%
Q4 - 2:58	Rockets	Alperen Sengun makes two point floating jump shot (Tari Eason assists)	103 17.1%	106 82.9%
Q4 - 3:00		Stoppage (Out of bounds)	101	106
Q4 - 3:17		Rockets 60 second timeout	101	106
Q4 - 3:19	Heat	Kel'el Ware makes two point tip layup	101 12.6%	106 87.4%
Q4 - 3:19	Heat	Kel'el Ware offensive rebound	101 16.6%	104 83.4%
Q4 - 3:27	Heat	Bam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot	101 22.6%	104 77.4%
Q4 - 3:40	Rockets	Kevin Durant makes two point turnaround jump shot	101 22.2%	104 77.8%
Q4 - 3:44	Rockets	Alperen Sengun defensive rebound	99 17.1%	104 82.9%
Q4 - 3:47	Heat	Pelle Larsson misses two point driving reverse layup	99 15.4%	104 84.6%
Q4 - 3:51	Rockets	Reed Sheppard personal foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)	99 12.1%	104 87.9%
Q4 - 4:01	Rockets	Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2	99 11.9%	104 88.1%
Q4 - 4:01		Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro, Kel'el Ware, Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins)	98	104
Q4 - 4:01	Rockets	Amen Thompson misses regular free throw 1 of 2	98 11.2%	104 88.8%
Q4 - 4:01	Heat	Davion Mitchell shooting foul (Amen Thompson draws the foul)	98 14.1%	104 85.9%
Q4 - 4:12	Heat	Davion Mitchell makes three point stepback jump shot	98 12.2%	104 87.8%
Q4 - 4:16	Rockets	Tari Eason makes two point tip layup	98 21.6%	101 78.4%
Q4 - 4:16	Rockets	Tari Eason offensive rebound	96 16.6%	101 83.4%
Q4 - 4:22	Rockets	Kevin Durant misses two point turnaround jump shot	96 13.1%	101 86.9%
Q4 - 4:42	Rockets	Kevin Durant defensive rebound	96 16.4%	101 83.6%
Q4 - 4:45	Heat	Pelle Larsson misses regular free throw 2 of 2	96 15.7%	101 84.3%
Q4 - 4:45		Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant, Tari Eason)	96	101
Q4 - 4:45	Heat	Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 2	96 12.9%	101 87.1%
Q4 - 4:45	Rockets	Dorian Finney-Smith shooting foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)	96 13.9%	100 86.1%
Q4 - 5:09	Rockets	Kevin Durant makes two point running layup (Tari Eason assists)	96 19.3%	100 80.7%
Q4 - 5:12	Rockets	Dorian Finney-Smith defensive rebound	94 15.3%	100 84.7%
Q4 - 5:14	Heat	Davion Mitchell misses two point driving layup	94 13.9%	100 86.1%
Q4 - 5:36	Rockets	Kevin Durant makes two point driving floating jump shot (Alperen Sengun assists)	94 11.1%	100 88.9%
Q4 - 5:41	Rockets	Alperen Sengun offensive rebound	92 8.6%	100 91.4%
Q4 - 5:43	Rockets	Tari Eason misses three point jump shot	92 6.9%	100 93.1%
Q4 - 6:01	Heat	Pelle Larsson makes three point jump shot (Andrew Wiggins assists)	92 11.4%	100 88.6%
Q4 - 6:14		Stoppage (Court cleanup)	92	97
Q4 - 6:14		Stoppage (Out of bounds)	92	97
Q4 - 6:14	Heat	Heat defensive rebound	92 17.5%	97 82.5%
Q4 - 6:16	Rockets	Kevin Durant misses three point pullup jump shot	92 19.0%	97 81.0%
Q4 - 6:37	Heat	Kel'el Ware makes two point alley-oop dunk (Andrew Wiggins assists)	92 22.6%	97 77.4%
Q4 - 6:43		Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Kevin Durant, Tari Eason, Dorian Finney-Smith)	92	95
Q4 - 6:43	Rockets	Dorian Finney-Smith personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)	92 27.0%	95 73.0%
Q4 - 6:51	Heat	Kel'el Ware defensive rebound	92 26.9%	95 73.1%
Q4 - 6:54	Rockets	Tari Eason misses three point jump shot	92 29.0%	95 71.0%
Q4 - 7:09	Heat	Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2	92 36.0%	95 64.0%
Q4 - 7:09		Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Kel'el Ware, Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins)	92	94
Q4 - 7:09		Rockets lineup change (Alperen Sengun, Aaron Holiday, Kevin Durant, Tari Eason, Dorian Finney-Smith)	92	94
Q4 - 7:09	Heat	Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 2	92 37.2%	94 62.8%
Q4 - 7:09	Rockets	Aaron Holiday shooting foul (Andrew Wiggins draws the foul)	92 38.7%	93 61.3%
Q4 - 7:21	Rockets	Jeff Green makes two point tip layup	92 40.5%	93 59.5%
Q4 - 7:21	Rockets	Jeff Green offensive rebound	90 35.9%	93 64.1%
Q4 - 7:25	Rockets	Alperen Sengun misses two point driving layup	90 30.9%	93 69.1%
Q4 - 7:34	Rockets	Aaron Holiday defensive rebound	90 35.9%	93 64.1%
Q4 - 7:38	Heat	Pelle Larsson misses three point jump shot	90 33.6%	93 66.4%
Q4 - 7:51	Heat	Kel'el Ware defensive rebound	90 28.8%	93 71.2%
Q4 - 7:54	Rockets	Amen Thompson misses regular free throw 2 of 2	90 29.7%	93 70.3%
Q4 - 7:54		Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Kel'el Ware, Bam Adebayo, Kasparas Jakucionis, Andrew Wiggins)	90	93
Q4 - 7:54	Rockets	Amen Thompson misses regular free throw 1 of 2	90 33.2%	93 66.8%
Q4 - 7:54	Heat	Jaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Amen Thompson draws the foul)	90 37.6%	93 62.4%
Q4 - 7:59	Rockets	Tari Eason offensive rebound	90 35.8%	93 64.2%
Q4 - 8:03	Rockets	Alperen Sengun misses three point jump shot	90 32.3%	93 67.7%
Q4 - 8:09	Rockets	Tari Eason defensive rebound	90 36.5%	93 63.5%
Q4 - 8:13	Heat	Andrew Wiggins misses two point stepback jump shot	90 34.6%	93 65.4%
Q4 - 8:30	Rockets	Tari Eason makes three point jump shot (Amen Thompson assists)	90 30.4%	93 69.6%
Q4 - 8:49	Heat	Pelle Larsson makes two point driving layup	87 21.7%	93 78.3%
Q4 - 8:57	Heat	Kel'el Ware defensive rebound	87 25.5%	91 74.5%
Q4 - 8:59	Rockets	Amen Thompson misses two point driving layup	87 27.1%	91 72.9%
Q4 - 9:18	Heat	Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving floating jump shot (Andrew Wiggins assists)	87 32.2%	91 67.8%
Q4 - 9:28	Rockets	Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2	87 36.5%	89 63.5%
Q4 - 9:28		Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kel'el Ware, Kasparas Jakucionis, Andrew Wiggins)	86	89
Q4 - 9:28		Rockets lineup change (Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Aaron Holiday, Jeff Green, Tari Eason)	86	89
Q4 - 9:28	Rockets	Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2	86 35.4%	89 64.6%
Q4 - 9:28	Heat	Jaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Amen Thompson draws the foul)	85 34.1%	89 65.9%
Q4 - 9:36	Rockets	Jeff Green defensive rebound	85 32.1%	89 67.9%
Q4 - 9:39	Heat	Kel'el Ware misses three point jump shot	85 30.4%	89 69.6%
Q4 - 9:48		Stoppage (Out of bounds)	85	89
Q4 - 9:48	Heat	Heat defensive rebound	85 26.6%	89 73.4%
Q4 - 9:50	Rockets	Reed Sheppard misses three point jump shot	85 28.2%	89 71.8%
Q4 - 10:12	Heat	Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving hook shot	85 33.2%	89 66.8%
Q4 - 10:23	Heat	Kel'el Ware defensive rebound	85 37.5%	87 62.5%
Q4 - 10:25	Rockets	Alperen Sengun misses two point hook shot	85 39.2%	87 60.8%
Q4 - 10:30	Rockets	Tari Eason offensive rebound	85 43.3%	87 56.7%
Q4 - 10:35	Rockets	Jeff Green misses three point jump shot	85 39.2%	87 60.8%
Q4 - 11:00	Heat	Kel'el Ware makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Pelle Larsson assists)	85 43.3%	87 56.7%
Q4 - 11:04	Heat	Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound	85 48.4%	85 51.6%
Q4 - 11:09	Rockets	Reed Sheppard misses two point pullup jump shot	85 50.0%	85 50.0%
Q4 - 11:21	Heat	Pelle Larsson turnover (bad pass) (Alperen Sengun steals)	85 53.7%	85 46.3%
Q4 - 11:39	Rockets	Alperen Sengun makes two point turnaround jump shot	85 48.4%	85 51.6%
Q4 - 12:00		Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kel'el Ware, Kasparas Jakucionis)	83	85
Q4 - 12:00		Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Jeff Green, Tari Eason)	83	85
Q3 - 0:00.0		End of 3rd Quarter.	83 43.5%	85 56.5%
Q3 - 0:00.1	Rockets	Rockets offensive rebound	83 44.0%	85 56.0%
Q3 - 0:00.3	Rockets	Kevin Durant misses three point pullup jump shot	83 40.8%	85 59.2%
Q3 - 0:02.3	Rockets	Amen Thompson defensive rebound	83 44.0%	85 56.0%
Q3 - 0:05.2	Heat	Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 1	83 43.4%	85 56.6%
Q3 - 0:05.2		Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant, Tari Eason, Dorian Finney-Smith)	83	85
Q3 - 0:05.2		Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kel'el Ware, Dru Smith, Kasparas Jakucionis)	83	85
Q3 - 0:05.2	Rockets	Tari Eason shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)	83 40.2%	85 59.8%
Q3 - 0:05.2	Heat	Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving layup	83	85
Q3 - 0:17.4	Rockets	Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2	83 48.8%	83 51.2%
Q3 - 0:17.4		Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant, Tari Eason, Dorian Finney-Smith)	82	83
Q3 - 0:17.4	Rockets	Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 2	82 48.2%	83 51.8%
Q3 - 0:17.4	Heat	Pelle Larsson personal foul (Loose ball) (Kevin Durant draws the foul)	81 47.6%	83 52.4%
Q3 - 0:17.4	Rockets	Rockets defensive rebound	81 44.0%	83 56.0%
Q3 - 0:18.3	Heat	Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point turnaround jump shot	81 42.5%	83 57.5%
Q3 - 0:38.8	Rockets	Reed Sheppard makes two point running dunk	81 39.2%	83 60.8%
Q3 - 0:40.8	Heat	Tyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Reed Sheppard steals)	79 34.7%	83 65.3%
Q3 - 1:01	Rockets	Kevin Durant makes two point pullup jump shot (Reed Sheppard assists)	79 31.6%	83 68.4%
Q3 - 1:18	Heat	Tyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)	77 27.8%	83 72.2%
Q3 - 1:27	Heat	Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound	77 31.5%	81 68.5%
Q3 - 1:31	Rockets	Reed Sheppard misses three point jump shot	77 32.7%	81 67.3%
Q3 - 1:48	Heat	Tyler Herro makes two point running pullup jump shot (Pelle Larsson assists)	77 35.7%	81 64.3%
Q3 - 1:51	Heat	Kel'el Ware defensive rebound	77 39.9%	79 60.1%
Q3 - 1:52	Rockets	Clint Capela misses two point reverse layup	77 41.3%	79 58.7%
Q3 - 2:06	Heat	Kel'el Ware makes two point tip dunk	77 45.0%	79 55.0%
Q3 - 2:08	Heat	Kel'el Ware offensive rebound	77 48.9%	77 51.1%
Q3 - 2:08	Heat	Kel'el Ware misses two point tip layup	77 52.2%	77 47.8%
Q3 - 2:08	Heat	Kel'el Ware offensive rebound	77 48.9%	77 51.1%
Q3 - 2:16	Heat	Kasparas Jakucionis misses three point pullup jump shot	77 52.2%	77 47.8%
Q3 - 2:24	Heat	Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound	77 48.9%	77 51.1%
Q3 - 2:29	Rockets	Amen Thompson misses two point floating jump shot	77 50.3%	77 49.7%
Q3 - 2:46		Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kel'el Ware, Kasparas Jakucionis)	77	77
Q3 - 2:46		Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Clint Capela, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant, Dorian Finney-Smith)	77	77
Q3 - 2:46		Rockets 60 second timeout	77	77
Q3 - 2:46	Heat	Tyler Herro turnover (out of bounds lost ball)	77 53.6%	77 46.4%
Q3 - 2:51	Heat	Kel'el Ware defensive rebound	77 48.9%	77 51.1%
Q3 - 2:54	Rockets	Kel'el Ware blocks Clint Capela's two point cutting layup	77 50.3%	77 49.7%
Q3 - 3:09	Heat	Tyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot	77 53.9%	77 46.1%
Q3 - 3:21	Rockets	Clint Capela makes two point cutting layup (Kevin Durant assists)	77 57.2%	75 42.8%
Q3 - 3:28	Rockets	Kevin Durant defensive rebound	75 53.9%	75 46.1%
Q3 - 3:30	Heat	Davion Mitchell misses two point driving finger roll layup	75 52.3%	75 47.7%
Q3 - 3:46	Rockets	Kevin Durant makes two point pullup jump shot	75 48.9%	75 51.1%
Q3 - 3:56	Rockets	Dorian Finney-Smith defensive rebound	73 45.5%	75 54.5%
Q3 - 3:58	Heat	Bam Adebayo misses two point layup	73 44.0%	75 56.0%
Q3 - 4:16	Rockets	Clint Capela makes regular free throw 1 of 1	73 41.5%	75 58.5%
Q3 - 4:16		Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kel'el Ware, Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo)	72	75
Q3 - 4:16		Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Clint Capela, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant, Dorian Finney-Smith)	72	75
Q3 - 4:16	Heat	Bam Adebayo shooting foul (Clint Capela draws the foul)	72 40.1%	75 59.9%
Q3 - 4:16	Rockets	Clint Capela makes two point cutting layup (Kevin Durant assists)	72	75
Q3 - 4:35	Heat	Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 2	70 34.3%	75 65.7%
Q3 - 4:35	Heat	Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 2	70 35.0%	74 65.0%
Q3 - 4:35	Rockets	Kevin Durant shooting foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)	70 35.9%	73 64.1%
Q3 - 4:40	Heat	Bam Adebayo defensive rebound	70 37.6%	73 62.4%
Q3 - 4:42	Rockets	Tari Eason misses two point floating jump shot	70 38.8%	73 61.2%
Q3 - 4:55	Heat	Tyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)	70 41.8%	73 58.2%
Q3 - 5:13	Rockets	Kevin Durant makes two point driving floating jump shot	70 45.6%	71 54.4%
Q3 - 5:20		Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Reed Sheppard, Clint Capela, Kevin Durant, Tari Eason)	68	71
Q3 - 5:20		Stoppage (Out of bounds)	68	71
Q3 - 5:20	Rockets	Rockets offensive rebound	68 42.1%	71 57.9%
Q3 - 5:22	Rockets	Kevin Durant misses three point jump shot	68 39.3%	71 60.7%
Q3 - 5:36	Heat	Davion Mitchell makes two point driving layup	68 42.1%	71 57.9%
Q3 - 5:43	Heat	Bam Adebayo defensive rebound	68 45.6%	69 54.4%
Q3 - 5:46	Rockets	Amen Thompson misses two point jump shot	68 46.9%	69 53.1%
Q3 - 5:56	Heat	Pelle Larsson makes two point driving layup	68 49.7%	69 50.3%
Q3 - 6:12	Rockets	Clint Capela makes two point alley-oop dunk (Amen Thompson assists)	68 53.3%	67 46.7%
Q3 - 6:28	Heat	Bam Adebayo makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)	66 50.0%	67 50.0%
Q3 - 6:36	Rockets	Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2	66 57.0%	64 43.0%
Q3 - 6:36	Rockets	Amen Thompson misses regular free throw 1 of 2	65 56.2%	64 43.8%
Q3 - 6:36	Heat	Pelle Larsson shooting foul (Amen Thompson draws the foul)	65 58.9%	64 41.1%
Q3 - 6:42	Rockets	Amen Thompson defensive rebound	65 57.4%	64 42.6%
Q3 - 6:44	Heat	Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving floating jump shot	65 56.2%	64 43.8%
Q3 - 6:58	Rockets	Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2	65 53.3%	64 46.7%
Q3 - 6:58	Rockets	Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 2	64 52.9%	64 47.1%
Q3 - 6:58	Heat	Pelle Larsson shooting foul (Kevin Durant draws the foul)	63 52.3%	64 47.7%
Q3 - 7:08	Heat	Bam Adebayo makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)	63 50.1%	64 49.9%
Q3 - 7:27	Rockets	Tari Eason makes three point jump shot (Reed Sheppard assists)	63 56.8%	61 43.2%
Q3 - 7:39	Rockets	Clint Capela defensive rebound	60 50.1%	61 49.9%
Q3 - 7:42	Heat	Bam Adebayo misses two point driving floating jump shot	60 48.9%	61 51.1%
Q3 - 7:57	Rockets	Amen Thompson makes two point pullup bank jump shot	60 46.1%	61 53.9%
Q3 - 8:03	Rockets	Amen Thompson defensive rebound	58 43.4%	61 56.6%
Q3 - 8:07	Heat	Davion Mitchell misses three point pullup jump shot	58 42.2%	61 57.8%
Q3 - 8:15		Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo)	58	61
Q3 - 8:15		Stoppage (Blood rule)	58	61
Q3 - 8:15		Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Clint Capela, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant, Tari Eason)	58	61
Q3 - 8:15	Rockets	Alperen Sengun turnover (offensive foul)	58 39.3%	61 60.7%
Q3 - 8:15	Rockets	Alperen Sengun offensive foul (Andrew Wiggins draws the foul)	58 43.4%	61 56.6%
Q3 - 8:30		Stoppage (Out of bounds)	58	61
Q3 - 8:30	Rockets	Rockets defensive rebound	58 43.4%	61 56.6%
Q3 - 8:31	Heat	Pelle Larsson misses three point jump shot	58 42.1%	61 57.9%
Q3 - 8:33	Heat	Bam Adebayo offensive rebound	58 39.3%	61 60.7%
Q3 - 8:37	Heat	Tyler Herro misses three point jump shot	58 42.1%	61 57.9%
Q3 - 8:49	Rockets	Tari Eason makes two point pullup jump shot (Kevin Durant assists)	58 39.3%	61 60.7%
Q3 - 9:07	Heat	Pelle Larsson turnover (bad pass) (Alperen Sengun steals)	56 37.4%	61 62.6%
Q3 - 9:17	Heat	Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound	56 33.6%	61 66.4%
Q3 - 9:20	Rockets	Amen Thompson misses regular free throw 2 of 2	56 34.1%	61 65.9%
Q3 - 9:20	Rockets	Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2	56 36.0%	61 64.0%
Q3 - 9:20	Heat	Pelle Larsson shooting foul (Amen Thompson draws the foul)	55 35.2%	61 64.8%
Q3 - 9:38	Heat	Tyler Herro turnover (double dribble)	55 34.2%	61 65.8%
Q3 - 9:44	Rockets	Kevin Durant makes two point pullup jump shot (Reed Sheppard assists)	55 30.6%	61 69.4%
Q3 - 10:09	Heat	Bam Adebayo makes two point driving dunk (Davion Mitchell assists)	53 29.2%	61 70.8%
Q3 - 10:16	Rockets	Amen Thompson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)	53 31.3%	59 68.7%
Q3 - 10:28	Heat	Pelle Larsson makes two point driving layup (Davion Mitchell assists)	53 34.8%	59 65.2%
Q3 - 10:34	Heat	Bam Adebayo defensive rebound	53 37.1%	57 62.9%
Q3 - 10:37	Rockets	Alperen Sengun misses regular free throw 2 of 2	53 37.6%	57 62.4%
Q3 - 10:37	Rockets	Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 2	53 39.4%	57 60.6%
Q3 - 10:37	Heat	Andrew Wiggins shooting foul (Alperen Sengun draws the foul)	52 38.5%	57 61.5%
Q3 - 10:38	Rockets	Amen Thompson offensive rebound	52 37.8%	57 62.2%
Q3 - 10:38	Rockets	Alperen Sengun misses two point cutting layup	52 35.2%	57 64.8%
Q3 - 10:48	Heat	Tyler Herro makes two point tip layup	52 37.8%	57 62.2%
Q3 - 10:51	Heat	Tyler Herro offensive rebound	52 40.2%	55 59.8%
Q3 - 10:53	Heat	Davion Mitchell misses two point driving floating jump shot	52 42.9%	55 57.1%
Q3 - 11:00	Heat	Davion Mitchell defensive rebound	52 40.2%	55 59.8%
Q3 - 11:03	Rockets	Reed Sheppard misses three point jump shot	52 41.7%	55 58.3%
Q3 - 11:23	Heat	Andrew Wiggins makes two point running layup (Tyler Herro assists)	52 44.0%	55 56.0%
Q3 - 11:27	Heat	Tyler Herro defensive rebound	52 46.9%	53 53.1%
Q3 - 11:30	Rockets	Amen Thompson misses two point pullup jump shot	52 47.9%	53 52.1%
Q3 - 11:42	Heat	Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2	52 50.4%	53 49.6%
Q3 - 11:42	Heat	Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2	52 51.0%	52 49.0%
Q3 - 11:42	Rockets	Alperen Sengun shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)	52 51.8%	51 48.2%
Q3 - 11:51		Stoppage (Out of bounds)	52	51
Q3 - 12:00		Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro, Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins)	52	51
Q2 - 0:00.0		End of 1st Half.	52 53.2%	51 46.8%
Q2 - 0:00.1	Rockets	Rockets offensive rebound	52 56.7%	51 43.3%
Q2 - 0:03.2	Rockets	Reed Sheppard defensive rebound	52 56.7%	51 43.3%
Q2 - 0:03.2	Heat	Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point hook shot	52 55.8%	51 44.2%
Q2 - 0:16.7	Rockets	Alperen Sengun makes two point floating jump shot (Kevin Durant assists)	52 53.8%	51 46.2%
Q2 - 0:32.6	Rockets	Tari Eason defensive rebound	50 50.5%	51 49.5%
Q2 - 0:35.0	Heat	Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 2	50 50.1%	51 49.9%
Q2 - 0:35.0		Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Dru Smith, Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins)	50	51
Q2 - 0:35.0	Heat	Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 2	50 48.0%	51 52.0%
Q2 - 0:35.0	Rockets	Amen Thompson personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)	50 45.7%	51 54.3%
Q2 - 0:42.4		Stoppage (Out of bounds)	50	51
Q2 - 0:42.4	Heat	Heat defensive rebound	50 47.5%	51 52.5%
Q2 - 0:43.5	Rockets	Tari Eason misses two point driving layup	50 48.4%	51 51.6%
Q2 - 0:59.3	Rockets	Tari Eason defensive rebound	50 50.5%	51 49.5%
Q2 - 1:02	Heat	Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 2	50 50.5%	51 49.5%
Q2 - 1:02	Heat	Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2	50 48.4%	51 51.6%
Q2 - 1:02	Rockets	Alperen Sengun shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)	50 49.1%	50 50.9%
Q2 - 1:05	Heat	Davion Mitchell defensive rebound	50 51.1%	50 48.9%
Q2 - 1:08	Rockets	Alperen Sengun misses two point fadeaway jump shot	50 51.9%	50 48.1%
Q2 - 1:25		Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins)	50	50
Q2 - 1:25		Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant, Tari Eason)	50	50
Q2 - 1:25		Heat delay of game violation	50	50
Q2 - 1:25	Heat	Tyler Herro turnover (back court violation)	50 53.8%	50 46.2%
Q2 - 1:42	Rockets	Amen Thompson makes two point turnaround jump shot (Kevin Durant assists)	50 51.1%	50 48.9%
Q2 - 2:02	Heat	Bam Adebayo makes two point layup	48 48.3%	50 51.7%
Q2 - 2:07	Rockets	Amen Thompson turnover (lost ball) (Tyler Herro steals)	48 50.7%	48 49.3%
Q2 - 2:07	Rockets	Amen Thompson defensive rebound	48 54.1%	48 45.9%
Q2 - 2:11	Heat	Andrew Wiggins misses three point jump shot	48 53.1%	48 46.9%
Q2 - 2:27	Rockets	Kevin Durant makes three point jump shot (Reed Sheppard assists)	48 50.7%	48 49.3%
Q2 - 2:41	Rockets	Amen Thompson defensive rebound	45 45.3%	48 54.7%
Q2 - 2:44	Heat	Andrew Wiggins misses three point jump shot	45 44.3%	48 55.7%
Q2 - 2:58	Rockets	Reed Sheppard makes three point pullup jump shot (Kevin Durant assists)	45 42.0%	48 58.0%
Q2 - 3:07	Rockets	Alperen Sengun offensive rebound	42 37.6%	48 62.4%
Q2 - 3:08	Rockets	Amen Thompson misses two point tip layup	42 35.4%	48 64.6%
Q2 - 3:08	Rockets	Amen Thompson offensive rebound	42 37.6%	48 62.4%
Q2 - 3:14	Rockets	Jeff Green misses two point pullup jump shot	42 35.4%	48 64.6%
Q2 - 3:30	Heat	Tyler Herro makes two point fadeaway jump shot	42 37.6%	48 62.4%
Q2 - 3:36	Heat	Bam Adebayo defensive rebound	42 39.6%	46 60.4%
Q2 - 3:39	Rockets	Jeff Green misses three point jump shot	42 40.6%	46 59.4%
Q2 - 3:56	Heat	Tyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Andrew Wiggins assists)	42 43.0%	46 57.0%
Q2 - 4:16	Rockets	Reed Sheppard makes three point pullup jump shot	42 48.3%	43 51.7%
Q2 - 4:26	Rockets	Reed Sheppard defensive rebound	39 43.3%	43 56.7%
Q2 - 4:29	Heat	Andrew Wiggins misses three point jump shot	39 42.4%	43 57.6%
Q2 - 4:43	Rockets	Kevin Durant makes two point driving finger roll layup (Amen Thompson assists)	39 40.2%	43 59.8%
Q2 - 4:49	Rockets	Kevin Durant defensive rebound	37 38.0%	43 62.0%
Q2 - 4:51	Heat	Pelle Larsson misses three point jump shot	37 37.1%	43 62.9%
Q2 - 5:03	Rockets	Alperen Sengun turnover	37 35.4%	43 64.6%
Q2 - 5:03		Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro, Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins)	37	43
Q2 - 5:03	Heat	Tyler Herro shooting foul (Jeff Green draws the foul)	37 38.5%	43 61.5%
Q2 - 5:03	Rockets	Jeff Green makes two point running pullup jump shot (Amen Thompson assists)	37	43
Q2 - 5:05	Rockets	Amen Thompson defensive rebound	35 33.6%	43 66.4%
Q2 - 5:08	Heat	Davion Mitchell misses two point stepback jump shot	35 32.6%	43 67.4%
Q2 - 5:17	Heat	Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound	35 30.6%	43 69.4%
Q2 - 5:21	Rockets	Alperen Sengun misses two point hook shot	35 31.5%	43 68.5%
Q2 - 5:38	Heat	Andrew Wiggins makes two point pullup jump shot	35 33.5%	43 66.5%
Q2 - 5:44		Stoppage (Out of bounds)	35	41
Q2 - 5:56		Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro, Kel'el Ware, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins)	35	41
Q2 - 5:56		Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant, Jeff Green)	35	41
Q2 - 5:56		Heat 60 second timeout	35	41
Q2 - 5:56	Rockets	Alperen Sengun makes two point layup (Reed Sheppard assists)	35 35.4%	41 64.6%
Q2 - 6:16	Rockets	Tari Eason defensive rebound	33 33.9%	41 66.1%
Q2 - 6:19	Heat	Simone Fontecchio misses three point jump shot	33 33.1%	41 66.9%
Q2 - 6:28	Rockets	Alperen Sengun makes two point putback layup	33 31.1%	41 68.9%
Q2 - 6:29	Rockets	Alperen Sengun offensive rebound	31 29.4%	41 70.6%
Q2 - 6:33	Rockets	Tari Eason misses three point jump shot	31 27.6%	41 72.4%
Q2 - 6:35	Rockets	Jeff Green offensive rebound	31 29.4%	41 70.6%
Q2 - 6:38	Rockets	Tari Eason misses three point jump shot	31 27.5%	41 72.5%
Q2 - 6:52		Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Kevin Durant, Jeff Green, Tari Eason)	31	41
Q2 - 6:52	Heat	Jaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (out of bounds bad pass)	31 29.4%	41 70.6%
Q2 - 7:07	Rockets	Aaron Holiday makes three point running jump shot (Tari Eason assists)	31 27.5%	41 72.5%
Q2 - 7:10	Rockets	Tari Eason defensive rebound	28 23.8%	41 76.2%
Q2 - 7:13	Heat	Simone Fontecchio misses two point cutting layup	28 23.2%	41 76.8%
Q2 - 7:16	Heat	Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound	28 21.8%	41 78.2%
Q2 - 7:19	Heat	Simone Fontecchio misses three point jump shot	28 23.1%	41 76.9%
Q2 - 7:27	Heat	Kel'el Ware defensive rebound	28 21.8%	41 78.2%
Q2 - 7:29	Rockets	Tari Eason misses two point driving layup	28 22.4%	41 77.6%
Q2 - 7:48	Heat	Andrew Wiggins turnover (traveling)	28 23.7%	41 76.3%
Q2 - 8:07	Rockets	Rockets turnover (shot clock violation)	28 22.1%	41 77.9%
Q2 - 8:07	Rockets	Rockets offensive rebound	28 24.1%	41 75.9%
Q2 - 8:07	Rockets	Andrew Wiggins blocks Dorian Finney-Smith's three point jump shot	28 22.7%	41 77.3%
Q2 - 8:08		Stoppage (Out of bounds)	28	41
Q2 - 8:28	Rockets	Jeff Green defensive rebound	28 24.1%	41 75.9%
Q2 - 8:33	Heat	Dru Smith misses regular free throw 2 of 2	28 23.8%	41 76.2%
Q2 - 8:33		Heat lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kel'el Ware, Dru Smith, Andrew Wiggins)	28	41
Q2 - 8:33		Rockets lineup change (Aaron Holiday, Kevin Durant, Jeff Green, Tari Eason, Dorian Finney-Smith)	28	41
Q2 - 8:33	Heat	Dru Smith makes regular free throw 1 of 2	28 22.5%	41 77.5%
Q2 - 8:33	Rockets	Aaron Holiday shooting foul (Dru Smith draws the foul)	28 22.8%	40 77.2%
Q2 - 8:35	Heat	Dru Smith defensive rebound	28 23.9%	40 76.1%
Q2 - 8:38	Rockets	Dorian Finney-Smith misses three point jump shot	28 24.5%	40 75.5%
Q2 - 8:49	Heat	Bam Adebayo makes two point tip layup	28 26.0%	40 74.0%
Q2 - 8:49	Heat	Bam Adebayo offensive rebound	28 27.7%	38 72.3%
Q2 - 8:54	Heat	Bam Adebayo misses two point hook shot	28 29.4%	38 70.6%
Q2 - 9:10	Heat	Kel'el Ware defensive rebound	28 28.0%	38 72.0%
Q2 - 9:13	Rockets	Aaron Holiday misses three point jump shot	28 28.6%	38 71.4%
Q2 - 9:14	Rockets	Amen Thompson offensive rebound	28 30.1%	38 69.9%
Q2 - 9:18	Rockets	Alperen Sengun misses two point running layup	28 28.6%	38 71.4%
Q2 - 9:25	Heat	Kel'el Ware turnover (bad pass) (Dorian Finney-Smith steals)	28 30.1%	38 69.9%
Q2 - 9:43		Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Overturned)	28	38
Q2 - 9:43		Heat 60 second timeout	28	38
Q2 - 9:43	Rockets	Amen Thompson turnover (offensive foul)	28 28.0%	38 72.0%
Q2 - 9:43	Rockets	Amen Thompson offensive foul (Charge) (Dru Smith draws the foul)	28 30.1%	38 69.9%
Q2 - 9:46	Rockets	Tari Eason defensive rebound	28 30.1%	38 69.9%
Q2 - 9:47	Heat	Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving floating bank jump shot	28 29.5%	38 70.5%
Q2 - 9:54	Rockets	Tari Eason turnover (traveling)	28 28.0%	38 72.0%
Q2 - 10:03	Heat	Kel'el Ware makes two point tip layup	28 30.8%	38 69.2%
Q2 - 10:03	Heat	Kel'el Ware offensive rebound	28 32.8%	36 67.2%
Q2 - 10:05	Heat	Kel'el Ware misses two point tip layup	28 34.4%	36 65.6%
Q2 - 10:05	Heat	Kel'el Ware offensive rebound	28 32.8%	36 67.2%
Q2 - 10:11	Heat	Simone Fontecchio misses two point driving layup	28 34.4%	36 65.6%
Q2 - 10:17	Rockets	Tari Eason personal foul (Loose ball) (Dru Smith draws the foul)	28 32.7%	36 67.3%
Q2 - 10:17	Heat	Heat offensive rebound	28 32.7%	36 67.3%
Q2 - 10:21	Heat	Bam Adebayo misses three point jump shot	28 34.3%	36 65.7%
Q2 - 10:32	Heat	Bam Adebayo defensive rebound	28 32.7%	36 67.3%
Q2 - 10:36	Rockets	Aaron Holiday misses three point jump shot	28 33.4%	36 66.6%
Q2 - 11:03	Heat	Bam Adebayo makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)	28 35.5%	36 64.5%
Q2 - 11:16	Rockets	Aaron Holiday turnover (lost ball) (Dru Smith steals)	28 37.6%	34 62.4%
Q2 - 11:22	Heat	Simone Fontecchio personal foul (Alperen Sengun draws the foul)	28 39.9%	34 60.1%
Q2 - 11:43	Heat	Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Kel'el Ware assists)	28 39.9%	34 60.1%
Q2 - 12:00		Rockets lineup change (Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Aaron Holiday, Tari Eason, Dorian Finney-Smith)	28	32
Q1 - 0:00.0		End of 1st Quarter.	28 42.1%	32 57.9%
Q1 - 0:00.1	Heat	Heat offensive rebound	28 42.1%	32 57.9%
Q1 - 0:00.3	Heat	Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point pullup jump shot	28 43.7%	32 56.3%
Q1 - 0:02.0	Rockets	Amen Thompson makes two point driving layup (Kevin Durant assists)	28 42.1%	32 57.9%
Q1 - 0:09.4	Heat	Dru Smith makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)	26 39.9%	32 60.1%
Q1 - 0:27.7	Heat	Bam Adebayo defensive rebound	26 44.4%	29 55.6%
Q1 - 0:31.3	Rockets	Reed Sheppard misses three point jump shot	26 45.1%	29 54.9%
Q1 - 0:33.5		Heat lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kel'el Ware, Dru Smith, Bam Adebayo)	26	29
Q1 - 0:33.5		Kel'el Ware kicked ball violation	26	29
Q1 - 0:33.5		Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant, Dorian Finney-Smith)	26	29
Q1 - 0:35.5		Jump ball. Amen Thompson vs. Jaime Jaquez Jr. (Rockets gains possession)	26	29
Q1 - 0:55.1	Heat	Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving layup	26 46.8%	29 53.2%
Q1 - 1:05		Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Clint Capela, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Dorian Finney-Smith)	26	27
Q1 - 1:05		Stoppage (Out of bounds)	26	27
Q1 - 1:05	Heat	Heat defensive rebound	26 49.3%	27 50.7%
Q1 - 1:05	Rockets	Josh Okogie misses three point jump shot	26 50.0%	27 50.0%
Q1 - 1:17	Heat	Bam Adebayo makes three point jump shot (Simone Fontecchio assists)	26 51.5%	27 48.5%
Q1 - 1:24	Heat	Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound	26 56.2%	24 43.8%
Q1 - 1:26	Rockets	Clint Capela misses two point turnaround hook shot	26 56.8%	24 43.2%
Q1 - 1:40	Heat	Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving bank jump shot	26 58.3%	24 41.7%
Q1 - 1:50	Heat	Kel'el Ware defensive rebound	26 60.6%	22 39.4%
Q1 - 1:54	Rockets	Amen Thompson misses three point jump shot	26 61.3%	22 38.7%
Q1 - 2:09	Rockets	Alperen Sengun defensive rebound	26 62.7%	22 37.3%
Q1 - 2:13	Heat	Simone Fontecchio misses three point jump shot	26 61.9%	22 38.1%
Q1 - 2:24	Rockets	Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2	26 60.2%	22 39.8%
Q1 - 2:24		Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Clint Capela, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Dorian Finney-Smith)	25	22
Q1 - 2:24	Rockets	Amen Thompson misses regular free throw 1 of 2	25 59.8%	22 40.2%
Q1 - 2:24	Heat	Bam Adebayo shooting foul (Amen Thompson draws the foul)	25 61.4%	22 38.6%
Q1 - 2:29	Heat	Bam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Amen Thompson steals)	25 60.6%	22 39.4%
Q1 - 2:33	Heat	Bam Adebayo offensive rebound	25 58.1%	22 41.9%
Q1 - 2:37	Heat	Kel'el Ware misses three point jump shot	25 59.8%	22 40.2%
Q1 - 2:44	Rockets	Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2	25 58.1%	22 41.9%
Q1 - 2:44		Heat lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kel'el Ware, Bam Adebayo, Kasparas Jakucionis)	24	22
Q1 - 2:44		Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant, Dorian Finney-Smith)	24	22
Q1 - 2:44	Rockets	Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 2	24 57.9%	22 42.1%
Q1 - 2:44	Heat	Tyler Herro shooting foul (Kevin Durant draws the foul)	23 57.6%	22 42.4%
Q1 - 2:48	Rockets	Kevin Durant defensive rebound	23 56.3%	22 43.7%
Q1 - 2:50	Heat	Tyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot	23 55.5%	22 44.5%
Q1 - 3:05		Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Clint Capela, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant, Dorian Finney-Smith)	23	22
Q1 - 3:05	Rockets	Reed Sheppard personal foul (Andrew Wiggins draws the foul)	23 53.4%	22 46.6%
Q1 - 3:06	Heat	Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound	23 53.4%	22 46.6%
Q1 - 3:10	Rockets	Reed Sheppard misses three point running pullup jump shot	23 54.3%	22 45.7%
Q1 - 3:14	Heat	Jaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Tari Eason steals)	23 56.1%	22 43.9%
Q1 - 3:27	Rockets	Kevin Durant makes two point pullup jump shot (Clint Capela assists)	23 53.5%	22 46.5%
Q1 - 3:34	Rockets	Clint Capela offensive rebound	21 51.7%	22 48.3%
Q1 - 3:38	Rockets	Kevin Durant misses three point jump shot	21 49.9%	22 50.1%
Q1 - 3:54	Heat	Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving layup	21 51.8%	22 48.2%
Q1 - 4:02	Heat	Kel'el Ware defensive rebound	21 53.4%	20 46.6%
Q1 - 4:04	Rockets	Clint Capela misses two point turnaround hook shot	21 54.1%	20 45.9%
Q1 - 4:12	Rockets	Clint Capela defensive rebound	21 55.7%	20 44.3%
Q1 - 4:14	Heat	Tyler Herro misses two point driving floating bank jump shot	21 55.0%	20 45.0%
Q1 - 4:24		Stoppage (Out of bounds)	21	20
Q1 - 4:24	Heat	Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound	21 53.4%	20 46.6%
Q1 - 4:27	Rockets	Andrew Wiggins blocks Kevin Durant's two point driving floating jump shot	21 54.1%	20 45.9%
Q1 - 4:33		Stoppage (Out of bounds)	21	20
Q1 - 4:42		Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kel'el Ware, Kasparas Jakucionis, Andrew Wiggins)	21	20
Q1 - 4:42	Heat	Tyler Herro personal foul (Josh Okogie draws the foul)	21 55.6%	20 44.4%
Q1 - 4:48		Andrew Wiggins kicked ball violation	21	20
Q1 - 5:03		Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kel'el Ware, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins)	21	20
Q1 - 5:03		Rockets 60 second timeout	21	20
Q1 - 5:04	Heat	Kel'el Ware makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)	21 55.5%	20 44.5%
Q1 - 5:13	Rockets	Kevin Durant makes three point pullup jump shot	21 58.7%	17 41.3%
Q1 - 5:22	Rockets	Kevin Durant technical foul (Double)	18 55.4%	17 44.6%
Q1 - 5:22	Heat	Tyler Herro technical foul (Double)	18 55.4%	17 44.6%
Q1 - 5:22		Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Reed Sheppard, Clint Capela, Kevin Durant, Tari Eason)	18	17
Q1 - 5:22		Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro, Kel'el Ware, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins)	18	17
Q1 - 5:22	Heat	Bam Adebayo personal foul (Kevin Durant draws the foul)	18 55.4%	17 44.6%
Q1 - 5:22		Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Clint Capela, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant, Tari Eason)	18	17
Q1 - 5:22		Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Overturned)	18	17
Q1 - 5:22		Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro, Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins)	18	17
Q1 - 5:22		Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant, Tari Eason)	18	17
Q1 - 5:22		Rockets 60 second timeout	18	17
Q1 - 5:22		Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro, Kel'el Ware, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins)	18	17
Q1 - 5:22		Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Clint Capela, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant, Tari Eason)	18	17
Q1 - 5:37	Heat	Bam Adebayo makes two point tip layup	18 55.4%	17 44.6%
Q1 - 5:37	Heat	Bam Adebayo offensive rebound	18 56.9%	15 43.1%
Q1 - 5:41	Heat	Bam Adebayo misses two point driving floating jump shot	18 58.2%	15 41.8%
Q1 - 6:01	Rockets	Amen Thompson makes two point cutting layup (Tari Eason assists)	18 56.8%	15 43.2%
Q1 - 6:16		Rockets 60 second timeout	16	15
Q1 - 6:20	Heat	Tyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot	16 55.2%	15 44.8%
Q1 - 6:31	Rockets	Kevin Durant makes two point fadeaway jump shot	16 58.3%	12 41.7%
Q1 - 6:52	Heat	Andrew Wiggins makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)	14 56.6%	12 43.4%
Q1 - 6:57	Heat	Davion Mitchell offensive rebound	14 59.6%	9 40.4%
Q1 - 7:01	Heat	Pelle Larsson misses three point jump shot	14 60.6%	9 39.4%
Q1 - 7:12		Stoppage (Injury)	14	9
Q1 - 7:12	Rockets	Alperen Sengun turnover (offensive foul)	14 59.3%	9 40.7%
Q1 - 7:12	Rockets	Alperen Sengun offensive foul (Davion Mitchell draws the foul)	14 61.0%	9 39.0%
Q1 - 7:28	Heat	Davion Mitchell makes two point running finger roll layup	14 60.7%	9 39.3%
Q1 - 7:32	Rockets	Alperen Sengun turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)	14 61.9%	7 38.1%
Q1 - 7:47	Heat	Davion Mitchell makes three point jump shot (Pelle Larsson assists)	14 63.1%	7 36.9%
Q1 - 8:01		Heat 60 second timeout	14	4
Q1 - 8:02	Rockets	Reed Sheppard makes three point running pullup jump shot	14 64.9%	4 35.1%
Q1 - 8:06	Rockets	Reed Sheppard defensive rebound	11 62.6%	4 37.4%
Q1 - 8:10	Heat	Kevin Durant blocks Andrew Wiggins's two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot	11 62.1%	4 37.9%
Q1 - 8:19	Rockets	Amen Thompson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)	11 60.9%	4 39.1%
Q1 - 8:20	Heat	Davion Mitchell personal foul (Alperen Sengun draws the foul)	11 62.3%	4 37.7%
Q1 - 8:33	Heat	Pelle Larsson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)	11 62.0%	4 38.0%
Q1 - 8:33	Heat	Pelle Larsson defensive rebound	11 60.6%	4 39.4%
Q1 - 8:36	Rockets	Andrew Wiggins blocks Amen Thompson's two point driving floating jump shot	11 61.0%	4 39.0%
Q1 - 8:53	Heat	Pelle Larsson makes two point driving layup (Davion Mitchell assists)	11 61.4%	4 38.6%
Q1 - 9:03		Stoppage (Out of bounds)	11	2
Q1 - 9:05	Rockets	Alperen Sengun makes two point turnaround hook shot	11 61.6%	2 38.4%
Q1 - 9:13		Stoppage (Out of bounds)	9	2
Q1 - 9:27	Rockets	Tari Eason defensive rebound	9 60.1%	2 39.9%
Q1 - 9:30	Heat	Tyler Herro misses three point stepback jump shot	9 59.7%	2 40.3%
Q1 - 9:41		Stoppage (Out of bounds)	9	2
Q1 - 9:49	Rockets	Amen Thompson makes two point cutting layup (Alperen Sengun assists)	9 58.3%	2 41.7%
Q1 - 9:57	Rockets	Amen Thompson defensive rebound	7 57.3%	2 42.7%
Q1 - 10:01	Heat	Bam Adebayo misses three point jump shot	7 56.7%	2 43.3%
Q1 - 10:08	Rockets	Reed Sheppard makes three point running jump shot (Kevin Durant assists)	7 55.8%	2 44.2%
Q1 - 10:14	Rockets	Kevin Durant defensive rebound	4 54.4%	2 45.6%
Q1 - 10:18	Heat	Kevin Durant blocks Andrew Wiggins's two point putback layup	4 54.0%	2 46.0%
Q1 - 10:19	Heat	Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound	4 53.4%	2 46.6%
Q1 - 10:22	Heat	Davion Mitchell misses three point jump shot	4 54.0%	2 46.0%
Q1 - 10:41	Rockets	Amen Thompson makes two point pullup jump shot (Tari Eason assists)	4 53.1%	2 46.9%
Q1 - 10:57	Heat	Davion Mitchell turnover (offensive foul)	2 52.5%	2 47.5%
Q1 - 10:57	Heat	Davion Mitchell offensive foul (Reed Sheppard draws the foul)	2 51.9%	2 48.1%
Q1 - 11:17	Rockets	Amen Thompson makes two point turnaround hook shot (Alperen Sengun assists)	2 51.9%	2 48.1%
Q1 - 11:34	Heat	Pelle Larsson makes two point running layup	0 51.8%	2 48.2%
Q1 - 11:38	Heat	Pelle Larsson defensive rebound	0 51.9%	0 48.1%
Q1 - 11:41	Rockets	Amen Thompson misses two point alley-oop layup	0 52.0%	0 48.0%
Q1 - 12:00		Alperen Sengun vs. Bam Adebayo (Amen Thompson gains possession)	0 51.9%	0 48.1%
Q1 - 12:00		Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro, Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins)	0	0
Q1 - 12:00		Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant, Tari Eason)	0	0
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	MIA
			Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

0.97 48.6%

MIA

1.14 56.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

HOU

58%

MIA

70%

Midrange

HOU

52%

MIA

36%

3PT | Effective 3PT

HOU

13.5

25%

38%

MIA

16.5

35%

53%

Free Throws

HOU

67%

MIA

70%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Durant	32	70%	16.0 / 23
A. Thompson	20	45%	10.0 / 22
R. Sheppard	14	50%	7.0 / 14
A. Sengun	13	43%	6.5 / 16
T. Eason	10	42%	5.0 / 12
C. Capela	7	50%	3.5 / 7
A. Holiday	5	63%	2.5 / 4
J. Green	4	50%	2.0 / 4
D. Finney-Smith	0	-	0.0 / 2
J. Okogie	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo	24	60%	12.0 / 20
P. Larsson	20	63%	10.0 / 16
T. Herro	18	75%	9.0 / 12
J. Jaquez	14	58%	7.0 / 12
K. Ware	13	65%	6.5 / 10
A. Wiggins	12	55%	6.0 / 11
D. Mitchell	10	50%	5.0 / 10
D. Smith	4	100%	2.0 / 2
K. Jakučionis	0	-	0.0 / 1
S. Fontecchio	0	-	0.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU

+21

-11

109

MIA

+16

-13

101

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

0.97 48.6%

MIA

1.14 56.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	8 117.0 13 114.5	HOU 106.1 MIA 117.3 +11.3
Pace	29 96.7 1 104.7	HOU 96.1 MIA 101.1 +5.0
Avg. Poss. Time	1 15.9 30 13.0	HOU 15.0 MIA 14.2 −0.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	15 53.9% 19 53.6%	HOU 47.9% MIA 56.1% +8.2%
TO %	27 14.9% 4 12.8%	HOU 10.3% −2.1% MIA 12.4%
ORB %	1 35.3% 14 25.7%	HOU 31.3% +0.9% MIA 30.4%
FTrt	17 26.3 16 26.3	HOU 22.1 MIA 22.2 +0.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	29 58.1% 8 65.7%	HOU 63.4% +14.5% MIA 48.9%
STL %	7 9.0% 10 8.7%	HOU 6.1% +3.0% MIA 3.1%
BLK %	4 11.0% 26 8.1%	HOU 3.4% MIA 6.8% +3.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.9 and 2.9.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	22 55.7% 17 56.2%	HOU 48.6% MIA 56.9% +8.3%
Rim FG%	17 64.1% 26 61.9%	HOU 57.7% MIA 70.3% +12.6%
Mid FG%	16 43.4% 22 41.9%	HOU 51.5% +15.1% MIA 36.4%
3P %	6 37.0% 10 36.2%	HOU 25.0% MIA 35.5% +10.5%
FT %	26 75.9% 13 78.7%	HOU 66.7% MIA 70.0% +3.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	18 30.7% 7 34.0%	HOU 27.4% MIA 41.1% +13.7%
Mid Att. %	29 35.0% 15 26.4%	HOU 34.7% MIA 24.4% −10.3%
3P Att. %	29 34.4% 23 39.6%	HOU 37.9% +3.5% MIA 34.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	HOU	MIA
Possessions	99	98
Possession Minutes	24.7	23.3
Points	105	115
Rebounds	47	47
Assists	26	22
Steals	6	3
Blocks	2	4
Turnovers (Team)	11 (1)	13 (1)
Fouls	18	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (6)	14 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (2)	33 (4)
Field Goals	41-95	45-90
At-the-Rim FG	15-26	26-37
Midrange FG	17-33	8-22
2-Point FG	32-59	34-59
3-Point FG	9-36	11-31
Free Throws	14-21	14-20
Fast Break Pts	18	16
2nd Chance Pts	16	15
Points in Paint	50	66
Pts off Turnovers	10	13
Bench Points	16	31
Biggest Lead	10	13

BOXSCORE

10 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Amen Thompson #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 23	39.0	20	45%	11	4	1	0	4	3	4	7	6-12	50%	7-15	47%	0-1	0%
Kevin Durant #7 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 37	37.3	32	70%	5	8	0	2	1	1	0	5	6-6	100%	10-12	83%	2-8	25%
Tari Eason #17 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 25	35.8	10	42%	11	5	1	0	1	3	4	7	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-7	29%
Reed Sheppard #15 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 22	35.8	14	50%	4	5	1	0	0	3	0	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	4-11	36%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 24	34.8	13	43%	6	3	2	0	3	4	4	2	1-2	50%	6-13	46%	0-1	0%

Dorian Finney-Smith #2 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 33	15.5	0	0%	2	0	1	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Clint Capela #30 · C · 6'10" 256 · 32	13.1	7	50%	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	1-1	100%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 40	12.0	4	50%	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 29	8.5	5	63%	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Josh Okogie #20 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 27	7.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Isaiah Crawford #27 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	0.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 23	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
JD Davison #4 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	INACTIVE
Tristen Newton #13 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; ACL Repair
Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	49%	47	26	6	2	11	18	15	32	14-21	67%	32-59	54%	9-36	25%

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10 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Amen Thompson #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 23	39.0	20	45%	11	4	1	0	4	3	4	7	6-12	50%	7-15	47%	0-1	0%
Kevin Durant #7 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 37	37.3	32	70%	5	8	0	2	1	1	0	5	6-6	100%	10-12	83%	2-8	25%
Tari Eason #17 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 25	35.8	10	42%	11	5	1	0	1	3	4	7	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-7	29%
Reed Sheppard #15 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 22	35.8	14	50%	4	5	1	0	0	3	0	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	4-11	36%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 24	34.8	13	43%	6	3	2	0	3	4	4	2	1-2	50%	6-13	46%	0-1	0%

Dorian Finney-Smith #2 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 33	15.5	0	0%	2	0	1	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Clint Capela #30 · C · 6'10" 256 · 32	13.1	7	50%	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	1-1	100%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 40	12.0	4	50%	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 29	8.5	5	63%	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Josh Okogie #20 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 27	7.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Isaiah Crawford #27 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	0.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 23	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
JD Davison #4 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	INACTIVE
Tristen Newton #13 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; ACL Repair
Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	49%	47	26	6	2	11	18	15	32	14-21	67%	32-59	54%	9-36	25%

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14 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 29	35.0	24	60%	11	1	1	0	1	3	4	7	3-6	50%	6-12	50%	3-5	60%
Pelle Larsson #9 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25	34.5	20	63%	4	4	0	0	3	4	1	3	7-8	88%	5-7	71%	1-5	20%
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	33.1	18	75%	2	3	1	0	4	3	1	1	0-0	-	6-8	75%	2-4	50%
Andrew Wiggins #22 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 31	31.0	12	55%	6	4	0	3	1	1	2	4	3-3	100%	3-6	50%	1-4	25%
Davion Mitchell #45 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 27	25.0	10	50%	3	5	0	0	1	3	1	2	0-0	-	2-6	33%	2-4	50%

Kel'el Ware #7 · C · 7'0" 250 · 22	28.6	13	65%	15	1	0	1	1	1	5	10	0-0	-	5-7	71%	1-3	33%
Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 25	24.9	14	58%	3	3	0	0	2	2	0	3	0-1	0%	7-11	64%	0-1	0%
Kasparas Jakučionis #25 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 20	11.8	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Simone Fontecchio #0 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 30	8.8	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-3	0%
Dru Smith #12 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 28	7.3	4	100%	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Myron Gardner #15 · SF · 6'5" 225 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Keshad Johnson #16 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jahmir Young #17 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vladislav Goldin #50 · C · 7'0" 255 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Lower Back; Injury Management
Trevor Keels #3 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 23	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Norman Powell #24 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Strain
Terry Rozier #2 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 32	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	57%	47	22	3	4	13	18	14	33	14-20	70%	34-59	58%	11-31	35%

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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE