Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Saturday, February 28, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Blazers | 31% | 112 | 93 | |
| 8 | Hornets | 69% | 118 | 109 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Rockets | 52% | 113 | 105 | |
| 14 | Heat | 48% | 112 | 115 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Raptors | 82% | 118 | 134 | |
| 30 | Wizards | 18% | 106 | 125 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Lakers | 46% | 112 | 129 | |
| 12 | Warriors | 54% | 113 | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pelicans | 60% | 120 | 115 | |
| 29 | Jazz | 40% | 117 | 105 | |
Friday, February 27, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Cavaliers | 25% | 107 | 119 | |
| 2 | Pistons | 75% | 115 | 122 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Nets | 9% | 101 | 111 | |
| 3 | Celtics | 91% | 118 | 148 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Knicks | 69% | 116 | 127 | |
| 21 | Bucks | 31% | 110 | 98 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Grizzlies | 44% | 114 | 124 | |
| 22 | Mavericks | 56% | 116 | 105 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | 25% | 108 | 121 | |
| 1 | Thunder | 75% | 117 | 127 | |
Thursday, February 26, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Heat | 49% | 116 | 117 | |
| 14 | 76ers | 51% | 117 | 124 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hornets | 78% | 120 | 133 | |
| 26 | Pacers | 22% | 111 | 109 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 26% | 111 | 96 | |
| 19 | Hawks | 74% | 119 | 126 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 76% | 117 | 126 | |
| 24 | Nets | 24% | 108 | 110 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 51% | 109 | 113 | |
| 15 | Magic | 49% | 108 | 108 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Blazers | 55% | 116 | 121 | |
| 25 | Bulls | 45% | 115 | 112 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | 24% | 109 | 130 | |
| 22 | Mavericks | 76% | 118 | 121 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lakers | 58% | 114 | 110 | |
| 17 | Suns | 42% | 111 | 113 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pelicans | 65% | 120 | 129 | |
| 29 | Jazz | 35% | 115 | 118 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Timberwolves | 73% | 112 | 94 | |
| 23 | Clippers | 27% | 104 | 88 | |
Wednesday, February 25, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Thunder | 26% | 103 | 116 | |
| 2 | Pistons | 74% | 111 | 124 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 61% | 114 | 110 | |
| 11 | Raptors | 39% | 111 | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Warriors | 57% | 113 | 133 | |
| 22 | Grizzlies | 43% | 111 | 112 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Kings | 15% | 104 | 97 | |
| 7 | Rockets | 85% | 117 | 128 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Cavaliers | 58% | 113 | 116 | |
| 18 | Bucks | 42% | 111 | 118 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 48% | 115 | 84 | |
| 6 | Nuggets | 52% | 116 | 103 | |
Tuesday, February 24, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 76ers | 75% | 118 | 135 | |
| 28 | Pacers | 25% | 109 | 114 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Knicks | 38% | 114 | 94 | |
| 2 | Cavaliers | 62% | 118 | 109 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Thunder | 58% | 109 | 116 | |
| 14 | Raptors | 42% | 106 | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Mavericks | 51% | 111 | 123 | |
| 24 | Nets | 49% | 110 | 114 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 16% | 110 | 98 | |
| 16 | Hawks | 84% | 123 | 119 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Warriors | 68% | 115 | 109 | |
| 23 | Pelicans | 32% | 109 | 113 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Heat | 65% | 118 | 117 | |
| 20 | Bucks | 35% | 113 | 128 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hornets | 71% | 120 | 131 | |
| 26 | Bulls | 29% | 113 | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Celtics | 68% | 112 | 97 | |
| 18 | Suns | 32% | 106 | 81 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Timberwolves | 64% | 116 | 124 | |
| 19 | Blazers | 36% | 112 | 121 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Magic | 38% | 112 | 110 | |
| 11 | Lakers | 62% | 116 | 109 | |
Monday, February 23, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Spurs | 37% | 109 | 114 | |
| 1 | Pistons | 63% | 113 | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Kings | 36% | 111 | 123 | |
| 26 | Grizzlies | 64% | 115 | 114 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Jazz | 12% | 105 | 105 | |
| 5 | Rockets | 88% | 120 | 125 | |
Sunday, February 22, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | 47% | 112 | 113 | |
| 7 | Thunder | 53% | 113 | 121 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | 51% | 114 | 117 | |
| 12 | Warriors | 49% | 113 | 128 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Raptors | 58% | 113 | 122 | |
| 20 | Bucks | 42% | 110 | 94 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Nets | 30% | 111 | 104 | |
| 16 | Hawks | 70% | 118 | 115 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Mavericks | 55% | 113 | 134 | |
| 26 | Pacers | 45% | 112 | 130 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hornets | 79% | 118 | 129 | |
| 30 | Wizards | 21% | 108 | 112 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Celtics | 56% | 116 | 111 | |
| 8 | Lakers | 44% | 114 | 89 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 76ers | 28% | 111 | 135 | |
| 11 | Timberwolves | 72% | 119 | 108 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Blazers | 60% | 113 | 92 | |
| 22 | Suns | 40% | 110 | 77 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Knicks | 72% | 121 | 105 | |
| 23 | Bulls | 28% | 113 | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Magic | 36% | 105 | 111 | |
| 13 | Clippers | 64% | 110 | 109 | |
Saturday, February 21, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Magic | 40% | 110 | 110 | |
| 13 | Suns | 60% | 113 | 113 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 76ers | 62% | 115 | 111 | |
| 26 | Pelicans | 38% | 111 | 126 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Grizzlies | 23% | 112 | 120 | |
| 10 | Heat | 77% | 121 | 136 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | 12% | 106 | 122 | |
| 5 | Spurs | 88% | 121 | 139 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pistons | 79% | 119 | 126 | |
| 23 | Bulls | 21% | 108 | 110 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 43% | 109 | 106 | |
| 4 | Knicks | 57% | 111 | 108 | |
Friday, February 20, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pacers | 59% | 113 | 118 | |
| 30 | Wizards | 41% | 110 | 131 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cavaliers | 58% | 117 | 118 | |
| 18 | Hornets | 42% | 114 | 113 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Jazz | 33% | 113 | 114 | |
| 26 | Grizzlies | 67% | 118 | 123 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Heat | 56% | 120 | 128 | |
| 14 | Hawks | 44% | 118 | 97 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Mavericks | 20% | 109 | 111 | |
| 8 | Timberwolves | 80% | 120 | 122 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bucks | 51% | 114 | 139 | |
| 23 | Pelicans | 49% | 113 | 118 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Nets | 10% | 99 | 86 | |
| 4 | Thunder | 90% | 115 | 105 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Clippers | 35% | 109 | 122 | |
| 12 | Lakers | 65% | 114 | 125 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | 48% | 117 | 157 | |
| 17 | Blazers | 52% | 118 | 103 | |
Thursday, February 19, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 59% | 112 | 105 | |
| 15 | Hornets | 41% | 109 | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pacers | 59% | 113 | 105 | |
| 29 | Wizards | 41% | 110 | 112 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hawks | 55% | 116 | 117 | |
| 20 | 76ers | 45% | 114 | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Nets | 13% | 107 | 84 | |
| 1 | Cavaliers | 87% | 122 | 112 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Pistons | 48% | 109 | 126 | |
| 8 | Knicks | 52% | 110 | 111 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Raptors | 66% | 118 | 110 | |
| 24 | Bulls | 34% | 112 | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Suns | 31% | 109 | 94 | |
| 5 | Spurs | 69% | 116 | 121 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Magic | 72% | 116 | 131 | |
| 28 | Kings | 28% | 109 | 94 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 57% | 110 | 121 | |
| 11 | Warriors | 43% | 108 | 110 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | 57% | 114 | 114 | |
| 17 | Clippers | 43% | 112 | 115 | |