Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, February 28, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	13	Raptors	82%	118	134	138.1	97	108.3
	30	Wizards	18%	106	125	128.9	97	87.8

Prediction updated: Feb 28, 2026 11:36 PM

Scoring Opportunities

TOR

+12

-9

100

WAS

+17

-13

101

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR

1.34 67.0%

WAS

1.25 62.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

13 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 27	37.2	27	79%	2	11	0	0	1	1	0	2	5-5	100%	8-8	100%	2-7	29%
Brandon Ingram #3 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 28	33.7	24	71%	5	5	1	1	2	2	0	5	5-6	83%	8-13	62%	1-1	100%
RJ Barrett #9 · SG · 6'6" 214 · 26	32.7	21	58%	5	3	1	0	1	4	1	4	4-6	67%	7-12	58%	1-3	33%
Scottie Barnes #4 · PF · 6'8" 237 · 25	29.4	18	60%	4	4	1	1	1	4	2	2	4-4	100%	7-12	58%	0-1	0%
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 30	26.3	18	100%	10	3	3	1	1	6	3	7	4-5	80%	7-7	100%	0-0	-

Ja'Kobe Walter #14 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 21	23.8	6	60%	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-3	67%
Jamal Shead #23 · PG · 6'1" 200 · 24	22.1	7	50%	1	3	0	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-2	50%
Jamison Battle #77 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 25	16.7	6	75%	4	0	0	0	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-3	67%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 27	15.6	7	70%	3	0	1	0	1	2	1	2	1-1	100%	3-3	100%	0-2	0%
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 26	2.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Gradey Dick #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Garrett Temple #17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 40	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jonathan Mogbo #2 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Chucky Hepburn #24 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
A.J. Lawson #0 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Alijah Martin #55 · SG · 6'2" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Collin Murray-Boyles #12 · PF · 6'7" 245 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	134	67%	35	31	7	3	9	22	8	27	23-27	85%	42-63	67%	9-22	41%

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13 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 27	37.2	27	79%	2	11	0	0	1	1	0	2	5-5	100%	8-8	100%	2-7	29%
Brandon Ingram #3 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 28	33.7	24	71%	5	5	1	1	2	2	0	5	5-6	83%	8-13	62%	1-1	100%
RJ Barrett #9 · SG · 6'6" 214 · 26	32.7	21	58%	5	3	1	0	1	4	1	4	4-6	67%	7-12	58%	1-3	33%
Scottie Barnes #4 · PF · 6'8" 237 · 25	29.4	18	60%	4	4	1	1	1	4	2	2	4-4	100%	7-12	58%	0-1	0%
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 30	26.3	18	100%	10	3	3	1	1	6	3	7	4-5	80%	7-7	100%	0-0	-

Ja'Kobe Walter #14 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 21	23.8	6	60%	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-3	67%
Jamal Shead #23 · PG · 6'1" 200 · 24	22.1	7	50%	1	3	0	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-2	50%
Jamison Battle #77 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 25	16.7	6	75%	4	0	0	0	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-3	67%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 27	15.6	7	70%	3	0	1	0	1	2	1	2	1-1	100%	3-3	100%	0-2	0%
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 26	2.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Gradey Dick #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Garrett Temple #17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 40	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jonathan Mogbo #2 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Chucky Hepburn #24 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
A.J. Lawson #0 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Alijah Martin #55 · SG · 6'2" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Collin Murray-Boyles #12 · PF · 6'7" 245 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	134	67%	35	31	7	3	9	22	8	27	23-27	85%	42-63	67%	9-22	41%

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30 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 22	22.9	14	64%	5	4	1	0	2	1	2	3	0-2	0%	4-7	57%	2-3	67%
Bub Carrington #7 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 21	20.8	12	60%	3	5	1	0	1	2	0	3	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	2-4	50%
Tre Johnson #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	19.3	8	57%	3	0	0	1	2	4	1	2	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 23	18.6	13	93%	3	3	0	1	1	3	1	2	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	3-5	60%
Kyshawn George #18 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 22	15.2	14	88%	3	1	0	2	1	1	0	3	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	3-3	100%

Will Riley #27 · SF · 6'9" 180 · 20	34.5	19	73%	4	3	0	0	3	2	0	4	6-7	86%	5-8	63%	1-2	50%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 33	28.3	8	36%	5	3	0	0	1	3	3	2	0-0	-	4-8	50%	0-3	0%
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 25	21.6	12	55%	5	2	0	3	0	2	4	1	0-0	-	6-9	67%	0-2	0%
Jamir Watkins #5 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 25	21.3	10	100%	2	0	0	1	0	1	0	2	0-1	0%	2-2	100%	2-3	67%
Jaden Hardy #8 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 24	19.8	11	61%	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	2-5	40%
Sharife Cooper #13 · PG · 6'0" 176 · 25	17.9	4	40%	2	2	1	0	0	0	1	1	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Leaky Black #14 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Cam Whitmore #1 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
Trae Young #3 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; MCL Sprain; Quad Contusion
Anthony Davis #23 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Finger; Sprain
D'Angelo Russell #28 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 30	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	63%	35	23	3	8	13	20	12	23	15-21	71%	31-54	57%	16-34	47%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	WAS
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	WAS

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

TOR

1.34 67.0%

WAS

1.25 62.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

TOR

76%

WAS

77%

Midrange

TOR

55%

WAS

39%

3PT | Effective 3PT

TOR

13.5

41%

61%

WAS

24.0

47%

71%

Free Throws

TOR

85%

WAS

71%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
I. Quickley	27	79%	13.5 / 17
B. Ingram	24	71%	12.0 / 17
R. Barrett	21	58%	10.5 / 18
S. Barnes	18	60%	9.0 / 15
J. Poeltl	18	100%	9.0 / 9
J. Shead	7	50%	3.5 / 7
S. Mamukelashvili	7	70%	3.5 / 5
J. Walter	6	60%	3.0 / 5
J. Battle	6	75%	3.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
W. Riley	19	73%	9.5 / 13
B. Coulibaly	14	64%	7.0 / 11
K. George	14	88%	7.0 / 8
T. Vukcevic	13	93%	6.5 / 7
B. Carrington	12	60%	6.0 / 10
J. Champagnie	12	55%	6.0 / 11
J. Hardy	11	61%	5.5 / 9
J. Watkins	10	100%	5.0 / 5
T. Johnson	8	57%	4.0 / 7
A. Gill	8	36%	4.0 / 11
S. Cooper	4	40%	2.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	15 115.1 29 109.7	TOR 138.1 +9.3 WAS 128.9
Pace	22 99.1 5 102.5	TOR 108.3 +20.4 WAS 87.8
Avg. Poss. Time	19 14.1 23 14.0	TOR 13.3 −3.1 WAS 16.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	16 54.6% 21 53.5%	TOR 65.3% +2.8% WAS 62.5%
TO %	7 12.9% 26 14.7%	TOR 9.4% −3.2% WAS 12.6%
ORB %	16 25.5% 21 24.0%	TOR 25.8% WAS 30.8% +5.0%
FTrt	16 26.5 26 23.5	TOR 31.8 +7.9 WAS 23.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	3 69.2% 24 59.9%	TOR 60.8% +11.9% WAS 48.9%
STL %	8 8.8% 22 7.8%	TOR 7.2% +4.1% WAS 3.1%
BLK %	12 9.6% 9 10.0%	TOR 5.6% WAS 12.7% +7.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	16 56.6% 26 55.4%	TOR 67.0% +4.5% WAS 62.5%
Rim FG%	6 66.5% 15 64.7%	TOR 76.5% WAS 76.9% +0.4%
Mid FG%	16 43.7% 26 41.3%	TOR 55.2% +15.9% WAS 39.3%
3P %	21 35.4% 16 35.9%	TOR 40.9% WAS 47.1% +6.2%
FT %	22 76.9% 23 76.6%	TOR 85.2% +13.8% WAS 71.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	10 32.9% 22 30.6%	TOR 40.0% +10.5% WAS 29.5%
Mid Att. %	27 30.7% 25 29.1%	TOR 34.1% WAS 31.8% −2.3%
3P Att. %	25 36.3% 20 40.3%	TOR 25.9% WAS 38.6% +12.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	TOR	WAS
Possessions	97	97
Possession Minutes	21.5	26.5
Points	134	125
Rebounds	35	35
Assists	31	23
Steals	7	3
Blocks	3	8
Turnovers (Team)	9 (1)	13 (1)
Fouls	22	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (4)	12 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (1)	23 (2)
Field Goals	51-85	47-88
At-the-Rim FG	26-34	20-26
Midrange FG	16-29	11-28
2-Point FG	42-63	31-54
3-Point FG	9-22	16-34
Free Throws	23-27	15-21
Fast Break Pts	18	5
2nd Chance Pts	10	14
Points in Paint	68	56
Pts off Turnovers	20	9
Bench Points	26	64
Biggest Lead	17	13

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg